Session: Tropical Cyclones and Probability/Statistics Posters (88th Annual Meeting (20-24 January 2008))

JP1.1

Reduction of boundary layer dropsonde winds to estimate surface winds and their comparison with SFMR data in landfalling Hurricane Katrina

Richard G. Henning, Consulting Meteorologist, Niceville, FL

Poster PDF (1.0 MB)

JP1.2

National Hurricane Center forecast verification

James L. Franklin, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/TPC, Miami, FL

JP1.3

Employing Hurricane Wind Probabilities to Convey Forecast Uncertainty and Potential Impact through NWS Field Office Forecast Products

Pablo Santos, NOAA/NWS, Miami, FL; and D. W. Sharp, G. Rader, and M. Volkmer

Poster PDF (1.3 MB)

JP1.4

The Hurricane Severity Index – A New Way of Estimating a Tropical Cyclone's Destructive Potential

Chris Hebert, ImpactWeather, Inc., Houston, TX; and B. Weinzapfel and M. Chambers

Poster PDF (1.2 MB)

JP1.5

Development of a new storm surge index for prediction of storm surge associated with landfalling tropical cyclones

Mark R. Jordan II, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and C. A. Clayson

JP1.6

The accuracy of the slosh model in predicting the flooding of the chesapeake bay region during Hurricane Isabel

Kathleen Nicole Inde, United States Naval Academy, Annapolis, MD; and D. R. Smith

Poster PDF (895.9 kB)

JP1.7

Using uncertainty information to improve hurricane impact communication

Barry S. Goldsmith, NOAA/NWS, Ruskin, FL; and R. J. Ricks Jr.

Poster PDF (2.1 MB)

JP1.8

Radiance assimilation in a mesoscale model for improving Hurricane Track Forecast

Zhiquan Liu, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and H. Lin, D. Barker, and J. Xu

JP1.9

Deconstructing the Ensemble Transform Kalman Filter adaptive sampling methodology for tropical cyclones

Sharanya J. Majumdar, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL

JP1.10

Impact of GPS Radio Occultation Observations on Ensemble Analyses and Forecasts of Tropical Storms

Hui Liu, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Anderson, Y. H. Kuo, Y. Chen, and C. Snyder

JP1.11

Hurricane Initialization Using TOMS Ozone Data

Yonghui Wu, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and X. Zou

JP1.12

Observing System Experiments for Three Targeting Techniques in the Atlantic Basin

S. D. Aberson, AOML/Hurricane Research, Miami, FL; and S. J. Majumdar, M. S. Peng, and C. A. Reynolds

JP1.13

Use of radar data for TC initialization and intensity forecasts

Jin-Luen Lee, NOAA/ESRL/GSD, Boulder, CO; and A. E. MacDonald, W. Lee, and W. Wang

JP1.14

A preferred scale for warm core instability in a non-convective moist basic state

Brian H. Kahn, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and D. M. Sinton

Poster PDF (643.4 kB)

JP1.15

Secondary eyewall formation in two idealized, full-physics modeled hurricanes

Wesley D. Terwey, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and M. T. Montgomery

JP1.16

Comparison of deep convection in the outer rainbands of landfalling hurricanes: Tornadic and nontornadic cells and their local environments

Matthew D. Eastin, University of North Carolina at Charlotte, Charlotte, NC; and M. C. Link, H. B. Anderson, and M. D. Parker

JP1.17

Multiscale variability of the internal structure of Hurricane Isabel during landfall

Renee Curry, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and M. I. Biggerstaff

JP1.18

Physical processes associated with surface wind field uncertainty in Hurricanes Katrina and Rita (2005): Use of present and future observational tools

Peter G. Black, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and E. W. Uhlhorn, J. F. Gamache, R. D. Knabb, J. Carswell, P. S. Chang, S. Lorsolo, R. E. Hood, L. Jones, I. PopStefanija, and A. S. Goldstein

JP1.19

The overland intensification of Tropical Depression Erin: assessment and mesoscale observation

Derek S. Arndt, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and G. D. McManus, B. G. Illston, J. B. Basara, D. B. Demko, and R. A. McPherson

JP1.20

2004 Hurricane Danielle Tropical Cyclogenesis Forecasting Study Using the NCAR Advanced Research WRF Model

Nelsie A. Ramos, NOAA/Center for Atmospheric Sciences and Howard University, Washington, DC

