
- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting

- Indicates an Award Winner
Saturday, 1 February 2014
7:30 AM-10:00 AM: Saturday, 1 February 2014
Registration for Student Conference and Short Courses
8:30 AM-5:00 PM: Saturday, 1 February 2014
9:00 AM-9:30 AM: Saturday, 1 February 2014
Session
1
9:00 AM
Welcome from the Student Conference Planning Committee: Rosimar Rios-Berrios, Kelsey Mulder and Ethan Peck, Student Conference Co-Chairs
9:15 AM
Welcome from the AMS, Dr. J. Marshall Shepherd, President of the AMS
9:30 AM-10:30 AM: Saturday, 1 February 2014
10:30 AM-11:30 AM: Saturday, 1 February 2014
Session
3
Extreme Weather Events
Location: Georgia Ballroom 3 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Chair:
Joshua J. Alland, SUNY
11:30 AM-12:00 PM: Saturday, 1 February 2014
12:00 PM-1:15 PM: Saturday, 1 February 2014
Networking Lunch
Location: Georgia Ballroom 3 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
1:15 PM-3:15 PM: Saturday, 1 February 2014
Session
5
Conversations with Professionals
(Each Discussion will be 15 minutes, then 5 minutes for rotations)
Location: Rooms C207, C209, C210, C211, C212, C213, C301, and C302 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Cochairs:
Samantha A. Tushaus, University of Michigan;
Logan C. Dawson, Purdue University
3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Saturday, 1 February 2014
3:15 PM-3:30 PM: Saturday, 1 February 2014
3:30 PM-4:30 PM: Saturday, 1 February 2014
Session
6
Weather Outside the Lines
Location: Georgia Ballroom 3 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Chair:
Nicholas E. Rothfuss, Central Michigan University
4:30 PM-5:00 PM: Saturday, 1 February 2014
5:30 PM-7:30 PM: Saturday, 1 February 2014
Career Fair and Graduate School Reception
Sunday, 2 February 2014
7:30 AM-9:00 AM: Sunday, 2 February 2014
Registration for Short Courses and Conference for Early Career Professionals
8:30 AM-9:20 AM: Sunday, 2 February 2014
Session
7
Keynote Speaker
Location: Georgia Ballroom 3 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Chair:
Jennifer C. DeHart, University of Washington
8:45 AM
Message from the Edward N. Lorenz Teaching Excellence Award Winner. Dr. Daniel Keyser, University of Albany, Albany, NY
8:30 AM-4:30 PM: Sunday, 2 February 2014
8:30 AM-5:00 PM: Sunday, 2 February 2014
9:00 AM-6:00 PM: Sunday, 2 February 2014
Registration Open for Annual Meeting
9:20 AM-9:30 AM: Sunday, 2 February 2014
9:30 AM-10:40 AM: Sunday, 2 February 2014
Panel Discussion
2
9:30 AM
* Rotation 1 is from 9:30-10:00am & Rotation 2 is from 10:10-10:40am *
Panel Discussion
2A
Panel a: Academia
Location: Georgia Ballroom 3 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Moderator:
Diamilet Pérez-Betancourt, MIT
Panel Discussion
2B
Panel B: Private Sector
Location: Room C301 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Moderator:
Adam H. Turchioe, University at Albany/SUNY
Panel Discussion
2C
Panel C: Public Sector
Location: Room C302 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Moderator:
Carl Jones, Florida State University
10:45 AM-11:15 AM: Sunday, 2 February 2014
11:15 AM-12:00 PM: Sunday, 2 February 2014
12:00 PM-12:15 PM: Sunday, 2 February 2014
Session
Closing Remarks
Location: Georgia Ballroom 3 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
12:00 PM-4:00 PM: Sunday, 2 February 2014
12:30 PM-5:00 PM: Sunday, 2 February 2014
Workshop
12:30 PM
Weather Risk 101: Anjelina Belakovskaia
12:45 PM
Weather to Risk It or Not: The Fundamentals of Weather/Climate and Risk Management: Ian M. Giammanco
1:00 PM
Depicting Natural Hazard Risks in Catatropic Rick Modeling: Tim Doggett
1:15 PM
Rethinking Weather: Paul Walsh
1:00 PM-1:15 PM: Sunday, 2 February 2014
Keynote Speaker Session
1
Opening Remarks
Location: Room C206 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Speaker:
J. Marshall Shepherd, University of Georgia
Cochairs:
Erik S. Pytlak, Bonneville Power Administration;
Matthew C. Lacke, Jefferson County Department of Health
Opening remarks from co-chairs of the Second Annual AMS Conference for Early Career Professionals and AMS President J. Marshall Shepherd
1:00 PM-5:00 PM: Sunday, 2 February 2014
1:15 PM-3:00 PM: Sunday, 2 February 2014
Session
2A
Participants will divide into small rotating groups, speaking with other early, mid- and late-career professionals on topics related to skills and strategies necessary for establishing themselves in their new career.
Session
2B
Participants will divide into small rotating groups, speaking with other early, mid- and late-career professionals on topics related to skills and strategies necessary for establishing themselves in their new career.
Session
2C
Participants will divide into small rotating groups, speaking with other early, mid- and late-career professionals on topics related to skills and strategies necessary for establishing themselves in their new career.
Session
2D
Participants will divide into small rotating groups, speaking with other early, mid- and late-career professionals on topics related to skills and strategies necessary for establishing themselves in their new career.
2:00 PM-4:00 PM: Sunday, 2 February 2014
3:00 PM-3:15 PM: Sunday, 2 February 2014
Coffee Break
Location: The Georgia World Congress Center
3:00 PM-4:00 PM: Sunday, 2 February 2014
Newcomer’s Welcome and Informational Exchange
Location: Room C111 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
3:15 PM-4:00 PM: Sunday, 2 February 2014
Panel Discussion
1
Supporting AMS Programs and Opportunities
Location: Room C206 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Moderator:
Andrew L. Molthan, NASA/MSFC
Panelists:
William Gail, Global Weather Corp.;
Keith Seitter, Executive Director, American Meteorological Society;
Kenneth Carey, Earth Resources Technology, Inc.;
Christa D. Peters-Lidard, NASA/GSFC
Members of the AMS leadership team will participate in a Town Hall forum with conference attendees, providing guidance on how the AMS supports early career professionals. Attendees will have the opportunity for an open question and answer period with AMS panelists.
4:00 PM-4:45 PM: Sunday, 2 February 2014
Panel Discussion
2
Conversations with Professionals
Location: Room C206 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Moderator:
Matthew C. Lacke, Jefferson County Department of Health
Panelists:
Russ S. Schumacher, Colorado State University;
Dan Gallagher, Baron Services, Inc.;
Sarah M. Dillingham, The Weather Channel;
Paul T. Schlatter, NOAA/NWS
Panel discussion in Town Hall format where panelists will provide background regarding their early career experiences and offer guidance to attendees through an open question and answer session.
4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Sunday, 2 February 2014
94th Annual Review, New Fellows, and Featured Awards
Location: Room C302 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
4:45 PM-5:00 PM: Sunday, 2 February 2014
Keynote Speaker Session
3
Closing Remarks
Location: Room C206 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Cochairs:
Erik S. Pytlak, Bonneville Power Administration;
Matthew C. Lacke, Jefferson County Department of Health
Closing remarks from conference chairs of the Second Annual AMS Conference for Early Career Professionals
5:00 PM-6:30 PM: Sunday, 2 February 2014
Poster Session
1

