26th Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Program Chairs: Hai Lin , EC ; Xuebin Zhang , EC ; Aiguo Dai , NCAR

- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates paper is an Award Winner

Saturday, 1 February 2014

7:30 AM-10:00 AM: Saturday, 1 February 2014


Registration for Student Conference and Short Courses

Sunday, 2 February 2014

7:30 AM-9:00 AM: Sunday, 2 February 2014


Registration for Short Courses and Conference for Early Career Professionals

9:00 AM-6:00 PM: Sunday, 2 February 2014


Registration Open for Annual Meeting

12:00 PM-4:00 PM: Sunday, 2 February 2014


WeatherFest

4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Sunday, 2 February 2014


94th Annual Review, New Fellows, and Featured Awards
Location: Room C302 (The Georgia World Congress Center )

Monday, 3 February 2014

7:30 AM-5:30 PM: Monday, 3 February 2014


Registration Continues through February 5

9:00 AM-10:30 AM: Monday, 3 February 2014

Recording files available
Plenary Session 1
14th Presidential Forum: Extreme Weather, Climate, and the Built Environment: New Perspectives, Opportunities, and Tools
Location: Thomas Murphy Ballroom (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the Second Symposium on Prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation: Impacts on Weather and Climate Extremes; the 14th Presidential Forum; the Second Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Superstorm Sandy and the Built Environment: New Perspectives, Opportunities, and Tools; the Stanley A. Changnon Symposium; the Edward S. Epstein Symposium; the 30th Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 28th Conference on Hydrology; the 26th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 26th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting / 22nd Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction; the 23rd Symposium on Education; the 22nd Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences; the 18th Joint Conference on the Applications of Air Pollution Meteorology with the A&WMA; the 18th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 16th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the 12th Conference on Artificial and Computational Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences; the 12th History Symposium; the 12th Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 11th Conference on Space Weather; the 11th Symposium on the Urban Environment; the Tenth Annual Symposium on New Generation Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Ninth Symposium on Policy and Socio-Economic Research; the Sixth Symposium on Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions; the Fifth Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the Fifth Conference on Environment and Health; the Fourth Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology Special Symposium; the Fourth Conference on Transition of Research to Operations; the Fourth Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python; the Second Symposium on the Weather and Climate Enterprise; the Second Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events; and the Special Symposium on Severe Local Storms: The Current State of the Science and Understanding Impacts )
Moderator: Margaret Davidson, NOAA/Office for Coastal Management
Panelists: Leslie Chapman-Henderson, Federal Alliance for Safe Homes; David Perkes, Mississippi State Univ.; Ellis Stanley, Hammerman & Gainer International, Inc.; David W. Titley, Penn State University; Peter Kareiva, The Nature Conservancy
Speaker: Andy Revkin, Dot Earth blogger, The New York Times, and Senior Fellow for Environmental Understanding, Pace University
  9:00 AM
Welcoming Remarks

  9:05 AM
PL1.1
The New Communication Climate - An exploration of tools and traits that give the best chance of success in facing a fast-forward media landscape and changing climate
Andy Revkin, Dot Earth blogger, The New York Times, and Senior Fellow for Environmental Understanding, Pace University, New York, NY
  9:25 AM
Panel Discussion

  10:25 AM
Concluding Remarks

9:00 AM-11:00 AM: Monday, 3 February 2014


Spouses' Coffee

10:30 AM-11:00 AM: Monday, 3 February 2014


Coffee Break

11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Monday, 3 February 2014

Recording files available
Themed Joint Session 1
IPCC Fifth Assessment Report (Part I)
Location: Room C101 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the 26th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; and the 14th Presidential Forum )
Chair: Xuebin Zhang, EC
  11:00 AM
TJ1.1
Observed Climate Changes: An overview of recent assessments
Peter W. Thorne, Nansen Environmental and Remote Sensing Center, Bergen, Norway
  11:30 AM
TJ1.2
Overestimated global warming over the past 20 years
John C. Fyfe, Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis, Victoria, BC, Canada; and N. P. Gillett and F. W. Zwiers
Recording files available
Joint Session 1
Land-Atmosphere Interactions Part I
Location: Room C210 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the 28th Conference on Hydrology; and the 26th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Chair: Randal D. Koster, NASA/GSFC
CoChair: Yongkang Xue, University of California

"Land-climate interactions play a key role in the climate system. The land’s role in the climate system – its impact on atmospheric means and variability across a broad range of timescales, ranging from hours to centuries, for past, present, and future climates – has been the subject of much recent exploratory research. The meteorological, hydrological, biophysical, biogeochemical, ecosystem processes and the boundary-layer processes that underlie the connections between climate and soil moisture, soil temperature, vegetation, snow, and frozen soil, however, are not yet fully understood. The scarcity of relevant observations, the complexity of the underlying processes and feedbacks, and the wide range of scales involved make the necessary investigations challenging. This session focuses on (1) interfaces between climate, ecosystems, and the land branches of the energy, water, and carbon cycles and the impact of land processes on climate variability and change as well as on extreme events (such as droughts and flooding); (2) dynamic, physical, and biogeochemical mechanisms by which the land surface (e.g., soil moisture and temperature, albedo, snow, frozen soil, vegetation) influences atmospheric processes and climate; (3) predictability associated with land-surface/atmosphere/ocean interaction and land initialization; (4) impacts of land-cover and land use change on climate; (5) land-climate interactions in the context of climate variability and change, and (6) application and analyses of large scale field data and observational networks (such as FLUXNET) for land/atmosphere studies. We welcome papers addressing any of these topics. Please submit your abstract by August 1, 2013 to the AMS 94th Annual Meeting."
  11:15 AM
J1.2
Near-Surface Land-Atmosphere Coupling
Michael B. Ek, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, College Park, MD; and C. M. J. Jacobs and A. A. M. Holtslag
  11:30 AM
J1.3
  11:45 AM
J1.4
Analyzing the Impact of the Three Gorges Reservoir on Local Precipitation with TRMM Satellite Data
Fang Zhao, University Of Maryland, College Park, MD; and J. M. Shepherd

