in the Atlantic basin from the ensemble transform Kalman Filter based on
ensembles from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP),
total energy singular vectors produced by the Naval Research Laboratory,
and the variance of the 850-200 hPa wind from the NCEP ensemble.
Differences between the different targeting techniques have been
reported for the Atlantic and the Western Pacific basins (Reynolds et
al. 2007, Majumdar et al. 2006). Aberson (2003) performed observing
system experiments during the 1997 and 1998 seasons and showed that the
ensemble variance guidance provides targets that provide forecasts
significantly better than the larger oversampled datasets. The current
study expands this work to include the other available objective
techniques. Results from the large sample of cases during 2004-2006
will be presented.
Aberson, S.D., 2003: Targeted observations to improve operational
tropical cyclone track forecast guidance. Mon. Wea. Rev., 131,
1613-1628.
Majumdar, S. J., Aberson, S.D., Bishop, C. H., Buizza, R., Peng, M. S.,
and Reynolds, C. A. 2006: A Comparison of Adaptive Observing Guidance
for Atlantic Tropical Cyclones, Mon. Wea. Rev., 134, 2354-2372.
Reynolds, C.A., M.S. Peng, S.J. Majumdar, S.D. Aberson, C.H. Bishop, and
R. Buizza, 2007: Interpretation of adaptive observing guidance for
Atlantic tropical cyclones. Accepted by Mon. Wea. Rev.
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