S1

S4

S23
S76
Variability in Atmospheric Thermodynamic Soundings (VATS): The Drought of Summer 2012, Revisited
Sonia Lasher-Trapp, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and C. L. Ambriz, J. L. Bauer, S. C. Buehler, S. J. Childs, S. E. Chun, H. Fang, R. R. Fridley, V. J. Gruber, A. E. Hake, S. M. Haley, C. T. Hardin, T. D. Heckstall, C. S. Lewis, K. B. McEnany,
B. M. Owen, M. R. Price, H. P. Taylor, C. S. Tully, N. K. Vezina, and J. R. Wilson

S90

S135

S140
S172
Characteristics and Anthropogenic Indications of Blue Hole Five, San Salvador, Bahamas
Tashiana C. Osborne, Saint Cloud State University, St. Cloud, MN; and E. Flynn, N. Spano, M. J. Berman, K. Brady, P. Gnivecki, A. Michelson, A. Myrbo, and L. E. Park
5:45 PM-8:00 PM: Sunday, 2 February 2014
Fellows Reception
Location: Room C301 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Monday, 3 February 2014
7:30 AM-5:30 PM: Monday, 3 February 2014
Registration Continues through February 5
9:00 AM-10:30 AM: Monday, 3 February 2014
Plenary Session
1
14th Presidential Forum: Extreme Weather, Climate, and the Built Environment: New Perspectives, Opportunities, and Tools
Location: Thomas Murphy Ballroom (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Moderator:
Margaret Davidson, NOAA/Office for Coastal Management
Panelists:
Leslie Chapman-Henderson, Federal Alliance for Safe Homes;
David Perkes, Mississippi State Univ.;
Ellis Stanley, Hammerman & Gainer International, Inc.;
David W. Titley, Penn State University;
Peter Kareiva, The Nature Conservancy
Speaker:
Andy Revkin, Dot Earth blogger, The New York Times, and Senior Fellow for Environmental Understanding, Pace University
9:00 AM-11:00 AM: Monday, 3 February 2014
10:30 AM-11:00 AM: Monday, 3 February 2014
Space Weather Coffee Break—Sponsored by Ball Aerospace
Location: Room C110 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
11:00 AM-11:45 AM: Monday, 3 February 2014
11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Monday, 3 February 2014
Session
1
11:00 AM
1.1
The Fine-Scale Structure of the Trade Wind Cumuli over Barbados—The CARRIBA project (Invited Presentation)
Holger Siebert, Institute for Tropospheric Research, Leipzig, Germany; and J. Katzwinkel, L. Nuijens,
T. Schmeissner, R. Shaw, B. Stevens, F. Stratmann, B. Wehner, M. Wendisch, F. Werner, and H. Wex
Session
1
11:00 AM
Opening Remarks: Nazila Merati
Joint Session
1
Land-Atmosphere Interactions Part I
Location: Room C210 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Chair:
Randal D. Koster, NASA/GSFC
CoChair:
Yongkang Xue, University of California
"Land-climate interactions play a key role in the climate system. The land’s role in the climate system – its impact on atmospheric means
and variability across a broad range of timescales, ranging from hours to centuries, for past, present, and future climates – has been the
subject of much recent exploratory research. The meteorological, hydrological, biophysical, biogeochemical, ecosystem processes and the
boundary-layer processes that underlie the connections between climate and soil moisture, soil temperature, vegetation, snow, and frozen
soil, however, are not yet fully understood. The scarcity of relevant observations, the complexity of the underlying processes and
feedbacks, and the wide range of scales involved make the necessary investigations challenging. This session focuses on (1) interfaces
between climate, ecosystems, and the land branches of the energy, water, and carbon cycles and the impact of land processes on climate
variability and change as well as on extreme events (such as droughts and flooding); (2) dynamic, physical, and biogeochemical mechanisms by
which the land surface (e.g., soil moisture and temperature, albedo, snow, frozen soil, vegetation) influences atmospheric processes and
climate; (3) predictability associated with land-surface/atmosphere/ocean interaction and land initialization; (4)
impacts of land-cover and land use change on climate; (5) land-climate interactions in the context of climate variability and change, and (6)
application and analyses of large scale field data and observational networks (such as FLUXNET) for land/atmosphere studies. We welcome
papers addressing any of these topics. Please submit your abstract by August 1, 2013 to the AMS 94th Annual Meeting."
Session
1
Pre-college Education Initiatives I
Location: Room C109 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Cochairs:
Jeffrey A. Yuhas, Morristown-Beard School;
David W. Chapman, Okemos High School;
John Moore, AMS/AERA/BOPE
Session
1
11:00 AM
A prediction of the probability distributions of tropical cyclones tracks in the future climate around Japan: Kazue Suzuki
Session
1
Weather-Ready Nation Initiatives
Location: Georgia Ballroom 2 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Cochairs:
Douglas Hilderbrand, NOAA/NWS;
Jennifer Sprague, NOAA/NWS;
Dave Jones, StormCenter Communications, Inc.;
Kenneth Carey, Earth Resources Technology, Inc.
Weather-Ready Nation introduction and overview of initiatives such as Ambassadors and social science portfolio.
Panel Discussion
1
Welcome and Opening Addresses
Location: Room C213 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Panelists:
Rita Colwell, Univ. of Maryland;
Judith R. Qualters, CDC;
John A. Haynes, NASA;
Juli Trtanj, NOAA Oceans and Human Health Initiative
Welcome and Opening Addresses from the AMS Board on Environment and Health, CDC, NASA, and NOAA. Join to hear updates and progress from a global perspective and with the U.S. from an agency perspective.
11:00 AM
Remarks: Rita Colwell, Judith Qualters, John Haynes, Juil Trtanj
Session
1A
Presentations on analysis and forecasting techniques focusing on heavy precipitation events, flooding, and related topics.
11:00 AM
1A.1
Heavy Rainfall Prediction at Convection-Permitting Resolution over Continental China during 2013 Spring-Summer Season: Collaborative Realtime Forecast Experiment
Ming Xue, CAPS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and K. Zhu, K. Zhao,
H. Yuan, X. Zhang, Y. Zheng, D. Mao, J. Lin, and Q. Meng
Session
1A
This session will explore both the mechanisms and use of environmental information provided by citizen scientists and what motivates people to be involved in such efforts. We seek submissions covering studies of motivations to participate, engagement strategies, technology employed, and policy and decision-making applications resulting from the information. The role of social media or how information/observations can accentuate perception of a particular weather or climate event may be explored as well. Examples of citizen science programs include the National Phenology Network, CoCoRaHS, mPING, and the Drought Impact Reporter, although any project from local to national scale is encouraged to participate.
11:15 AM
1A.2
The Drought Impact Reporter as a Framework for Citizen Science
Kelly Helm Smith, National Drought Mitigation Center, Lincoln, NE; and M. D. Svoboda, H. Reges, D. Gutzmer, Q. Guan, C. C. Poulsen, R. Li, S. Owen, and M. J. Hayes
Session
1B
11:00 AM
1B.1
An Overview of the Current and Future NOAA/NWS/NCEP Operational Modeling Suite
William Lapenta, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, College Park, MD; and J. C. Derber, G. DiMego, M. B. Ek, M. Iredell, S. Moorthi, V. Tallapragada, H. L. Tolman, and Y. Zhu
Session
1B
11:00 AM
1B.1
Assessing the Socio-Economic Benefits of Meteorological and Hydrological Services
Jeffrey K. Lazo, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and G. Anderson, J. Clements, G. Fleming, H. Kootval, D. Kull, D. Letson, B. Mills, A. Perrels, C. Vaughan, and J. W. Zillman
12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Monday, 3 February 2014
12:15 PM-1:15 PM: Monday, 3 February 2014
Town Hall Meeting: #WeatherReady: Weather Warnings at the Heart of the Conversation
Location: Georgia Ballroom 2 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Everyone talks about the weather, but what does everyone do about it? Hear diverse perspectives from government, the private sector, and international agencies on how they cut through the babble to ensure weather warnings are trusted and acted upon when severe weather threatens.
For additional information, please contact Douglas Hilderbrand (douglas.hilderbrand@noaa.gov) or Christopher Vaccaro (christopher.vaccaro@noaa.gov).
Session
This Town Hall will focus on the Policy Program’s recent study on climate information needs for financial decision-making. The study examined four key topics: 1) the conditions and criteria that influence returns on investment of major financial decisions, 2) the climate sensitivity of financial decisions, particularly in the United States, 3) climate information needs of financial decision-makers, and 4) potential new mechanisms to promote collaboration between scientists and financial decision-makers. Better understanding of these four topics will help improve the capacity in the United States for near-term financial decision-making based on the best available knowledge and information relating to the climate system. As a result, the study will enable leaders in business and government to make well-informed choices that help maximize long-term economic growth and social well-being in the United States.
For additional information, please contact Paul Higgins (phiggins@ametsoc.org)
Town Hall Meeting: NOAA’s Weather Modeling Strategy
Location: Room C201 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
In the wake of recent disasters, such as Hurricane Sandy, there is a new community awareness of the operational high-performance computing needs of NOAA. In response, NOAA is investing substantial additional resources to increase its operational computing capacity. The target of a 2 petaflop machine in 2018 represents a 10-fold increase from computing resources in 2013. These resources afford a rapid and radical evolution of the operational NOAA modeling suite over the next five years. However, to make it the best end-to-end system necessitates an unprecedented coordination among the modeling, forecaster, academic, and private sector user-communities.
In an effort to foster this coordination, the AMS Board for Operational Government Meteorologists and the AMS Weather Analysis and Forecasting Committee are sponsoring a Town Hall Meeting on NOAA’s strategy for operational numerical weather prediction. In particular, the Town Hall will discuss NOAA’s strategy for applying these high performance computing resources to improve operational weather forecasting. NOAA officials will be present to explain the strategy and discuss current plans for the modeling system evolution. Special emphasis will be placed on plans to implement a global 10 km forecast system and the implementation of a CONUS storm scale ensemble. Representatives from the forecaster, academic, and private sector community will be present to discuss the opportunities and challenges the rapid evolution of the model suite presents.
For additional information, please contact Trisha Palmer (e-mail: trisha.palmer@noaa.gov.
12:15 PM
NWS Director Remarks: Louis Uccellini
12:30 PM
Lapenta Remarks: WIlliam Lapenta
1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Monday, 3 February 2014
Workshop Session
1
This workshop has two parts. First, we will have a community discussion regarding what packages, resources, tools, etc. do we need to build up the AOS Python community? Second, we will have some presentations regarding tools and methods for growing projects.
Joint Session
1
1:30 PM
J1.1
The Rapid Refresh: Operational Upgrade to Version 2 at NCEP and Further Development Toward Version 3
Stephen S. Weygandt, NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and S. G. Benjamin, M. Hu, T. G. Smirnova, J. B. Olson, C. Alexander, G. S. Manikin, E. P. James, J. M. Brown,
P. Hofmann,
D. C. Dowell, and H. Lin
1:45 PM
J1.2
The High-Resolution Rapid Refresh: Recent Model and Data Assimilation Development Towards an Operational Implementation in 2014
Curtis Alexander, NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory, Boulder, CO; and
D. C. Dowell, S. S. Weygandt, S. G. Benjamin, M. Hu, T. G. Smirnova, J. B. Olson, J. M. Brown, E. P. James, and
P. Hofmann
2:15 PM
J1.4
NCEP regional ensemble update: current systems and planned storm-scale ensembles
Jun Du, Environmental Modeling Center/NCEP/NOAA, College Park, MD; and G. DiMego, B. Zhou, D. Jovic, B. Yang, B. Ferrier, G. Manikin, M. Pyle, E. Rogers, Y. Zhu, and S. Benjamin
Session
1
Globally there is evidence of increased surface temperatures either maximum daily highs and/or reduced nighttime cooling. Papers in this session explore the different applications and explorations around the globe on this growing trend.
Joint Session
1
Road Weather Applications
Location: Room C105 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Cochairs:
James P. Koermer, Plymouth State University;
Ralph Patterson, NarwhalMet;
Paul A. Pisano, Federal Highway Administration
1:45 PM
J1.2
Drivers' Awareness of and Response to Two Significant Winter Storms Impacting Utah's Wasatch Front and the Correlation of Weather to Road Impacts During the Winter of 2012-13'
Kevin Matthew Barjenbruch, NOAA/NWS, Salt Lake City, UT; and C. M. Werner, J. Williams, R. Graham, G. Blackwelder, G. Merrill, J. P. Connelly, S. T. Jensen, and R. Patterson
Session
2
Presentations on analysis and forecasting techniques focusing on heavy precipitation events, flooding, and related topics.
Session
2
Citizen Science - Strategies for Engagement
Location: Room C107 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Chair:
Mark A. Shafer, Oklahoma Climatological Survey
CoChair:
Amanda Brennan, Carolinas Integrated Sciences and Assessments
1:45 PM
2.2A
Temperature, Citizen Science, and CoCoRaHS(T)
Benjamin L. Ruddell, Arizona State University, Mesa, AZ; and N. J. Doesken, H. Reges, N. Selover, N. Chhetri, M. Roy, and S. Jordan
Session
2
2:15 PM

