87th AMS Annual Meeting

Joint Session 3: Forecasting Water Cycle Components at Different Spatial and Temporal Scales (Joint with Climate Change Manifested by Changes in Weather and Climate Aspects of Hydrometeorology)

Wednesday, 17 January 2007: 8:30 AM-12:00 PM
214A (Henry B. Gonzalez Convention Center)
Organizers:  Ana P. Barros, Duke Univ. and Christa Peters-Lidard, NASA/GSFC
Papers:
  8:30 AM
Prediction of Elements of the Hydrologic Cycle at Climatic Time Scale: Observations and Prospects (INVITED)
Upmanu Lall, International Research Institute for Climate Prediction, New York, NY

  9:00 AM
Dynamic Bayesian Networks for Spatio-Temporal Downscaling of Seasonal Climate to Daily Weather Forecasts
Abedalrazq F. Khalil, Columbia Univ., New York, NY; and H. H. Kwon and U. Lall

  9:15 AM
Assessment of dynamic downscaling of the continental U.S. regional climate using the Eta/SSiB Regional Climate Model
Yongkang Xue, University of California, Los Angeles, CA; and R. Vasic, Z. Janjic, F. Mesinger, and K. Mitchell

  9:30 AM
Climatic aspects of hydrometeorology and water resources – the role of drought (INVITED)
Dennis P. Lettenmaier, University of Washington, Seattle, WA

  10:00 AM
Coffee Break

  10:30 AM
When model results and observations disagree . . .
Andrew A. Lacis, NASA/GISS, New York, NY

  10:45 AM
Extreme Floods in Urban Watersheds (INVITED)
James A. Smith, Princeton Univ., Princeton, NJ

  11:15 AM
Cool season heavy rainfall events over west central Florida
Charles H. Paxton, NOAA/NWSFO, Ruskin, FL; and A. Reynes and J. C. McMichael