24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Program Chairs:
- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
Saturday, 21 January 2012
7:30 AM-10:00 AM: Saturday, 21 January 2012
Registration for Student Conference and Short Course
Location: New Orleans Convention Center
Sunday, 22 January 2012
7:30 AM-9:00 AM: Sunday, 22 January 2012
Short Course Registration
Location: New Orleans Convention Center
9:00 AM-6:00 PM: Sunday, 22 January 2012
Registration Open for Annual Meeting
Location: New Orleans Convention Center
12:00 PM-4:00 PM: Sunday, 22 January 2012
WeatherFest
4:00 PM-5:00 PM: Sunday, 22 January 2012
92nd Annual Review and Fellows Awards
5:30 PM-7:00 PM: Sunday, 22 January 2012
Welcome Reception Honoring the Newly Elected Fellows
Monday, 23 January 2012
7:30 AM-5:30 PM: Monday, 23 January 2012
Registration Continues Through January 25
9:00 AM-10:30 AM: Monday, 23 January 2012
Session
1
12th Presidential Forum: Technology In Research and Operations—How We Got Here and Where We’Re Going
Location: La Nouvelle B-C (New Orleans Convention Center )
Hosts: (Joint
between the Seventh Symposium on Policy and Socio-Economic Research;
the 17th Conference on Air Pollution Meteorology with the A&WMA;
the 12th Presidential Forum: Technology in Research and Operations—How We Got Here and Where We’re Going;
the 26th Conference on Hydrology;
the Special Symposium on Technological Advances: Impacts on Hurricane Research and Forecast Improvements;
the Second Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python;
the 10th History Symposium;
the 28th Conference on Interactive Information Processing Systems (IIPS);
the 21st Symposium on Education;
the Eighth Annual Symposium on Future Operational Environmental Satellite Systems;
the 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change;
the 16th Symposium on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS);
the 21st Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences;
the 14th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry;
the Fourth Symposium on Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions;
the Third Aviation, Range and Aerospace Meteorology Special Symposium on Weather-Air Traffic Management Integration;
the 10th Symposium on the Coastal Environment;
the 10th Conference on Artificial Intelligence Applications to Environmental Science;
the 16th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation;
the 18th Conference on Satellite Meteorology, Oceanography and Climatology/ First Joint AMS-Asia Satellite Meteorology Conference;
the Ninth Conference on Space Weather;
the Second Conference on Transition of Research to Operations: Successes, Plans, and Challenges;
the Third Symposium on Environment and Health;
and the Third Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy
)
9:00 AM
Scientific research and operational environmental services are profoundly affected by the introduction and application of new technologies and it seems as though these advances are now accelerating, challenging our community to constantly become better at what we do and to serve society in new and more powerful ways. We welcome two highly distinguished keynote speakers for our Presidential Forum and each will address the theme of our 92nd Annual Meeting from his and her uniquely personal perspectives.
9:15 AM
Welcoming remarks and introductions by Jonathan T. Malay, AMS President
10:10 AM
President Malay will then be joined by Mr. George J. Komar, Director, NASA Earth Science Technology Office, Science Mission Directorate, and they will briefly discuss their thoughts about changes in the AMS community’s technological capabilities and in society twenty years and more into the future. They will then engage with the audience in an interactive dialog which should be an exciting and stimulating exercise of envisioning our future.
9:00 AM-11:00 AM: Monday, 23 January 2012
Spouses' Coffee
10:30 AM-11:00 AM: Monday, 23 January 2012
Coffee Break
11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Monday, 23 January 2012
Joint Session
1
Drought Definition, Analysis, Impacts, Prediction, and Management I
Location: Room 352 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Hosts: (Joint
between the 26th Conference on Hydrology;
and the 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
)
Cochairs:
Themed Joint Session
2
Extreme Weather and Climate Change
Location: Room 243 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Hosts: (Joint
between the Seventh Symposium on Policy and Socio-Economic Research;
the 21st Symposium on Education;
the 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change;
and the 26th Conference on Hydrology
)
Cochairs:
12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Monday, 23 January 2012
Lunch Break
1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Monday, 23 January 2012
Session
1
Detection and Attribution of Climate Change I
Location: Room 355 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair:
1.3
What Drive Decadal Variability of Global Precipitation?