2.4
Session
2
Pre-college Education Initiatives II
Location: Room C109 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Cochairs:
Jeffrey A. Yuhas, Morristown-Beard School;
David W. Chapman, Okemos High School;
John Moore, AMS/AERA/BOPE
Session
2
2:00 PM
2.3
Vulnerability and adaptation of Paris metropolitan area to future heat waves
Aude Lemonsu, Météo-France/CNRS, Toulouse, France; and V. Viguié, A. L. Beaulant, S. Hallegatte, C. Marchadier, V. Masson, G. Pigeon, J. L. Salagnac, and S. Somot
Session
2A
Cloud Structure and Properties
Location: Room C112 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Chairs:
Dan Lubin, SIO/Univ. Of California;
Armin Sorooshian, University of Arizona
2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Monday, 3 February 2014
Joint Poster Session
1

33
Poster Session
1
10thGOES-R/JPSS Posters
Location: Hall C3 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Cochairs:
Timothy J. Schmit, NOAA/NESDIS/STAR;
Gary McWilliams, JPSS Program Office/Army Research Laboratory
Posters for the 10th Annual Symposium on New Generation Operational Environmental Satellite Systems
353
The CrIMSS EDR Algorithm Assessment: Provisional Maturity and Beyond
Murty G. Divakarla, IM Systems Group, Inc., Rockville, MD; and X. Liu, D. Gu,
M. Wilson, T. Reale, S. Kizer, X. Xiong, E. Maddy, R. Ferraro, R. Knuteson, D. Hagan, X. L. Ma, F. Iturbide-Sanchez, C. Tan, N. Nalli, A. Mollner, W. Yang,
A. Gambacorta, M. Feltz, B. Sun, C. D. Barnet, and M. Goldberg
Poster Session
1
Aerosol and Cloud
Location: Hall C3 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Chair:
Sonia M. Kreidenweis, Colorado State University
poster session for Monday and Tuesday
365
Modeling aerosols and their interactions with shallow cumuli during the 2007 CHAPS field study
Manishkumar Shrivastava, PNNL, Richland, WA; and L. K. Berg, J. Fast, R. Easter, A. Laskin, E. G. Chapman, W. I. Gustafson, Jr., Y. Liu, and C. Berkowitz
368
In-Cloud Supersaturation Derived from CCN Measurements
Jack J. Lin, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and A. Nenes, L. Ahlm, M. M. Coggon, J. S. Craven, R. Flagan, A. A. Frossard, H. Jonsson, A. Metcalf, R. Modini, J. Muelmenstaedt, T. Shingler, Z. Wang, A. Sorooshian, J. H. Seinfeld, and L. M. Russell

370
373
Recent fluorescence-based measurements of biological particles with the WIBS-4A
Gavin R. McMeeking, Droplet Measurement Technologies, Boulder, CO; and G. Kok, M. D. Petters, J. Hader, T. Wright, C. H. Twohy, D. W. Toohey, P. J. DeMott, C. McCluskey, and
D. Baumgardner
Poster Session
1
411
Landslide Hazards in North Alabama: Physical Assessment, Monitoring, and Prediction
Brian Freitag, University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and A. Kaulfus, E. Anderson, Y. Wu, K. Srinivasan, U. Nair, K. Keiser, B. Howell, B. Ashmall, and D. Irwin
Poster Session
1
246
DART: Tools and Support for Ensemble Data Assimilation Research, Operations, and Education
Jeffrey Anderson, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and T. Hoar, N. Collins, K. Raeder, H. Kershaw, G. Romine, H. Liu, A. Mizzi, L. Lei,
A. Chatterjee, A. Karspeck, and N. Pedatalla
Poster Session
1
Fifth Conference on Environment and Health Poster Session
Poster Session
1
Monday and Tuesday Posters
Location: Hall C3 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Chair:
Scott Jacobs, NOAA/NWS/NCEP
CoChair:
Nancy N. Soreide, NOAA/PMEL
Poster 7 will now be presented as 9A.3A
Poster Session
1
Monday and Tuesday Posters
Location: Hall C3 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Chair:
Marko Princevac, University of California, Riverside

227

232
234
Global aerosol forecasting system at NCEP: Overview, Status, and Applications
Sarah Lu, IMSG and NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, College Park, MD; and A. Da Silva, S. Kondragunta, M. Chin, J. Wang, S. Moorthi, X. Zhang, E. Joseph, and Y. Tang
239
Evaluation of the WRF-CMAQ modeling system to the 2011 DISCOVER-AQ Baltimore-Washington D.C. study
K. Wyat Appel, EPA, Research Triangle Park, NC; and R. Gilliam, G. A. Pouliot, J. M. Godowitch, J. E. Pleim, C. Hogrefe, D. Kang, S. J. Roselle, and R. Mathur
Poster Session
1
Poster (Part I)
Location: Hall C3 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Chair:
Xuebin Zhang, EC
All posters

76

86
Poster Session
1
Poster Session
Location: Hall C3 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Chair:
Holly C. Hassenzahl, Weather Central, LP
General poster session for the Ninth Symposium on Policy and Socio-Economic Research
Poster 355 has been moved. New paper number 2.2A

363
Poster Session
1

401
Poster Session
1
Poster Session (I)
Location: Hall C3 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Cochairs:
Amanda J. Schroeder, Univ. of Georgia;
Qi Li, Princeton University

