92nd American Meteorological Society Annual Meeting (January 22-26, 2012)

Third Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy

Third Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy

Program Chairs: Stephen Bennett , EarthRisk Technologies ; Heidi Centola , CME Group ; Gennaro H. Crescenti , Iberdrola Renewables

- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting

Saturday, 21 January 2012

7:30 AM-10:00 AM: Saturday, 21 January 2012


Registration for Student Conference and Short Course
Location: New Orleans Convention Center

Sunday, 22 January 2012

7:30 AM-9:00 AM: Sunday, 22 January 2012


Short Course Registration
Location: New Orleans Convention Center

9:00 AM-6:00 PM: Sunday, 22 January 2012


Registration Open for Annual Meeting
Location: New Orleans Convention Center

12:00 PM-4:00 PM: Sunday, 22 January 2012


WeatherFest

4:00 PM-5:00 PM: Sunday, 22 January 2012


92nd Annual Review and Fellows Awards

5:30 PM-7:00 PM: Sunday, 22 January 2012


Welcome Reception Honoring the Newly Elected Fellows

Monday, 23 January 2012

7:30 AM-5:30 PM: Monday, 23 January 2012


Registration Continues Through January 25

9:00 AM-10:30 AM: Monday, 23 January 2012

Recording files available
Session 1
12th Presidential Forum: Technology In Research and Operations—How We Got Here and Where We’Re Going
Location: La Nouvelle B-C (New Orleans Convention Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the Seventh Symposium on Policy and Socio-Economic Research; the 17th Conference on Air Pollution Meteorology with the A&WMA; the 12th Presidential Forum: Technology in Research and Operations—How We Got Here and Where We’re Going; the 26th Conference on Hydrology; the Special Symposium on Technological Advances: Impacts on Hurricane Research and Forecast Improvements; the Second Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python; the 10th History Symposium; the 28th Conference on Interactive Information Processing Systems (IIPS); the 21st Symposium on Education; the Eighth Annual Symposium on Future Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 16th Symposium on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 21st Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences; the 14th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Fourth Symposium on Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions; the Third Aviation, Range and Aerospace Meteorology Special Symposium on Weather-Air Traffic Management Integration; the 10th Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 10th Conference on Artificial Intelligence Applications to Environmental Science; the 16th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 18th Conference on Satellite Meteorology, Oceanography and Climatology/ First Joint AMS-Asia Satellite Meteorology Conference; the Ninth Conference on Space Weather; the Second Conference on Transition of Research to Operations: Successes, Plans, and Challenges; the Third Symposium on Environment and Health; and the Third Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy )
  9:00 AM
Scientific research and operational environmental services are profoundly affected by the introduction and application of new technologies and it seems as though these advances are now accelerating, challenging our community to constantly become better at what we do and to serve society in new and more powerful ways. We welcome two highly distinguished keynote speakers for our Presidential Forum and each will address the theme of our 92nd Annual Meeting from his and her uniquely personal perspectives.

  9:15 AM
Welcoming remarks and introductions by Jonathan T. Malay, AMS President
  9:45 AM
Technology for a Weather-Ready Nation
Kathryn Sullivan, NOAA, Washington, DC
  10:10 AM
President Malay will then be joined by Mr. George J. Komar, Director, NASA Earth Science Technology Office, Science Mission Directorate, and they will briefly discuss their thoughts about changes in the AMS community’s technological capabilities and in society twenty years and more into the future. They will then engage with the audience in an interactive dialog which should be an exciting and stimulating exercise of envisioning our future.

