92nd American Meteorological Society Annual Meeting (January 22-26, 2012)

Wednesday, 25 January 2012: 4:30 PM
Recent Trends of Tropical Cyclone Rainfall Over North Atlantic and North Pacific
Room 355 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Yaping Zhou, Morgan State University, Greenbelt, MD; and W. K. M. Lau

Basin-wide total tropical cyclone rainfalls and their trends are largely determined by the frequency of tropical cyclones in each basin. Analyzed with quantile regression, per-storm tropical cyclone rainfall in recent decades shows differential trends for the relatively dry and wet storms, with the most rain-bearing storms getting even wetter for the North Atlantic, Northwest Pacific, Northern Indian Ocean and Southern Oceans, except for the northeast Pacific. Local warm SST anomaly is found to be associated to increasing rainfall in the wettest storms as well. However, Large-scale climate variabilities, such as ENSO and Atlantic multi-decadal oscillations, play a significant role in the SST-rainfall relationship in the North Atlantic, Northeast Pacific and northwest Pacific Oceans.

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