92nd American Meteorological Society Annual Meeting (January 22-26, 2012)

Monday, 23 January 2012: 12:00 AM
Weather Prediction for Effective Decisions in Energy Systems
Room 345 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Emil Constantinescu, Argonne National Laboratory, Argonne, IL

We present a computational framework for integrating a state-of-the-art numerical weather prediction (NWP) model in stochastic unit commitment/energy dispatch formulations that account for wind power uncertainty. We first enhance the NWP model with an ensemble-based uncertainty quantification strategy implemented in a distributed-memory parallel computing architecture. We discuss computational issues arising in the implementation of the framework and validate the model using real wind-speed data obtained from a set of meteorological stations. We build a simulated power system to demonstrate the developments.

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