3
Analysis and Forecasting with Ensemble or Probabilistic Techniques II

- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates an Award Winner
Tuesday, 4 February 2014: 1:30 PM-3:00 PM
Room C202 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the 26th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting / 22nd Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction; and the 22nd Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences )
Cochairs:  Brian J. Etherton, NOAA/OAR/ESRL, Boulder, CO and Elizabeth A. Satterfield, Marine Meteorology Division, NRL, Monterey, CA
Papers:
  1:30 PM
J3.1
Convective-scale Warn-on-Forecast
David J. Stensrud, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and L. J. Wicker
Recorded Presentation

  1:45 PM
J3.2
Sensitivity of simulated ensemble Kalman filter analyses and forecasts of low-level supercell rotation to environmental and physics parameterization errors
Corey K. Potvin, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and L. J. Wicker
Recorded Presentation

  2:00 PM
J3.3
Producing Reforecast-Calibrated Extended-Range Probabilistic Tornado Forecasts
Francisco M. Alvarez, Saint Louis University, Saint Louis, MO; and T. M. Hamill, T. P. Eichler, and C. E. Graves

  2:15 PM
J3.4
Automated Storm Classification For the Development of Probabilistic Hazard Information
Timothy W. Humphrey, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and V. Lakshmanan, T. M. Smith, K. L. Ortega, B. T. Smith, and R. L. Thompson
Recorded Presentation

  2:30 PM
J3.5
Minimum Requirements for Predicting the Risks of Extreme Weather Two Weeks to a Season Ahead
Prashant D. Sardeshmukh, NOAA/CIRES, Boulder, CO; and L. Magnusson
Recorded Presentation

  2:45 PM
J3.6
Outside the Envelope: When Ensemble Forecasts Go Awry
Trevor I. Alcott, NOAA/NWS, Salt Lake City, UT
Recorded Presentation

See more of: 26th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting / 22nd Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction
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