92nd American Meteorological Society Annual Meeting (January 22-26, 2012)

24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change

24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Program Chairs: Michelle L'Heureux , NOAA/CPC ; David R. Easterling , NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC ; Aiguo Dai , NCAR

- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting

Saturday, 21 January 2012

7:30 AM-10:00 AM: Saturday, 21 January 2012


Registration for Student Conference and Short Course
Location: New Orleans Convention Center

Sunday, 22 January 2012

7:30 AM-9:00 AM: Sunday, 22 January 2012


Short Course Registration
Location: New Orleans Convention Center

9:00 AM-6:00 PM: Sunday, 22 January 2012


Registration Open for Annual Meeting
Location: New Orleans Convention Center

12:00 PM-4:00 PM: Sunday, 22 January 2012


WeatherFest

4:00 PM-5:00 PM: Sunday, 22 January 2012


92nd Annual Review and Fellows Awards

5:30 PM-7:00 PM: Sunday, 22 January 2012


Welcome Reception Honoring the Newly Elected Fellows

Monday, 23 January 2012

7:30 AM-5:30 PM: Monday, 23 January 2012


Registration Continues Through January 25

9:00 AM-10:30 AM: Monday, 23 January 2012

Recording files available
Session 1
12th Presidential Forum: Technology In Research and Operations—How We Got Here and Where We’Re Going
Location: La Nouvelle B-C (New Orleans Convention Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the Seventh Symposium on Policy and Socio-Economic Research; the 17th Conference on Air Pollution Meteorology with the A&WMA; the 12th Presidential Forum: Technology in Research and Operations—How We Got Here and Where We’re Going; the 26th Conference on Hydrology; the Special Symposium on Technological Advances: Impacts on Hurricane Research and Forecast Improvements; the Second Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python; the 10th History Symposium; the 28th Conference on Interactive Information Processing Systems (IIPS); the 21st Symposium on Education; the Eighth Annual Symposium on Future Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 16th Symposium on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 21st Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences; the 14th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Fourth Symposium on Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions; the Third Aviation, Range and Aerospace Meteorology Special Symposium on Weather-Air Traffic Management Integration; the 10th Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 10th Conference on Artificial Intelligence Applications to Environmental Science; the 16th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 18th Conference on Satellite Meteorology, Oceanography and Climatology/ First Joint AMS-Asia Satellite Meteorology Conference; the Ninth Conference on Space Weather; the Second Conference on Transition of Research to Operations: Successes, Plans, and Challenges; the Third Symposium on Environment and Health; and the Third Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy )
  9:00 AM
Scientific research and operational environmental services are profoundly affected by the introduction and application of new technologies and it seems as though these advances are now accelerating, challenging our community to constantly become better at what we do and to serve society in new and more powerful ways. We welcome two highly distinguished keynote speakers for our Presidential Forum and each will address the theme of our 92nd Annual Meeting from his and her uniquely personal perspectives.

  9:15 AM
Welcoming remarks and introductions by Jonathan T. Malay, AMS President
  9:45 AM
Technology for a Weather-Ready Nation
Kathryn Sullivan, NOAA, Washington, DC
  10:10 AM
President Malay will then be joined by Mr. George J. Komar, Director, NASA Earth Science Technology Office, Science Mission Directorate, and they will briefly discuss their thoughts about changes in the AMS community’s technological capabilities and in society twenty years and more into the future. They will then engage with the audience in an interactive dialog which should be an exciting and stimulating exercise of envisioning our future.

9:00 AM-11:00 AM: Monday, 23 January 2012


Spouses' Coffee

10:30 AM-11:00 AM: Monday, 23 January 2012


Coffee Break

11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Monday, 23 January 2012

Recording files available
Joint Session 1
Drought Definition, Analysis, Impacts, Prediction, and Management I
Location: Room 352 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the 26th Conference on Hydrology; and the 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Cochairs: Richard Heim, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC; Michael J. Brewer, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC; Kingtse C. Mo, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC; Allan Howard, National Agroclimate Information Service; Don Wilhite, Univ. of Nebraska
  11:15 AM
Drought and Its Driving Factors and Features Worldwide [INVITED]
Ronald E. Stewart, University of Manitoba, Winnipeg, MB, Canada
  11:30 AM
Global and Regional Drought Occurrence Under Past and Future Climate Change [INVITED]
Justin Sheffield, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ; and J. Kam and E. F. Wood
  11:45 AM
Drought When It's Not Obvious
Laura M. Edwards, DRI, Reno, NV; and K. T. Redmond
Recording files available
Themed Joint Session 2
Extreme Weather and Climate Change
Location: Room 243 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the Seventh Symposium on Policy and Socio-Economic Research; the 21st Symposium on Education; the 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; and the 26th Conference on Hydrology )
Cochairs: David R. Easterling, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC; Kimberly E. Klockow, Univ. of Oklahoma
  11:30 AM
The IPCC Special Report on Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters to Advance Climate Change Adaptation
Roger S. Pulwarty, NOAA, Boulder, CO; and C. Field, V. Barros, K. L. Ebi, T. Stocker, D. Qin, and P. Midgely

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Monday, 23 January 2012


Lunch Break

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Monday, 23 January 2012

Recording files available
Session 1
Detection and Attribution of Climate Change I
Location: Room 355 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Aiguo Dai, NCAR
  1:30 PM
1.1
A Robust Tropical Ocean Trend Pattern Determined From Model Simulations of the 20th Century
Matthew Newman, University of Colorado/CIRES/CDC and NOAA/ESRL/PSD, Boulder, CO; and A. Solomon
  1:45 PM
1.2
Hemispheric Snow Cover Extent During the Satellite Era
David A. Robinson, Rutgers University, Piscataway, NJ; and T. W. Estilow, G. R. Henderson, and D. J. Leathers
 
1.3
What Drive Decadal Variability of Global Precipitation?

  2:15 PM
1.4
Explaining the Cause of Eurasian Streamflow Trends: The Role of Winter Precipitation and Temperature
Tara J. Troy, Earth Institute at Columbia University, Palisades, New York; and E. F. Wood and J. Sheffield

1
Extreme Weather and Climate Change
Location: Room 243 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the Seventh Symposium on Policy and Socio-Economic Research; the 21st Symposium on Education; the 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; and the 26th Conference on Hydrology )
Organizer: Kimberly E. Klockow, Oklahoma Climatological Survey
Moderator: William Hooke, AMS
Panelists: James A. Brey, American Meteorological Society; Craig Colton, LSU; David R. Easterling, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC
Recording files available
Joint Session 3
Drought Definition, Analysis, Impacts, Prediction, and Management II
Location: Room 352 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the 26th Conference on Hydrology; and the 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Cochairs: Richard Heim, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC; Michael J. Brewer, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC; Kingtse C. Mo, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC; Allan Howard, National Agroclimate Information Service; Don Wilhite, Univ. of Nebraska
  1:45 PM
Canadian Experiences Applying Drought Indices and Drought Monitoring to Agriculture [INVITED]
Allan Howard, National Agroclimate Information Service, Regina, SK, Canada
  2:15 PM
Soil Moisture and Runoff Forecasts From the Climate Forecast System Version 2
Li-Chuan Chen, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and K. Mo and M. Y. Lee

2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Monday, 23 January 2012


Poster Session 1
Poster Session I
Location: Hall E (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Aiguo Dai, NCAR
 
72
Attribution and Projections of Southern Hemisphere Climate Change
Jorgen Frederiksen, CSIRO, Aspendale, Victoria, Australia; and C. Frederiksen, S. Osbrough, and J. Sisson

 
73
Empirical Models of Tropical Climate Prediction and Predictability From Daily to Decadal Time Scales
Matthew Newman, University of Colorado/CIRES/CDC and NOAA/ESRL/PSD, Boulder, CO; and P. D. Sardeshmukh

 
74
An Analog Approach to Forecasting Global Tropical Cyclone Landfalls Using Hebert Boxes

 
75
Tropical Cyclones Interaction with High Latitude Climate Variability in the Northern Hemisphere
Enrico Scoccimarro, Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia/Centro Euro-Mediterraneo per i Cambiamenti Climatici, Bologna, Italy; and S. Gualdi and A. Navarra

 
76
An Intercomparison of Tropical Cyclone Position and Intensity Among Atmospheric Reanalysis Datasets
Benjamin Schenkel, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and R. E. Hart

Poster PDF (4.7 MB)

 
An Assessment of the Climatology of Florida Hurricane-Induced Tornadoes (HITs): Technology Vs. Meteorology

