Session 2: Ensemble Forecasting Including Post Processing II

Monday, 21 January 2008: 10:45 AM-11:45 AM

219 (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

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Chairs:  Roman Krzysztofowicz, University of Virginia and David W. Titley, Navy Meteorology and Oceanography Command

Papers:

  10:45 AM

2.1

Assessing probabilistic forecasts of multivariate quantities, with an application to ensemble predictions of surface winds

Tilmann Gneiting, Heidelberg University, Heidelberg, Germany; and L. Stanberry, E. P. Grimit, and N. A. Johnson

  11:00 AM

2.2

Ensemble based probabilistic forecast verification

Yuejian Zhu, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and Z. Toth

  Recorded presentation Poster PDF (171.0 kB)

  11:15 AM

2.3

Calibration of Probabilistic ECMWF and GFS Temperature and Precipitation Forecasts Using Reforecasts

Tom Hamill, NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and R. Hagedorn and J. Whitaker

  Recorded presentation

 

2.4

Assumed PDF reforecasting

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