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Monday, 3 February 2014


Lunch Break

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Monday, 3 February 2014

Recording files available
Joint Session 2
Land-Atmosphere Interactions Part II
Location: Room C210 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the 28th Conference on Hydrology; and the 26th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Chair: Randal D. Koster, NASA/GSFC
CoChair: Yongkang Xue, University of California
  1:30 PM
J2.1
New Insight into the Development of Flash Drought: A Case Study at the Marena Oklahoma In Situ Sensor Testbed
Daniela M. Spade, University of Oklahoma/University of Texas, Norman, OK; and W. R. Denito, J. B. Basara, and J. A. Otkin
  1:45 PM
J2.2
On the treatment of soil water stress in LSM simulations of vegetation function
Pier Luigi Vidale, National Centre for Atmospheric Science, Reading, Berkshire, United Kingdom; and G. Egea and A. Verhoef
  2:00 PM
J2.3
Impact of Extreme Events on Ecological Responses for Water and Carbon
Liyi Xu, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and D. Kicklighter, A. Schlosser, K. T. Paw U, B. Felzer, and K. Y. Chang
  2:15 PM
J2.4
Recording files available
Themed Joint Session 2
IPCC Fifth Assessment Report (Part II)
Location: Room C101 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the 26th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; and the 14th Presidential Forum )
Chair: Xuebin Zhang, EC
  1:30 PM
TJ2.1
Projected changes in extreme temperature and precipitation in the IPCC AR5 and 3rd US National Climate Assessment
Michael F. Wehner, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, CA; and J. Arblaster, V. kharin, J. sillman, and K. E. Kunkel

2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Monday, 3 February 2014


Joint Poster Session 1
Land-Atmosphere Interactions Posters
Location: Hall C3 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the 28th Conference on Hydrology; and the 26th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Cochairs: Randal D. Koster, NASA/GSFC; Yongkang Xue, University of California
 
22
Modulation of ISOs by land-atmosphere feedback and contribution to the interannual variability of Indian summer monsoon
Subodh Kumar Saha, Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, Pune, Maharashtra, India; and S. Halder and B. N. Goswami

 
23
Radiation Balance at the Surface in the Brazilian Amazon Using MODIS/Terra Remote Sensing Data
Gabriel de Oliveira, INPE, São José dos Campos, SP, Brazil; and E. C. Moraes, Y. E. Shimabukuro, R. C. D. S. Alvalá, and T. V. D. Santos

 
25
Investigating the Sources of Fresh Water Production Affecting the Hydrological Balance of Lakes Enriquillo and Azuei (Hispaniola)—Modeling and Observations
Daniel Comarazamy, City College of New York, New York, NY; and J. E. González, F. Moshary, Y. Leon, M. Moknatian, and M. Piasecki

 
27
 
29
Understanding Unseasonal Melt and Runoff from the Greenland Ice Sheet
Thomas Mote, Univ. of Georgia, Athens, GA; and A. K. Rennermalm and J. T. McLeod

Handout (3.7 MB)

 
32
Fast All-season Soil STrength (FASST) Model Alterations for Efficient Regional Simulation
Sandra L. Jones, AER, Hanover, NH; and S. Sarasamma, E. D. Hunt, C. Borden, J. B. Eylander, and S. Frankenstein

 
33
Simulations of the South American Monsoon System: A Multi-Model Study
Kathleen A. Schiro, University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA; and E. Cuisinier, C. R. Mechoso, and L. R. Leung


Poster Session 1
Poster (Part I)
Location: Hall C3 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Host: 26th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Xuebin Zhang, EC

All posters
 
61
Change in Midlatitude Flow Patterns 1948–2011
Stephen Mullens, Rose State College, Midwest City, OK
Manuscript (1.6 MB)

Handout (3.1 MB)

 
62
Impacts of global warming on Northern Hemisphere winter storm tracks in the CMIP5 model suite
Timothy Eichler, Saint Louis University, Saint Louis, MO; and N. Gaggini and Z. Pan

 
63
 
64
Station Exposure and Resulted Bias in Temperature Observations: A Comparison between the Kentucky Mesonet and ASOS Data
James Kyle Thompson, Western Kentucky University, Bowling Green, KY; and R. Mahmood and S. A. Foster

 
66
 
68
Variability in the radiation balance of the tropical tropopause layer
Daniel Gilford, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and S. Solomon

Handout (3.1 MB)

 
69
Tropical Cyclone Activity and its Effect on Global Averages of Total Precipitable Water
Albert Betancourt, Center for Multiscale Modeling of Atmospheric Processes, Hialeah, FL; and J. M. Forsythe and T. Vonder Haar

 
70
Climatology of Tropical Cyclone Activity in the Philippines: 1945–2011
Irenea L. Corporal-Lodangco, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and L. M. Leslie, P. J. Lamb, and M. B. Richman

 
71
Rainfall Variations Causing the Albeo Trend during the 2000–2011 Period over Central Australia
Byeong-Gwon Kim, Seoul National University, Seoul, South Korea; and B. J. Sohn, H. W. Chun, and H. J. Song

 
72
Cyclones And Sea Ice: A Study of Feedbacks
Miguel Segura, Brown University, Providence, RI; and M. Tsukernik, T. Arbetter, and A. H. Lynch

 
73
A Synoptic Analysis of Rapid Surface Warming during Arctic Spring Onset
Jia He, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and R. X. Black

 
74
Statistics of Extreme Winds, Gusts, and Turbulence Intensities below 61-m at the Savannah River Site
Allen H. Weber, Savannah River National Laboratory (retired), North Augusta, SC; and S. R. Chiswell and J. B. Blackmon

Handout (342.4 kB)

 
75
Quantitative assessment of Antarctic climate variability and change
Ana C. Ordonez, University of Washington, Lacey, WA; and D. Schneider

 
76
Drastic Intensification of the Super Arctic Storm during 5–10 August 2012
Wei Tao, North Carolina A&T State University, Greensboro, NC; and J. Zhang and X. Zhang

Handout (5.3 MB)

 
77
 
78
Contributions of Atmospheric Transients to the Recent Changes in Summer Arctic Sea Ice Extent
Bradley M. Hegyi, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and Y. Deng

Handout (5.3 MB)

 
79
Meteorological forcing of extreme winds along continental U.S. coasts
Matthew J. Taraldsen, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN; and B. R. Drew and K. Klink

Handout (4.0 MB)

 
80
Extreme events over the continuous United States portrayed in a CESM1–WRF dynamical downscaling framework
Lei Cai, University of Kansas, Lawrence, KS; and D. B. Mechem and N. A. Brunsell

