analyses and forecast of temperature and moisture rely heavily on satellite
microwave (MW) and infrared radiance (IR) measurements. In cloudy situations,
like hurricanes, the IR radiances are not yet routinely used and the MW
radiances have relatively low vertical resolutions in the troposphere. The
resulting operational analyses and forecasts of water vapor and temperature
have relatively large uncertainties. This is a significant challenge for
producing good analyses and forecasts of tropical storms.
Radio occultation observations from the COSMIC satellites provide
soundings of atmospheric refractivity globally including over tropical
oceans. The measurements are not contaminated by clouds or precipitation
and have relatively high vertical resolutions in the lower troposphere.
Observations of RO refractivity are assimilated in the WRF/DART ensemble
filtering system to evaluate the impact of these measurements on
analyses and forecasts of tropical storms over the Atlantic
and Western Pacific Oceans. The RO refractivity observations are assimilated
along with satellite cloud drift winds and AIRS retrieved temperatures using
a 36 km resolution WRF model. Results are presented for
hurricane Ernesto and typhoon Shanshan of 2006. The RO observations
significantly reduce the bias of the water vapor analysis and improve the
analyses and forecasts of the intensity and position of the tropical storms.
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