291
Development and Testing of a Spatially Resolved Urban Land Surface Model Utilizing Parallel Computing on Graphics Processing Units (GPUs)
Daniel C. Alexander, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and N. Shingleton,
K. A. Briggs, M. Overby, J. Clark, S. Halverson, E. R. Pardyjak, P. Willemsen, and R. Stoll
294
Los Angeles Urban Heat Islands: Land Use, Pacific and Climate Change Influences
Brandi Gamelin, California State University, Los Angeles, CA; and F. Hsu, S. LaDochy, P. Ramirez, H. Ye, P. Sequera, J. Gonzalez, K. McDonald, and W. C. Patzert
Poster Session
1
Posters
Location: Hall C3 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Cochairs:
Donna J. Charlevoix, UNAVCO;
Rajul Pandya, UCAR
182
Life Trajectories: Citizen Science used to generate a HYSPLIT analysis of Northern Lapwing (NOLA) sightings in Massachusetts following Superstorm Sandy
Leonard M. Bloch, University of Georgia, Athens, GA; and Mark Faherty, University of Georgia, Athens, GA, L. Hample, J. Knox, V. Laux, T. Pastuszak, Z. Robbins, and J. M. Shepherd
Poster Session
1
Poster 223 has been moved. New paper number is 5.1A
Poster 222 will also be presented at 7.2A
Poster 225 has been moved. New paper number is 1.2A
Poster Session
1
327
The Seasons of Space Weather: The Quasi-Annual Forcing of The Sun's Eruptive, Radiative, and Particulate Output
Scott McIntosh, High Altitude Observatory, UCAR, Bouder, CO; and R. J. Leamon, R. K. Ulrich, J. Harder, T. Woods, M. Snow, J. C. Kasper, M. L. Stevens, and H. S. Hudson
Poster Session
1
Weather Analysis and Forecasting
Location: Hall C3 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Cochairs:
Kelly M. Mahoney, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado;
Andrew L. Molthan, NASA/MSFC
Poster Session 1
Poster Session 1: Posters covering the topics of: Analysis and Forecasting of Precipitation and Flooding; Forecast Centers; Other Weather Analysis and Forecasting Contributions
107
Vertical resolution increase of the Japan Meteorological Agency Global Spectral Model
Takafumi Kanehama, Japan Meteorological Agency, Tokyo, Japan; and H. Yonehara, M. Ujiie, R. Sekiguchi, T. Kinami, T. Kadowaki, Y. Hayashi, S. Yabu, T. Tokuhiro, and M. Nakagawa
Joint Poster Session
2
Remote Sensing Applications in Hydrology Posters
Location: Hall C3 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Cochairs:
John B. Eylander, US Army Corps of Engineers;
Andrew W. Wood, National Center for Atmospheric Research;
Xiwu Zhan, NOAA/NESDIS
Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Hall C3 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Hall C3 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
4:00 PM-4:45 PM: Monday, 3 February 2014
4:00 PM-5:00 PM: Monday, 3 February 2014
Session
3
4:15 PM
3.2
Assessment of the impact of assimilation of a network of coastal wind profiling radars on simulating offshore winds in and above the wind turbine layer
Irina V. Djalalova, NOAA/ESRL/PSD and CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and L. Bianco, J. M. Wilczak, J. B. Olson, J. Carley, M. Marquis, R. M. Banta, Y. Pichugina, and J. W. Cline
4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Monday, 3 February 2014
Panel Discussion
1
A Tour of the Federal Policy Landscape for the AMS Community
Location: Room C107 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Moderator:
Shali Mohleji, AMS
Panelists:
Paul A. T. Higgins, AMS;
Michael Clark, OMB NOAA Examiner;
Michael Henry, UCAR Government Relations;
Dan Pearson, Democratic Staff Director,Subcommittee on Oversight, House Committee on Science, Space, and ;
Kimberly E. Klockow, AAAS
Panel Discussion
1
4:00 PM
Panel: Challenges and Opportunities in Applying AI Techniques to Environmental Science Problems: John Williams, Sue Haupt, Amy McGovern, Valliappa Lakshmanan, Philippe Tissot, Armando Pelliccioni
Session
1A
NOAA CMIP5 task force
Session
2
Perspectives of Biometeorology
Location: Room C213 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Chair:
George Luber, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
Papers in this session address the environment-human interactions, covering in some aspect physical-biological relationships and data needed to explore interactions.
4:15 PM
2.2
More effective meningitis vaccination campaigns using weather information over Africa
Thomas M. Hopson, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. Pandya, T. Yoksas, A. Dumont, S. Hugonnet, L. Cibrelus, C. Lingani, V. Dukic, M. H. Hayden, J. Boehnert, A. J. Monaghan, and T. Nakazawa
5:00 PM

2.5
Session
2
5:00 PM
2.5
The High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR): Updates to Next Generation Convective-Scale Forecast Guidance With Operational Implementation in 2014
Curtis Alexander, NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory, Boulder, CO; and S. S. Weygandt, S. Benjamin, D. C. Dowell, T. G. Smirnova, E. P. James, P. Hofmann, M. Hu, J. Olson, and J. M. Brown
Themed Joint Session
3
4:45 PM
TJ3.4
Who's the King of PoP? Comparing the Accuracy of NWS and NAM/GFS MOS Precipitation Forecasts for Ten U.S. Cities, 2003–2012
Kyle Mattingly, University of Georgia, Athens, GA; and J. A. Knox, C. Davis, R. Hale, L. Lindsey, A. Long, R. Scroggs, J. Rackley, A. E. Stewart, L. Bloch, and J. McLeod
Session
3
4:45 PM
3.4
Simulation and impact study of future spaceborne Doppler wind lidar in Japan
Kozo Okamoto, MRI, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan; and S. Ishii, P. Baron, M. Yasui, Y. Satoh, D. Sakaizawa, R. Oki, T. Kubota, C. Takahashi, K. Gamo, T. Ishibashi, and T. Y. Tanaka
Session
3A
Keynote presentations from large-scale weather analysis and forecasting centers, operational headquarters, and model developers on recent, ongoing, and future research activities.
5:00 PM
3A.3
Overview of the Navy's Coupled Mesoscale Modeling System
James D. Doyle, NRL, Monterey, CA; and C. M. Amerault, S. Chen, S. Gabersek, T. Haack, E. Hendricks, R. M. Hodur, T. R. Holt, X. Hong, Q. Jiang, H. Jin, Y. Jin, J. R. Moskaitis, J. E. Nachamkin, P. A. Reinecke, J. Schmidt, S. Wang, and L. Xu
5:15 PM
3A.4
Navy Global Environmental Model (NAVGEM)
Melinda S. Peng, NRL, Monterey, CA; and T. F. Hogan, C. A. Reynolds, N. L. Baker, B. Ruston, J. A. Ridout, M. Liu, J. R. Moskaitis, T. R. Whitcomb, and S. Eckermann
Joint Session
4
4:15 PM
J4.2
Assembly and Assessment of a Global-scale Earth Science Data Record of Inundated Wetlands supporting Hydrology Applications
Kyle McDonald, City College, New York, NY; and B. Chapman, R. Scroeder, M. Azarderakhsh, E. Podest, M. Moghaddam, J. Whitcomb, D. Clewley, J. Celi, and S. Hamilton
4:30 PM
J4.3
Monitoring and Forecasting Floods over North Africa based on Satellite data: Uncertainties and Challenges
Kunhikrishnan Thengumthara, SSAI/NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and
F. S. Policelli, S. Habib, J. L. David, K. A. Melocik,
G. J. Huffman, M. C. Anderson,
A. B. H. Ali, S. Bacha, and E. R. Ahmed
Themed Joint Session
4
Satellite Technology Advances
Location: Room C105 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Cochairs:
Randall Bass, FAA;
Gerald Dittberner, Harris Corporation;
John J. Pereira, NOAA/NESDIS;
Kathleen Fontaine, NASA/GSFC
4:00 PM
TJ4.1
The Compact Ocean Wind Vector Radiometer: A New Class of Low-Cost Conically Scanning Satellite Microwave Radiometer System
Shannon Brown, JPL, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA; and P. Focardi, A. Kitiyakara, F. Maiwald, O. Montes, S. Padmanabhan, R. Redick, D. Russel, and J. Wincentsen
4:00 PM-6:00 PM: Monday, 3 February 2014
Session
3
This session will explore papers related to quantification of combined effects of global climate change and urbanization including techniques to quantify combined signals, local consequences of global climate changes in urban environments, consequences on extreme weather events tendencies, associated analyses, observations, and modeling.
4:00 PM
3.1
Adapting cities to climate change: a systemic modelling approach
Valéry Masson, CNRM, Toulouse, France; and C. Marchadier, L. Adolphe, R. Aguejdad, P. Avner, M. Bonhomme, G. Bretagne, X. Briottet, B. Bueno, C. de Munck, O. Doukari, J. Hidalgo, T. Houet, A. Lemonsu, N. Long, M. P. Moine, T. Morel, L. Nolorgues, G. Pigeon, J. L. Salagnac, V. Viguié, and K. Zibouche
4:45 PM-5:30 PM: Monday, 3 February 2014
5:00 PM-5:30 PM: Monday, 3 February 2014
Session
4
5:00 PM