9:00 AM-11:00 AM: Monday, 23 January 2012


Spouses' Coffee

10:30 AM-11:00 AM: Monday, 23 January 2012


Coffee Break

11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Monday, 23 January 2012

Recording files available
Session 1
Federal Agency Strategies to Support the New Energy Economy Part I
Location: Room 345 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: Third Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy
Chair: Melinda Marquis, NOAA
  11:45 AM
1.2
The DOE Perspective on Supporting Renewable Energy with NOAA Partnerships
Joel W. Cline, U.S. Department of Energy, Washington, DC; and A. D. Stern, S. Calvert, C. Frame, and K. Lynn

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Monday, 23 January 2012


Lunch Break

1:30 PM-2:00 PM: Monday, 23 January 2012

Recording files available
Session 2
Federal Agency Strategies to Support the New Energy Economy Part II
Location: Room 345 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: Third Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy
Chair: Anthony Arguez, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC
  1:30 PM
2.1
Supporting Renewable Energy At NOAA and the National Weather Service
Andrew D. Stern, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and J. Cline, D. Green, and T. L. Rouleau

2:00 PM-2:30 PM: Monday, 23 January 2012

Recording files available
Session 3
Weather and Climate Applications for Energy Decision Support
Location: Room 345 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: Third Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy
Chair: Anthony Arguez, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC
 
3.1
Weather Prediction for Effective Decisions in Energy Systems

  2:00 PM
3.2
Methodology for Analyzing and Comparing Weather Forecasts for Use in Business Applications
Brandon Hertell, Consolidated Edison Company of New York, New York, NY; and R. Derech, L. Treinish, A. P. Praino, H. Li, and J. Cipriani
  2:15 PM
3.3
Science, Software and Design: A Collaborative Approach to Usability
John Plavan, EarthRisk Technologies, San Diego, CA; and A. Yoon and S. Bennett

2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Monday, 23 January 2012


Poster Session 1
Weather and Climate Applications for Energy Decision Support
Location: Hall E (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: Third Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy
Chair: Anthony Arguez, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC
 
340
A Scalable Convective Severe Weather Forecasting Solution
Daniel W. Lennartson, Schneider Electric, Burnsville, MN

Poster PDF (2.2 MB)


Poster Session 2
Dollars and Cents: Weather for Energy Markets
Location: Hall E (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: Third Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy
Chair: Mark S. Russo, Chesapeake Energy Corp.
 
341
Feasibility of US National Wind and Solar Energy Production System
Alexander E. MacDonald, OAR, Boulder, CO; and A. Alexander and Y. Xie

 
343
Economic Evaluation of Short-Term Wind Forecasts in ERCOT: Preliminary Results
Kirsten Orwig, National Renewable Energy Laboratory, Golden, CO; and V. Banunarayanan, S. Nasir, J. M. Freedman, and M. Milligan


Poster Session 3
Energy Supply/Demand Fundamentals Focused on Medium/Long Range Forecasting and Climate Assessments
Location: Hall E (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: Third Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy
Cochairs: Mitchell T. Baer, Dept. of Energy; Manda Adams, Univ. of North Carolina
 
344
Impacts of Summertime Climate Change on Energy Demands in California
Pedro Sequera, City College of New York, New York, NY; and O. Rhone, Y. Molina, J. E. Gonzalez, and R. D. Bornstein

 
346
El Niño-Southern Oscillation Impacts on Wind Speeds and Wind Power in Southern California
Neil Berg, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA; and A. Hall, S. Capps, and M. Hughes

Poster PDF (5.2 MB)

 
347
Revealing the Impact of Climate Variability On the Wind Resource Using k-Means Clustering
Andrew Clifton, National Renewable Energy Laboratory, Golden, CO; and J. K. Lundquist


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break

4:00 PM-4:45 PM: Monday, 23 January 2012

Recording files available
Panel Discussion 1
Weather Is Money
Location: Room 345 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: Third Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy
Moderator: J. Scott Mathews, WeatherEX/The Dow Corporation
Panelists: Bradley Hoggatt, MSI GuaranteedWeather; Kevin Krcil, DirectEnergy; R. Jason Lynn, Mercuria Energy America; Michael nelson, DTE Energy Trading; Tom Paylor, RenRe Energy Advisors Ltd.
Chair: Lawrence J. Heitkemper, MDA Information Systems, Inc (EarthSat Wx)
  4:00 PM
Weather Is Money: Risk and Reward in Weather Derivatives and the Commodity Markets
J. Scott Mathews, WeatherEX/The Dow Corporation, Cornwall-on-Hudson, NY; and J. Roemer
  4:15 PM
Panel Discussion