 
82
The Role of Storm Activity in the Enhancement of Poleward Atmospheric Moisture Transport
Gian A. Villamil-Otero, North Carolina A & T State University, Greensboro, NC; and J. Zhang and X. Zhang

 
84
A Dissection of the Surface Temperature Biases in the Community Earth System Model
Tae-Won Park, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and Y. Deng, J. H. Jeong, and M. Cai

Handout (5.0 MB)

 
85
Improving Statistical Downscaling of General Circulation Models
Matthew Lee Titus, EC, Dartmouth, NS, Canada; and J. Sheng, R. Greatbatch, and I. Folkins

 
86
Multi-Annual Variations in Winter Westerly Disturbance Activity Affecting the Himalaya
Forest Cannon, University of California, Santa Barbara, CA; and L. Carvalho, C. Jones, and B. Bookhagen

 
87
Tracking South Asian Monsoon in the 21st Century
Deeksha Rastogi, ORNL, Oak Ridge, TN; and K. I. Hodges and M. Ashfaq

 
88
 
91
Constructing Intelligent Ensemble Averages with Multiple Datasets
Noel C. Baker, NASA, Hampton, VA; and P. C. Taylor

 
92
Future change of Asian-Australian monsoon under RCP 4.5 anthropogenic warming scenario
So-Young Yim, UCAR, Honolulu, HI; and B. Wang, J. Y. Lee, J. Liu, and K. J. Ha

 
94
Evaluation of stratospheric temperature climatology over Turkey using CMIP5 simulations
Elcin Tan, Istanbul Technical University, Istanbul, Turkey; and D. Demirhan Bari

 
95
Variability of extreme indices over the Iberian Peninsula
Concepcion Rodriguez-Puebla, University of Salamanca, Salamanca, Spain; and A. H. Encinas, S. Hernandez-Barrera, and N. Gonzalez-Reviriego

 
96
 
421
Flash Recovery Across the Southern Great Plains During the 2013 Warm Season
Jeffrey B. Basara, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and M. Rowell, B. G. Illston, and G. McManus


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Hall C3 (The Georgia World Congress Center )

4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Monday, 3 February 2014

Recording files available
Session 1A
CMIP5 models: NOAA CMIP5 Task Force Session on Process-Oriented Diagnostics (Part I)
Location: Room C101 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Host: 26th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Eric D. Maloney, Colorado State University

NOAA CMIP5 task force
  4:00 PM
1A.1
Climate Processes in CMIP5: NOAA's CMIP5 Task Force; uses and applications of the CMIP5 dataset
Daniel Barrie, NOAA, Silver Spring, MD; and J. L. Kinter III, J. Sheffield, E. D. Maloney, and A. Mariotti
  4:15 PM
1A.2
Climate Processes in CMIP5: Process-oriented diagnostics of tropical intraseasonal variability
Eric D. Maloney, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and W. Hannah, J. Benedict, and X. Jiang
  4:45 PM
1A.4
Climate Processes in CMIP5: Precipitation dynamics in high-resolution CAM simulations
Julio T. Bacmeister, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. B. Neale, P. Callaghan, and J. E. Truesdale
  5:00 PM
1A.5
Recording files available
Session 1B
Teleconnections and climate modes and their influence on climate extremes (Part I)
Location: Room C102 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Host: 26th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Aiguo Dai, SUNY
  4:00 PM
1B.1
Remote forcings on summertime heat waves across the United States
Tiffany T. Smith, Johns Hopkins Univ., Baltimore, MD; and B. F. Zaitchik and S. D. Guikema
  4:15 PM
1B.2
  5:00 PM
1B.5
Influence of SSTs Changes on the Caribbean Low Level Jet and Moisture Transport Variability in the Intra-Americas Region
Equisha Glenn, City College, New York, NY; and J. E. González, D. Comarazamy, and T. Smith
  5:15 PM
1B.6
Impacts of ENSO on Philippine Tropical Cyclone Activity
Irenea L. Corporal-Lodangco, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and L. M. Leslie, P. J. Lamb, and M. B. Richman

Recording files available
Joint Session 3
Land-Atmosphere Interactions Part III
Location: Room C210 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the 28th Conference on Hydrology; and the 26th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Chair: Randal D. Koster, NASA/GSFC
CoChair: Yongkang Xue, University of California
  4:00 PM
J3.1
Impact of Irrigation Methods on LSM Spinup and Initialization of WRF Forecasts
Patricia Lawston, University of Delaware, Newark, VA; and J. A. Santanello Jr., B. F. Zaitchik, and H. Beaudoing
  4:30 PM
J3.3
Spring Soil Temperature Anomalies in the Western U.S. and Summer Droughts in the Southern Plains
Yongkang Xue, University of California, Los Angeles, CA; and R. Vasic, C. oaida, F. De Sales, S. li, D. A. Robinson, and Z. Janjic

  5:00 PM
J3.5
  5:15 PM
J3.6
Influence of Karst Landscape on Weather Systems: A WRF Model Study on Responses for Different Land and Soil Types
Chris M. Johnson, Western Kentucky University, Bowling Green, KY; and X. Fan, R. Mahmood, C. Groves, J. Polk, and J. Yan

5:30 PM-7:30 PM: Monday, 3 February 2014


Reception and Exhibits Opening

Tuesday, 4 February 2014

8:30 AM-9:45 AM: Tuesday, 4 February 2014

Recording files available
Session 2A
CMIP5 models: NOAA CMIP5 Task Force Session on Process-Oriented Diagnostics (Part II)
Location: Room C101 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Host: 26th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Eric D. Maloney, Colorado State University

Second portion of the session
  9:00 AM
2A.3
Climate Processes in CMIP5 models: Tropical cyclones and environmental variables
Suzana J. Camargo, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Palisades, NY

Recording files available
Session 2B
General topics (Part I)
Location: Room C102 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Host: 26th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Aiguo Dai, SUNY
  8:30 AM
2B.1
Trends in the global available energy in reanalysis data
Stephanie E. Hay, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA; and P. Bannon and S. Lee
  8:45 AM
2B.2
Globally-Gridded Interpolated Night-Time Marine Air Temperatures 1900–2009
Robert A. Junod, University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and J. R. Christy

