Wednesday, 14 January 2004: 9:00 AM
Decadal Variations in the Tropical Radiation Budget
Room 608
The response of the earth's climate system to imposed forcings is governed
by a complex superposition of feedback processes. Uncertainty in the way
these feedbacks are included in climate models is a major contributor to
uncertainties in global warming projections. Because of their sizable
radiative effects, changes in the distribution of water vapor and clouds
are particularly important in this regard, providing both the largest and
most uncertain climate feedbacks in current models. The response of
precipitation to increasing greenhouse gases is also closely tied to the
response of water vapor and clouds, through their impact on the surface
energy budget. This study will attempt to synthesize observations of the
variations in water vapor, clouds, precipitation and radiative fluxes over
the last two decades from both operational and research satellites.
Attention will be focused on documented areas of discrepancy between
satellite observations and climate models. Of particular interest will be
the integration of multiple observational data sets of related hydrologic
and radiative budget parameters for assessing the robustness of the
discrepancies and exploring hypotheses for their explanation.
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