In the first phase of the project, in a sensitivity study, a limited number of downscaled WRF simulations are being run and tested against observations to determine the optimal model configuration for predicting offshore winds. Various boundary layer physics packages are being applied at 500 m horizontal and 10 min temporal resolution for several one-day simulations. The test cases were carefully chosen to test model performance.
In the second phase, a full 30-year climatology of wind resources offshore of Delaware will be generated by repeatedly sampling a limited simulation library. Every 5th day will be simulated over a 3-year period to represent high-resolution “typical” conditions. The full climatology will be built by matching the high-resolution fields to the reanalysis at every time in the 30-year climatology and sampling from the most similar modeled time. This complete climatology can serve as a guide for the feasibility of economical wind energy development in the region. A summary and results from the full sensitivity study and full climatology will be presented.