 
77
The Impacts of Climate Variability on Coral Bleaching in the Great Barrier Reef
Daniel Gilford, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and A. Arguez

 
80
Indian Ocean Response to South Tropical Atlantic Teleconnection
Rondrotiana Barimalala, Earth System Physics Section, Trieste, Italy; and A. Bracco, F. Kucharski, and A. Crise

 
81
Process-Resolving Decomposition of the Global Temperature Response to El Niño
Yi Deng, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and T. W. Park and M. Cai

 
82
Moisture Cycle of the Madden-Julian Oscillation: An Analysis of TRMM and SP-CAM Data
Jennifer A. Gahtan, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Coral Gables, FL; and K. H. Straub and D. A. Randall

 
83
Local Sea Surface Temperature Versus Large-Scale Circulation Influences on Tropical Ocean Rainfall
Nat Johnson, Univ. of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and S. P. Xie and Y. Kosaka

 
84
REGIONAL Modes of VARIABILITY of the ANNUAL Mean AIR Temperature OVER Mexico
Marco A. Salas-Flores, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Mexico City, D.F., Mexico; and P. D. Jones, C. Gay, W. Ritter, and R. Patiño
Manuscript (130.2 kB)

Poster PDF (524.4 kB)

 
85
Weather Regimes and Air-Sea Fluxes
Carol Anne Clayson, WHOI, Woods Hole, MA

 
86
Mechanisms of El Nino-Like Warming Events in the AGCMs Coupled with the Mixed Ocean Layer Model
Honghai Zhang, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and A. C. Clement

Poster PDF (659.9 kB)


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break

4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Monday, 23 January 2012

Recording files available
Session 2A
Detection and Attribution of Climate Change II
Location: Room 355 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Aiguo Dai, University at Albany
  4:00 PM
Changes in the Likelihood of Temperature Extremes Due to Anthropogenic Forcings
Nikolaos Christidis, United Kingdom Meteorological Office, Exeter, United Kingdom; and P. A. Stott and F. W. Zwiers

  4:30 PM
Observed Changes in Surface Atmospheric Energy Over Land
Thomas C. Peterson, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and K. M. Willett and P. Thorne
  5:15 PM
Multi-Decadal Variations of ENSO Teleconnection Over the U.S. During Winter
Hailan Wang, NASA, Hampton, VA; and S. Schubert, J. Chen, and P. A. Arkin
Recording files available
Session 2B
Arctic and High Latitude Climate Variability I
Location: Room 354 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Dian Seidel, NOAA/ERL/ARL
  4:00 PM
Warmings of the Stratospheric Polar Vortex and the Influence on Surface Climate
Steven C. Hardiman, Met Office, Exeter, Devon, United Kingdom; and N. Butchart, L. J. Gray, and S. M. Osprey
  4:15 PM
Origin of the Arctic Warming in Climate Models
Chul Eddy Chung, Gwangju Institute of Science and Technology, Gwangju, South Korea; and M. Zhu and P. Räisänen
  4:30 PM
Climatology, variability and change in Arctic surface-based inversions
Dian J. Seidel, NOAA, Silver Spring, MD; and Y. Zhang, C. Deser, J. C. Golaz, and R. Tomas
  4:45 PM
Synoptic Structure and Moisture Transport Associated with Large Scale Changes in Siberian Snow Cover
Catherine Radonic, University of Massachusetts , Lowell, MA; and M. Barlow and J. Cohen
  5:00 PM
Tropopause Variability and Its Connection with Stratosphere and Troposphere
Kwang Y. Kim, Seoul National Univ., Seoul, South Korea; and S. Kim
  5:15 PM
The Weather-Climate Interface of the Amundsen-Bellingshausen Seas Low
C. Virgei, Ohio University, Athens, OH; and R. L. Fogt, A. J. Wovrosh, and R. A. Langen

5:30 PM-7:30 PM: Monday, 23 January 2012


Reception and Exhibits Opening

Tuesday, 24 January 2012

8:30 AM-9:45 AM: Tuesday, 24 January 2012

Recording files available
Session 3A
Climate Applications of Satellite Observations I
Location: Room 355 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Carl J. Schreck III, North Carolina State University
  9:15 AM
Evaluating CMIP/IPCC Simulations Using Contemporary Satellite Observations
Duane Edward Waliser, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and P. J. Gleckler, J. Teixeira, and R. Ferraro
  9:30 AM
Recording files available
Session 3B
Intraseasonal to Interannual Tropical Climate Variability
Location: Room 354 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Eric D. Maloney, Colorado State University
  8:30 AM
  8:45 AM
Surface Wind and Upper Ocean Variability Associated with the MJO Simulated by Coupled Ocean/Atmosphere Prediction System (COAMPS)
Toshiaki Shinoda, NRL, Stennis Space Center, MS; and S. Chen, M. Flatau, and T. Jensen

  9:00 AM
Observed Changes in Intraseasonal Variability of Summer Convection Over South America
Fernando Hirata, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and P. J. Webster, H. M. Kim, and C. Hoyos
  9:15 AM
Irregularity in ENSO Predictability Through the Prism of Local Lyapunov Exponents
Christina Karamperidou, Columbia University, New York, NY; and M. Cane, A. Wittenberg, U. Lall, and P. N. DiNezio

9:00 AM-11:00 AM: Tuesday, 24 January 2012


Spouses' Coffee

9:30 AM-6:00 PM: Tuesday, 24 January 2012


Exhibit Hours

9:45 AM-11:00 AM: Tuesday, 24 January 2012


Joint Poster Session 2
Drought Definition, Analysis, Impacts, Prediction, and Management
Location: Hall E (New Orleans Convention Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the 26th Conference on Hydrology; and the 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Cochairs: Richard Heim, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC; Michael J. Brewer, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC; Kingtse C. Mo, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC; Allan Howard, National Agroclimate Information Service; Don Wilhite, Univ. of Nebraska
 
50
Analysis of Meteorological Drought At Arid Rajasthan Using Standardized Precipitation Index
Surendra Poonia, Central Arid Zone Research Institute, India, Jodhpur, India; and A. S. Rao

 
51
An Objective Methodology to Optimally Merge Satellite and Model Based Soil Moisture Products for Obtaining a New Drought Product
M. Tugrul Yilmaz, USDA/ARS, Beltsville, MD; and W. T. Crow, M. C. Anderson, and C. Hain

 
52
An Assessment of Canadian Prairie Drought: Past, Present, and Future
Barrie R. Bonsal, EC, Saskatoon, SK, Canada; and P. Gachon, R. Aider, and S. Lapp

 
53
Water Vapor Pressure & Temperature Trends in North America During 1948–2010

 
54
Drying Trends Over China Based on the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index
Li Weiguang Sr., China Meteorological Administration, Haikou , China, China; and C. Huilin and Y. Xue

 
55
Connecting the Pacific to Regional Climate for Decadal Prediction: A Successful Case in the Western U.S.
Shih-Yu Wang, Utah State University, Logan, UT; and R. Gillies and L. E. Hipps

 
56
Prediction of New Drought Class Transitions Using Markov Chains
Chi-Han Cheng, University of Central Florida, Orlando, FL

 
Preliminary Analysis on the Service Demand and Review of Progress in the Field of Drought Research in China

 
57
Spatio-Temporal Characteristics of Drought in East Asia
Su-Bin Oh, Pukyong National University, Busan, South Korea; and H. R. Byun

 
58
Spatiotemporal Characteristics of Drought Occurrences in North Korea
Bo-Ra Lee, Pukyong National University, Busan, South Korea; and H. R. Byun

 
59
Regional Characteristics Analysis of Drought Climatology in Australia Using the Effective Drought Index
Ji-Sun Lee, Pukyong National University, Busan, South Korea; and H. R. Byun

 
60
Identifying Environmental Databases for Drought Impact Studies in the NIDIS Southeast Pilot Study
Pamela N. Knox, Univ. of Georgia, Athens, GA; and L. S. Darby, C. McNutt, and D. E. Stooksbury

 
Poster 62 has been moved. New Paper Number is J9.3A


Poster Session 2
Poster Session II
Location: Hall E (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Eric D. Maloney, Colorado State University
 
87
Extreme Temperature Regimes During the Cool Season Part I: Recent Observed Behavior and Low Frequency Modulation
Rebecca Westby, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and R. X. Black

 
88
Extreme Temperature Regimes During the Cool Season Part II: Simulated Behavior in CMIP5 Simulations
Robert X. Black, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and R. Westby and Y. Y. Lee

 
89
A Regional Intercomparison of Rainfall Extremes
Michael C. Kruk, ERT, Inc., Asheville, NC; and J. Marra
Manuscript (43.9 kB)

