Session 4 |
| | Ensemble Forecasting Including Post Processing IV |
| | Chairs: Tom Hamill, NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO; Tilmann Gneiting, University of Washington, Seattle, WA
|
| 4:00 PM | 4.1 | Storm of the Century? Insights from a massive ensemble forecast experiment 
Peter S. Dailey, AIR-Worldwide, Boston, MA; and R. G. Fovell |
| 4:15 PM | 4.2 | Algorithm and Sensitivity Analysis of Information-Theoretic Ensemble-Based Observation Targeting 
Han-Lim Choi, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and J. P. How and J. Hansen |
| 4:30 PM | 4.3 | Skill-based consolidation of multi-model ensembles using Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA) and ensemble regression
Dan C. Collins, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC, Camp Springs, MD; and D. A. Unger and E. A. O'Lenic |
| 4:45 PM | 4.4 | Accounting for wind energy forecast uncertainty
Eric P. Grimit, 3TIER North America, Seattle, WA; and C. Potter |
| 5:00 PM | 4.5 | Bayesian Processor of Ensemble: Concept and Development
Roman Krzysztofowicz, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA |
| 5:15 PM | 4.6 | Conditional Dependence and Sufficient Statistics of an Ensemble
Roman Krzysztofowicz, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA |