Hazardous Convective Weather in the United States: A Dynamical Downscaling Approach

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Tuesday, 4 February 2014: 11:45 AM
Room C102 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Victor Gensini, University of Georgia, Athens, GA; and T. L. Mote

This research uses a high-resolution numerical weather prediction model to resolve hazardous convective weather east of the Continental Divide in the U.S. for historical and future climate regimes. A regional hazardous convective weather model proxy is used to depict occurrences of tornadoes, damaging thunderstorm wind gusts, large hail at hourly intervals during the period of record. Results from this portion of the research will provide an objective estimate of the historical occurrence of hazardous convective weather events, and how their spatio-temporal distribution may change in the future.