4:45 PM-5:30 PM: Monday, 23 January 2012

Recording files available
Session 4
Dollars and Cents: Weather for Energy Markets
Location: Room 345 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: Third Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy
Chair: Mark S. Russo, Chesapeake Energy Corp.
  4:45 PM
4.1
Do We Still Need Operational Forecast Meteorologists in the Energy Industry?
Lawrence Heitkemper, MDA Information Systems, Inc (EarthSat Wx), Gaithersburg, MD; and T. Hartman
  5:00 PM
4.2
Improving Short-Term Wind Forecasts and Assessing Their Value for the Midwest ISO
Kirsten Orwig, National Renewable Energy Laboratory, Golden, CO; and C. A. Finley, M. Milligan, and B. M. Hodge

  5:15 PM
4.3
Hedging Wind Risk within the ERCOT Power Market Using a Wind Energy Index
Richard Oduntan, Nephila Capital Ltd, Hamilton, Bermuda; and M. Coleman and B. Schauble

5:30 PM-7:30 PM: Monday, 23 January 2012


Reception and Exhibits Opening

Tuesday, 24 January 2012

8:30 AM-9:45 AM: Tuesday, 24 January 2012

Recording files available
Session 5
Energy Supply/Demand Fundamentals Focused on Medium/Long Range Forecasting and Climate Assessments Part I
Location: Room 345 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: Third Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy
Chair: Mitchell T. Baer, Dept. of Energy
  8:30 AM
5.1
Climate Services and Renewable Energy: Providing Climate Information for the Next 1-30 Years
Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes, Institut Català de Ciències del Clima, Barcelona, Spain; and M. Davis and F. Lienert
  8:45 AM
5.2
Improved Winter Forecasts Using a New Snow Index
Judah Cohen, AER, Lexington, MA; and J. E. Jones
  9:00 AM
5.3
Linking Extreme Winter Precipitation to Medium Range Temperature Risks in the United States
Jason C. Shafer, Lyndon State College, Lyndonville, VT; and G. J. Krauszer II
  9:15 AM
5.4
Stratospheric Circulation Associated with Negative Arctic Oscillation Transitions
Jason C. Shafer, Lyndon State College, Lyndonville, VT; and P. G. Hogan
  9:30 AM
5.5

9:00 AM-11:00 AM: Tuesday, 24 January 2012


Spouses' Coffee

9:30 AM-6:00 PM: Tuesday, 24 January 2012


Exhibit Hours

9:45 AM-11:00 AM: Tuesday, 24 January 2012


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break

11:00 AM-11:30 AM: Tuesday, 24 January 2012


Session 6
Energy Supply/Demand Fundamentals Focused on Medium/Long Range Forecasting and Climate Assessments Part II
Location: Room 345 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: Third Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy
Chair: Manda Adams, Univ. of North Carolina
  11:00 AM
6.1
Calibration and Refinement of Numerical Seasonal Forecasts for Decision Support in the Energy Industry
John A. Dutton, Prescient Weather Ltd, State College, PA; and R. P. James and J. D. Ross

 
6.2
Heat Waves and Cold Snaps in the US: Extended Range Predictability and Long-Term Projections

11:30 AM-12:00 PM: Tuesday, 24 January 2012

Recording files available
Session 7
Renewable Energy Applications Part I
Location: Room 345 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: Third Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy
Chair: Manda Adams, Univ. of North Carolina
  11:30 AM
7.1
Simulating the Impact of Turbine-Induced Wakes in Large Wind Projects
Philippe Beaucage, AWS TruePower LLC, Albany, NY; and M. Brower, N. Robinson, and C. Alonge
  11:45 AM
7.2
The Effects of Atmospheric Stability and Wind Shear on Wind Farm Power Production
Brian Joseph Vanderwende, Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and J. K. Lundquist

