88th Annual Meeting (20-24 January 2008)

: Tropical Meteorology Special Symposium

Tropical Meteorology Special Symposium

Program Chair: Robert E. Hart , Florida State Univ.

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Sunday, 20 January 2008

Sunday | Monday | Tuesday | top

7:30 AM-9:30 AM: Sunday, 20 January 2008


Short Course Registration

9:00 AM-6:00 PM: Sunday, 20 January 2008


Conference Registration

12:00 PM-4:00 PM: Sunday, 20 January 2008


7th Annual WeatherFest
Location: Exhibit Hall B (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Monday, 21 January 2008

Sunday | Monday | Tuesday | top

7:30 AM-5:30 PM: Monday, 21 January 2008


Registration continues through Thursday, 24 January

8:30 AM-10:45 AM: Monday, 21 January 2008


Joint Session 1
Increasing public awareness on tropical cyclone forecasting (Part 1)
Location: 209 (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Sponsors: (Joint between the 17th Symposium on Education; and the Tropical Meteorology Special Symposium )
Cochairs: David R. Smith, United States Naval Academy; Robert Hart, Florida State University

Papers:
  8:30 AM
J1.1
Welcoming Remarks
David R. Smith, United States Naval Academy, Annapolis, MD; and R. Hart

  8:45 AM
J1.2
Preparing the public for the onset of the next hurricane
Ahsha Tribble, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/TPC, Miami, FL

  Recorded presentation
  9:15 AM
J1.3
Introducing America's Emergency Network
Bryan Norcross, The Weather Channel, Atlanta , GA

  Recorded presentation
  9:30 AM
J1.4
Building hurricane awareness in Florida
Paul Ruscher, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; and B. Nelson

  Recorded presentation Poster PDF (120.7 kB)
  9:45 AM
J1.5
Hurricane research to operations: Bridging the "valley of death"
Christopher Landsea, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/National Hurricane Center, Miami, FL

10:15 AM-10:45 AM: Monday, 21 January 2008


Coffee Break (Mon a.m.)

10:45 AM-11:45 AM: Monday, 21 January 2008


Joint Session 2
Increasing public awareness on tropical cyclone forecasting (Part 2)
Location: 209 (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Sponsors: (Joint between the 17th Symposium on Education; and the Tropical Meteorology Special Symposium )
Cochairs: Robert Hart, Florida State University; David R. Smith, United States Naval Academy

Papers:
  10:45 AM
J2.1
Improving Public Awareness to Enhance National Preparedness
John P. Philbin, FEMA, Washington, DC

  Recorded presentation
  11:15 AM
J2.2
Communicating hurricane awareness through distance learning
Timothy Spangler, UCAR/COMET, Boulder, CO

11:45 AM-1:30 PM: Monday, 21 January 2008


Opening Plenary Session Featuring Mayor Nagin of New Orleans (Cash & Carry Lunch)

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Monday, 21 January 2008


Joint Session 8
Tropical Cyclones and Climate Change Part I
Location: R02-R03 (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Sponsors: (Joint between the Tropical Meteorology Special Symposium; and the 20th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Chair: Hugh E. Willoughby, Florida International University

Papers:
  1:30 PM
J8.1
Downscaling hurricane climatologies from IPCC AR4 climate models: Results and uncertainties
Kerry Emanuel, MIT, Cambridge, MA

  Recorded presentation
  1:45 PM
J8.2
Is there a discernible anthropogenic impact on Atlantic hurricane activity?
Thomas R. Knutson, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ

  Recorded presentation
  2:00 PM
J8.3
Global warming and tropical cyclone landfall frequency in East Asia
Johnny C. L. Chan, City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China

  Recorded presentation
  2:15 PM
J8.4
Hurricanes and Global Warming: Expectations versus Observations
Christopher W. Landsea, NOAA/NWS/TPC/NHC, Miami, FL