1
Extreme Weather and Climate Change
Location: Room 243 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Hosts: (Joint
between the Seventh Symposium on Policy and Socio-Economic Research;
the 21st Symposium on Education;
the 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change;
and the 26th Conference on Hydrology
)
Organizer:
Moderator:
Panelists:
Joint Session
3
Drought Definition, Analysis, Impacts, Prediction, and Management II
Location: Room 352 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Hosts: (Joint
between the 26th Conference on Hydrology;
and the 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
)
Cochairs:
2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Monday, 23 January 2012
Poster Session
1
Poster Session I
Location: Hall E (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair:
74
An Analog Approach to Forecasting Global Tropical Cyclone Landfalls Using Hebert Boxes
An Assessment of the Climatology of Florida Hurricane-Induced Tornadoes (HITs): Technology Vs. Meteorology
Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Monday, 23 January 2012
Session
2A
Detection and Attribution of Climate Change II
Location: Room 355 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair:
5:00 PM
Session
2B
Arctic and High Latitude Climate Variability I
Location: Room 354 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair:
5:30 PM-7:30 PM: Monday, 23 January 2012
Reception and Exhibits Opening
Tuesday, 24 January 2012
8:30 AM-9:45 AM: Tuesday, 24 January 2012
Session
3A
Climate Applications of Satellite Observations I
Location: Room 355 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair:
Session
3B
Intraseasonal to Interannual Tropical Climate Variability
Location: Room 354 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair:
9:00 AM-11:00 AM: Tuesday, 24 January 2012
Spouses' Coffee
9:30 AM-6:00 PM: Tuesday, 24 January 2012
Exhibit Hours
9:45 AM-11:00 AM: Tuesday, 24 January 2012
Joint Poster Session
2
Drought Definition, Analysis, Impacts, Prediction, and Management
Location: Hall E (New Orleans Convention Center )
Hosts: (Joint
between the 26th Conference on Hydrology;
and the 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
)
Cochairs:
53
Water Vapor Pressure & Temperature Trends in North America During 1948–2010
Preliminary Analysis on the Service Demand and Review of Progress in the Field of Drought Research in China
Poster Session
2
Poster Session II
Location: Hall E (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair:
96
Change in An Identified Drought-Conducive Mode of Variability Under Future Climate
Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Tuesday, 24 January 2012
Session
4A
Climate Applications of Satellite Observations II
Location: Room 354 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair:
Session
4B
Interannual to Decadal Tropical Climate Variability
Location: Room 355 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair:
12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Tuesday, 24 January 2012
Lunch Break
1:30 PM-3:00 PM: Tuesday, 24 January 2012
Session
5A
The 2011 South Central U.S. Drought—Impacts, Adaptation, and Best Practices
Location: Room 354 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair:
Session
5B
Tropical Climate Variability I
Location: Room 355 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair:
3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Tuesday, 24 January 2012
Coffee Break
Meet the President
Location: Room 242 (New Orleans Convention Center )
3:30 PM-5:30 PM: Tuesday, 24 January 2012
Joint Session
2
The Climate Reference Network: A Decade Later
Location: Room 355 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Hosts: (Joint
between the 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change;
and the 16th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation
)
Chair:
Session
6
Climate Prediction From Intraseasonal to Seasonal Timescales
Location: Room 354 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair:
6.5
Contribution of the Autumn Tibetan Plateau Snow Cover to Seasonal Prediction of North American Winter Temperature
Joint Session
9
Drought Definition, Analysis, Impacts, Prediction, and Management III
Location: Room 350/351 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Hosts: (Joint
between the 26th Conference on Hydrology;
and the 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
)
Chair:
Cochairs:
J9.3
Drought Triggers for Australia
5:00 PM-6:00 PM: Tuesday, 24 January 2012
Lecture
L1
Bernhard Haurwitz Lecture
Location: Room 235/236 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Hosts: (Joint
between the Fourth Symposium on Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions;
the Special Symposium on Technological Advances: Impacts on Hurricane Research and Forecast Improvements;
the Second Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python;
the 26th Conference on Hydrology;
the 28th Conference on Interactive Information Processing Systems (IIPS);
the 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change;
the 16th Symposium on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS);
the 21st Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences;
the 14th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry;