  9:00 AM
2B.3
Global Modes of Climate Variability
O. de Viron, Sorbonne, Paris, France; and J. Dickey, D. Kondrashov, and M. Ghil
  9:15 AM
2B.4
Recording files available
Joint Session 4
Technology Supporting Earth Science Information
Location: Room C105 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the 30th Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; and the 26th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Cochairs: Nancy N. Soreide, NOAA/PMEL; Xuebin Zhang, EC
  8:45 AM
J4.2
2013 Arctic Report Card
Nancy N. Soreide, NOAA/PMEL, Seattle, WA; and M. Jeffries, J. A. Richter-Menge, and J. E. Overland
  9:15 AM
J4.4
Online workflow development for scientific collaboration using IDL and ENVI Service Engine
Thomas Harris, Exelis Visual Information Solutions, Boulder, CO; and M. Maskey, R. Ramachandran, and K. S. Kuo
  9:30 AM
J4.5
The Arctic Rediscovery Project: crowd-sourcing new science from intractable data
Kevin R. Wood, JISAO/Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and M. Mollan, P. Brohan, and N. N. Soreide
Recording files available
Joint Session 5
Land-Atmosphere Interactions Part IV
Location: Room C210 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the 28th Conference on Hydrology; and the 26th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Chair: Randal D. Koster, NASA/GSFC
CoChair: Yongkang Xue, University of California
  8:45 AM
J5.2
Initial results from the Diurnal land/atmosphere coupling experiment (DICE)
Martin Best, Met Office, Exeter, United Kingdom; and A. Lock

  9:00 AM
J5.3
  9:15 AM
J5.4
Land-Atmosphere Coupling Uncertainty due to Soil Moisture and Atmospheric Parameterization Schemes
Annette L. Hirsch, University of New South Wales, Kensington, NSW, Australia; and A. J. Pitman, V. Haverd, and J. P. Evans
  9:30 AM
J5.5
Soil moisture persistence and its implications for predictability and skill in the GFDL forecast system
Damianos F. Mantsis, Rutgers Univ., New Brunswick, NJ; and B. R. Lintner, K. Findell, R. G. Gudgel, S. N. Zhang, and G. A. Vecchi

9:00 AM-11:00 AM: Tuesday, 4 February 2014


Spouses' Coffee

9:45 AM-11:00 AM: Tuesday, 4 February 2014


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Hall C3 (The Georgia World Congress Center )

Joint Poster Session 5
Regional Climate Modeling Posters
Location: Hall C3 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the 28th Conference on Hydrology; and the 26th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Cochairs: Christopher L. Castro, University of Arizona; Ruby Leung, PNNL
 
57
Validation of WRF Downscaling Capabilities Over Western Australia to Detect Rainfall and Temperature Extremes
Julia Andrys, Murdoch University, Murdoch, WA, Australia; and T. J. Lyons and J. Kala

 
60
The Effects of a New Boundary Forcing Approach on Model's Near-Surface Variables
Suzanna M. Bonnet, Federal University, Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brazil; and A. M. B. Nunes
Manuscript (1.8 MB)

 
422
Winter Weather-Climate Variability and its Links to Early Ice Out Events in Maine Lakes
Mussie T. Beyene, University of Maine, Orono, ME; and S. Jain
Manuscript (63.8 kB)

Handout (1020.7 kB)

11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Tuesday, 4 February 2014

Recording files available
Session 3A
CMIP5 models: 20th and 21st century simulations (Part I)
Location: Room C101 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Host: 26th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Aiguo Dai, SUNY
  11:00 AM
3A.1
Climate Change Impacts on Storm Track Precipitation in the CMIP5
Natalie Gaggini, Saint Louis University, Saint Louis, MO; and T. P. Eichler
  11:15 AM
3A.2
  11:30 AM
3A.3
  11:45 AM
3A.4
Recording files available
Session 3B
Observed and projected changes in extremes (Part I)
Location: Room C102 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Host: 26th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Michael F. Wehner, LBNL
  11:00 AM
3B.1
  11:15 AM
3B.2
Projections of Midwestern Warm-Season Rainfall Extremes from Dynamical Downscaling
Keith J. Harding, University of Minnesota, St. Paul, MN; and P. K. Snyder
  11:30 AM
3B.3
The Atlantic Basin Hurricane Database Re-Analysis for the Decade of the 1940s
Christopher W. Landsea, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/National Hurricane Center, Miami, FL
  11:45 AM
3B.4

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Tuesday, 4 February 2014


Lunch Break

Stanley a. Changnon Luncheon
Location: Room B401 (The Georgia World Congress Center )

1:30 PM-3:00 PM: Tuesday, 4 February 2014

Recording files available
Session 4A
Teleconnections and climate modes and their influence on climate extremes (Part II)
Location: Room C101 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Host: 26th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Bin Yu, EC
  1:30 PM
4A.1
  1:45 PM
4A.2
  2:15 PM
4A.4
Intraseasonal dependence, wave energy accumulation and the formation of intense SACZ
Fernando Hirata, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and P. J. Webster

  2:30 PM
4A.5
Recording files available
Session 4B
Observed and projected changes in extremes (Part II)
Location: Room C102 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Host: 26th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: David R. Easterling, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC
  1:45 PM
4B.2
Climatology of Tropical System Rainfall on the Eastern Corn Belt
David Changnon, Northern Illinois Univ., DeKalb, IL; and A. Haberlie and S. Strader
  2:15 PM
4B.4
Global changes in observed heat waves and warm spells
Sarah Perkins, University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia; and L. Alexander
  2:30 PM
4B.5
Historical Trends and Future Projections of Extreme Climate Conditions for the National Climate Assessment
Kenneth E. Kunkel, NOAA/CICS, Asheville, NC; and D. R. Easterling, L. Sun, and L. Stevens
Recording files available
Joint Session 8
Regional Climate Modeling Part I
Location: Room C209 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the 28th Conference on Hydrology; and the 26th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Cochairs: Ruby Leung, PNNL; Christopher L. Castro, University of Arizona

While climate variability and change are largely governed by global phenomena adaptation to climate phenomena is primarily a regional and local problem. Regional climate models (RCMs) play an important role in downscaling global climate model information to the regional and local scale - at which local stakeholders and decision makers operate. In this session, we solicit talks related to the development and application of RCMs. We welcome talks focusing on diagnosis and evaluation of RCMs with in situ and remote sensing observations, improved physical parameterizations, and the relationship between large-scale climate variability and change with local phenomena. Application of RCMs to hydrological, ecological, agricultural and water resources management problems, including the prediction of hydrologic extremes, are also welcome.
  2:00 PM
J8.3
  2:30 PM
J8.5
Using a freshwater lake model coupled with WRF for dynamical downscaling applications
Megan S. Mallard, EPA, Research Triangle Park, NC; and C. G. Nolte, O. R. Bullock Jr., T. L. Otte, J. A. Herwehe, K. Alapaty, and J. Gula