  Recorded presentation

2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Monday, 21 January 2008


Joint Poster Session 1
Tropical Cyclones and Probability/Statistics Posters
Location: Exhibit Hall B (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Sponsors: (Joint between the Tropical Meteorology Special Symposium; and the 19th Conference on Probability and Statistics )
Cochairs: Robert Hart, Florida State University; C.écile Penland, NOAA/ESRL/PSD3; Richard W. Katz, NCAR

Papers:
 
JP1.1
Reduction of boundary layer dropsonde winds to estimate surface winds and their comparison with SFMR data in landfalling Hurricane Katrina
Richard G. Henning, Consulting Meteorologist, Niceville, FL

Poster PDF (1.0 MB)
 
JP1.2
National Hurricane Center forecast verification
James L. Franklin, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/TPC, Miami, FL

 
JP1.3
Employing Hurricane Wind Probabilities to Convey Forecast Uncertainty and Potential Impact through NWS Field Office Forecast Products
Pablo Santos, NOAA/NWS, Miami, FL; and D. W. Sharp, G. Rader, and M. Volkmer

Poster PDF (1.3 MB)
 
JP1.4
The Hurricane Severity Index – A New Way of Estimating a Tropical Cyclone's Destructive Potential
Chris Hebert, ImpactWeather, Inc., Houston, TX; and B. Weinzapfel and M. Chambers

Poster PDF (1.2 MB)
 
JP1.5
Development of a new storm surge index for prediction of storm surge associated with landfalling tropical cyclones
Mark R. Jordan II, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and C. A. Clayson

 
JP1.6
The accuracy of the slosh model in predicting the flooding of the chesapeake bay region during Hurricane Isabel
Kathleen Nicole Inde, United States Naval Academy, Annapolis, MD; and D. R. Smith

Poster PDF (895.9 kB)
 
JP1.7
Using uncertainty information to improve hurricane impact communication
Barry S. Goldsmith, NOAA/NWS, Ruskin, FL; and R. J. Ricks Jr.

Poster PDF (2.1 MB)
 
JP1.8
Radiance assimilation in a mesoscale model for improving Hurricane Track Forecast
Zhiquan Liu, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and H. Lin, D. Barker, and J. Xu

 
JP1.9
Deconstructing the Ensemble Transform Kalman Filter adaptive sampling methodology for tropical cyclones
Sharanya J. Majumdar, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL

 
JP1.10
Impact of GPS Radio Occultation Observations on Ensemble Analyses and Forecasts of Tropical Storms
Hui Liu, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Anderson, Y. H. Kuo, Y. Chen, and C. Snyder

 
JP1.11
Hurricane Initialization Using TOMS Ozone Data
Yonghui Wu, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and X. Zou

 
JP1.12
Observing System Experiments for Three Targeting Techniques in the Atlantic Basin
S. D. Aberson, AOML/Hurricane Research, Miami, FL; and S. J. Majumdar, M. S. Peng, and C. A. Reynolds

 
JP1.13
Use of radar data for TC initialization and intensity forecasts
Jin-Luen Lee, NOAA/ESRL/GSD, Boulder, CO; and A. E. MacDonald, W. Lee, and W. Wang

 
JP1.14
A preferred scale for warm core instability in a non-convective moist basic state
Brian H. Kahn, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and D. M. Sinton

Poster PDF (643.4 kB)
 
JP1.15
Secondary eyewall formation in two idealized, full-physics modeled hurricanes
Wesley D. Terwey, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and M. T. Montgomery

 
JP1.16
Comparison of deep convection in the outer rainbands of landfalling hurricanes: Tornadic and nontornadic cells and their local environments
Matthew D. Eastin, University of North Carolina at Charlotte, Charlotte, NC; and M. C. Link, H. B. Anderson, and M. D. Parker

 
JP1.17
Multiscale variability of the internal structure of Hurricane Isabel during landfall
Renee Curry, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and M. I. Biggerstaff

