Climate-Sensitive Water Demand Forecasting: New Tools for Water Managers
Despite the dynamic nature of water demand, the majority of water suppliers still use simplistic calculations based on population projections and historic water demand to simulate future water demand patterns. We will present a new, scenario-based planning tool that integrates many water demand drivers, including climate change, into a simulation of California's future urban water use to the year 2100.
The Urban Water Demand to 2100 model will make it easier for state agencies, regional planning organizations, and individual water utilities to explore scenarios of future water use and identify possible response options. The model can be customized to reflect local or regional population projections, development patterns, water uses, energy requirements, and expected savings from conservation and efficiency measures. Scenario-based planning can help compare potential futures and different response strategies.