the Third Aviation, Range and Aerospace Meteorology Special Symposium on Weather-Air Traffic Management Integration;
the 10th Symposium on the Coastal Environment;
the 10th Conference on Artificial Intelligence Applications to Environmental Science;
the Ninth Conference on Space Weather;
and the Second Conference on Transition of Research to Operations: Successes, Plans, and Challenges
)
7:00 PM-9:00 PM: Tuesday, 24 January 2012
Aksel Wiin-Nielsen Symposium Banquet
Wednesday, 25 January 2012
8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Wednesday, 25 January 2012
Session
7A
High-Resolution Climate Modeling I
Location: Room 355 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair:
Session
7B
Changes in Extremes Under Climate Change I
Location: Room 354 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair:
Joint Session
11
Land Surface-Atmosphere Interactions I
Location: Room 352 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Hosts: (Joint
between the 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change;
and the 26th Conference on Hydrology
)
Cochairs:
J11.1
The Kenaston Evaporation and Evapotranspiration Flux Experiment (KEEFEX) – Overview and Preliminary Results
9:00 AM-11:00 AM: Wednesday, 25 January 2012
Spouses' Coffee
10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Wednesday, 25 January 2012
Coffee Break
Meet the President
Location: Room 242 (New Orleans Convention Center )
10:00 AM-6:15 PM: Wednesday, 25 January 2012
Exhibit Hours
10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Wednesday, 25 January 2012
Panel Discussion
1
Hazards Mitigation & Climate Adaptation -- Working Together
Location: Room 355 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Panelists:
Facilitator:
Chair:
11:15 AM
Alessandra Jerolleman: Natural Hazards Mitigation Association
Session
8A
High-Resolution Climate Modeling II
Location: Room 354 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair:
Joint Session
13
Land Surface-Atmosphere Interactions II
Location: Room 352 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Hosts: (Joint
between the 26th Conference on Hydrology;
and the 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
)
Cochairs:
12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Wednesday, 25 January 2012
Lunch Break
Location: Room 242 (New Orleans Convention Center )
1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Wednesday, 25 January 2012
Session
9A
Tropical and Mid-Latitude Cyclones
Location: Room 354 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair:
Session
9B
African Monsoon
Location: Room 355 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair:
Lecture
L2
Robert E. Horton Lecture
Location: Room 350/351 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Hosts: (Joint
between the 26th Conference on Hydrology;
the Events;
the Second Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python;
the 10th Conference on Artificial Intelligence Applications to Environmental Science;
the 28th Conference on Interactive Information Processing Systems (IIPS);
the Special Symposium on Technological Advances: Impacts on Hurricane Research and Forecast Improvements;
the 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change;
the 16th Symposium on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS);
the 21st Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences;
the 14th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry;
the Fourth Symposium on Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions;
the Third Aviation, Range and Aerospace Meteorology Special Symposium on Weather-Air Traffic Management Integration;
the 10th Symposium on the Coastal Environment;
the Special Symposium on the Tornado Disasters of 2011;
and the Second Conference on Transition of Research to Operations: Successes, Plans, and Challenges
)
2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Wednesday, 25 January 2012
Poster Session
3
Poster Session III
Location: Hall E (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair:
The BAMS State of the Climate Series: History, Recent Developments and Future Plans
A Synergistic Study of Urban Land Cover Dynamics-Premonsoonal Rainfall Relationships In Kolkata, India Using Climatological, Remotely-Sensed, and Modeling Methodologies
422
Wind Climate Variability and Extremes in the Atlantic Region
426
A 500 Millibar Climatological Analysis of Winter Storm Events Across the Southern Plains
Coastal Water Level Climatology
Analysis of the Association Between Heat and Emergency Medical Services in Winnipeg and in Rural Areas of Southwestern Manitoba
Joint Poster Session
4
Regional Climate Modeling and/or Downscaling of Climate Variability and Change for Local Scale Assessment
Location: Hall E (New Orleans Convention Center )
Hosts: (Joint
between the 26th Conference on Hydrology;
and the 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
)
Cochairs:
376
Validation of the Uniparthenope ARW-WRF Model for a Convective Case Study
Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Wednesday, 25 January 2012
Session
10
Changes in Extremes Under Climate Change II
Location: Room 355 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair:
Joint Session
15
Land Surface-Atmosphere Interactions III
Location: Room 350/351 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Hosts: (Joint
between the 26th Conference on Hydrology;