 
JP1.18
Physical processes associated with surface wind field uncertainty in Hurricanes Katrina and Rita (2005): Use of present and future observational tools
Peter G. Black, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and E. W. Uhlhorn, J. F. Gamache, R. D. Knabb, J. Carswell, P. S. Chang, S. Lorsolo, R. E. Hood, L. Jones, I. PopStefanija, and A. S. Goldstein

 
JP1.19
The overland intensification of Tropical Depression Erin: assessment and mesoscale observation
Derek S. Arndt, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and G. D. McManus, B. G. Illston, J. B. Basara, D. B. Demko, and R. A. McPherson

 
JP1.20
2004 Hurricane Danielle Tropical Cyclogenesis Forecasting Study Using the NCAR Advanced Research WRF Model
Nelsie A. Ramos, NOAA/Center for Atmospheric Sciences and Howard University, Washington, DC

 
JP1.21
Multimodel comparison study for hurricane case
Duanjun Lu, Jackson State University, Jackson, MS; and R. Reddy and Q. L. Williams

 
JP1.22
WRF-NMM model case studies for the AMMA project during the 2006 Atlantic Hurricane Season
Jamese D. Sims, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD

 
JP1.23
Numerical simulation of extreme wind gusts assocaited with a landfalling tropical cyclone

 
JP1.24
WRF forecasts/simulations of Tropical cyclones Debby and Helene during the SOP-3 NAMMA/AMMA field campaign
Gregory S. Jenkins, Howard Univ., Washington, DC; and S. Chiao and M. Cox

 
JP1.25
Sensitive experiments of changing vertical levels in numerical weather prediction model on tropical cyclone
LianTang Deng, China Meterological Administration, Beijing, China

Poster PDF (244.3 kB)
 
JP1.26
Diagnosing Transport and Mixing in Unstable Barotropic Hurricane-like Vortices
Eric Hendricks, NRL, Monterey, CA; and W. H. Schubert

 
JP1.27
Correlating Convective Bursts in Tropical Cyclones with Rapid Intensification using TRMM Precipitation Radar Reflectivity Profiles
Andrew B. Hagen, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS; and R. Rogers

Poster PDF (505.5 kB)
 
JP1.28
Angular momentum and cloud torques in TCs: An airborne Doppler radar perspective
Stephen R. Guimond, COAPS/Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and P. D. Reasor and T. N. Krishnamurti

 
JP1.29
Determining surface winds from doppler radar data during hurricane passages over Florida
Philip D. Hayes, Northrop Grumman, Chantilly, VA; and H. E. Fuelberg and R. E. Hart

 
JP1.30
Predicting hurricanes in the Gulf of Mexico: Nexrad-in-space (NIS) and its potential impact
William E. Lewis, Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and G. J. Tripoli, E. A. Smith, S. Tanelli, and E. Im

 
JP1.31
Assimilation of Multi-Satellite Data in Improving Hurricane Intensity Forecasting
Zhaoxia Pu, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and X. Li

 
JP1.32
Superensemble forecasts of hurricane intensity from a suite of mesoscale models
Melanie Kramer, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and T. N. Krishnamurti

 
JP1.33
Improving Hurricane Intensity Forecasting via Microphysical Parameterization Methods in a Mesoscale Model
Cerese Marie Albers, The Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and D. T. N. Krishnamurti

 
JP1.34
The experimental graphical tropical weather outlook
Jamie R. Rhome, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/TPC/NHC, Miami, FL; and D. P. Brown, J. L. Franklin, C. W. Landsea, C. Lauer, and C. Juckins

 
JP1.35
Multimodel approach based on evidence theory for forecasting hurricane/typhoon tracks: further improvements

 
JP1.36
Wind speed-damage correlation in Hurricane Katrina
Timothy P. Marshall, Haag Engineering Co., Dallas, TX

Poster PDF (1.3 MB)
 
JP1.37
Network analysis of U.S. hurricanes

 
JP1.38
Evaluation of the surface wind fields of the GFDL coupled forecast for Hurricane Ivan using H*Wind Analysis
Isha M. Renta-López, Howard University, Washington, DC; and M. D. Powell and V. Morris

