Monday, 23 January 2012
A Scalable Convective Severe Weather Forecasting Solution
Hall E (New Orleans Convention Center )
Poster PDF (2.2 MB)
Severe weather can hamper the daily operations for a wide spectrum of businesses. Electric companies are especially sensitive, as their infrastructure is continuously exposed to the destructive potential of convective severe weather. Further complicating the issue is the 24/7/365 reliability expectations of the end user. Electric utilities desire an accurate and frequently updated severe weather forecast to enable proper deployment and safety of work crews along with routing energy loads around areas affected by severe weather. A scalable solution will be presented that features a mutable automated system that provides a severe weather forecast that the end user can quantify the level of severity of convective weather events. The forecast is comprised of all the potential elements of convective severe weather including hail, storm wind gusts, and lightning intensity. The forecast system is designed to be stand alone but can be mutated graphically by a forecaster to handle details a model first guess can't resolve. The end product is a micro-scale severe weather forecast over a 5 km resolution grid.
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