 
90
An Improved Cloud Screening Algorithm for Skyradiometer Measurements and Its Application to Asian Dust Monitoring
Hwan-Jin Song, Seoul National University, Seoul, South Korea; and H. W. Chun and B. J. Sohn
Manuscript (94.4 kB)

 
91
Midwest Urban Heat Wave Climatology: What Constitutes the Worst Events?
Alek J. Krautmann, Ohio University, Athens, OH; and R. L. Fogt

 
92
Empirical Examination of the Changes in the Frequency of Extreme Rainfall in the Central United States
Gabriele Villarini, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ; and J. A. Smith and G. A. Vecchi

 
93
Evaluation of the Physical Processes of the JMA Global NWP Model Using the Data of Special Observations
Akira Shimokobe, Japan Meteorological Agency, Tokyo, Japan; and T. Komori

Poster PDF (2.3 MB)

 
94
Evaluation of 20th Century Climate Model Simulations of Heavy Precipitation Over North America
Anthony M. DeAngelis, Rutgers University, New Brunswick, NJ; and A. J. Broccoli and S. G. Decker

 
95
Projection of Future Changes in Precipitation and Vertical Structures of the Frontal Zone During the Baiu Season in the Vicinity of Japan Using a 5-Km-Mesh Regional Climate Model
Sachie Kanada, Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology , Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan; and M. Nakano and T. Kato

 
96
Change in An Identified Drought-Conducive Mode of Variability Under Future Climate

 
98
Record*-Breaking Temperatures: Trends Over the Conterminous U.S
Clinton M. Rowe, University of Nebraska, Lincoln, NE; and L. E. Derry

 
99
An Analysis of Convection, Clouds and Water Vapor in a 4xCO2 Arctic
Melissa A. Burt, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and D. A. Randall and M. Branson

 
100
A Physically-Based Phenomenological Model for Investigating Tropical West African Climate Variability
Isaac K. Tetteh, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and S. V. Pendse, F. H. M. Semazzi, V. Kumar, and N. F. Samatova

 
101
 
102
The Role of Moisture Transport in Fall Precipitation Extremes for the Central US
Catherine Radonic, University of Massachusetts, Lowell, MA; and M. Barlow

 
103
Contrasting Characteristics of 09/10 and 10/11 Eurasian Cold Winters: Data Analysis and Simulations Using CAM3
Taehyoun Shim, Korea Polar Research Institute, Incheon, South Korea; and B. M. Kim and S. J. Kim

 
104
Spatiotemporal Variability of Extreme Convective Wind Events
Franklin T. Lombardo, National Institute of Standards and Technology, Gaithersburg, MD; and A. R. Thibault
Manuscript (984.9 kB)

Poster PDF (1.4 MB)


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break

11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Tuesday, 24 January 2012

Recording files available
Session 4A
Climate Applications of Satellite Observations II
Location: Room 354 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Pingping Xie, NOAA
  11:00 AM
Model Evaluation of Ice/Liquid Water Content, Radiation and Energy Budget for 20th Century IPCC AR 4th and 5th Simulations and Satellite Sensor Simulator Outputs
Jui-Lin F. Li, JPL/California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA; and D. E. Waliser, G. Stephens, W. T. Chen, B. Guan, and H. Y. Ma

  11:30 AM
The New NVAP-M (NASA water vapor project—MEaSUREs) Global Water Vapor Dataset
Janice L. Bytheway, Science and Technology Corporation, Laporte, CO; and T. H. Vonder Haar and J. M. Forsythe
  11:45 AM
The Madden–Julian Oscillation and Equatorial Waves in Upper Tropospheric Water Vapor
Carl J. Schreck III, North Carolina State University, Asheville, NC; and L. Shi and J. Kossin
Recording files available
Session 4B
Interannual to Decadal Tropical Climate Variability
Location: Room 355 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Eric D. Maloney, Colorado State University
  11:00 AM
  11:30 AM
A Surface Bjerknes Mode for Generating Pacific Decadal Variability
P.N. DiNezio, University of Miami, Miami, FL; and A. Clement, B. Kirtman, and M. Cane

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Tuesday, 24 January 2012


Lunch Break

1:30 PM-3:00 PM: Tuesday, 24 January 2012

Recording files available
Session 5A
The 2011 South Central U.S. Drought—Impacts, Adaptation, and Best Practices
Location: Room 354 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Kristen Averyt, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado
  1:30 PM
Introductory Remarks

  2:00 PM
Managing Exceptional Drought in Oklahoma
Mark A. Shafer, Oklahoma Climatological Survey, Norman, OK; and G. McManus
  2:15 PM
Status of State Drought Planning and Response in the United States
Mark D. Svoboda, National Drought Mitigation Center, Lincoln, NE; and M. J. Hayes
  2:45 PM
Assessing and Responding to the 2011 Southern Plains Drought From a Climate Services Perspective
David P. Brown, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Fort Worth, TX; and R. Pulwarty, C. McNutt, and L. S. Darby
Recording files available
Session 5B
Tropical Climate Variability I
Location: Room 355 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Aiguo Dai, NCAR
  1:30 PM
  1:45 PM
Recent Intensification of Northern Hemispheric Monsoon Precipitation
Bin Wang, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and J. Liu, H. J. Kim, P. J. Webster, and T. Schroeder
  2:00 PM
  2:15 PM
Analysis of the Tropical Vorticity Budget
Ricardo M. Fonseca, Portugal; and B. J. Hoskins and M. Blackburn

  2:30 PM
Climatology of Tropical Cloud Clusters
Christopher C. Hennon, Univ. of North Carolina Asheville, Asheville, NC; and P. P. Papin and C. M. Zarzar

3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Tuesday, 24 January 2012


Coffee Break

Meet the President
Location: Room 242 (New Orleans Convention Center )

3:30 PM-5:30 PM: Tuesday, 24 January 2012

Recording files available
Joint Session 2
The Climate Reference Network: A Decade Later
Location: Room 355 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; and the 16th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation )
Chair: Bruce B. Baker, NOAA/Atmospheric Turbulence and Diffusion Division
  3:30 PM
An Overview of the U.S. Climate Reference Network (USCRN) System
Howard J. Diamond, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Silver Spring, MD
  3:45 PM
An Overview of the US Regional Climate Reference Network
David R. Easterling, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and C. Ward, J. H. Lawrimore, and M. Palecki
  4:00 PM
  4:15 PM
Solid Precipitation Testbed Plans, Activities and Results to Date
Tilden P. Meyers, NOAA, Oak Ridge, TN; and B. B. Baker, R. M. Rasmussen, and R. Nitu

  4:30 PM
Calibrating GOES-Based Insolation Products for Climatological Analyses of Evapotranspiration Over the U.S
Martha C. Anderson, USDA/ARS, Beltsville, MD; and G. Diak, J. R. Mecikalski, and C. Hain
  4:45 PM
Characterization of the Spatial Variability of Land Surface Temperature Around NOAA CRN Sites Using Airborne and Satellite Measurements
Praveena Krishnan, NOAA, Oak Ridge, TN; and J. Kochendorfer, B. B. Baker, E. J. Dumas Jr., T. P. Meyers, P. C. Guillevic, S. Corda, J. F. Muratore, and B. Martos
  5:00 PM
US Climate Reference Network Soil Moisture/Temperature Monitoring
Jesse Eugene Bell, Cooperative Institute for Climate and Satellites/North Caroline State University, Asheville, NC; and M. Palecki
  5:15 PM
Precipitation Quality Assurance Methods for Weighing Bucket Precipitation Gauges Having Three Redundant Measurements
Ronald D. Leeper, Cooperative Institute for Climate and Satellites, Asheville, NC; and E. Davis and M. Palecki
Recording files available
Session 6
Climate Prediction From Intraseasonal to Seasonal Timescales
Location: Room 354 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Wayne Higgins, NOAA Climate Prediction Center
  3:30 PM
6.1
A Framework for Incorporating MJO and ENSO Information Into Probabilistic Extended Range Forecasts
Nat Johnson, Univ. of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and E. E. Riddle, S. B. Feldstein, M. L'Heureux, D. C. Collins, M. Stoner, and S. P. Xie
  3:45 PM
6.2
Forecasting the Number of Extreme Daily Events on Seasonal Timescales
Emily Hamilton, Met Office, Exeter, Devon, United Kingdom; and R. Eade, R. J. Graham, A. A. Scaife, D. M. Smith, A. Maidens, and C. MacLachlan
  4:00 PM
6.3
  4:15 PM
6.4
How Well Can We Predict the Indian Ocean Dipole Teleconnections?
Sally Langford, Centre for Australian Weather & Climate Research, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia; and H. Hendon
 
