5
Probability forecasting

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Wednesday, 20 January 2010: 1:30 PM-2:30 PM
B305 (GWCC)
Host: 20th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences
Cochairs:  Prashant D. Sardeshmukh, Univ. of Colorado/CIRES/CDC and NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO and Marina Timofeyeva, NOAA, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD

Papers:
  1:30 PM
5.1
Development and evaluation of mesoscale lightning threat guidance for operational use at NWS forecast offices
Pete Saunders, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and H. E. Fuelberg
Recorded presentation

  1:45 PM
5.2
A quantile calibration method for producing economically valuable probabilistic weather forecasts of continuous variables
Thomas Nipen, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada; and R. B. Stull
Recorded presentation

  2:00 PM
5.3
Review of 20 ProbStat Conference, Poster Session II
Barbara G. Brown, NCAR, Boulder, CO
Recorded presentation

  2:15 PM
5.4
Rank Histograms and Correlations
Caren Marzban, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and R. Wang, F. Kong, and S. Leyton
Recorded presentation

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