 
JP1.39
Parameterized wind gusts associated with a severe landfalling tropical cyclone
Hamish A. Ramsay, NASA GISS/ Columbia University, New York, New York; and L. M. Leslie and M. L. M. Wong

 
JP1.40
The uncertainty in wave characteristics and tropical cyclogenesis prediction
Maria K. Flatau, NRL, Monterey, CA; and M. Peng and C. Reynolds

 
JP1.41
Eye & eyewall climatology derived from reconnaissance vortex reports and their use toward using an eyewall phase diagram to improve hurricane intensity forecasts
David Joseph Piech, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and R. Hart

 
JP1.42
Defining uncertainty in hurricane maximum surface wind estimation
Stephanie Ann Mullins, University of Louisiana - Monroe, Monroe, LA; and P. G. Black, C. S. Velden, M. D. Powell, E. W. Uhlhorn, T. Olander, A. Burton, and J. L. Beven II

 
JP1.43
Improved Measures of Hurricane Hurricane Destructive Potential Based on Integrated Kinetic Energy
Mark D. Powell, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL


Joint Poster Session 3
Tropical Cyclones and Climate Change Poster Session
Location: Exhibit Hall B (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Sponsors: (Joint between the Tropical Meteorology Special Symposium; and the 20th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Cochairs: Robert Hart, Florida State University; Thomas R. Knutson, NOAA/GFDL

Papers:
 
JP3.1
An enhanced tropical cyclone data set for the Australian region
Blair Trewin, Australian Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, VIC, Australia

Poster PDF (212.9 kB)
 
JP3.2
Chimeric Equatorial Waves as a Better Descriptor for “Convectively-Coupled Equatorial Waves”
Winston C. Chao, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD

Poster PDF (106.0 kB)
 
JP3.3
Variations of Atlantic tropical cyclones and climate change since the mid eighteenth century
Cary J. Mock, University of South Carolina, Columbia, SC; and M. Chenoweth, D. A. Glenn, S. F. Dodds, S. O. Holmberg, H. F. Young, J. Tanis, R. L. Murphy, L. J. Stroup, I. M. Altamirano, and C. W. Landsea

 
JP3.4
Understanding tropical cyclogenesis as part of NAMMA 2006: A case study of wave development (Debby) versus non development (Ernesto) in the eastern Atlantic
Edward K. Vizy, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY; and K. H. Cook

 
JP3.5
Investigating barotropic instability of the African Easterly Jet and its potential for development in the NASA fvGCM
Marangelly Fuentes, Howard University Program in Atmospheric Sciences, Washington, DC; and O. Reale and V. Morris

 
JP3.6
Atlantic hurricane increases and carbon dioxide rise
William M. Gray, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO

 
JP3.7
Influence of the Amazon/Orinoco plume on Atlantic hurricanes
Kerry H. Cook, The University of Texas at Austin, Austin; and E. K. Vizy

 
JP3.8
Conversion from Shear to Curvature Vorticity, Organization of Convection, and Hurricane Genesis
Benjamin Schenkel, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and D. T. N. Krishnamurti, S. Pattnaik, M. K. Biswas, and A. Simon

 
JP3.9
Interdecadal variability of the typhoon activity in Autumn
Chih-Hua Tsou, Department of Earth Sciences, National Taiwan Normal University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. J. Lee

 
JP3.10
Relationships between the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Atlantic-East Pacific tropical cyclone activity
Bradford S. Barrett, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and L. M. Leslie

 
JP3.11
A typhoon loss estimation model for China
Peter J. Sousounis, AIR Worldwide Corporation, Boston, MA; and H. He, M. L. Healy, V. K. Jain, G. Ljung, Y. Qu, and B. Shen-Tu

Poster PDF (1.5 MB)
 
JP3.12
Structure on eastward-moving cloud clusters in 2007 January MJO
Tetsuo Nakazawa, MRI, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan