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Tuesday, 24 January 2012


Lunch Break

1:30 PM-3:00 PM: Tuesday, 24 January 2012

Recording files available
Session 8
Renewable Energy Applications Part II
Location: Room 345 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: Third Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy
Chair: Cegeon J. Chan, First Wind Energy
  1:30 PM
8.1
  1:45 PM
8.2
Characterization of Inflow Conditions and Wake Structures for a Wind Turbine in Complex Terrain Using Long-Range Doppler Lidar
Matthew L. Aitken, Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and J. K. Lundquist, D. A. Pollak, J. D. Mirocha, R. M. Banta, Y. L. Pichugina, W. A. Brewer, R. J. Alvarez, S. P. Sandberg, J. M. Brown, N. D. Kelley, and A. Clifton
  2:00 PM
8.3
Large-Eddy Simulation of a Wind Turbine Array Using the Weather Research and Forecasting Model
Branko Kosovic, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. D. Mirocha, M. Singer, J. Cleve, L. G. Glascoe, and J. K. Lundquist
  2:15 PM
8.4
Spatial and Temporal Balancing Between Solar and Wind Energy Resources in the European North Atlantic Region
Fco. Javier Santos-Alamillos, Univ. of Jaén, Jaén, Spain; and D. Pozo-Vázquez, V. Lara-Fanego, J. A. Ruiz-Arias Sr., J. Tovar-Pescador, S. Quesada-Ruiz, and Linares-Rodríguez

  2:30 PM
8.5
A Progress Report on the Integration of PV Solar and Wind Energy Into the German Power Grid
Ernest M. Zampelli, Catholic Univ. of America, Washington, DC; and K. F. Forbes
  2:45 PM
8.6
An Assessment of the Renewable Energies Potential for Intensive Electricity Production in the Province of Jaén, Southern Spain
José A. Ruiz-Arias Sr., Univ. of Jaén, Jaén, Spain; and D. Pozo-Vázquez, V. Lara-Fanego, F. J. Santos-Alamillos, S. Quesada-Ruiz, Linares-Rodríguez, J. M. Martínez-Valenzuela, A. Molina, and J. Tovar-Pescador

3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Tuesday, 24 January 2012


Coffee Break

Meet the President
Location: Room 242 (New Orleans Convention Center )

3:30 PM-5:00 PM: Tuesday, 24 January 2012

Recording files available
Themed Joint Session 9
Fifth Annual AMS AI Forecasting Contest: Wind Power Prediction Contest
Location: Room 242 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the 10th Conference on Artificial Intelligence Applications to Environmental Science; the Third Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; and the 21st Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences )
Chair: Sue Ellen Haupt, NCAR
  3:30 PM
The Need for Wind Power Forecasting and Review of Current Methods
Sue Ellen Haupt, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and G. Wiener, W. P. Mahoney III, and J. M. Pearson
  3:45 PM
The AMS Wind Power Forecasting Contest
Julia M. Pearson, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and S. E. Haupt, G. Wiener, B. Lambi, J. K. Williams, and S. Linden

  4:15 PM
Combining Multiple Machine Learning Methods to Forecast Wind Power
Aranildo Rodrigues Lima Jr., Univ. of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada; and A. J. Cannon and W. W. Hsieh
  4:30 PM
Discussion of Broad Results

4:15 PM-5:00 PM: Tuesday, 24 January 2012

Recording files available
Session 9
Special Topics in Weather, Climate and the New Energy Economy
Location: Room 345 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: Third Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy
Chair: Heidi Centola, CME Group
  4:15 PM
9.1
  4:30 PM
9.2
Energy Facility Storm Surge Risk
Megan Lickley, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and H. Jacoby