6.5
Contribution of the Autumn Tibetan Plateau Snow Cover to Seasonal Prediction of North American Winter Temperature

  4:30 PM
Recent and abrupt shifts in regional climate and their link to low-frequency changes in the tropical Pacific Ocean
Bradfield Lyon, International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI/Columbia University), Palisades, NY; and D. G. Dewitt
  4:45 PM
6.6
Prospects for Improving CFSv2 Seasonal Forecasts of the Wintertime AO by Utilizing Relationships with Eurasian Snow Cover
Emily E. Riddle, Wyle Information Systems, Camp Springs, MD; and A. H. Butler, J. Cohen, J. C. Furtado, and A. Kumar
  5:00 PM
6.7
How Potentially Predictable Is Northern European Winter a Season Ahead?
Chris K. Folland, United Kingdom Meteorological Office, Exeter, Devon, United Kingdom; and A. A. Scaife, J. Lindesay, D. B. Stephenson, and E. Hamilton
  5:15 PM
6.8
Recording files available
Joint Session 9
Drought Definition, Analysis, Impacts, Prediction, and Management III
Location: Room 350/351 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the 26th Conference on Hydrology; and the 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Chair: Kingtse C. Mo, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC
Cochairs: Richard Heim, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC; Michael J. Brewer, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC; Allan Howard, National Agroclimate Information Service; Don Wilhite, Univ. of Nebraska
  3:30 PM
The Global Drought Monitor Portal—the Foundation for a Global Drought Early Warning System [INVITED]
Michael J. Brewer, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and R. Heim, W. Pozzi, J. Vogt, and J. Sheffield
 
J9.3
Drought Triggers for Australia

  4:00 PM
Spatial Patterns of Drought Inidicators and Triggers
Joseph P. Robine, University of Nebraska, Lincoln, NE; and D. J. Bathke, M. D. Svoboda, J. Nothwehr, C. J. Bergman, N. A. Wall, T. K. Bernadt, and M. J. Hayes
  4:30 PM
Development of a High-Resolution Drought Monitoring Tool for the Eastern United States
D. Brent McRoberts, Texas A&M Univ., College Station, TX; and J. Nielsen-Gammon, R. P. Boyles, R. V. Cumbie, and D. Niyogi
  4:45 PM
Verification and Expansion of the Moisture Balance Drought Index within the United States
Andrew W. Ellis, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University, Blacksburg, VA; and G. M. Garfin, M. Lenart, R. S. Vose, and K. W. Murphy
  5:00 PM
Decadal Droughts and Consequent Climate Information Needs of Stakeholders in the Missouri River Basin
Vikram M. Mehta, The Center for Research on the Changing Earth System, Clarksville, MD; and N. J. Rosenberg, K. Mendoza, C. Knutson, R. Olsen, N. A. Wall, T. K. Bernadt, and M. J. Hayes
  5:15 PM
Investigating the Experiences of Watersheds and Hydrologic Basins to Improve Drought Planning in the U.S
Crystal J. Bergman, University of Nebraska, Lincoln, NE; and M. J. Hayes, D. J. Bathke, C. L. Knutson, and Z. Tang

5:00 PM-6:00 PM: Tuesday, 24 January 2012

Recording files available
Lecture L1
Bernhard Haurwitz Lecture
Location: Room 235/236 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the Fourth Symposium on Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions; the Special Symposium on Technological Advances: Impacts on Hurricane Research and Forecast Improvements; the Second Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python; the 26th Conference on Hydrology; the 28th Conference on Interactive Information Processing Systems (IIPS); the 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 16th Symposium on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 21st Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences; the 14th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Third Aviation, Range and Aerospace Meteorology Special Symposium on Weather-Air Traffic Management Integration; the 10th Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 10th Conference on Artificial Intelligence Applications to Environmental Science; the Ninth Conference on Space Weather; and the Second Conference on Transition of Research to Operations: Successes, Plans, and Challenges )
  5:00 PM
On the role of cloud-radiative effects in tropical dynamics and climate change
Sandrine Bony-Lena, Laboratoire de Meteorologie Dynamique/Le Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, Paris, France

7:00 PM-9:00 PM: Tuesday, 24 January 2012


Aksel Wiin-Nielsen Symposium Banquet

Wednesday, 25 January 2012

8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Wednesday, 25 January 2012

Recording files available
Session 7A
High-Resolution Climate Modeling I
Location: Room 355 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Aixue Hu, NCAR
  8:30 AM
High Resolution Climate Simulations with the Community Atmospheric Model (CAM)
Cecile Hannay, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. Neale and J. Bacmeister
  8:45 AM
Tropical Cyclones and Other Mesoscale Phenomena in 25 Km CAM Simulations
Julio T. Bacmeister, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. Hannay, R. B. Neale, and J. E. Truesdale
  9:15 AM
Present and Future Climate Variability As Simulated in a Hierarchy of Global Model Resolutions
Malcolm J. Roberts, United Kingdom Meteorological Office, Exeter, Devon, United Kingdom; and P. L. Vidale and A. A. Scaife
  9:30 AM
An Investigation of Tropical Atlantic Bias in a High-Resolution Coupled Regional Climate Model
Christina M. Patricola, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and M. Li, Z. Xu, P. Chang, R. Saravanan, and J. S. Hsieh

  9:45 AM
Major Processes Related to Resolution Dependency in a Cloud Resolving Model: Budget Analysis Perspective
Ildae Choi, Seoul National University, Seoul, South Korea; and I. S. Kang and W. K. Tao
Recording files available
Session 7B
Changes in Extremes Under Climate Change I
Location: Room 354 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Dan Collins, NOAA Climate Prediction Center
  8:45 AM
On the Causes of the Spring 2011 Central U.S. Flooding and Extreme Weather
Yehui Chang, Global Modeling and Assimilation Office, Greenbelt, MD; and S. Schubert, M. Suarez, and M. Bosilovich
  9:00 AM
The Cyclonic Low-Level Jet in a Warmer Climate
G. M. Lackmann, North Carolina State Univ., Raleigh, NC
  9:15 AM
Changes in Monsoon Extremes Affecting Climate Prediction—Example of the 2010 Pakistan Floods
Shih-Yu Wang, Utah State University, Logan, UT; and R. Davies, W. R. Huang, R. Gillies, and J. H. Yoon
  9:30 AM
Tropical Cyclone Genesis Index for Climate Change Using the HIRAM Model
Suzana J. Camargo, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory of Columbia University, Palisades, NY; and M. K. Tippett, A. H. Sobel, G. A. Vecchi, and M. Zhao
Recording files available
Joint Session 11
Land Surface-Atmosphere Interactions I
Location: Room 352 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; and the 26th Conference on Hydrology )
Cochairs: Yongkang Xue, University of California; Randal D. Koster, NASA/GSFC
 
J11.1
The Kenaston Evaporation and Evapotranspiration Flux Experiment (KEEFEX) – Overview and Preliminary Results

  8:30 AM
Revisiting GLACE: Why Is Land-Atmosphere Coupling Strong in the Sahel?
Ruth E. Comer, Met Office, Exeter, United Kingdom; and G. M. Martin
  8:45 AM
Soil Moisture and Heat Flux Monitoring Using Distributed Temperature Sensing: New Field Observations From Oklahoma and Delft
Susan C. Steele-Dunne, Delft University of Technology, Delft, Netherlands; and J. Jansen, C. Hatch, T. Ochsner, G. Dong, N. van de Giesen, S. Tyler, J. Selker, and M. Cosh

  9:45 AM
Implementation of Noah-MP Land Surface Model in HRLDAS and WRFV3.3 and Preliminary Results Using Coupled WRF/Noah-MP
Mukul Tewari, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and F. Chen, K. W. Manning, M. Barlage, J. Refslund, J. Dudhia, G. Y. Niu, Z. L. Yang, and J. Cetola

9:00 AM-11:00 AM: Wednesday, 25 January 2012


Spouses' Coffee

10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Wednesday, 25 January 2012


Coffee Break

Meet the President
Location: Room 242 (New Orleans Convention Center )