 
JP3.13
The role of deep tropical convection on the distribution of water within the UTLS region
Maria R. Russo, Centre for Atmospheric Science, Cambridge, United Kingdom; and C. Chemel, J. A. Pyle, R. S. Sokhi, and C. Schiller

 
JP3.14
Transition from a Mixed Rossby-gravity Wave to a Tropical Cyclone
Xiaqiong Zhou, university of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and B. Wang, X. Ge, and Q. Ding

 
JP3.15
Modeling Studies of Island Induced Convective Activities in Puerto Rico Region
Melissa Sheffer, Florida Institute of Technology, Melbourne, FL; and S. Chiao and I. Matos

 
JP3.16
Tropical Cyclone Induced Tornados Associated With The Formation of Tropical Storm Barry
Andrew Devanas, NOAA/NWS, Key WEst, FL; and P. Santos, D. Gregoria, and K. Kasper

Poster PDF (1.2 MB)
 
JP3.17
Characterization of the Streamers over the Caribbean
Evelyn Rivera-Acevedo, Florida Institute of Technology, Melbourne, FL; and S. Chiao, O. Bermudez, and I. Matos

 
JP3.18
A Climatological Feature of Typhoon Making Landfall over the Korean Peninsula
Baek-Jo Kim, National Institute of Meteorological Research, Seoul, South Korea; and K. S. Choi

Poster PDF (2.0 MB)
 
JP3.19
Exergetics of deep moist convection
Peter R. Bannon, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA

 
JP3.20
Taking the pulse of climate change: NOAA's TAO buoys go from “research” to “operational”
Phoebe Woodworth, NOAA, Honolulu, HI

 
JP3.21
Are tropical cyclones feeding more extreme rainfall events?
William K. M. Lau, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and Y. Zhou and J. H. -. T. Wu

 
JP3.22
Experiments on WRF Hurricane Initialization (WRF-HI) – An Approach Based on WRF Variational Data Assimilation of Remote-Sensing and Synthetic Observations
Qingnong Xiao, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and X. Zhang, Z. Liu, W. Wang, C. A. Davis, G. J. Holland, P. J. Fitzpatrick, Y. Li, C. Hill, and H. R. Winterbottom

Poster PDF (1.4 MB)
 
JP3.23
Role of large-scale environment in the interannual variability of Australian region tropical cyclones
Hamish Andrew Ramsay, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and L. M. Leslie, P. J. Lamb, and M. Leplastrier

 
JP3.24
The Impacts of Dust and Humidity Fields on Atlantic Hurricane Activities
Donglian Sun, George Mason University, Fairfax, Viriginia; and M. Kafatos and Z. Boybeyi

 
JP3.25
Developing verse non-developing tropical disturbances for tropical cyclone formations
Melinda S. Peng, NRL, Monterey, CA; and B. Fu and T. Li

 
JP3.26
Reconciling water vapor fields measured by AIRS and HSB – A tropical case study using Hurricane Lili
Evan Fishbein, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and E. Fetzer and B. H. Lambrigtsen

 
JP3.27
Atmospheric teleconnections and Australian region tropical cyclone variability 1970–2005
Kevin H. Goebbert, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and L. M. Leslie

 
JP3.28
Observing hurricanes and severe storms with the GeoSTAR-PATH mission
Bjorn H. Lambrigtsen, JPL and California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA; and S. Brown

 
JP3.29
A view of synoptic variability in the tropical east to central Pacific and Atlantic

 
JP3.30
High-resolution upper air measurement from Cape Verde during NAMMA, the NASA African Monsoon Multidisciplinary Analyses Project

 
JP3.31
Quantifying the Contribution of Tropical Cyclones to Extreme Rainfall along the Coastal Southeastern United States
J. Marshall Shepherd, Univ. of Georgia, Athens, GA; and A. Grundstein and T. Mote

 
JP3.32
Distributions and trends of death and destruction from hurricanes in the United States, 1900-2006
Hugh E. Willoughby, Florida International University, Miami, FL