5:00 PM-5:30 PM: Tuesday, 24 January 2012

Recording files available
Session 10
Weather Fundamentals for Energy Planning with a Focus on Data and User Groups Part I
Location: Room 345 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: Third Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy
Chair: Heidi Centola, CME Group
  5:00 PM
Relationships Between Solar Irradiance Time Series From Stations in a High-Density Radiometer Network
Laura M. Hinkelman, JISAO/Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and S. Wilcox and M. Sengupta
  5:15 PM
WRF-Based GHI and DNI Solar Irradiance Estimation
Vicente Lara Fanego, Univ. of Jaen, Jaen, Spain; and J. A. Ruiz Arias, A. D. Pozo Vazquez, F. J. Santos Alamillos, S. Quesada Ruiz, J. Martinez Valenzuela, and A. Linares Rodriguez

7:00 PM-9:00 PM: Tuesday, 24 January 2012


Aksel Wiin-Nielsen Symposium Banquet

Wednesday, 25 January 2012

8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Wednesday, 25 January 2012

Recording files available
Session 11
Weather Fundamentals for Energy Planning with a Focus on Data and User Groups Part II
Location: Room 345 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: Third Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy
Chair: William J. Shaw, PNNL
  8:30 AM
Using Nasa's near Real-Time and Climatological Averaged Solar Radiation and Meteorology Data for Energy Applications
William S. Chandler, SSAI, Hampton, VA; and P. W. Stackhouse Jr., J. M. Hoell, D. Westberg, T. Zhang, G. Leng, and U. Ziegler
  8:45 AM
Understanding Photovoltaic Plant Variability Using Solar Measurements
Manajit Sengupta, National Renewable Energy Laboratory, Golden, CO
  9:00 AM
Data Needs and the AMS Offshore Annual Partnership Topic
David Green, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and B. H. Bailey
  9:15 AM
MCP Based on the Direct Orthogonal Expansion of a Joint Turbine Output Density Function
Ethan Cook, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and M. Morrissey and J. S. Greene

  9:30 AM
Doppler Lidar Study of Wind Flow Characteristics in the Wake of Operating Wind Turbine
Yelena Pichugina, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and R. M. Banta, W. A. Brewer, J. K. Lundquist, N. D. Kelley, R. M. Hardesty, A. Clifton, R. J. Alvarez, M. L. Aitken, J. D. Mirocha, S. P. Sandberg, and A. Weickmann
  9:45 AM
A Multi-Season Data Set for Evaluating Predictions of Hub-Height Winds
Larry K. Berg, PNNL, Richland, WA; and J. Fast, R. Newsom, M. Pekour, M. T. Stoelinga, and C. A. Finley

9:00 AM-11:00 AM: Wednesday, 25 January 2012


Spouses' Coffee

10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Wednesday, 25 January 2012


Coffee Break

Meet the President
Location: Room 242 (New Orleans Convention Center )

10:00 AM-6:15 PM: Wednesday, 25 January 2012


Exhibit Hours

10:30 AM-11:00 AM: Wednesday, 25 January 2012

Recording files available
Session 12
Weather Fundamentals for Energy Planning with a Focus on Data and User Groups Part III
Location: Room 345 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: Third Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy
Chair: Julie K. Lundquist, Univ. of Colorado
  10:30 AM
State of the Art Improvements in Atmospheric Boundary-Layer Science Needed to Support Wind Energy
Robert M. Banta, NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and Y. Pichugina, R. M. Hardesty, and W. A. Brewer
  10:45 AM
Weather Information for Smart Grids
Richard L. Carpenter Jr., Weather Decision Technologies, Inc., Norman, OK; and B. L. Shaw and B. Dam

11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Wednesday, 25 January 2012

