Analysis and Forecasting with Ensemble or Probabilistic Techniques II

- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates an Award Winner
Tuesday, 4 February 2014: 1:30 PM-3:00 PM
Room C202 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the 26th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting / 22nd Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction; and the 22nd Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences )
Cochairs:  Brian J. Etherton, NOAA/OAR/ESRL, Boulder, CO and Elizabeth A. Satterfield, Marine Meteorology Division, NRL, Monterey, CA
  1:30 PM
Convective-scale Warn-on-Forecast
David J. Stensrud, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and L. J. Wicker
  2:00 PM
Producing Reforecast-Calibrated Extended-Range Probabilistic Tornado Forecasts
Francisco M. Alvarez, Saint Louis University, Saint Louis, MO; and T. M. Hamill, T. P. Eichler, and C. E. Graves

  2:15 PM
  2:30 PM
  2:45 PM
Outside the Envelope: When Ensemble Forecasts Go Awry
Trevor I. Alcott, NOAA/NWS, Salt Lake City, UT