beyond the tropical phase improves, forecasting and analysis
techniques are adjusted accordingly. While these changes hopefully
lead to more accurate forecasts, they introduce inconsistencies into
best track datasets. The tropical cyclone reanalysis project was
started in an attempt to remove such inconsistencies and biases
(Landsea et al. 2004). It is important to understand biases within
best track datasets before studies of long term trends can be
meaningfully completed. Here, the strengths and limitations of the
ECMWF reanalysis data (ERA40; Uppala 2005) are examined within the
cyclone phase space (CPS; Hart 2003).
This process included using the CPS to quantify biases and evolving
trends in North Atlantic TC representation within the ERA40. It is
found that TCs are poorly resolved even beyond what is expected given
the ERA40's grid size. By binning data into three temporal groups it
is found that the introduction of satellite data results in a drastic
improvement in the representation of ERA40 TCs. Not surprisingly, TC
size seems to have the most profound effect since the ERA40 grid size
is 1.125° (Uppala 2005). It is also found that location (specifically
longitude) also has a marked effect on TC representation within the
ERA40, but it should be noted that location is linked to data
density.
Despite these inconsistencies, the ERA40 CPS can be used to
scrutinize historical structural classification of some TCs, provided
that the TCs are represented much better than the mean (usually by
more than one standard deviation). Within this study, it is found
that some TCs may require refined timing of extratropical transition.
Others may need refined structural classification at the beginning or
in the middle of their HURDAT tracks. Finally, there are some TCs for
which the ERA40 and HURDAT classifications agree throughout the
duration of the TC's lifecycle. Within the study, cases from each of
these subsets of TCs are presented and one potential addition to the
best track dataset is examined. It should be noted that potential
revisions are suggested only when evidence outside of the ERA40 CPS
can be obtained since no singular source should be the basis of
revisions to the best track dataset.
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