| Monday, 15 January 2007 |
| 9:00 AM-10:15 AM, Monday
Plenary Session for the Presidential Forum (Presidential Forum will then run parallel to other sessions throughout the day) |
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| Tuesday, 16 January 2007 |
| 1:30 PM-3:00 PM, Tuesday, 209
Panel Discussion 1 Panel on Participatory Action Research methodology and applications Part 1 |
Panelists: Peter Park, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA; James Kunde, University of Texas at Arlington, Arlington, TX; Kristina Peterson, University of New Orleans- CHART, New Orleans, LA
Moderator: Shirley Laska, Center for Hazards Assessment, New Orleans, LA
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| 1:30 PM | 2.1 | Introduction
Shirley Laska, Center for Hazards Assessment, New Orleans, LA |
| 1:45 PM | 2.2 | Participatory Action Research In Disaster Management, with application in Meteorology
Peter Park, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA |
| 2:00 PM | 2.3 | The Three Big Issues in Public Management Today
James Kunde, Univ. of Texas, Arlington, TX |
| 2:15 PM | 2.4 | Kristina Peterson
Kristina Peterson, University of New Orleans- CHART, New Orleans, LA |
| 2:30 PM | 2.5 | Questions and Answers
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| 3:30 PM-5:15 PM, Tuesday, 209
Session 1 Policy and socio-economic research methodology and applications |
Cochairs: William Hooke, AMS Policy Program, Washington, DC; Shirley Laska, Center for Hazards Assessment, New Orleans, LA
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| 3:30 PM | 1.1 | Working at the boundary: facilitating communication in climate change adaptation research  
Amanda H. Lynch, Monash Univ., Clayton, Vic., Australia; and L. Tryhorn, R. Abramson, and L. V. Alexander |
| 3:45 PM | 1.2 | Climate change science mid-life crisis—challenges and opportunities
John J. Bates, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC |
| 4:00 PM | 1.3 | Native American Representation in Weather-Related Fields…An Opportunity for Science Program and Policy Success
Suzanne Van Cooten, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK |
| 4:15 PM | 1.4 | Sensitivity of the United States Economy to Weather Variability
Jeffrey K. Lazo, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and P. Larsen and D. Waldman |
| 4:30 PM | 1.5 | What We Know About Tornado Casualties and How to Reduce Them
Daniel Sutter, University of Texas - Pan American, Edinburg, TX; and K. M. Simmons |
| 4:45 PM | 1.6 | Shifting Research Priorities: The Role of Human Dimensions of Global Change Research
Genevieve E. Maricle, Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO |
| 5:00 PM | 1.7 | Defining "usable" science
Lisa Dilling, Center for Science and Technology Policy Research/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and M. C. Lemos |
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| 5:00 PM-5:30 PM, Tuesday, 209
Panel Discussion 2 Panel on Participatory Action Research methodology and applications Part 2 |
Panelists: Peter Park, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA; James Kunde, University of Texas at Arlington, Arlington, TX; Kristina Peterson, University of New Orleans- CHART, New Orleans, LA
Moderator: Shirley Laska, Center for Hazards Assessment, New Orleans, LA
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| Wednesday, 17 January 2007 |
| 9:00 AM-10:00 AM, Wednesday, 209
Joint Session 1 Town Hall Meeting (Joint between Sixth Communications and the Second Symposium on Policy and Socio-Economic Research |
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| 10:30 AM-11:15 AM, Wednesday, 205
Joint Session 3 Communicating Uncertainty (Joint with 2nd Policy Symposium, 35th Conference on Broadcast Meteorology and 6th Communications Workshop) |
Chair: Veronica Johnson, NBC4, Washington, DC
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| 10:30 AM | J3.1 | Communicating Uncertainty-A Policy and News Media Issue
Rebecca E. Morss, NCAR, Boulder, CO |
| 10:45 AM | J3.2 | Weather[sic] or Not we Know for Sure
Timothy A. Cohn, U.S. Geological Survey, Reston, VA |
| 11:00 AM | J3.3 | 7-Day, 10-Day, 14-Day Forecasts: How far can we go?
Glenn Schwartz, NBC10 - Philadelphia, Bala Cynwyd, PA |
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| 11:15 AM-12:00 PM, Wednesday, 205
Joint Panel Discussion 1 Is Any Number Better Than No Number? (Joint between Sixth Communications, 35th Broadcast Conference, and the Second Symposium on Policy and Socio-Economic Research) |
Panelists: Larry Rickel, The Broadcast Image Group, San Antonio, TX; Stephanie Rickel, The Broadcast Image Group, San Antonio, TX; Patrick McCreery, News Director, KPTV, Portland, OR; Gary Koelfgen, KABB-TV, San Antonio, TX
Moderator: Veronica Johnson, NBC4, Washington, DC
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| 1:30 PM-5:00 PM, Wednesday, 209
Session 2 characterizing and communicating policy & socio-economic information |
Cochairs: Genene Fisher, AMS Policy Program, Washington, DC; Roger Pulwarty, NOAA/CIRES/CDC, Boulder, CO
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| 1:30 PM | 2.1 | "But I was watching the weather report . . . how NWS Hurricane Forecast and GEOSS Data contribute to medical planning before hurricane season”
Margaret Lynn Fowke, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD |
| 1:45 PM | 2.2 | Socio-Economic Impacts of Storm-based Warnings
Elliott Jacks, NOAA/NWS; and J. T. Ferree |
| 2:00 PM | 2.3 | Seaside, Oregon, Tsunami Vulnerability Assessment Pilot Study
Paula Dunbar, NOAA/National Geophysical Data Center, Boulder, CO; and D. Dominey-Howes and J. Varner |
| 2:15 PM | 2.4 | Communicating surge information
Betty Hearn Morrow, SocResearch Miami, Miami, FL |
| 2:30 PM | | Coffee Break
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| 4:00 PM | 2.5 | Use of Non-NOAA Data Sets for Emergency Response and Forecast Operations: Implications on NOAA Policy
Roger V. Pierce, OAR, Silver Spring, MD; and J. O'Sullivan |
| 4:15 PM | 2.6 | Public Warning Response Following Tornadoes in New Orleans, LA, and Springfield, MO: A Sociological Analysis
William Donner, Disaster Research Center, Newark, DE |
| 4:30 PM | 2.7 | Use of information by National Weather Service forecasters and emergency managers during CALJET and PACJET-2001
Rebecca E. Morss, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and F. M. Ralph |
| 4:45 PM | 2.8 | Societal and Economic Research and Applications priorities for the North American THORPEX program
Rebecca E. Morss, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. K. Lazo, H. Brooks, B. Brown, P. Ganderton, and B. Mills |
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| 2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Wednesday, Exhibit Hall C
Joint Poster Session 4 Joint Poster: Climate & Extremes, Linking Weather and Climate (Joint with Second Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research, Symposium on Connections Between Mesoscale Processes and Climate Variability, 19th Conference on Climate Variability and Change, and Climate Change Manifested by Changes in Weather) |
| | JP4.1 | An examination of the relationship between North Atlantic tropical storm activity and sea surface temperature using time series modeling
Jose Maliekal, SUNY, Brockport, NY |
| | JP4.2 | Implications of enhanced persistence of atmospheric circulation over Europe for the occurrence and severity of temperature extremes
Jan Kysely, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Prague, Czech Republic |
| | JP4.3 | Hydrological variability and trends in global reanalyses
Junye Chen, Univ. of Maryland/ESSIC & NASA/GSFC/GMAO, Greenbelt, MD; and M. G. Bosilovich |
| | JP4.4 | An investigation of ENSO-related parameters used to predict Australian tropical cyclone activity
Hamish A. Ramsay, Univ. of Oklahoma/CIMMS, Norman, OK; and K. H. Goebbert, M. Leplastrier, and L. M. Leslie |
| | | Poster JP4.5 has been moved. New Paper number 2B.1A