Recording files available
Session 13
Energy Supply/Demand Fundamentals Focused on Short Range Forecasting Part I
Location: Room 345 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: Third Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy
Chair: Julie K. Lundquist, Univ. of Colorado
  11:00 AM
Evolution of a Short Term Wind Energy Forecasting System
William Myers, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and G. Wiener and K. Parks
  11:15 AM
Enhancing Short Term Wind Energy Forecasting for Improved Utility Operations: The Wind Forecast Improvement Project (WFIP)
James M. Wilczak, NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and S. G. Benjamin, M. Marquis, S. Calvert, W. J. Shaw, C. A. Finley, J. M. Freedman, and A. D. Stern
  11:30 AM
Feature-Based Verification for the High-Resolution NCAR-Xcel WRF-RTFDDA Wind Ramp Forecasts
William Y. Y. Cheng, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and Y. Liu, B. Mahoney, T. Warner, and B. Nagarajan
  11:45 AM
Observation-Based Wind-Power Ramp Forecast System
Seth Linden, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and S. Haupt and B. Myers

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Wednesday, 25 January 2012


Lunch Break
Location: Room 242 (New Orleans Convention Center )

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Wednesday, 25 January 2012

Recording files available
Session 14
Energy Supply/Demand Fundamentals Focused on Short Range Forecasting Part II
Location: Room 345 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: Third Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy
Chair: John Manobianco, MESO, Inc.
  1:30 PM
Short Range Solar Forecasting Using Geostationary Satellite and High Resolution Model Data
Matthew A. Rogers, CIRA/Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and S. D. Miller

  2:00 PM
Utility-Scale Intra-Hour Forecasting Using Two Sky Imagers
Bryan Urquhart, Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA; and C. W. Chow, J. Kleissl, J. L. Bosch, D. Jeon, and J. Blatchford
 
14.4
Improved Intra-Hour Irradiance Forecasting with Sky Imagery Classification

2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Wednesday, 25 January 2012


Poster Session 4
Renewable Energy Applications
Location: Hall E (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: Third Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy
Cochairs: Manda Adams, Univ. of North Carolina; Cegeon J. Chan, First Wind Energy
 
558
Maximizing and Optimizing the Large Scale Deployment of Renewable Energy in the New Energy Economy
Randall Alliss, Northrop Grumann Corporation, Chantilly, VA; and D. Apling, H. Kiley, and M. Mason

 
559
Marine Wind Flow At the Heights of the Modern Turbine Rotors From Doppler Lidar Measurements
Yelena L. Pichugina, NOAA, Boulder, CO; and R. M. Banta, W. A. Brewer, R. M. Hardesty, and S. P. Sandberg

 
560
Methodology Toward a Long-Term Realistic Wind Resource Assessment Applied in Colima Valley, México
Gilles J. M. Arfeuille, Univ. Autonoma del Estado de Mexico, Toluca, Mexico; and A. L. Quintanilla, L. Zizumbo, and F. C. Viesca González
Manuscript (464.7 kB)

Poster PDF (717.1 kB)

 
561
Effect of Wind Turbine Wakes on Summer-Time Wind Profiles in the US Great Plains
Michael E. Rhodes, Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and J. K. Lundquist and M. L. Aitken

Poster PDF (873.6 kB)

 
563
Wind Farm Forecasting with WRF
Gretchen Berg, South Dakota School of Mines and Technology, Rapid City, SD; and D. V. Kliche, W. J. Capehart, and R. Rebenitsch

Poster PDF (668.7 kB)

 
Wind Forces Technology to Improve Bankability of Wind Energy Assessment


Poster Session 5
Special Topics in Weather, Climate and the New Energy Economy
Location: Hall E (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: Third Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy
Chair: Heidi Centola, CME Group
 
564
Sustainability, Renewable Energy and Data Engineering
Manuel Pumar Sr., ACCIONA Energia, Alcobendas, Madrid, Spain

Poster PDF (1.1 MB)