4.1
5:30 PM-7:30 PM: Monday, 3 February 2014
Reception and Exhibits Opening
7:00 PM-8:00 PM: Monday, 3 February 2014
Town Hall Meeting: Planning for the future: Extreme weather, changing climate, and energy sustainability in large urban areas
Location: Room C114 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Panelists:
Norrie McKenzie, Georgia Power;
Marilyn Brown, GA Tech;
Andrew Odins, NRG Energy Inc.
In 2012 there were 11 billion dollar weather and climate disasters in the United States according to the NCDC. Several of these disasters directly impacted major cities and urban areas. The high population density and increasing growth of large metropolitan areas makes stability and sustainability of energy of critical importance in the urban environment. An important factor in the stability and sustainability of energy in the urban environment is weather. Temperature extremes magnify energy demands in heavily populated areas, while storms like post-tropical storm Sandy present risks to the distribution grid. Extreme weather in a small geographic region can have large consequences for urban environments in terms of reliability and emergency management response . Cities are a great opportunity to increase weather dependent renewable energy production for reliability and for reduction of greenhouse gases. The climate is changing and weather extremes seem to be occurring more frequently. With this in mind, this town hall aims to discuss where do we go from here? This town hall meeting will be co-sponsored by the AMS Energy Committee and the AMS Board on the Urban Environment. Some of the possible questions for discussion are:
What are the meteorological and climate challenges of integrating more renewable energy generation in urban areas?
What are the evolving policies related to energy in the urban environment and are the aims of these policies realistic?
What research is needed by the meteorological and climate communities in order to promote energy sustainability , resiliency, and security in the urban environment?
What should urban areas be doing to adapt and mitigate the effects of extreme weather hazards and climate change?
Who should be leading the charge to make such changes – ie: private entities, local, state, federal governments, a collaboration?
For additional information, please contact Manda Adams (manda.adams@uncc.edu), Jorge Gonzalez (gonzalez@me.ccny.edu) orKevin Stenson (Kevin.Stenson@meteogroup.com).
7:00 PM
Introductions: Amanda Adams
7:00 PM-8:30 PM: Monday, 3 February 2014
Town Hall Meeting: Adapting to the New Normal—Building, Sustaining, and Improving our Weather and Climate Hazard Resilience
Location: Room C111 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Our operating environment has changed. Globalization, technological development, and the changing roles of individuals in society have reshaped the context within which we operate. At the same time, we are seeing more extreme weather, increases in the costs of natural disasters that are among the highest in the world, and greater disruption in disaster patterns. The growing interconnectedness of our world, technological interdependencies, economic and physical vulnerabilities, and changes in the climate underscore the need for improved and more active management of the risk environment nationally. As a Nation we often lack a full understanding of the true risk exposure over time from our decisions, be they land use, development, or engineering in nature – and more importantly, who bears the cost of that exposure. Is climate changing, and if so, in what ways? Is changing climate driving an increase in severe events? What are the implications of changing climate and severe events to our national security? What are our vulnerabilities? How do we prepare for, or avoid, the impacts of climate change?
Please join us as we welcome two pre-eminent speakers: FEMA Administrator W. Craig Fugate and Nobel Laureate Donald Wuebbles. Professor Wuebbles will first present the principal findings of the recent major international IPCC assessment report, of which he is a Coordinating Lead Author. Special guest speaker Administrator Fugate will then present a strategic vision to prepare for the impacts of climate change. Also to be shown is the Ultra-Fine resolution simulation of the evolution of Hurricane Sandy as it approached and made landfall, with catastrophic impacts over the northeastern United States created by a team of researchers from the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR), the National Center for Supercomputing Applications (NCSA), and Cray Inc.
W. Craig Fugate was confirmed by the US Senate and began his service as Administrator of the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) in May 2009. Under Fugate's leadership, emergency management has been promoted as a community and shared responsibility. FEMA has fostered resiliency, a community-oriented approach to emergency management to build sustainable and resilient communities. FEMA has instituted a permanent catastrophic planning effort to build the nation’s capacity to stabilize a catastrophic event within 72 hours. FEMA is implementing a National Preparedness System (PPD-8) to build unity of effort to address the nation's most significant risks. FEMA is supporting state and local governments with efforts to prepare for the impacts of climate change through "adaptation," which is planning for the changes that are occurring and expected to occur.
Prior to coming to FEMA, Fugate served as Director of the Florida Division of Emergency Management (FDEM). Fugate served as the Florida State Coordinating Officer for 11 Presidentially-declared disasters including the management of $4.5 billion in federal disaster assistance. In 2004, Fugate managed the largest federal disaster response in Florida history as four major hurricanes impacted the state in quick succession; Charley, Frances, Ivan and Jeanne. In 2005, Florida was again impacted by major disasters when three more hurricanes made landfall in the state; Dennis, Katrina and Wilma. The impact from Hurricane Katrina was felt more strongly in the gulf coast states to the west but under the Emergency Management Assistance Compact or EMAC, Florida launched the largest mutual aid response in its history in support of those states.
Fugate began his emergency management career as a volunteer firefighter, paramedic, and a Lieutenant with the Alachua County Fire Rescue. Eventually, he moved from exclusive fire rescue operations to serving as the Emergency Manager for Alachua County in Gainesville, Florida. He spent a decade in that role until May 1997 when he was appointed Bureau Chief for Preparedness and Response for FDEM. Within FDEM, Fugate's role as Chief of the State Emergency Response Team (SERT) kept him busy in 1998, the SERT team was active for more than 200 days as a result of numerous floods, tornadoes, wildfires, and Hurricane Georges. Fugate and his wife Sheree hail from Gainesville, Florida. http://www.fema.gov/leadership/william-craig-fugate