3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Tuesday, 4 February 2014


Coffee Break

Meet the President
Location: Room C103 (The Georgia World Congress Center )

3:30 PM-4:30 PM: Tuesday, 4 February 2014

Recording files available
Session 5B
General topics (Part III)
Location: Room C101 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Host: 26th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Michael F. Wehner, LBNL
  3:30 PM
5B.1
Public Belief in Anthropogenic Climate Change: Part Politics, Part Weather, Little Science
Mary D. Stampone, New Hampshire State Climate Office, Durham, NH; and L. C. Hamilton
  3:45 PM
5B.2
  4:00 PM
5B.3
A five-year climatology of precipitation organization in the southeastern U.S: seasonal cycle and extreme events
Thomas M. Rickenbach, East Carolina Univ., Greenville, NC; and R. Ferreira, C. M. Zarzar, and B. R. Nelson

3:30 PM-5:30 PM: Tuesday, 4 February 2014

Recording files available
1
International Panel Discussion - Climate Services to Support Risk-Informed Decision-Making for Building Resilience to Weather Extremes in a Changing Climate
Location: Room C107 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the Ninth Symposium on Policy and Socio-Economic Research; the 14th Presidential Forum; and the 26th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Moderators: Maryam Golnaraghi, WMO; John Jones Jr., J. E. Jones Consulting
Panelists: Rowan Douglas, Willis Research Network; Ghassem R. Asrar, Joint Global Change Research Institute/PNNL; Jiao Meiyan, Chinese Meteorological Administration; Adama Daillo, African Centre of Meteorological Applications for Development (ACMAD); Gordon Mcbean, Univ. of Western Ontario/President-Elect ICSU
Speaker: Xu Tang, WMO

Everyday news from many corners of the world point to more loss of life and significant direct and indirect economic losses caused by the disasters related to weather-, water- and climate-related hazards. Building resilience to disasters and protecting critical infrastructure (e.g., transportation, health, water management, energy, agriculture and food security, etc) are at the core of priorities of international cooperation in disaster risk reduction, facilitated through the adoption of Hyogo Framework for Action 2005-2015 (HFA) by 168 countries at the second World Conference on Disaster Reduction (2005, Kobe, Japan). HFA has resulted in a paradigm shift from post disaster response to a comprehensive approach that would also include prevention and preparedness measures. HFA has facilitated unprecedented international cooperation among international development, humanitarian and scientific and technical agencies to assist Member States with a coordinated approach to build resilience to disasters. Furthermore, under the UNFCCC international agreements and related Damage and Loss Programme as well as the Global Framework for Climate Services, critical developments are underway to facilitate provision of science-based climate services to support risk-informed decision-making. Effective inter- and intra-sectoral risk reduction measures should be -informed, be underpinned by clear and consistent policies, legislation and legal frameworks at all levels of government and leverage partnerships (public and private). This workshop will explore opportunities of the weather and climate services to support risk analysis and provide fundamental information as input to policy development and risk-based decision-making tools, used by practitioners to reduce impacts and develop resilience of built environment to extreme events.
  3:30 PM
The Role of Climate Science in Decision Support: Ghassem R. Asrar
  3:45 PM
Risk Reduction and Building Resilience: Xu Tang
  4:00 PM
CMA Experience in Climate Service to Support Risk Management: Jiao Meiyan
Recording files available
Session 5A
General topics (Part II)
Location: Room C102 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Host: 26th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Aiguo Dai, SUNY
  3:30 PM
5A.1
Climate Change and the Track and Intensity of Hurricane Sandy
Gary Lackmann, North Carolina State Univ., Raleigh, NC
  3:45 PM
5A.2
Modes of Interannual Variability in the Southern Hemisphere Atmospheric Circulation: Assessment and Projected Changes in CMIP5 Models
Carsten Frederiksen, Centre for Australian Weather and Climate Research, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia; and S. Grainger and X. Zheng
  4:15 PM
5A.4
End-of-century projections of North American atmospheric river events in CMIP5 climate models
Michael Warner, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and C. F. Mass and E. Salathe
  5:00 PM
5A.7
Comparison of Potential Seasonal Predictability of Temperature in Statistical Methods
Xia Feng, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA; and T. DelSole and P. Houser

  5:15 PM
5A.8
Recording files available
Joint Session 9
Regional Climate Modeling Part II
Location: Room C209 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the 28th Conference on Hydrology; and the 26th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Cochairs: Christopher L. Castro, University of Arizona; Ruby Leung, PNNL
  3:30 PM
J9.1
High Resolution Regional Climate Modeling of Summer Extremes for the United States Northeast
Luis Ortiz, City College of New York, New York, NY; and J. E. González and B. Lebassi-Habtezion

  3:45 PM
J9.2
Validation of Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) Model Simulations of the South American Climate during the Austral Summer of 2003–2004
Stephen D. Nicholls, NASA/GSFC and Maryland Office of Oak Ridge Associated Universities, Greenbelt, MD; and K. I. Mohr
  4:00 PM
J9.3
Creating a unified perspective of the North American monsoon: from the paleoclimate record to climate change projections
Christopher L. Castro, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and H. I. Chang, C. Woodhouse, C. Carrillo, B. Ciancarelli, and D. Griffin
  4:45 PM
J9.6
Ultra high-resolution near-term hydro-meteorological projections and impact assessments over the United States and South Asia
Moetasim Ashfaq, ORNL, Oak Ridge, TN; and S. C. Kao, R. Mei, D. Touma, D. Rastogi, S. M. Absar, and B. S. Naz

  5:00 PM
J9.7
An investigation of the relative contribution of Lake Victoria to regional model bias in the customization of WRF for Eastern Africa
Rowan Elizabeth Argent, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and F. H. M. Semazzi, L. Xie, and X. Sun