and the 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
)
Cochairs:
J15.4
The Summer Precipitation Responses to Local Soil Moisture Anomaly As Simulated by the Community Atmosphere Model (CAM): A Study in North America
4:00 PM-5:45 PM: Wednesday, 25 January 2012
Themed Joint Session
20
Data Mining, Prediction, and Predictability of the Climate System
Location: Room 242 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Hosts: (Joint
between the 10th Conference on Artificial Intelligence Applications to Environmental Science;
the 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change;
and the 21st Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences
)
Cochairs:
TJ20.2
Finding Time-Periods of Abrupt Climate Change: A Data Mining Approach
5:30 PM-6:30 PM: Wednesday, 25 January 2012
Awards Banquet Reception in the Exhibit Hall
7:00 PM-10:00 PM: Wednesday, 25 January 2012
92nd AMS Awards Banquet
Thursday, 26 January 2012
8:30 AM-9:45 AM: Thursday, 26 January 2012
Session
11A
Past and Current Climate
Location: Room 354 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair:
Session
11B
Climate Prediction From Decadal to Centennial Timescales
Location: Room 355 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair:
Joint Session
16
Regional Climate Modeling and/or Downscaling of Climate Variability and Change for Local Scale Assessment I
Location: Room 350/351 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Hosts: (Joint
between the 26th Conference on Hydrology;
and the 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
)
Cochairs:
9:00 AM-12:00 PM: Thursday, 26 January 2012
Exhibit Hours
9:45 AM-11:00 AM: Thursday, 26 January 2012
Poster Session
4
Poster Session IV
Location: Hall E (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair:
Enhanced Radiational Flux to Space From Global Precipitation Increase
Evaluation of Satellite-Related Global Climate Datasets
Joint Poster Session
5
Land Surface-Atmosphere Interactions
Location: Hall E (New Orleans Convention Center )
Hosts: (Joint
between the 26th Conference on Hydrology;
and the 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
)
Cochairs:
Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Thursday, 26 January 2012
Session
12A
Climate Prediction
Location: Room 354 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair:
12A.2
Impacts of the Ocean Surface Processes in the Variability of the Large-Scale Flow
Session
12B
Tropical Cyclones and Climate
Location: Room 355 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair:
Joint Session
17
Regional Climate Modeling and/or Downscaling of Climate Variability and Change for Local Scale Assessment II
Location: Room 350/351 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Hosts: (Joint
between the 26th Conference on Hydrology;
and the 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
)
Cochairs:
12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Thursday, 26 January 2012
Lunch Break
T. N. Krishnamurti Symposium Luncheon
Location: Room 345 (New Orleans Convention Center )
1:30 PM-3:00 PM: Thursday, 26 January 2012
Joint Session
4
Technology Supporting Earth Science Information
Location: Room 357 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Hosts: (Joint
between the 28th Conference on Interactive Information Processing Systems (IIPS);
and the 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
)
Cochairs:
Session
13A
Tropical Climate Variability II
Location: Room 354 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair:
Dominate Atmospheric Circulation and Moisture Transport Features for East African Rainfall Patterns
Session
13B
Arctic and High Latitude Climate Variability II
Location: Room 355 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair:
Joint Session
18
Regional Climate Modeling and/or Downscaling of Climate Variability and Change for Local Scale Assessment III
Location: Room 350/351 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Hosts: (Joint
between the 26th Conference on Hydrology;
and the 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
)
Cochairs:
J18.1
An Overview of High-Latitude Specific Land Processes in the Canadian RCM and Assessment of Canadian Water Resources in a Changing Climate [INVITED]
3:00 PM-3:05 PM: Thursday, 26 January 2012
Registration Closes
3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Thursday, 26 January 2012
Coffee Break
Meet the President
3:30 PM-5:00 PM: Thursday, 26 January 2012
Session
14A
Arctic and High Latitude Climate Variability III
Location: Room 354 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair:
14A.3
Arctic Sea Ice Snowmelt Onset Dates Derived From Satellite Passive Microwave for 1979-2010
Session
14B
Clouds and Radiation
Location: Room 355 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair:
Joint Session
19
Regional Climate Modeling and/or Downscaling of Climate Variability and Change for Local Scale Assessment IV
Location: Room 350/351 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Hosts: (Joint
between the 26th Conference on Hydrology;
and the 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
)
Cochairs:
J19.1
The CONVEX Project–Using Observational Evidence and Process Understanding to Improve Predictions of Extreme Rainfall Change [INVITED]
5:00 PM-5:05 PM: Thursday, 26 January 2012
AMS 92nd Annual Meeting Adjourns