87th AMS Annual Meeting

Session 7: Climate and Extreme Weather Events I

Thursday, 18 January 2007: 1:30 PM-5:30 PM
214B (Henry B. Gonzalez Convention Center)
Chairs:  Kelly Redmond, Western Regional Climate Center and Edward O'Lenic (Chair after the Break), NOAA/NWS/CPC
  1:30 PM
Tropical cyclones, drought, and the seasonal reversal of the ENSO rainfall signal in the Philippines
Bradfield Lyon, International Research Institute for Climate and Society, Columbia Univ., Palisades, NY; and S. J. Camargo, H. Cristi, E. R. Verceles, F. D. Hilario, and R. Abastillas

  1:45 PM
  2:00 PM
  2:15 PM
U.S. temperature and precipitation extreme events, 1850–2005
Michael A. Palecki, ISWS, Champaign, IL; and K. E. Kunkel and J. R. Angel

  3:00 PM
Coffee Break in Exhibit Hall and Raffle

  3:30 PM
The behavior of extreme cold-air outbreaks in a greenhouse-warmed world
Stephen J. Vavrus, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and J. E. Walsh, D. Portis, and W. L. Chapman

  3:45 PM
Changes in North American extremes derived from daily weather data
Thomas C. Peterson, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and X. Zhang, M. B. India, and J. L. V. Aguirre

  4:00 PM
A Monte Carlo assessment of uncertainties in heavy precipitation frequency variations
Kenneth E. Kunkel, ISWS, Champaign, Illinois; and T. R. Karl and D. R. Easterling

  4:15 PM
Statistical significance of the trends in the extremes of monthly precipitation over the US
Salil Mahajan, ORNL, Oak Ridge, TN; and R. Saravanan, G. North, and M. G. Genton

  4:45 PM
A diagnostic study of atmospheric blocking using Lyapunov exponents over a 50 year period
Athar Hussain, Univ. of Missouri, Columbia, MO; and A. R. Lupo, C. Strong, and S. Dostoglou

  5:00 PM
An adaptive multi-regressive method for summer seasonal forecast in the Mediterranean area
Massimiliano Pasqui, Institute of Biometeorology, National Research Council, Firenze, FI, Italy; and L. Genesio, A. Crisci, J. Primicerio, R. Benedetti, and G. Maracchi