10:00 AM-6:15 PM: Wednesday, 25 January 2012


Exhibit Hours

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Wednesday, 25 January 2012

Recording files available
Panel Discussion 1
Hazards Mitigation & Climate Adaptation -- Working Together
Location: Room 355 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Panelists: Alessandra Jerolleman, Natural Hazards Mitigation Association ; Chris Maier, NOAA/NWS; Juliette Hayes, FEMA; Andrea J. Ray, NOAA/ESRL; Clint Dawson, The University of Texas; Lynne M. Carter, Louisiana State University
Facilitator: Missy Stults, Summit Energy
Chair: Thomas Fahy, Capitol CR Group
  10:30 AM
Lynne Carter: Lousiana State University
  10:45 AM
Clint Dawson: The University of Texas
  11:00 AM
  11:15 AM
Alessandra Jerolleman: Natural Hazards Mitigation Association
Recording files available
Session 8A
High-Resolution Climate Modeling II
Location: Room 354 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Aixue Hu, NCAR
  10:30 AM
8.1
Is Heavy Rain More Realistic in a Very High Resolution Climate Model?
Elizabeth J. Kendon, United Kingdom Meteorological Office, Exeter, Devon, United Kingdom; and N. Roberts, M. J. Roberts, and C. Senior

  11:00 AM
8.3
Tropical Cyclone Simulation with High-Resolution Global Climate Models: The Role of Coupling to the Ocean
Pier Luigi Vidale, NCAS, Reading, Berkshire, United Kingdom; and J. Strachan, R. Bell, K. Hodges, and M. J. Roberts
  11:15 AM
8.4
High-Resolution Simulations of Tropical Cyclones in the NCAR Community Atmosphere Model
Kevin A. Reed, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI; and C. Jablonowski
  11:45 AM
8.6
Mechanisms of Climate Variability in Western Equatorial Africa
Amin Dezfuli, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and S. E. Nicholson

Recording files available
Joint Session 13
Land Surface-Atmosphere Interactions II
Location: Room 352 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the 26th Conference on Hydrology; and the 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Cochairs: Yongkang Xue, University of California; Randal D. Koster, NASA/GSFC
  10:30 AM
A Probabilistic Bulk Model of Land-Atmosphere Interactions
Pierre Gentine, Columbia University, New York, NY; and A. K. Betts, B. R. Lintner, K. Findell, and F. D'Andrea
  10:45 AM
Diagnosing the Nature of Land-Atmosphere Coupling: A Case Study of Dry/Wet Extremes in the SGP
Joseph A. Santanello Jr., NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and S. Kumar, C. Peters-Lidard, and A. D. Kennedy
  11:00 AM
  11:15 AM
External Climate Forcings and Vegetation Interannual and Decadal Variability in West Africa
Yongkang Xue, University of California, Los Angeles, CA; and G. song and P. M. Cox

  11:30 AM
Role of Vegetation Dynamics in Precipitation Variability in the Amazon Region
Guiling Wang, Univerisity of Connecticut, Storrs, CT; and S. Sun and R. Mei
  11:45 AM
On the Dynamics of the July 2010 Pakistan Precipitation Events and the Central Role of Land Surface–Atmosphere Interactions
Olivia Martius, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland; and M. Graf, H. Joos, E. Madonna, B. Mueller, S. Pfahl, J. Sedlacek, S. Schemm, H. Sodemann, M. Sprenger, A. Winschall, and H. Wernli

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Wednesday, 25 January 2012


Lunch Break
Location: Room 242 (New Orleans Convention Center )

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Wednesday, 25 January 2012

Recording files available
Session 9A
Tropical and Mid-Latitude Cyclones
Location: Room 354 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Bartlett C. Hagemeyer, NOAA
  1:30 PM
Quantifying Uncertainty in Changes in Storm Tracks Associated with Climate Change
Erwan Monier, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and J. Scott and A. P. Sokolov

  1:45 PM
Using Atmospheric Trajectories to Analyze the Ingredients Associated with Heavy Winter Precipitation in Central North Carolina
Christopher M. Fuhrmann, Southeast Regional Climate Center (SERCC), Chapel Hill, NC; and C. E. Konrad
  2:00 PM
The Influence of Recurving Western North Pacific Tropical Cyclones on the Midlatitude Circulation
Heather M. Archambault, University at Albany, State University of New York, Albany, NY; and L. F. Bosart and D. Keyser
Recording files available
Session 9B
African Monsoon
Location: Room 355 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Emily E. Riddle, Wyle Information Systems
  1:30 PM
Simulating Teleconnections to Africa: What Is the State of the Art?
Dave Rowell, United Kingdom Meteorological Office, Exeter, Devon, United Kingdom
  2:00 PM
Regime Shifts in the West African Monsoon System
Wassila Mamadou Thiaw, NOAA/CAC, Camp Spring, MD

  2:15 PM
Impact of Climate Change on mid-21st century growing season in Africa
Edward K. Vizy, The University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX; and K. H. Cook
Recording files available
Lecture L2
Robert E. Horton Lecture
Location: Room 350/351 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the 26th Conference on Hydrology; the Events; the Second Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python; the 10th Conference on Artificial Intelligence Applications to Environmental Science; the 28th Conference on Interactive Information Processing Systems (IIPS); the Special Symposium on Technological Advances: Impacts on Hurricane Research and Forecast Improvements; the 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 16th Symposium on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 21st Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences; the 14th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Fourth Symposium on Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions; the Third Aviation, Range and Aerospace Meteorology Special Symposium on Weather-Air Traffic Management Integration; the 10th Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the Special Symposium on the Tornado Disasters of 2011; and the Second Conference on Transition of Research to Operations: Successes, Plans, and Challenges )

2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Wednesday, 25 January 2012


Poster Session 3
Poster Session III
Location: Hall E (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: David R. Easterling, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC
 
United States Navy Climatology Support Services
Megan Hutchins, FLENUMMETOC N33 Climatology, Monterey, CA; and D. Ramsaur

 
The BAMS State of the Climate Series: History, Recent Developments and Future Plans

 
418
An Investigation of East Coast Winter Storm Speed and Impacts During the Past 55 Years
Jase E. Bernhardt, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA; and A. T. DeGaetano

 
419
Impacts of Atmospheric River Landfalls on the Cold Season Hydrology in California
Jinwon Kim, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA; and B. Guan, J. M. Ryoo, D. E. Waliser, E. J. Fetzer, P. J. Neiman, G. A. Wick, and N. P. Molotch

 
420
The Unusually Wet 2010-11 La Niña Winter in California
Steve LaDochy, California State University, LA, Los Angeles, CA; and P. Ramirez, W. C. Patzert, and J. Willis
Manuscript (658.9 kB)

 
A Synergistic Study of Urban Land Cover Dynamics-Premonsoonal Rainfall Relationships In Kolkata, India Using Climatological, Remotely-Sensed, and Modeling Methodologies

 
422
Wind Climate Variability and Extremes in the Atlantic Region

 
423
Inter-Comparison of 20th Century Trends in Cloud Cover Data Sets and Estimate of CRF Change
Katinka Bellomo, University of Miami, Miami, FL; and A. C. Clement and J. R. Norris

Poster PDF (3.6 MB)

 
424
Trend Reversal in Lake Michigan Contribution to Snowfall
Luke Bard, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and D. A. R. Kristovich

 
425
Characterization of Turbulent Latent and Sensible Heat Flux Exchange Between the Atmosphere and Ocean in MERRA
J. Brent Roberts, NASA/MSFC, Huntsville, AL; and F. R. Robertson, C. A. Clayson, and M. G. Bosilovich

 
426
A 500 Millibar Climatological Analysis of Winter Storm Events Across the Southern Plains

 
429
How HCN-Corrections to COOP-Data Eliminated Coastal-Cooling Trends in 1970-2010 Summer California Maximum Air Temperatures
Amanuel T. Ghebreegziabher, San Jose State University, San Jose, CA; and B. Lebassi-Habtezion, J. E. Gonzalez, and R. D. Bornstein

 
430
Pentad Analysis of Wintertime PNA Development and Its Relationship to the NAO
Stephen R. Baxter, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and S. Nigam

 
432
Investigating the Structure of Summer Atmospheric Circulation Over Southwest Asia
Abbas Mofidi, Ferdowsi University of Mashhad, Mashhad, Khorasan Razavi, Iran; and A. Zarrin

 
Coastal Water Level Climatology

 
Analysis of the Association Between Heat and Emergency Medical Services in Winnipeg and in Rural Areas of Southwestern Manitoba


Joint Poster Session 4
Regional Climate Modeling and/or Downscaling of Climate Variability and Change for Local Scale Assessment
Location: Hall E (New Orleans Convention Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the 26th Conference on Hydrology; and the 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Cochairs: Christopher L. Castro, University of Arizona; Ruby Leung, PNNL; Dennis Lettenmaier, Univ. of Washington; Francina Dominguez, Univ. of Arizona
 