 
JP3.33
Building capacity to forecast and respond to storm inundation in Hawaii
Wes Browning, NOAA/NWS/Honolulu Weather Forecast Office, Honolulu, HI

 
JP3.34
Education through interaction with data sets - Hurricane Katrina and the Integrated Data Viewer
Troy Allison, University of North Carolina Charlotte, Charlotte, NC; and S. O. Holmberg, B. J. Etherton, and J. Weber

 
JP3.35
Upper ocean thermal structure and the western North Pacific supertyphoons
I.-I. Lin, Dept. of Atmospheric Sciences, Taipei, Taiwan; and I. F. Pun and C. C. Wu

 
JP3.36
Coastal observations of disturbed weather in Senegal during the 2006 NAMMA field campaign
Gregory S. Jenkins, Howard Univ., Washington, DC; and P. A. Kucera, E. Joseph, J. D. Fuentes, A. T. Gaye, J. Gerlach, F. Roux, A. Protat, D. Bouniol, and N. Viltard

 
JP3.37
An evaluation of long-term variability of tropical storm and hurricane activity in the Atlantic
Jose Maliekal, SUNY, Brockport, NY

Poster PDF (382.5 kB)
 
JP3.38
Next Generation Airborne Hurricane Imaging Radiometer (HIRad) - Improved Forecast Skill with Wide Field Imagery
Linwood Jones, University of Central Florida, Orlando, FL; and P. G. Black, S. S. Chen, R. E. Hood, J. W. Johnson, C. S. Ruf, A. Mims, and C. C. Hennon

Poster PDF (1.3 MB)
 
JP3.39
On the Climatology of Tropical Cyclones in the North Atlantic and Gulf of Mexico
L. J. Pietrafesa, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and S. Bao, T. I. Yan, and D. Dickey

 
JP3.40
Possible climate impacts of Saharan dust on frequency and intensity of tropical cyclones
Kyu-Myong Kim, University of Maryland Baltimore County, Greenbelt, MD; and W. K. M. Lau

 
JP3.41
The utility of the ERA40 Cyclone Phase Space in Trend Diagnosis and North Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Reanalysis
Danielle Manning, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and R. Hart

 
JP3.42
The possible winter impact from recurving tropical cyclones
Robert Hart, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and L. F. Bosart and C. Hosler

 
JP3.43
Estimating local memory of tropical cyclones through MPI anomaly evolution
Robert Hart, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and R. Maue and M. C. Watson

 
JP3.44
Analysis of the Wind Field Evolution Associated with the Extratropical Transition of Bonnie (1998)
Clark Evans, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. Hart

 
JP3.45
Tropical cyclone trends and attribution from reanalysis datasets
Ryan N. Maue, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and R. Hart and M. A. Bourassa

 
JP3.46
Tropical Storm Debby and the SAL: A comparative analysis with TD 8 from the NAMMA 2006 field campaign
Aaron Pratt, Howard University, Washington, DC; and G. S. Jenkins

 
JP3.47
Are there regimes in Tropical Cyclone Activity in the North Atlantic?
S. D. Aberson, Hurricane Research Division, AOML, Miami, FL

 
JP3.48
Retrospective multidecadal simulation of E Asiuan Typhoon activity

 
JP3.49
NEXRAD in Space: A Solution to the Hurricane Intensity Prediction Problem
Gregory J. Tripoli, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and V. Chandrasekar, S. S. Chen, G. Holland, E. Im, R. Kakar, W. E. Lewis, F. D. Marks Jr., A. Mugnai, E. A. Smith, and S. Tanelli

 
JP3.50
Characterization of the Saharan Air Layer (SAL) during NAMMA 2006 DC-8 Flight Missions
Tamara L. Battle, Howard Univ., Washington, DC; and G. Jenkins

 
JP3.51
The Role Played by Blocking over the Northern Hemisphere on Hurricane KATRINA
Dr. Yehia Yehia Hafez Sr., Cairo University, Giza, 12613, Egypt