4:30 PM-5:30 PM: Tuesday, 4 February 2014

Recording files available
Session 6
Dynamics and predictability of weather and climate extreme events (Part I)
Location: Room C101 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Host: 26th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Michael F. Wehner, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory
  4:30 PM
6.1
Stronger super typhoons in a warmer world
Nam-Young Kang, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL

  4:45 PM
6.2
Spatial Resolution dependence of precipitation extremes from atmospheric moisture budgets in Aqua-planet Simulations
Qing Yang, PNNL, Richland, WA; and L. R. Leung, S. Rauscher, T. Ringler, and M. A. Taylor
  5:00 PM
6.3
Mapping extreme precipitation 'hotspots' across the midlatitudes
Shih-Yu Wang, Utah State University, Logan, UT; and R. Davies and R. Gillies
  5:15 PM
6.4
Using the self-organizing map algorithm to characterize widespread temperature extreme events over Alaska
Cody L. Phillips, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and E. N. Cassano, J. J. Cassano, W. J. Gutowski, and J. M. Glisan

5:00 PM-6:00 PM: Tuesday, 4 February 2014

Recording files available
Session 1
Bernhard Haurwitz Memorial Lecture
Location: Room C106 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the 26th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 14th Presidential Forum; the Second Symposium on Prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation: Impacts on Weather and Climate Extremes; the Second Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Stanley A. Changnon Symposium; the 30th Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 28th Conference on Hydrology; the 26th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting / 22nd Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction; the 23rd Symposium on Education; the 22nd Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences; the 18th Joint Conference on the Applications of Air Pollution Meteorology with the A&WMA; the 18th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 16th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the 12th Conference on Artificial and Computational Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences; the 12th History Symposium; the 12th Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 11th Conference on Space Weather; the 11th Symposium on the Urban Environment; the Tenth Annual Symposium on New Generation Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Ninth Symposium on Policy and Socio-Economic Research; the Sixth Symposium on Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions; the Fifth Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the Fifth Conference on Environment and Health; the Fourth Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology Special Symposium; the Fourth Conference on Transition of Research to Operations; the Fourth Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python; the Second Symposium on the Weather and Climate Enterprise; the Second Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events; the Major Weather Events and Societal Impacts of 2013; and the Special Symposium on Severe Local Storms: The Current State of the Science and Understanding Impacts )
  5:00 PM
L1.1
Towards a general theory of global monsoons (Invited Presentation)
Peter J. Webster, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA

Wednesday, 5 February 2014

8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Wednesday, 5 February 2014

Recording files available
Themed Joint Session 7
From Forecaster to Water Manager Part I: Use and Application of Climatologic and Hydrologic Forecasts and Understanding in Managing Water Resources
Location: Room C210 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the 28th Conference on Hydrology; and the 26th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )

Three sub-sessions comprising invited speakers and solicited papers/panels and facilitated discussion involving forecasters, water resource utilities: (1) Adapting to a Changing Climate focused on water resources management; (2) Forecasters and Water Managers: Communicating Risk and Uncertainty; and (3) Inside a Pressure Cooker: Understanding how Water Utilities View the World and How Meteorology Fits Inside. All would include special attention to extremes consistent with the overall Meeting Theme.
  8:30 AM
TJ7.1
A Decision Support System for Mitigating Stream Temperature Impacts in the Sacramento River
R. Jason Caldwell, Bureau of Reclamation, Denver, CO; and E. Zagona, B. Rajagopalan, L. Saito, R. B. Hanna, and J. Sapin
  8:45 AM
TJ7.2
Climate Change Extreme Events: Meeting the Information Needs of Water Resource Managers
Ray Quay, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ; and G. M. Garfin, F. Dominguez, C. A. Woodhouse, K. K. Hirschboeck, and Z. Guido
  9:00 AM
TJ7.3
Interannual to Decadal Climate Variability and Urban Water Security in the Missouri River Basin: Case Studies of Kansas City, Lincoln, and Great Falls Urban Areas
Vikram M. Mehta, The Center for Research on the Changing Earth System, Catonsville, MD; and N. Rosenberg and K. Mendoza

  9:15 AM
TJ7.4
The Value of Forecasts in Managing Extreme Events
Rebecca Guihan, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA; and A. Polebitski and R. Palmer

Session 7A
Detection and attribution of climate change with a focus on extremes (Part I)
Location: Room C102 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Host: 26th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Seung-Ki Min, Pohang University of Science and Technology
  8:30 AM
7A.1
  8:45 AM
7A.2
CMIP5 Model Assessments of the Ongoing Global Warming Hiatus and Two Extreme 2012 Climate Events
Thomas R. Knutson, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ; and R. Zhang, A. Wittenberg, and F. Zeng

  9:00 AM
7A.3
Attributing intensification of precipitation extremes to human influence
Xuebin Zhang, EC, Toronto, ON, Canada; and H. Wan, F. W. Zwiers, G. Hegerl, and S. K. Min

  9:15 AM
7A.4
Was the risk of the record-breaking Australian heat wave in 2013 increased by human activity?
Sarah Perkins, University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia; and S. Lewis

  9:30 AM
7A.5
Attribution of Observed SST Trends and Sub-Continental Land Warming to Anthropogenic Forcing during 1979–2005
Qigang Wu, Nanjing University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China; and D. Chan and A. Xun

  9:45 AM
7A.6
Multi-model detection and attribution of extreme temperature changes
Seung-Ki Min, Pohang University of Science and Technology, Pohang, Gyungbuk, South Korea; and X. Zhang, F. W. Zwiers, H. Shiogama, Y. S. Tung, and M. F. Wehner

Recording files available
Session 7B
Statistical techniques for the quantification of climate extremes (Part I)
Location: Room C101 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Host: 26th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Aiguo Dai, SUNY
  8:30 AM
7B.1
Quantifying temporal changes in UK regional extreme daily precipitation
Mari Jones, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and S. Blenkinsop and H. J. Fowler
  9:00 AM
7B.3
  9:15 AM
7B.4
A New Approach for Seasonality Characterization of Extreme Rainfall
Nirajan Dhakal, University of Maine, Orono, ME; and S. Jain

  9:45 AM
7B.6
Application of risk based infrastructure design concepts to provision for climate change
Johan V. Retief, University of Stellenbosch, Stellenbosch, South Africa; and D. Diamantidis, C. Viljoen, and E. van der Klashorst
Recording files available
Joint Session 12
Drought Analysis and Prediction Part I
Location: Room C209 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the 28th Conference on Hydrology; and the 26th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Cochairs: Siegfried D. Schubert, Global Modeling and Assimilation Office; Christa D. Peters-Lidard, NASA/GSFC; Andrew W. Wood, National Center for Atmospheric Research; John B. Eylander, US Army Corps of Engineers