Donald J. Wuebbles is the Harry E. Preble Professor of Atmospheric Science at the University of Illinois. He is a professor in the Department of Atmospheric Sciences as well as an affiliate professor in the Departments of Civil and Environmental Engineering and in Electrical and Computer Engineering. He was the first Director of the School of Earth, Society, and Environment at Illinois, was the first Director of the Environmental Council at the University, and was Head of the Department of Atmospheric Sciences for many years.
Professor Wuebbles is a Coordinating Lead Author for the next major international IPCC assessment of climate change that will be published in 2013 and is a leader in the next U.S. National Climate Assessment, being a member of the Executive Secretariat and the Federal Advisory Committee. Dr. Wuebbles is an expert in numerical modeling of atmospheric physics and chemistry. He has authored over 400 scientific articles, relating mostly to atmospheric chemistry and climate issues. He has been a lead author on a number of national and international assessments related to concerns about climate change. He has also been a lead author on national and international assessments relating to atmospheric chemistry and the effects of human activities on stratospheric and tropospheric ozone. Dr. Wuebbles and colleagues received the 2005 Stratospheric Ozone Protection Award from the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency. He has been honored by being selected a Fellow of three major professional science societies, the American Association for the Advancement of Science, the American Geophysical Union, and the American Meteorological Society. He is the Chair of the Global Environmental Change Focus Group for the American Geophysical Union. He shares in the 2007 Nobel Peace Prize for his work with the international Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. He was a member of a federal advisory committee that assessed and in 2009 published a report on the potential impacts of climate change on the United States. http://www.atmos.illinois.edu/people/wuebbles.html
For additional information, please contact Phil Ardanuy (e-mail: PArdanuy@oceanleadership.org).
7:00 PM
Ultra fine resolution visualization
7:15 PM
Intro Remarks: Philip Ardanuy
7:30 PM
IPCC and NCA: Don Wuebbles: Melvyn Shapiro
Tuesday, 4 February 2014
8:30 AM-9:30 AM: Tuesday, 4 February 2014
Session
1
This session includes talks on the following general topics:
1. Recent tropical and extra-tropical events (e.g. Superstorm Sandy and Storm NEMO)
2. Fukushima and atmospheric & oceanic dispersion
3. Storm and inundation (surge/flooding)
4. Ensemble forecasting in coastal zones and defining uncertainty
5. Climate projections in the coastal environment (downscaling and upscaling)
6. Ecological forecasting (e.g. WQ; HABs; Hypoxia)
7. Coastal fog and cloudiness
Joint Session
5
9:00 AM
J5.3
Real-time Volcanic Cloud Products for Aviation Alerts
Nickolay A. Krotkov, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and
S. Habib, K. Brentzel, P. Coronado, C. Seftor, M. Linda, J. Li, T. Heinrichs, J. Cable, S. Macfarlane, D. J. Schneider, S. Hassinen, K. Yang, and
E. J. Hughes
8:30 AM-9:45 AM: Tuesday, 4 February 2014
Session
1
Applied Climatology
Location: Room C112 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Chair:
Eileen Shea, NOAA/Pacific Fisheries Science Center
Session
1
This session will have a summary of the major global weather impacts that occurred in 2013, as well as some significant floods that had widespread impacts.
Session
1
Winter time air quality studies
Location: Room C113 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Chair:
Tom Jobson, Washington State Univeristy
CoChair:
N. L. Wigder, University of Washington
8:30 AM
1.1
Aircraft measurements in the Uintah Basin of Utah in winter 2013 during a high ozone event
Samuel J. Oltmans, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and A. Karion, R. C. Schnell, C. Sweeney, G. Petron, S. Wolter, D. Neff, S. Montzka, and B. Miller
8:45 AM
1.2
Analysis of High Wintertime Ozone Events in the Upper Green River Basin, Wyoming
Bernhard Rappenglueck, University of Houston, Houston, TX; and L. Ackermann, S. Alvarez, J. Golovko, M. Buhr, R. Field, J. Soltis, D. C. Montague, B. Hauze, A. Scott, D. Risch, G. Wilkerson, D. Bush, T. Stoeckenius, and C. Keslar
9:15 AM
1.4
Impacts of Persistent Low Cloud on Air Pollution Concentrations during Wintertime Stagnation Conditions
Timothy M. VanReken, Washington State University, Pullman, WA; and B. T. Jobson, G. S. VanderSchelden, C. L. Herring, S. D. Kaspari, Q. Zhu, Z. Gao, B. K. Lamb, H. Liu, J. Johnston, and R. S. Dhammapala
9:30 AM
1.5
Black Carbon and Aldehyde Sources in Winter
B.T. Jobson, Washington State University, Pullman, Washington; and T. M. VanReken, G. S. VanderSchelden, B. K. Lamb, C. L. Herring, H. Liu, S. D. Kaspari, and R. S. Dhammapala
Session
2A
Second portion of the session
Session
3
Heat and Human Health Models
Location: Room C213 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Chair:
Paul English, California Department of Public Health
The key elements and variables in environment and health models are explored and addressed on heat, water, and vector-borne diseases.
Session
3
9:15 AM
3.4
EUMETSAT's New Satellite Programmes: Service Continuity, Improvements and Innovation
Johannes Schmetz, EUMETSAT, Darmstadt, Germany; and R. Stuhlmann, P. Schlüssel, D. Klaes, M. König, F. Montagner, K. Holmlund, J. Schulz, M. Cohen, S. Rota, and A. Ratier
Session
4
8:45 AM
4.2
Operational specification and forecasting advances for Dst, LEO thermospheric densities, and aviation radiation dose and dose rate
W. Kent Tobiska, Space Environment Technologies, Pacific Palisades, CA; and D. Knipp, W. J. Burke, D. Bouwer, J. Bailey, M. P. Hagan, L. Didkovsky, H. Garrett, B. Bowman, J. L. Gannon, W. Atwell, J. B. Blake, W. R. Crain, D. Rice, R. W. Schunk, J. Fulgham, D. Bell, B. Gersey, R. Wilkins, R. Fuschino, C. Flynn, K. Cecil, C. J. Mertens, X. Xu, G. Crowley, A. Reynolds, I. Azeem, S. Wiley, M. D. Holland, and K. Malone
9:15 AM
4.4
Ensemble Modeling with Data Assimilation Models: A New Strategy for Space Weather Science, Specifications and Forecasts
Robert W. Schunk, Utah State Univ., Logan, UT; and L. Scherliess, V. Eccles, L. C. Gardner, J. J. Sojka, L. Zhu, X. Pi, A. J. Mannucci, B. D. Wilson, A. Komjathy, C. Wang, and G. Rosen
Session
4
9:15 AM
4.3
Role of Central American biomass burning smoke in increasing tornado severity in the US
Pablo E. Saide, University of Iowa, Iowa City, IA; and S. Spak, B. Pierce, J. Otkin,
R. M. Rabin, T. Schaack, A. Heidinger, A. Da Silva, M. Kacenelenbogen, J. Redemann, and G. Carmichael
9:30 AM
4.4
CalWater 2—Precipitation, Aerosols, and Pacific Atmospheric Rivers Experiment
J. Ryan Spackman, Science and Technology Corporation, Boulder, CO; and F. M. Ralph, K. A. Prather, D. Cayan, M. D. Dettinger, C. W. Fairall, L. R. Leung, D. Rosenfeld, S. A. Rutledge, and D. E. Waliser
Joint Session
4
8:45 AM
J4.2
2013 Arctic Report Card
Nancy N. Soreide, NOAA/PMEL, Seattle, WA; and M. Jeffries, J. A. Richter-Menge, and J. E. Overland
Session
4A
9:15 AM