364
The Relative Value of Dynamically Vs. Statistically Downscaled CFS Seasonal Forecasts for Seasonal Hydrological Forecasting
Shraddhanand Shukla, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and D. P. Lettenmaier

 
365
Alternate Estimates of CLIMATE Projections for Southeast USA
James Obrien, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL

 
366
Distribution and Intensity of Extreme Winter Precipitation in Seasonal Forecasts
Andrew J. Ansorge, Iowa State University, Ames, IA; and R. W. Arritt

Poster PDF (813.5 kB)

 
367
A Regional Climate Model Evaluation System: Facilitating the Use of Contemporary Satellite and Other Observations for Evaluating Regional Climate Model Fidelity
Duane Edward Waliser, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and J. Kim, C. Mattman, C. Goodale, A. Hart, P. Zimdars, and P. Lean

 
371
The Meteorology of Kilimanjaro Over One Year At One Kilometer
Jonathan G. Fairman Jr., The University of Alabama in Huntsville, Huntsville, AL; and U. S. Nair and S. A. Christopher

 
372
Development of Decision Support Systems for Estimating Salinity Intrusion Effects Due to Climate Change on the South Carolina and Georgia Coast
Paul Conrads, USGS, Columbia, SC; and E. Roehl Jr., D. L. Tufford, G. Carbone, K. Dow, and J. C. Whitehead

 
373
Elevation Correction and Interpolation Bias in Regional Climate Model Data Analysis
Seth A. McGinnis, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. A. Thompson, D. W. Nychka, and L. O. Mearns

 
374
Detection of Global Warming Reverse-Reaction Coastal Cooling Along the Entire California Coast
Pedro sequera, City College of New York, New York, NY; and J. Gonzalez, R. Bornstein, and A. T. Ghebreegziabher

 
376
Validation of the Uniparthenope ARW-WRF Model for a Convective Case Study

 
377
Towards An Understanding of the Impact of Land Surface Heterogeneity on Regional Climate in the New York-New Jersey Region
June Yeung, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ; and J. Smith, M. L. Baeck, and G. Villarini

 
378
Climate Change in the Casco Bay and Great Bay Watersheds: Past, Present, and Future
Elizabeth Ann Burakowski, Institute for the Study of Earth, Oceans, and Space/University of New Hampshire, Durham, NH; and C. P. Wake, K. Hayhoe, A. M. K. Stoner, S. J. Miller, and C. Bohlen

 
379
Future Hydrological Predictions: Does Dynamical Downscaling Add Any Value?
Moetasim Ashfaq, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN; and S. C. Kao and N. S. Diffenbaugh


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break

4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Wednesday, 25 January 2012

Recording files available
Session 10
Changes in Extremes Under Climate Change II
Location: Room 355 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Kenneth E. Kunkel, Cooperative Institute for Climate and Satellites
  4:00 PM
Climate Change Impacts on Probable Maximum Precipitation
Kenneth E. Kunkel, Cooperative Institute for Climate and Satellites, Asheville, NC; and D. R. Easterling
  4:15 PM
Quantifying Future Changes in Extreme Precipitation Events Based on Resolved Synoptic Atmospheric Patterns
Xiang Gao, MIT, cambridge, MA; and C. A. Schlosser, M. Weber, E. Monier, and D. Entekhabi
  4:30 PM
Recent Trends of Tropical Cyclone Rainfall Over North Atlantic and North Pacific
Yaping Zhou, Morgan State University, Greenbelt, MD; and W. K. M. Lau
  5:00 PM
Long-Term Changes in Typhoon Intensity Over the Sub-Region of the Western North Pacific
Doo-Sun R. Park, Seoul National University, Seoul, South Korea; and C. H. Ho

  5:15 PM
Recording files available
Joint Session 15
Land Surface-Atmosphere Interactions III
Location: Room 350/351 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the 26th Conference on Hydrology; and the 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Cochairs: Yongkang Xue, University of California; Randal D. Koster, NASA/GSFC
  4:00 PM
Modeling the Impact of Irrigation on Great Plains Precipitation
Keith J. Harding, University of Minnesota, St. Paul, MN; and P. K. Snyder
 
J15.4
The Summer Precipitation Responses to Local Soil Moisture Anomaly As Simulated by the Community Atmosphere Model (CAM): A Study in North America

  5:00 PM
Toward Improving Precipitation Analysis Over North America Using An Atmospheric Regional Ensemble Prediction System
Christophe Lavaysse, McGill University, Montreal, Quebec, Canada; and M. Carrera, M. K. Yau, B. Davison, N. Gagnon, S. Bélair, and M. Charron

  5:15 PM
The radiative forcing of fires; Global model estimates for past, present and future
Daniel Ward, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY; and S. Kloster, N. Mahowald, B. Rogers, J. Randerson, and P. Hess

4:00 PM-5:45 PM: Wednesday, 25 January 2012

Recording files available
Themed Joint Session 20
Data Mining, Prediction, and Predictability of the Climate System
Location: Room 242 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the 10th Conference on Artificial Intelligence Applications to Environmental Science; the 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; and the 21st Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences )
Cochairs: Scott Sellars, Univ. of California; Alex J. Cannon, MSC
  4:00 PM
Validation of the CMIP5 Climate Models Using Network Analysis
Ilias Foudalis, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and A. Bracco and C. Dovrolis
 
TJ20.2
Finding Time-Periods of Abrupt Climate Change: A Data Mining Approach

  4:15 PM
Automated Tracking and Analysis of Convective Weather Systems Using the Binary Baddeley Image Metric
Benjamin R. J. Schwedler, Purdue Univ., West Lafayette, IN; and M. E. Baldwin
  4:30 PM
Parameter Sensitivity and Optmization in Climate Models
Annalisa Bracco, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and J. D. Neelin, H. Luo, J. C. McWilliams, and J. Meyerson
  5:00 PM
A Comparison of Nonlinear and Linear Statistical Downscaling for Future Climate
Carlos Felipe Gaitan, Univ. of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada; and W. W. Hsieh and A. J. Cannon
  5:15 PM
An Application of a Newly Developed Machine Learning Technique for Predicting Climate-Meningitis Seasonal Outlook Over West Africa
Isaac K. Tetteh, North Carolina State Univ., Raleigh, NC; and D. L. Gonzalez II, Z. Chen, N. F. Samatova, and F. H. M. Semazzi

5:30 PM-6:30 PM: Wednesday, 25 January 2012


Awards Banquet Reception in the Exhibit Hall

7:00 PM-10:00 PM: Wednesday, 25 January 2012


92nd AMS Awards Banquet

Thursday, 26 January 2012

8:30 AM-9:45 AM: Thursday, 26 January 2012

Recording files available
Session 11A
Past and Current Climate
Location: Room 354 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Edward O'Lenic, NOAA/NWS
  8:30 AM
California Precipitation During the Younger Dryas: Using Geologically Brief Climate Changes to Help Understand California's Future Climate
Gerald L. Potter, Univ. of California Davis, Davis, CA; and J. Oster, I. Montanez, B. Otto-Bliesner, and N. Rosenbloom
  9:00 AM
The Climate of 2011 in Historical Perspective
Jake Crouch, NOAA/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and D. S. Arndt, R. Heim, K. Gleason, J. Blunden, and A. Sanchez-Lugo
  9:15 AM
NOAA's 1981–2010 Climate Normals
Anthony Arguez, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and I. Durre, S. Applequist, R. S. Vose, M. F. Squires, and X. Yin
  9:30 AM
Links Between Intraseasonal Northern Hemisphere Circulation Anomalies and Extreme Weather Events During Winter 2010-2011
Lance F. Bosart, University at Albany, Albany, NY; and H. M. Archambault and J. M. Cordeira
Recording files available
Session 11B
Climate Prediction From Decadal to Centennial Timescales
Location: Room 355 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Nat Johnson, Univ. of Hawaii
  8:45 AM
Decadal Prediction of North Atlantic Variability
Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes, Institut Català de Ciències del Clima, Barcelona, Spain; and H. Du, J. García-Serrano, V. Guémas, F. Lienert, D. Volpi, and C. A. S. Coelho
  9:00 AM
Relative Outcomes of Climate Change Mitigation: Temperature Versus Sea Level Rise
Gerald A. Meehl, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and A. Hu and C. Tebaldi

