20th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences

Session 7

 Ensemble prediction including post processing
 Cochairs: Roman Krzysztofowicz, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA; David R. Bright, BPA, Portland, OR
3:30 PM7.1Some Characteristics of GEFS Stochastic Perturbations  
Dingchen Hou, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and Z. Toth, Y. Zhu, and W. Yang
3:45 PM7.2Extracting Predictive Information from an Ensemble  
Nah Youn Lee, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA; and R. Krzysztofowicz
4:00 PM7.3Investigation of the Linear Variance Calibration using an idealized stochastic ensemble  extended abstract
Walter C. Kolczynski Jr., Penn State University, University Park, PA; and D. R. Stauffer, S. E. Haupt, and A. Deng
4:15 PM7.4Quantile regression as a means of calibrating and verifying a mesoscale NWP ensemble  
Thomas M. Hopson, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. P. Hacker, Y. Liu, G. Roux, W. Wu, J. C. Knievel, T. T. Warner, S. P. Swerdlin, J. C. Pace, and S. F. Halvorson
4:30 PM7.5Ensemble MOS forecasts from multiple models  extended abstract
John Wagner, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and B. Glahn
4:45 PM7.6Pseudo-precipitation: a continuous variable for statistical post-processing  
Paul Schultz, NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and H. Yuan, Z. Toth, M. Charles, and R. Krzysztofowicz

Thursday, 21 January 2010: 3:30 PM-5:00 PM, B305

* - Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting

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