92nd American Meteorological Society Annual Meeting (January 22-26, 2012)

Session 6 Climate Prediction From Intraseasonal to Seasonal Timescales

Tuesday, 24 January 2012: 3:30 PM-5:30 PM
Room 354 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
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Chair:  Wayne Higgins, NOAA Climate Prediction Center
Papers:
  3:30 PM
6.1
A Framework for Incorporating MJO and ENSO Information Into Probabilistic Extended Range Forecasts
Nat Johnson, Univ. of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and E. E. Riddle, S. B. Feldstein, M. L'Heureux, D. C. Collins, M. Stoner, and S. P. Xie
Recorded Presentation

  3:45 PM
6.2
Forecasting the Number of Extreme Daily Events on Seasonal Timescales
Emily Hamilton, Met Office, Exeter, Devon, United Kingdom; and R. Eade, R. J. Graham, A. A. Scaife, D. M. Smith, A. Maidens, and C. MacLachlan
Recorded Presentation

  4:00 PM
6.3
Seasonal Prediction of West African Precipitation: A Physical Approach
Kerry H. Cook, The University of Texas, Austin, TX
Recorded Presentation

  4:15 PM
6.4
How Well Can We Predict the Indian Ocean Dipole Teleconnections?
Sally Langford, Centre for Australian Weather & Climate Research, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia; and H. Hendon
Recorded Presentation

 
6.5
Contribution of the Autumn Tibetan Plateau Snow Cover to Seasonal Prediction of North American Winter Temperature

  4:30 PM
6.5A
Recent and abrupt shifts in regional climate and their link to low-frequency changes in the tropical Pacific Ocean
Bradfield Lyon, International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI/Columbia University), Palisades, NY; and D. G. Dewitt
Recorded Presentation

  4:45 PM
6.6
Prospects for Improving CFSv2 Seasonal Forecasts of the Wintertime AO by Utilizing Relationships with Eurasian Snow Cover
Emily E. Riddle, Wyle Information Systems, Camp Springs, MD; and A. H. Butler, J. Cohen, J. C. Furtado, and A. Kumar
Recorded Presentation

  5:00 PM
6.7
How Potentially Predictable Is Northern European Winter a Season Ahead?
Chris K. Folland, United Kingdom Meteorological Office, Exeter, Devon, United Kingdom; and A. A. Scaife, J. Lindesay, D. B. Stephenson, and E. Hamilton
Recorded Presentation

  5:15 PM
6.8
A New Snow Index for Improved Arctic Oscillation Prediction
Justin E. Jones, AER, Lexington, MA; and J. Cohen
Recorded Presentation

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