Higher resolution (15-km) precipitation estimates based on a multi-sensor estimation technique employing the National Weather Service WSR-88D radars and hourly raingage data that have been obtained in near real-time from the National Center for Environmental Prediction since March 1997. The multi-sensor based rainfall estimates were averaged by county, summed for the months of May and July, and compared with NWS cooperative observer gage data obtained in real time (for two years) and after-the-fact (for five years). There was general agreement in the pattern of high and low rainfall amounts from the multi-sensor based and quality-controlled cooperative gage based data, for this region, with a correlation coefficient r of 0.78 for a 5-years period, 1997-1999, 2001-2002. Corn yields for 1997-2002, were obtained from the USDA-National Agricultural Statistics Service for each county. These data were normalized using the average yield of the previous 5-years. The corn yield pattern is generally associated with low to moderate rainfall in May and moderate to high rainfall in July. Multiple-regression analysis incorporating May and July rainfall and a number of soil parameters resulted in a correlation coefficient r of about 0.52 between these factors and yield for both data sets. These results suggest that the real-time multi-sensor data is of comparable quality to the gage data for purposes of predicting crop yields. County soil characteristics will be further investigated to ascertain variability in normalized corn yields with similar rainfall amounts.
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