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| | JP4.6 | The relationship between actual and potential intensities of tropical cyclones on an interannual time scale
Allison A. Wing, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY; and A. H. Sobel and S. J. Camargo |
| | JP4.7 | Observations and predictability of tropical cyclones in the Southwest Pacific Ocean
Kevin H. Goebbert, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and H. A. Ramsay, L. M. Leslie, and M. Leplastrier |
| | JP4.8 | Impact of ENSO, NAO, and PDO on monthly extreme temperature and precipitation
J. Brolley, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and J. O'Brien |
| | JP4.9 | Quantifying the influence of environmental conditions on the effect of winter wheat
Cynthia A. Whittier, Oklahoma Climatological Survey, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and R. A. McPherson |
| | JP4.10 | Trends in Australia's climate means and extremes: a global context
Lisa V. Alexander, Monash Univ., Clayton, Vic., Australia; and N. Nicholls, A. Lynch, P. Hope, D. A. Collins, and B. Trewin |
| | JP4.11 | Utilizing the statistical downscaling model to project weather extremes - a Canadian example
Gary S. Lines, EC, Dartmouth, NS, Canada; and L. Titus |
| | JP4.12 | A generalized linear modeling approach to stochastic weather generators
Richard W. Katz, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and E. M. Furrer |
| | JP4.13 | Understanding the local and regional impacts of large wind farms
Amanda S. Adams, Univ. of Calgary, Calgary, AB, Canada; and D. W. Keith |
| | JP4.14 | Western Arctic storm surge and extreme cyclones: a factorial analysis of fifty years of flooding
Amanda H. Lynch, Monash Univ., Clayton, Vic., Australia; and L. R. Lestak, P. Uotila, E. N. Cassano, and L. Xie |
| | JP4.15 | Weather-Climate Linkage Leading to the 24-29 June 2006 Excessive East Coast Rainfall
Edward Berry, NOAA, Dodge City, KS; and K. M. Weickmann |
| | JP4.16 | Trends towards wetter hurricane basins
J. Marshall Shepherd, Univ. of Georgia, Athens, GA; and T. L. Mote |
| | JP4.17 | Tornado climatology and predictability by ENSO phase in the North Central U.S.: A compositing study
Barbara E. Mayes, NOAA/NWS WFO Quad Cities IA/IL, Davenport, IA; and C. Cogil, G. Lussky, and R. Ryrholm |
| | JP4.18 | The "Perfect Storms" of 1991: An intraseasonal example of a link between weather and climate
Jason M. Cordeira, Univ. of Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY; and L. F. Bosart |
| | JP4.19 | The Impact of Local and Global Climate Variation/Change on Extreme Weather Events in the South Central Texas
Xianwei Wang Sr., The University of Texas at San Antonio, San Antonio, TX; and H. Xie and H. Sharif |
| | JP4.20 | Severe convective storms in past and future climates using a scale-spanning, multiple-model approach
Robert J. Trapp, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN; and B. A. Halvorson, N. S. Diffenbaugh, and M. E. Baldwin |
| | JP4.21 | Predicting extreme hurricane winds in the United States
Thomas H. Jagger, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and J. B. Elsner |
| | JP4.22 | Interactions between flood management decisions and scientific uncertainty about the climatological risk of extreme flooding
Rebecca E. Morss, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and O. Wilhelmi, M. Downton, and E. Gruntfest |
| | JP4.23 | Influence of Climate Model Cloud and Convection Parameter Uncertainties on Present and Future Simulated Precipitation Extremes
Yi Deng, Univ. of Texas, Austin, TX; and C. Jackson |
| | JP4.24 | Impacts of recurving West Pacific tropical cyclones on extratropical predictability in the Northern Hemisphere
Heather M. Archambault, University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY; and D. Keyser and L. Bosart |
| | JP4.25 | Identifying patterns and trends in severe storm environments using re-analysis data.