Poster Session 6
Weather Fundamentals for Energy Planning with a Focus on Data and User Groups
Location: Hall E (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: Third Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy
Cochairs: Heidi Centola, CME Group; Julie K. Lundquist, Univ. of Colorado; William J. Shaw, PNNL
 
566
Parameterization of Wind Farms in a Mesoscale NWP Model
Anna C. Fitch, Univ. of Bergen, Bergen, Norway; and J. B. Olson, J. K. Lundquist, J. Dudhia, A. K. Gupta, J. Michalakes, and I. Barstad

 
567
A 30-Year Wind Climatology off the Coast of Delaware From High-Resolution NWP
Bryan Woods, AER, Lexington, MA; and T. Nehrkorn and J. M. Henderson

 
568
Wind Forecasts for a Wind Farm sized grid
Sarah Dyck, EC, Dorval, QC, Canada; and W. Yu, A. Plante, N. Bernier, and E. Loannidou


Poster Session 7
Energy Supply/Demand Fundamentals Focused on Short Range Forecasting
Location: Hall E (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: Third Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy
Cochairs: Julie K. Lundquist, Univ. of Colorado; John Manobianco, MESO, Inc.; Catherine A. Finley, WindLogics Inc.
 
569
Probabilistic Solar Forecasting in California Coastal Areas Using Post-Processed NWP
Patrick Mathiesen, Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA; and J. M. Brown and J. Kleissl

 
571
On-Going Utilization and Evaluation of a Coupled Weather and Outage Prediction for Electric Distribution Operations
Lloyd Treinish, IBM Thomas J. Watson Research Center, Yorktown Heights, NY; and A. P. Praino, J. Cipriani, B. Hertell, and R. Derech

Poster PDF (8.7 MB)

 
572
An Investigation of Boundary Layer Parameterizations in a Simulated Low-Level Jet Observed During the Wind Forecast Improvement Project
Joseph B. Olson, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and J. M. Brown, R. M. Banta, Y. L. Pichugina, J. M. Wilczak, J. D. Mirocha, and C. A. Finley

 
573
Evaluation of NOAA's HRRR Model Forecast Hub-Height Winds
William Pendergrass, NOAA/OAR/ARL/ATDD, Oak Ridge, TN; and C. A. Vogel and R. J. Dobosy

 
574
Multi-Model Ensemble Forecasting in the Energy Weather Industry
Dr. Daniel B. Kirk-Davidoff, MDA Information Systems, Inc (EarthSat Wx), Gaithersburg, MD; and C. C. Cassidy, R. J. Much, and L. J. Heitkemper

 
575
An Initial Analysis of the Impact of Targeted Observations, and Advanced Modeling and Data Assimilation Techniques on Wind Forecast Performance During the WFIP Experiment
John W. Zack, MESO, Inc., Troy, NY; and J. Manobianco, E. J. Natenberg, S. H. Young, T. Melino, G. E. Van Knowe, J. M. Freedman, J. M. Wilczak, and K. L. Clawson

 
576
Identification and Prediction of Icing Conditions Which Impact Wind Turbine Power Production
Frank McDonough, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and L. Imbler, G. Weiner, and S. E. Haupt

 
577
The Wind Forecasting Improvement Project (WFIP): Description, Goals, and Preliminary Results From the Southern Study Area
Jeffrey M. Freedman, AWS Truepower LLC, Albany, NY; and D. E. Hanley, J. W. Zack, J. Manobianco, C. D'Annunzio, J. M. Wilczak, J. L. Schroeder, B. C. Ancell, K. A. Brewster, S. Basu, V. Banunarayanan, and K. Orwig

 
578
Wind Analysis and Forecasting At Wind Farms with An Ultra High Resolution and Advanced 4-D Data Assimilation WRF Modeling System
Linlin Pan, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and Y. Liu, W. Cheng, G. Roux, Y. Wu, S. W. lee, Y. J. choi, W. Wu, B. Kosovic, G. Wiener, S. Haupt, and B. Mahoney