Poster PDF (408.0 kB)
 
JP3.52
NOAA's Hurricane Forecasting Improvement Project Plan
Fred Toepfer, NOAA/NWS, Silver Springs, MD


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break (mon p.m.)
Location: Exhibit Hall B (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

4:00 PM-4:30 PM: Monday, 21 January 2008


Joint Session 9
Tropical Cyclones and Climate Change Part II
Location: R02-R03 (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Sponsors: (Joint between the Tropical Meteorology Special Symposium; and the 20th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Chair: Hugh E. Willoughby, Florida International University

Papers:
  4:00 PM
J9.1
Quantifying the uncertainty in hurricane response to climate fluctuations and trends
Greg Holland, NCAR, Boulder, CO

  Recorded presentation
  4:15 PM
J9.2
Hurricane variability and trends: The varying roles of sea surface temperature
James P. Kossin, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC

  Recorded presentation Poster PDF (2.0 MB)

4:30 PM-5:30 PM: Monday, 21 January 2008


Joint Panel Discussion 1
Tropical Cyclones and Climate Change Panel Discussion: Kossin, Landsea, Holland, Chan, Emanuel, Knutson
Location: R02-R03 (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Sponsors: (Joint between the Tropical Meteorology Special Symposium; and the 20th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Moderator: Hugh E. Willoughby, Florida International University
Panelists: Kerry A. Emanuel, MIT; Christopher Landsea, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/National Hurricane Center; James P. Kossin, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC; Thomas R. Knutson, NOAA/GFDL; Johnny C. L. Chan, City University of Hong Kong; Greg J. Holland, NCAR

Papers:
  4:30 PM
JPD1.1
Tropical Cyclones and Climate Change Panel Discussion
Kerry Emanuel, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and C. Landsea, J. Kossin, T. R. Knutson, J. C. L. Chan, and G. Holland

  Recorded presentation
  5:30 PM
Hugh E. Willoughby

  5:30 PM
Christopher Landsea

  5:30 PM
James P. Kossin

  5:30 PM
Thomas R. Knutson

  5:30 PM
Johnny C. L. Chan

  5:30 PM
Greg J. Holland

5:30 PM-7:30 PM: Monday, 21 January 2008


Formal Opening of Exhibits with Reception (Cash Bar)
Location: Exhibit Hall A (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Tuesday, 22 January 2008

Sunday | Monday | Tuesday | top

8:30 AM-9:45 AM: Tuesday, 22 January 2008


Joint Session 3
Tropical Cyclones and Probability/Statistics 1
Location: R02-R03 (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Sponsors: (Joint between the Tropical Meteorology Special Symposium; and the 19th Conference on Probability and Statistics )
Chair: Richard W. Katz, NCAR

Papers:
  8:30 AM
J3.1
Global warming, U.S. hurricanes, and insured losses
James B. Elsner, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and T. H. Jagger

http://garnet.fsu.edu/~jelsner/www

  Recorded presentation Poster PDF (388.4 kB)
  9:00 AM
J3.2
Changes in number and intensity of tropical cyclones
William M. Briggs, Weill Cornell Medical School, New York, NY

  Recorded presentation
  9:15 AM
J3.3
Recurving tropical cyclones and downstream impacts as revealed by singular vectors
Carolyn A. Reynolds, NRL, Monterey, CA; and M. S. Peng and J. H. Chen

  Recorded presentation
  9:30 AM
J3.4
Inter-comparison of Targeted Observation Guidances for Tropical Cyclones in the Western North Pacific
Chun-Chieh Wu, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and J. H. Chen, M. S. Peng, S. J. Majumdar, C. A. Reynolds, R. Buizza, M. Yamaguchi, S. Aberson, P. H. Lin, T. Nakazawa, K. H. Chou, and S. G. Chen