  9:15 AM
Using Coupled Climate Models for Predictions of Angular Momentum
David A. Salstein, AER, Lexington, MA; and K. J. Quinn and R. Abarca del Rio
Recording files available
Joint Session 16
Regional Climate Modeling and/or Downscaling of Climate Variability and Change for Local Scale Assessment I
Location: Room 350/351 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the 26th Conference on Hydrology; and the 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Cochairs: Christopher L. Castro, University of Arizona; Ruby Leung, PNNL; Dennis Lettenmaier, Univ. of Washington; Francina Dominguez, Univ. of Arizona
  8:30 AM
Added Value Generated by Regional Climate Models [INVITED]
Hans von Storch, Helmholtz Zentrum Geesthacht, Geesthacht, Germany; and F. Feser
  9:30 AM
Regional Climate Change Across the Continental U.S. Projected From Downscaling IPCC AR5 Simulations
Tanya L. Otte, EPA, Research Triangle Park, NC; and C. G. Nolte, M. J. Otte, G. Faluvegi, and D. Shindell

9:00 AM-12:00 PM: Thursday, 26 January 2012


Exhibit Hours

9:45 AM-11:00 AM: Thursday, 26 January 2012


Poster Session 4
Poster Session IV
Location: Hall E (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Michelle L'Heureux, NOAA/CPC
 
436
Effects of a Mass Flux Shallow Convection Parameterization in Global and Regional Models
Jihyeon Jang, Yonsei University, Seoul, South Korea; and S. Y. Hong

 
437
An Evaluation of Surface Temperature Variability in CMIP5 Simulations
Eugene Cordero, San Jose State University, San Jose, CA; and P. T. Brown and S. A. Mauget

 
439
Seasonal Forecast of the North Atlantic Power Dissipation Index (PDI) and Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE)
Gabriele Villarini, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ; and G. A. Vecchi

 
440
Sources of Uncertainty in Future Changes in Local Precipitation
Dave Rowell, United Kingdom Meteorological Office, Exeter, Devon, United Kingdom

Poster PDF (746.1 kB)

 
441
Southeastern US Daily Temperature Ranges and Predictability with ENSO
Daniel Gilford, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and M. L. Griffin and S. R. Smith

 
442
A Reduced-Variable View of GCM Projections of Mid-Latitude Storm Tracks
Christina Karamperidou, Columbia University, New York, NY; and J. Booth and U. Lall

 
443
Role of Unforced Multidecadal Variability on 21st Century Surface Temperature Projections
Patrick T. Brown, Duke University, Durham, NC; and E. Cordero

 
Enhanced Radiational Flux to Space From Global Precipitation Increase

 
Evaluation of Satellite-Related Global Climate Datasets

 
444
 
445
Seasonal Prediction by ECMWF System 3 and NCEP CFSv2 Retrospective Forecast: Northern Hemisphere Winter
Hye-Mi Kim, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and P. Webster and J. Curry

 
446
Variations in Teleconnections and Trends Over the Southern Hemisphere Due to Anthropogenic Changes in Cloud Cover
Stefan Liess, University of Minnesota, Saint Paul, MN; and A. Kumar and V. Kumar

 
447
Impacts of Climate Change on California Ecosystems As Modeled by the Terrestrial Observation and Prediction System (TOPS)
Katherine Pitts, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and M. Little, M. Loewenstein, L. Iraci, C. Milesi, C. Schmidt, and J. W. Skiles

 
448
Reconstruction of Daily Precipitation Data for Climate Trend Detection and Extreme Precipitation Analysis
Hamed Ashouri, University of California, Irvine, CA; and K. Hsu, S. Sorooshian, and J. Y. Yu

 
449
Trends in Cloud Water Path and Total Cloud Amount Over China
Xingyu Li, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China

Poster PDF (546.2 kB)

 
450
AIRS and Climate
Joao Teixeira, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and H. H. Aumann, E. Fetzer, and T. Pagano


Joint Poster Session 5
Land Surface-Atmosphere Interactions
Location: Hall E (New Orleans Convention Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the 26th Conference on Hydrology; and the 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Cochairs: Yongkang Xue, University of California; Randal D. Koster, NASA/GSFC
 
389
Revisiting GLACE: The Role of the Land Surface in Land-Atmosphere Coupling
Ruth E. Comer, United Kingdom Meteorological Office, Exeter, United Kingdom; and M. Best

Poster PDF (962.4 kB)

 
391
Land-Atmosphere Coupling Strength in EC-Earth Recent Past and Future Climate Simulations
Craig R. Ferguson, The University of Tokyo Institute of Industrial Science, Tokyo, Japan; and B. J. J. M. van den Hurk, R. Bintanja, and E. F. Wood

 
392
Quantifying the Effect of Land Use Change on Regional Climate Patterns in the Southwestern US
Kremena Darmenova, Northrop Grumman Corporation, Chantilly, VA; and D. Apling and G. Higgins

 
393
The Urban Influence on Heavy Precipitation Events in the Southeastern United States
Anna M. Trevino, Louisiana State University, Baton Rouge, LA; and R. V. Rohli

 
396
Vegetation Dynamics and Climate Variability in West Africa
Guoqiong Song, University of California, Los Angeles, CA; and Y. K. Xue

 
398
The Relationship Between Climate and the Mountain Pine Beetle in Colorado
Sarah Tessendorf, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and E. Robitschek, J. Mackaro, and D. Gochis

 
399
Precipitation Variation Associated with Urban Development of the Washington DC Metropolitan Region
Cassie A. Stearns, Howard University, Beltsville, MD; and E. Joseph

 
Poster 400 has been moved. New paper number J15.4A

 
401
Annual Land Cover Change Impacts on Mount Kilimanjaro
Jonathan G. Fairman Jr., Univ. of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and U. S. Nair and S. A. Christopher

 
402
The Impact of Soil Initialization and Land Use Land Cover on Subseasonal Forecasting in Northern and Central Mexico
Arturo I. Quintanar, Centro de Ciencias de la Atmosfera UNAM, Mexico City, Distrito Federal, Mexico; and B. Martinez-Lopez and J. Zavala-Hidalgo


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break

11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Thursday, 26 January 2012

Recording files available
Session 12A
Climate Prediction
Location: Room 354 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Mike Halpert, NOAA Climate Prediction Center
  11:00 AM
New Methods for Estimating the Potential Predictability of Global Seasonal Surface Temperature
Xia Feng, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA; and T. DelSole and P. R. Houser
 
12A.2
Impacts of the Ocean Surface Processes in the Variability of the Large-Scale Flow

  11:15 AM
Convergence of atmospheric wave activity at T511 in high-resolution simulations of global circulation
Abraham Solomon, Center for Ocean-Land-Atmosphere Studies, Calverton, MD; and B. Cash and J. Lu
  11:30 AM
Fine-Resolution Regional Climate Model Simulations of Tropical Cyclones in the South Pacific
Kevin J.E. Walsh, University of Melbourne, Parkville, Australia; and T. R. Knutson, C. Kerr, S. T. Garner, and J. Katzfey
Recording files available
Session 12B
Tropical Cyclones and Climate
Location: Room 355 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Christopher Landsea, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/National Hurricane Center
  11:00 AM
The Atlantic Basin Hurricane Database Re-Analysis for the Decade of the 1930s
Christopher Landsea, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/National Hurricane Center, Miami, FL
  11:15 AM
Fewer future hurricanes: why?
Megan S. Gentry, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and G. Lackmann
  11:30 AM
Local and Remote Influences on Atlantic Hurricane Potential Intensity
Suzana J. Camargo, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory of Columbia University, Palisades, NY; and M. Ting and Y. Kushnir
  11:45 AM
Impacts of Climate Variability on North Atlantic Tropical Cyclones Tracks
Angela J. Colbert, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and B. J. Soden and G. A. Vecchi
Recording files available
Joint Session 17
Regional Climate Modeling and/or Downscaling of Climate Variability and Change for Local Scale Assessment II
Location: Room 350/351 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the 26th Conference on Hydrology; and the 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Cochairs: Christopher L. Castro, University of Arizona; Ruby Leung, PNNL; Dennis Lettenmaier, Univ. of Washington; Francina Dominguez, Univ. of Arizona
  11:30 AM
Ensemble Downscaling of Winter Seasonal Forecasts
Raymond W. Arritt, Iowa State University, Ames, IA; and A. J. Ansorge and L. L. DeHaan
  11:45 AM
Can a Regional Climate Model Improve the Ability to Forecast the North American Monsoon
Christopher L. Castro, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and H. I. Chang, F. Dominguez, and C. Carrillo