 
579
NASA Products to Enhance Energy Utility Load Forecasting
Glynis Lough, Battelle, Arlington, VA; and E. Zell, J. Engel-Cox, Y. Fungard, G. J. Jedlovec, P. W. Stackhouse Jr., R. Homer, and S. Bliley
Manuscript (70.5 kB)

Poster PDF (666.2 kB)

 
580
A Comparison of WRF Simulated Low-Level Shear to Observations in the 10-80 m Layer
William A. Gallus Jr., Iowa State University, Ames, IA; and A. Robertson, R. Showers, and A. J. Deppe

 
581
Improvements in Real Time Wind Power Forecasting
Julia M. Pearson, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and G. Wiener, S. Linden, W. Myers, and B. Lambi

 
582
Solar Power Forecasting—Technology and Field Performance Evaluation
Vlad Kostylev, Green Power Labs Inc., Dartmouth, NS, Canada; and A. Pavlovski
Manuscript (752.2 kB)


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break

4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Wednesday, 25 January 2012

Recording files available
Session 15
Energy Supply/Demand Fundamentals Focused on Short Range Forecasting Part III
Location: Room 345 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: Third Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy
Chair: Catherine A. Finley, WindLogics Inc.
  4:00 PM
Forecasting Energy Demands During the 2010 NYC Heat-Wave with uWRF
Estatio Gutierrez, City College of New York, New York, NY; and J. E. Gonzalez, M. Arend, R. D. Bornstein, and A. Martilli
  4:15 PM
Are Load Forecasters Rational? An Evaluation of Electricity Demand Forecasts Issued by the New York Independent System Operator
Arthur A. Small III, Venti Risk Management, State College, PA; and E. E. Wertz, G. S. Young, S. Blumsack, and S. Bose
  4:30 PM
New Enhancements to Ncar's Advanced Wind Forecasting System for Integrating Wind Resources Into the New Energy Economy
David B. Johnson, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and W. Mahoney, S. E. Haupt, G. Wiener, W. Myers, Y. Liu, W. Y. Y. Cheng, J. Pearson, T. Hopson, L. Delle Monache, and J. Sun
  4:45 PM
Development and Preliminary Evaluation of a WRF-Based Wind Forecasting System for Wind Energy Applications in South Korea
Yubao Liu, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and S. W. Lee, Y. J. Choi, W. Cheng, G. Roux, Y. Liu, L. Pan, W. Wu, W. P. Mahoney III, J. Y. Byon, and S. L. Kang
  5:00 PM
Wind and Solar Forecast Improvements From Assimilation and Model Enhancements for the NOAA 3km HRRR Model
Stan Benjamin, NOAA/ESRL/GSD, Boulder, CO; and J. Olson, M. Hu, C. Alexander, J. M. Brown, S. Weygandt, T. Smirnova, and J. M. Wilczak
  5:15 PM
Wind and Solar Power Forecasting: Using Multi-Model and Refined Ensemble Prediction Output Approaches
Robert Mureau, MeteoGroup, Wageningen, Netherlands; and D. Malda and H. van den Brink

5:30 PM-6:30 PM: Wednesday, 25 January 2012


Awards Banquet Reception in the Exhibit Hall

7:00 PM-10:00 PM: Wednesday, 25 January 2012


92nd AMS Awards Banquet

Thursday, 26 January 2012

9:00 AM-12:00 PM: Thursday, 26 January 2012


Exhibit Hours

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Thursday, 26 January 2012


T. N. Krishnamurti Symposium Luncheon
Location: Room 345 (New Orleans Convention Center )

3:00 PM-3:05 PM: Thursday, 26 January 2012


Registration Closes

5:00 PM-5:05 PM: Thursday, 26 January 2012


AMS 92nd Annual Meeting Adjourns