4A.4
Session
4B
New Tools for Decision Support Services
Location: Room C202 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Cochairs:
Edward Szoke, NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory;
R. Bruce Telfeyan, Air Force Weather Agency
8:30 AM
4B.1
National Demonstration and Evaluation of a Real Time Lightning Jump Algorithm for Operational Use
Themis Chronis, University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and C. J. Schultz,
E. V. Schultz, L. D. Carey, K. M. Calhoun, D. M. Kingfield, K. L. Ortega, M. T. Filiaggi, G. J. Stumpf, G. T. Stano, and S. Goodman
Joint Session
6
"This session will focus on operational and other routinely-run systems for land-hydrology analysis, forecasting and related purposes, and the
procedures necessary for their execution. For example, the North American Land Data Assimilation System (NLDAS) consists of land models
run in an uncoupled mode using atmospheric forcing to yield surface fluxes and evolving land states, and along with a corresponding
30-year model climatology, provides input for drought monitoring and seasonal hydrological prediction in the US. Please consider
submitting topics related to NLDAS and other land data assimilation system efforts."
9:00 AM-9:45 AM: Tuesday, 4 February 2014
9:00 AM-11:00 AM: Tuesday, 4 February 2014
9:45 AM-11:00 AM: Tuesday, 4 February 2014
Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Hall C3 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Poster Session
1