Matthew J. Pocernich, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and E. Gilleland, H. Brooks, and B. Brown |
| | JP4.26 | ENSO and Global Daily to 3-Hourly Precipitation Extremes
Scott Curtis, East Carolina University, Greenville, NC; and S. Wuensch and R. F. Adler |
| | JP4.27 | Bridging the gap between weather and climate forecasting: Research priorities for intra-seasonal prediction
Zoltan Toth, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and M. Pena and A. Vintzileos |
| | JP4.28 | Relation between subseasonal and interannual variability of Indian monsoon and potential for seasonal predictability in a coupled GCM
Deepthi Achuthavarier, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA; and V. Krishnamurthy |
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| 2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Wednesday, Exhibit Hall C
Poster Session 1 Policy and socio-economic research posters |
| | P1.1 | The impact of climate change on global wind trends and wind resource assessment
Glenn E. Van Knowe, MESO, Inc., Troy, NY; and J. W. Zack, K. T. Waight, and M. Brower |
| | P1.2 | Forging a Public-Private Partnership Through Adult Education
Daphne S. LaDue, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and P. L. Heinselman, E. R. Johnson, J. Toohey-Morales, P. W. Thomas, and E. A. Mahoney |
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| 5:00 PM-5:30 PM, Wednesday, 209
Panel Discussion 3 Panel on Participatory Action Research methodology and applications Part 3 |
Panelists: James Kunde, Univ. of Texas, Arlington, TX; Peter Park, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA; Kristina Peterson, University of New Orleans- CHART, New Orleans, LA
Moderator: Shirley Laska, Center for Hazards Assessment, New Orleans, LA
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| Thursday, 18 January 2007 |
| 8:30 AM-12:00 PM, Thursday, 214C
Joint Session 5 intersection between climate change policy and economics (Joint between the 2nd Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research, 16th Conference on Applied Climatology, and the 19th Conference on Climate Variability and Change) |
Cochairs: Mathew Barlow, Univ. of Massachusetts, Lowell, MA; Anthony Socci, AMS Policy Program, Washington, DC
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| 8:30 AM | J5.1 | Using Weather Variability to Assess Socioeconomic Impacts of Climate:
Roberta Balstad, Columbia University, Bethesda, MD |
| 8:45 AM | J5.2 | The Role of Boundary Organizations in the Dissemination of Climate Information to Support Agricultural Production in Argentina
Alejandra Celis, CENTRO Estudios Sociales y Ambientales, Buenos Aires, Argentina; and M. G. Caputo and G. Podesta |
| 9:00 AM | J5.3 | A Climate Services Division-A Second Look
Mark A. Shafer, Oklahoma Climatological Survey, Norman, OK |
| 9:15 AM | J5.4 | Integration of climate change/variability science into transportation policy and decision making
Eric Lindquist, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX |
| 9:30 AM | J5.5 | Individual Decision-Making: Where Climate and Policy Meet
Guillermo Podesta, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and E. U. Weber, F. Bert, D. Letson, C. A. Laciana, M. Re, and A. N. Menendez |
| 9:45 AM | | Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
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| 11:00 AM | J5.6 | Critical challenges in incorporating climate into management of the Colorado River
Andrea J. Ray, NOAA/CIRES/CDC, Boulder, CO; and D. Kenney |
| 11:15 AM | J5.7 | Atmospheric science policy on Capitol Hill; perspectives from the AMS-UCAR Congressional Science Fellow
James Bradbury, AMS/UCAR, Washington, DC |
| 11:30 AM | J5.8 | Next steps for the AMS symposia on policy and socio-economic research
William Hooke, AMS Policy Program, Washington, DC |
| 12:00 PM | J5.9 | Normalized U.S. Hurricane Damages: Why Are We Seeing Catastrophic Losses in Recent Years?
Christopher Landsea, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/TPC, Miami, FL |
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