JP1.21

Multimodel comparison study for hurricane case

Duanjun Lu, Jackson State University, Jackson, MS; and R. Reddy and Q. L. Williams

JP1.22

WRF-NMM model case studies for the AMMA project during the 2006 Atlantic Hurricane Season

Jamese D. Sims, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD

JP1.23

Numerical simulation of extreme wind gusts assocaited with a landfalling tropical cyclone

JP1.24

WRF forecasts/simulations of Tropical cyclones Debby and Helene during the SOP-3 NAMMA/AMMA field campaign

Gregory S. Jenkins, Howard Univ., Washington, DC; and S. Chiao and M. Cox

JP1.25

Sensitive experiments of changing vertical levels in numerical weather prediction model on tropical cyclone

LianTang Deng, China Meterological Administration, Beijing, China

Poster PDF (244.3 kB)

JP1.26

Diagnosing Transport and Mixing in Unstable Barotropic Hurricane-like Vortices

Eric Hendricks, NRL, Monterey, CA; and W. H. Schubert

JP1.27

Correlating Convective Bursts in Tropical Cyclones with Rapid Intensification using TRMM Precipitation Radar Reflectivity Profiles

Andrew B. Hagen, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS; and R. Rogers

Poster PDF (505.5 kB)

JP1.28

Angular momentum and cloud torques in TCs: An airborne Doppler radar perspective

Stephen R. Guimond, COAPS/Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and P. D. Reasor and T. N. Krishnamurti

JP1.29

Determining surface winds from doppler radar data during hurricane passages over Florida

Philip D. Hayes, Northrop Grumman, Chantilly, VA; and H. E. Fuelberg and R. E. Hart

JP1.30

Predicting hurricanes in the Gulf of Mexico: Nexrad-in-space (NIS) and its potential impact

William E. Lewis, Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and G. J. Tripoli, E. A. Smith, S. Tanelli, and E. Im

JP1.31

Assimilation of Multi-Satellite Data in Improving Hurricane Intensity Forecasting

Zhaoxia Pu, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and X. Li

JP1.32

Superensemble forecasts of hurricane intensity from a suite of mesoscale models

Melanie Kramer, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and T. N. Krishnamurti

JP1.33

Improving Hurricane Intensity Forecasting via Microphysical Parameterization Methods in a Mesoscale Model

Cerese Marie Albers, The Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and D. T. N. Krishnamurti

JP1.34

The experimental graphical tropical weather outlook

Jamie R. Rhome, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/TPC/NHC, Miami, FL; and D. P. Brown, J. L. Franklin, C. W. Landsea, C. Lauer, and C. Juckins

JP1.35

Multimodel approach based on evidence theory for forecasting hurricane/typhoon tracks: further improvements

JP1.36

Wind speed-damage correlation in Hurricane Katrina

Timothy P. Marshall, Haag Engineering Co., Dallas, TX

Poster PDF (1.3 MB)

JP1.37

Network analysis of U.S. hurricanes

JP1.38

Evaluation of the surface wind fields of the GFDL coupled forecast for Hurricane Ivan using H*Wind Analysis

Isha M. Renta-López, Howard University, Washington, DC; and M. D. Powell and V. Morris

JP1.39

Parameterized wind gusts associated with a severe landfalling tropical cyclone

Hamish A. Ramsay, NASA GISS/ Columbia University, New York, New York; and L. M. Leslie and M. L. M. Wong

JP1.40

The uncertainty in wave characteristics and tropical cyclogenesis prediction

Maria K. Flatau, NRL, Monterey, CA; and M. Peng and C. Reynolds

JP1.41

Eye & eyewall climatology derived from reconnaissance vortex reports and their use toward using an eyewall phase diagram to improve hurricane intensity forecasts

David Joseph Piech, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and R. Hart

JP1.42

Defining uncertainty in hurricane maximum surface wind estimation

Stephanie Ann Mullins, University of Louisiana - Monroe, Monroe, LA; and P. G. Black, C. S. Velden, M. D. Powell, E. W. Uhlhorn, T. Olander, A. Burton, and J. L. Beven II

JP1.43

Improved Measures of Hurricane Hurricane Destructive Potential Based on Integrated Kinetic Energy

Mark D. Powell, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL

Joint Poster Session 1: Tropical Cyclones and Probability/Statistics Posters