265
270
Potential Overwater Transport of Near Surface Ozone from Proposed Offshore Oil and Gas Development in the Caspian Sea Region
Martin Gauthier, Rowan Williams Davies and Irwin Inc., Ottawa, ON, Canada; and J. Lundgren, N. Chan, W. Boulton, M. Lepage, Z. Adelman,
S. Arunachalam, A. Xiu, and M. Omary
Joint Poster Session
1
119
CAPS Storm-Scale Ensemble Forecasting System: Impact of IC and LBC perturbations
Fanyou Kong, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and M. Xue, K. W. Thomas, Y. Wang, K. Brewster,
A. J. Clark, M. C. Coniglio, J. Correia Jr., J. S. Kain, and S. J. Weiss
126
The Experimental Regional Ensemble Forecast System (ExREF)
Ligia R. Bernardet, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and I. Jankov, S. Albers, K. Mahoney, T. Workoff, F. Barthold, W. Hogsett, D. Reynolds, and J. Du
Poster Session
2
38
The development of a flash flood severity index
Kimberly A. Reed, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and A. J. Schroeder, J. D. Hardy,
J. Henderson, K. R. Ryberg,
J. E. LeClerc, B. K. Smith, V. Rahmani, P. Parhi,
M. J. Taraldsen, R. S. Schumacher, and J. J. Gourley
Poster 43 will now be presented as Paper 3.1A
Poster Session
2
Poster Session 2
Poster Session 2: Posters on the topics of: Analysis and Forecasting of Severe Convective Storms; NWP Ensemble Guidance, Prob&Stat Applications of NWP Ensemble Forecasts; Forecast Verification Techniques; Decision Support Services
Poster 135 will now be presented as paper 5.2A

140
157
Multiscale Characteristics of Convection-Allowing Ensemble Perturbation Evolution in Warm Season Precipitation Forecasts
Aaron T. Johnson, CAPS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and X. Wang, M. Xue, F. Kong, G. Zhao, Y. Wang, K. W. Thomas, K. Brewster, and J. Gao
Joint Poster Session
3
50
The NOAA MAPP Drought Task Force Capability Assessment Protocol
Andrew W. Wood, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Huang, C. D. Peters-Lidard, A. Mariotti, S. Schubert, L. Luo, M. Svoboda, D. Barrie, and A. Bradley
Joint Poster Session
4
Poster 52 will now be presented as J6.2A
56
Land analysis enhancements at the Air Force Weather Agency using the NASA Land Information System (LIS)
Sujay V. Kumar, SAIC at NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and J. B. Eylander, C. D. Peters-Lidard, J. D. Cetola, M. J. Shaw, Y. Liu, C. Franks, K. R. Arsenault, T. Tewiston, R. L. Ruhge, K. W. Harrison, and S. Wang
11:00 AM-11:45 AM: Tuesday, 4 February 2014
Session
6
11:15 AM
6.2
It is Tails
Lawrence Heitkemper, MDA Information Systems LLC, Gaithersburg, MD; and T. Hartman
11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Tuesday, 4 February 2014
Session
1
This session will serve to highlight activities within the Commission on the Weather and Climate Enterprise.
Joint Session
2
Presentations featuring advancements or applications in ensemble prediction techniques, including modeling developments, new statistical techniques, and their applications.
Session
2
11:15 AM

2.2
11:30 AM
2.3
Chemical, Physical, Optical and Radiative Measurements of Biomass Burning Aerosol and Related Pollutants in Boreal Spring Southeast Asia: Results of 2010–2013 7-SEAS Campaigns
Neng-Huei (George) Lin, National Central University, Chung-Li, Taiwan; and S. C. Tsay, B. Holben, C. Hsu, N. X. Anh, J. S. Reid, G. R. sheu, K. H. Chi, S. H. Wang, C. T. Lee, L. C. Wang, J. L. Wang, W. N. Chen, E. J. Welton, S. T. Liang, K. Sopajaree, H. Maring, S. Janjai, and S. Chantara