  Recorded presentation

9:45 AM-11:00 AM: Tuesday, 22 January 2008


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break (Tue a.m.)
Location: Exhibit Hall B (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Tuesday, 22 January 2008


Joint Session 4
Tropical Cyclones and Probability/Statistics 2
Location: R02-R03 (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Sponsors: (Joint between the Tropical Meteorology Special Symposium; and the 19th Conference on Probability and Statistics )
CoChair: C.écile Penland, NOAA/ESRL/PSD3

Papers:
  11:00 AM
J4.1
EVALUATING UNCERTAINTY IN NEAR-TERM ATLANTIC HURRICANE ACTIVITY
Peter S. Dailey, AIR-Worldwide, Boston, MA; and G. Zuba, G. Ljung, and J. Guin

  Recorded presentation
  11:15 AM
J4.2
Inherent uncertainties in hurricane prediction
Fuqing Zhang, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX

  Recorded presentation
  11:30 AM
J4.3
An information-theoretic approach to quantifying the uncertainty in operational tropical cyclone intensity predictions, with application to forecast verification
Jonathan R. Moskaitis, Naval Research Laboratory, Monterey, CA

  Recorded presentation Poster PDF (50.4 kB)
  11:45 AM
J4.4
Operational tropical cyclone wind speed probability products from the National Hurricane Center
Richard D. Knabb, NOAA/TPC/NHC, Miami, FL; and M. Mainelli and M. DeMaria

  Recorded presentation

11:00 AM-6:00 PM: Tuesday, 22 January 2008


Exhibits Open (Tuesday)
Location: Exhibit Hall A (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Tuesday, 22 January 2008


Presidental Forum: Hurricane Katrina: Looking Back to Look Ahead (Cash & Carry) (Presidental Forum will run parallel to the other sessions throughout the afternoon)
Location: La Louisiane (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

1:30 PM-3:00 PM: Tuesday, 22 January 2008


Joint Session 5
Hurricane Katrina-Looking Back to Look Ahead: Part I
Location: La Louisiane (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Sponsors: (Joint between the Presidential Forum; the Third Symposium on Policy and Socio-Economic Research; and the Tropical Meteorology Special Symposium )
Chair: William Hooke, AMS

Papers:
  1:30 PM
J5.1
Perspectives on Operational Hurricane Forecasting
Max Mayfield, WPLG-TV/Former National Hurricane Center Director, Miami, FL

  Recorded presentation
  2:00 PM
J5.2
Hurricane Research: Prospects for Improved Forecasts
Kerry A. Emanuel, MIT, Cambridge, MA

  Recorded presentation
  2:30 PM
J5.3
The Social Context of Meteorology: A view Post-Katrina
Shirley Laska, Center for Hazards Assessment, New Orleans, LA

  Recorded presentation

3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Tuesday, 22 January 2008


Coffee Break in Exhibit Hall (tues p.m.)
Location: Exhibit Hall A (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

3:30 PM-5:00 PM: Tuesday, 22 January 2008


Joint Session 6
Hurricane Katrina-Looking Back to Look Ahead: Part II
Location: La Louisiane (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Sponsors: (Joint between the Presidential Forum; the Third Symposium on Policy and Socio-Economic Research; and the Tropical Meteorology Special Symposium )
Chair: William Hooke, AMS

Papers:
  3:30 PM
J6.1
Race, Place, and the Environment in the Aftermath of Katrina
Beverly Wright, Dillard University, Deep South Center for Environmental Justice, Baton Rouge, LA

  Recorded presentation
  4:00 PM
J6.2
The Role of Mission Journalism in Disasters
Mark Schleifstein, Times-Picayune, New Orleans, LA

  Recorded presentation
  4:30 PM
J6.3
How the Perception of a Hurricane's Structure at Landfall Can Directly Impact Preparation For and Recovery From a Storm Like Katrina
Keith G. Blackwell, University of South Alabama, Mobile, AL

  Recorded presentation

5:00 PM-5:00 PM: Tuesday, 22 January 2008


Symposium Ends

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