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Thursday, 26 January 2012


Lunch Break

T. N. Krishnamurti Symposium Luncheon
Location: Room 345 (New Orleans Convention Center )

1:30 PM-3:00 PM: Thursday, 26 January 2012

Recording files available
Joint Session 4
Technology Supporting Earth Science Information
Location: Room 357 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the 28th Conference on Interactive Information Processing Systems (IIPS); and the 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Cochairs: Eileen Shea, NCDC; Nazila Merati, Univ. of Washington
  1:30 PM
A Case Study Analyzing Climate Model Agricultural Decision Support
Archer L. Batcheller, Northrop Grumman Corporation, Bellevue, NE; and F. VanWijngaarden
  1:45 PM
Automated Detection of Gap Wind and Ocean Upwelling Events in Central American Gulf Regions
Xiang Li, University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and D. K. Smith and K. Keiser
  2:00 PM
Communicating Arctic Science
Nancy N. Soreide, NOAA/PMEL, Seattle, WA; and J. E. Overland, J. A. Richter-Menge, H. Eicken, H. Wiggins, and J. Calder
  2:15 PM
GAIA–A Systems Approach to Manage Climate Disruption Risks in Public Health and Security
Larry J. Paxton, Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Lab, Laurel, MD; and G. Fountain, M. Weiss, S. Babin, N. Bos, M. Nix, C. K. Pikas, G. Romeo, R. Schaefer, S. Simpkins, S. Strong, E. Sultanik, and W. H. Swartz
  2:30 PM
Event-Driven Data Management and Processing Using An Integrated Rule Oriented Data System (iRODS)
Kenneth Galluppi, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ; and R. W. Moore, L. Brieger, B. R. Nelson, and A. Hall
Recording files available
Session 13A
Tropical Climate Variability II
Location: Room 354 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Michelle L'Heureux, NOAA/CPC
  1:30 PM
The Effect of ENSO on Typhoon Landfall Via Changes in Genesis and Tracks
Emmi Yonekura, Columbia University, New York, NY; and T. M. Hall
  2:00 PM
Structure and Variances of Equatorial Zonal Circulations in a Multimodel Ensemble
Bin Yu, AES, Toronto, ON, Canada; and F. W. Zwiers, G. J. Boer, and M. Ting
  2:15 PM
Decadal Change in the Relationship Between ENSO and North Pacific Variability
Sae-Rim Yeo, Seoul National University, Seoul, South Korea; and K. Y. Kim and S. W. Yeh
  2:30 PM
Quantifying the Environmental Memory of Tropical Cyclones: Lingering Footprint or Climate Amnesia?
Benjamin Schenkel, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and R. E. Hart
  2:45 PM
Natural Variations of Central Pacific El Niño: Statistical Evidence
Jin-Soo Kim, Seoul National University, Seoul, South Korea; and K. Y. Kim and S. W. Yeh
 
Dominate Atmospheric Circulation and Moisture Transport Features for East African Rainfall Patterns

Recording files available
Session 13B
Arctic and High Latitude Climate Variability II
Location: Room 355 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Xiangdong Zhang, University of Alaska
  1:30 PM
The Pacific and Atlantic Seesaw and the Bering Strait
Aixue Hu, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and G. Meehl, W. Han, and A. Abe-Ouchi
  1:45 PM
Decadal Variability of the NAO–Introducing An Augmented NAO Index
Yi-Hui Wang, Univ. of California, Irvine, CA; and G. Magnusdottir, N. J. Matthewman, H. Stern, Y. Yu, and X. Tian
  2:00 PM
Physical Mechanisms of the European Snow Cover Long-Term Variation
Yoojin Kim, Seoul National University, Seoul, South Korea; and K. Y. Kim and B. M. Kim
  2:30 PM
Recording files available
Joint Session 18
Regional Climate Modeling and/or Downscaling of Climate Variability and Change for Local Scale Assessment III
Location: Room 350/351 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the 26th Conference on Hydrology; and the 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Cochairs: Christopher L. Castro, University of Arizona; Ruby Leung, PNNL; Dennis Lettenmaier, Univ. of Washington; Francina Dominguez, Univ. of Arizona
 
J18.1
An Overview of High-Latitude Specific Land Processes in the Canadian RCM and Assessment of Canadian Water Resources in a Changing Climate [INVITED]

  1:30 PM
High-Resolution Simulation of South Florida's Summer Rainfall
Roque Vinicio Céspedes, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and B. J. Soden, A. C. Clement, J. Obeysekera, C. A. Mattocks, and R. L. Walko
  1:45 PM
Quantifying the Likelihood of Regional Climate Change and Their Impacts: A Hybridized Approach
C. Adam Schlosser, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and K. Strzepek, X. Gao, C. Arndt, A. Gueneau, A. Sokolov, C. E. Forest, G. Yohe, J. Strzepek, S. Robinson, B. Boehlert, J. Neumann, and J. Thurlow
  2:00 PM
Impacts of Alternative Land Management on Northern Great Plains Hydroclimate
William J. Capehart, South Dakota School of Mines, Rapid City, SD; and D. F. D'Amico, P. A. Norton, J. F. Stamm, V. Kovalskyy, and G. Henebry
  2:15 PM
CWRF Downscaling Prediction of the U.S. Terrestrial Hydrology
Xin-Zhong Liang, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and M. Xu, S. Su, L. Chen, and X. Yuan
  2:45 PM
Preferences Among Hydrologic Models for Studies Involving Climate Change?
Levi D. Brekke, U.S. Bureau of Reclamation, Denver, CO

3:00 PM-3:05 PM: Thursday, 26 January 2012


Registration Closes

3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Thursday, 26 January 2012


Coffee Break

Meet the President

3:30 PM-5:00 PM: Thursday, 26 January 2012

Recording files available
Session 14A
Arctic and High Latitude Climate Variability III
Location: Room 354 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Xiangdong Zhang, University of Alaska
  3:45 PM
Detecting Regional Signature of Climate Variability and Change in the Beaufort-Chukchi Seas
Xiangdong Zhang, University of Alaska Fairbanks, Fairbanks, AK; and J. Zhang, W. Tao, and J. R. Krieger
 
14A.3
Arctic Sea Ice Snowmelt Onset Dates Derived From Satellite Passive Microwave for 1979-2010

  4:30 PM
Recording files available
Session 14B
Clouds and Radiation
Location: Room 355 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Derek J. Posselt, Univ. of Michigan
  3:30 PM
Theory and Observations of Intraseasonal Oscillations and Equitorial Waves
Jorgen Frederiksen, CSIRO, Aspendale, Victoria, Australia; and H. Lin
  4:15 PM
Object-Based Evaluation of Deep Convective Cloud Systems in the NASA GEOS-5 Model
Derek J. Posselt, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI; and C. Y. Hsu, A. Jongeward, and G. L. Potter
  4:30 PM
Comparison of Annual Cycles of Earth Radiation
G. Louis Smith, Science Systems and Applications, Inc., Hampton, VA; and P. E. Mlynczak and G. L. Potter
  4:45 PM
Seasonal Cycles of Cloud Forcing of Radiation At the Surface
Pamela E. Mlynczak, Science Systems and Applications, Inc., Hampton, VA; and G. L. Smith
Recording files available
Joint Session 19
Regional Climate Modeling and/or Downscaling of Climate Variability and Change for Local Scale Assessment IV
Location: Room 350/351 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the 26th Conference on Hydrology; and the 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Cochairs: Christopher L. Castro, University of Arizona; Ruby Leung, PNNL; Dennis Lettenmaier, Univ. of Washington; Francina Dominguez, Univ. of Arizona
 
J19.1
The CONVEX Project–Using Observational Evidence and Process Understanding to Improve Predictions of Extreme Rainfall Change [INVITED]

  3:30 PM
Drought and Wetness Conditions in USA From a High Resolution Downscaled Climate
Xingang Fan, Western Kentucky University, Bowling Green, KY; and L. Chen, Z. Ma, G. Russell, and Z. Fan
  3:45 PM
Simulated Change in Flash Flood Occurrence Frequency Under Climatic Change
Theresa M. Carpenter, Hydrologic Research Center, San Diego, CA; and K. P. Georgakakos

  4:00 PM
The Simulation of Heavy Lake-Effect Snowstorms Across the Great Lakes Basin Using a Regional Climate Model (RegCM4)
Azar Zarrin, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and M. Notaro and S. Vavrus

  4:45 PM
Error Correction of Precipitation Extremes: Performance and Implications for Scenarios
Matthias Themessl, University of Graz, Graz, Austria; and T. Mendlik and A. Gobiet

5:00 PM-5:05 PM: Thursday, 26 January 2012


AMS 92nd Annual Meeting Adjourns