We are pleased to announce that the American Meteorological Society's annual meeting, held 2-6 February, 2014 in Atlanta, GA, USA, will include a session on Drought Prediction and Applications as part of the 28th Conference on Hydrology and the 26th Conference on Climate Variability and Change. Drought is a multi-faceted phenomenon that challenges our current prediction capabilities. Taking drought prediction and hydrological applications to the next level requires advances in understanding, monitoring, communications and water resources management. Specific topics addressed by presenters might include: • Current prediction science and skill at various lead times; • Innovative management uses of that science; • Case studies illustrating advances in understanding, monitoring and prediction
  8:30 AM
J12.1
  8:45 AM
J12.2
NOAA's Drought Task Force initiatives to advance the understanding, monitoring and prediction of North American drought
Annarita Mariotti, NOAA, Silver Spring, MD; and D. Barrie, S. Schubert, C. D. Peters-Lidard, K. Mo, A. W. Wood, J. Huang, and M. Hoerling
  9:00 AM
J12.3
  9:15 AM
J12.4
Examining the relationship between drought development and rapid changes in the thermal-based Evaporative Stress Index
Jason A. Otkin, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and M. C. Anderson, C. Hain, and M. D. Svoboda
  9:30 AM
J12.5
Objective Blends of Multiple NLDAS Drought Indices over the Continental United States (CONUS): Development and Application
Youlong Xia, NOAA/NCEP/EMC, College Park, MD; and M. B. Ek, C. D. Peters-Lidard, D. M. Mocko, J. Sheffield, and E. F. Wood
  9:45 AM
J12.6
Assimilation of passive microwave-based soil moisture and snow depth retrievals for drought estimation
Sujay V. Kumar, SAIC at NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and C. D. Peters-Lidard, D. M. Mocko, R. H. Reichle, Y. Liu, K. R. Arsenault, Y. Xia, M. Ek, G. A. Riggs, B. Livneh, and M. Cosh

9:00 AM-11:00 AM: Wednesday, 5 February 2014


Spouses' Coffee

10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Wednesday, 5 February 2014


Coffee Break

Meet the President
Location: Room C103 (The Georgia World Congress Center )

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Wednesday, 5 February 2014

Recording files available
Themed Joint Session 8
From Forecaster to Water Manager Part II: Use and Application of Climatologic and Hydrologic Forecasts and Understanding in Managing Water Resources
Location: Room C210 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the 28th Conference on Hydrology; and the 26th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Chair: Nancy Beller-Simms, NOAA Climate Program Office
CoChair: Stephanie Herring, NOAA
  10:30 AM
TJ8.1
Improving Municipal Water Demand Forecasting
Alan Roberson, American Water Works Association, Washington, DC; and A. Carpenter
  10:45 AM
TJ8.2
River Forecast Application For Water Management: Oil and Water?
Kevin Werner, NOAA, Salt Lake City, UT; and K. B. Averyt and G. Owen
  11:15 AM
TJ8.4
No Silver Bullet: How Utility Managers Are Using Hydrologic and Weather Forecasts in Extreme Events Planning
Diane VanDe Hei, Association of Metropolitan Water Agencies, Washington, DC; and E. M. Brown
  11:45 AM
TJ8.6
Case Studies on Water Utility Strategies in Response to Extreme Climate/Weather Events
Nancy Beller-Simms, NOAA/Climate Program Office, Silver Spring, MD; and K. Metchis, L. Fillmore, K. Ozekin, E. Brown, C. Ternieden, and E. Powell

Recording files available
Session 8A
Teleconnections and climate modes and their influence on climate extremes (Part III)
Location: Georgia Ballroom 1 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Host: 26th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Bin Yu, EC
  10:30 AM
8A.1
Simulation of the Global ENSO-Tropical Cyclone Teleconnection by a High-Resolution Coupled General Circulation Model
Ray Bell, National Centre for Atmospheric Science, Reading, Berkshire, United Kingdom; and K. I. Hodges, P. L. Vidale, J. Strachan, and M. J. Roberts

  10:45 AM
8A.2
The Record-breaking Extreme Hot/Dry Summer of 2011 in the Southern Plains: Indications from Teleconnection Patterns
Xingang Fan, Western Kentucky University, Bowling Green, KY; and G. Goodrich, P. Dallas, J. Bailey, C. Moss, J. Clark, J. Walker, C. Murphy, A. Mattingly, K. Southers, R. Ollier, T. Wilcox, and K. Blanton
  11:00 AM
8A.3
Is the Pacific Walker Circulation changing in response to global warming?
Gilbert P. Compo, CIRES, Univ. of Colorado and Physical Sciences Division/ESRL/NOAA, Boulder, CO; and P. D. Sardeshmukh
  11:15 AM
8A.4
Recent East African Droughts and the Global Climate Shift of 1998–99
Bradfield Lyon, Columbia University/International Research Institute for Climate and Society, Palisades, NY; and A. G. Barnston and D. G. DeWitt
  11:30 AM
8A.5
  11:45 AM
8A.6
Zonal wind variability and Sahel rainfall: 20th and 21st century
David P. Whittleston, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and D. Entekhabi and A. Schlosser

Recording files available
Session 8B
Observed and projected changes in extremes (Part III)
Location: Room C101 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Host: 26th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: David R. Easterling, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC
  11:15 AM
8B.4
Identifying Extreme Precipitation from Satellite Precipitation Data Sets
Yaping Zhou, Morgan State Univ., Greenbelt, MD; and W. K. M. Lau

  11:30 AM
8B.5
Downscaled Projections of Extreme Rainfall in New York State
Christopher M. Castellano, Northeast Regional Climate Center, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY; and A. T. DeGaetano


Session 8C
Dynamics and predictability of weather and climate extreme events (Part II)
Location: Room C102 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Host: 26th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Xuebin Zhang, EC
  10:30 AM
8C.1
Observed changes in African rainfall and its extremes since the mid nineteenth-century
Sharon E. Nicholson, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL

  10:45 AM
8C.2
Anomalous Temperature Regimes during the Cool Season: Triggers and Physical Connections to Low Frequency Modes
Rebecca M. Westby, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and R. X. Black

  11:00 AM
8C.3
Toward seamless prediction of severe weather activity
Michael K. Tippett, International Research Institute for Climate and Society, Palisades, NY; and J. T. Allen, H. E. Brooks, S. J. Camargo, G. W. Carbin, A. H. Sobel, S. Weaver, and W. Wang

  11:15 AM
8C.4
Simulation of the temporal and spatial characteristics of diurnal rainfall cycle over Borneo
Gaurav Srivastava, Indian Institute of Science, Banglore, India; and V. Saxena, T. George, R. Mittal, L. A. Treinish, A. P. Praino, J. P. Cipriani, L. Dagar, and S. A. Husain

Handout (3.2 MB)

  11:30 AM
8C.5
Blocking Error in 10-day to 1-year Global Model Forecasts and Dependency on Resolution and Model Numerics
Stanley G. Benjamin, NOAA/Earth System Research Laboratory, Boulder, CO; and S. Sun, R. Bleck, X. Wei, J. M. Brown, M. Fiorino, R. M. Dole, and K. Pegion

  11:45 AM
8C.6
Associating Hail Occurrence and Large Scale Environment for the Continental United States 1979–2012
John T. Allen, Columbia Univ./International Research Institute for Climate and Society, Palisades, NY; and M. K. Tippett, A. H. Sobel, and S. J. Camargo

Recording files available
Joint Session 13
Drought Analysis and Prediction Part II
Location: Room C209 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the 28th Conference on Hydrology; and the 26th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Cochairs: Andrew W. Wood, National Center for Atmospheric Research; Siegfried D. Schubert, Global Modeling and Assimilation Office; John B. Eylander, US Army Corps of Engineers; Christa Peters-Lidard, NASA/GSFC

We are pleased to announce that the American Meteorological Society's annual meeting, held 2-6 February, 2014 in Atlanta, GA, USA, will include a session on Drought Prediction and Applications as part of the 28th Conference on Hydrology and the 26th Conference on Climate Variability and Change. Drought is a multi-faceted phenomenon that challenges our current prediction capabilities. Taking drought prediction and hydrological applications to the next level requires advances in understanding, monitoring, communications and water resources management. Specific topics addressed by presenters might include: • Current prediction science and skill at various lead times; • Innovative management uses of that science; • Case studies illustrating advances in understanding, monitoring and prediction
  10:30 AM
J13.1
Drought Predictability and Prediction Skill on Seasonal and Longer Time Scales
Siegfried D. Schubert, Global Modeling and Assimilation Office, Greenbelt, MD; and H. Wang, Y. G. Ham, R. D. Koster, and M. J. Suarez

  10:45 AM
J13.2
An examination of the recent droughts in the Horn of Africa and their predictability
Sharon E. Nicholson, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL

  11:00 AM
J13.3
Sources of predictability for decadal drought in western North America in GCMs
Sally V. Langford, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and D. Noone, Y. Chikamoto, and S. Stevenson

  11:30 AM
J13.5
  11:45 AM
J13.6
Predictability and Prediction of Multiyear to Decadal Droughts with a Hybrid Dynamical-Statistical System using CMIP5 Experiments with the MIROC5 Global Earth System Model
Vikram M. Mehta, The Center for Research on the Changing Earth System, Catonsville, MD; and H. Wang, K. Mendoza, and N. Rosenberg

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Wednesday, 5 February 2014


Lunch Break

Women in the Atmospheric Sciences Luncheon: A Conversation about the Future
Location: Room C112 (The Georgia World Congress Center )

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Wednesday, 5 February 2014

Recording files available
Lecture 2
Horton Lecture
Location: Georgia Ballroom 1 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the 28th Conference on Hydrology; the Second Symposium on Prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation: Impacts on Weather and Climate Extremes; the Second Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Edward S. Epstein Symposium; the 30th Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 26th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 26th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting / 22nd Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction; the 23rd Symposium on Education; the 22nd Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences; the 18th Joint Conference on the Applications of Air Pollution Meteorology with the A&WMA; the 18th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 16th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the 12th Conference on Artificial and Computational Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences; the 12th History Symposium; the 12th Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 11th Conference on Space Weather; the 11th Symposium on the Urban Environment; the Tenth Annual Symposium on New Generation Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Ninth Symposium on Policy and Socio-Economic Research; the Seventh Annual CCM Forum: Certified Consulting Meteorologists; the Sixth Symposium on Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions; the Fifth Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the Fifth Conference on Environment and Health; the Fourth Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology Special Symposium; the Fourth Conference on Transition of Research to Operations; the Fourth Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python; the Second Symposium on the Weather and Climate Enterprise; the Second Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events; and the Special Symposium on Severe Local Storms: The Current State of the Science and Understanding Impacts )

Session 9A
Dynamics and predictability of weather and climate extreme events (Part III)
Location: Room C102 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Host: 26th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Bin Yu, EC
  1:30 PM
9A.1
  1:45 PM
9A.2
Are Negative Arctic Oscillation Events the Opportunity for Sub-seasonal Forecasting?
Yuhei Takaya, Japan Meteorological Agency, Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo, Japan; and A. Minami

  2:00 PM
9A.3
Recording files available
Session 9B
Observed and projected changes in extremes (Part IV)
Location: Room C101 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Host: 26th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Aiguo Dai, SUNY
  1:30 PM
9B.1
Understanding Projected Changes in Heavy Precipitation in CMIP5 Climate Model Simulations
Anthony M. DeAngelis, Rutgers University, New Brunswick, NJ; and A. J. Broccoli
  1:45 PM
9B.2
Changes in Precipitation Extremes under Two Climate-Change Scenarios
Colin Raymond, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ; and Y. Ming

  2:00 PM
9B.3
  2:15 PM
9B.4

2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Wednesday, 5 February 2014


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Hall C3 (The Georgia World Congress Center )

Themed Joint Poster Session 1
From Forecaster to Water Manager: Use and Application of Climatologic and Hydrologic Forecasts and Understanding in Managing Water Resources Posters
Location: Hall C3 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the 28th Conference on Hydrology; and the 26th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Cochairs: Nancy Beller-Simms, NOAA Climate Program Office; Stephanie Herring, NOAA
 
511
Forecasting Reservoir Operations to Address Climate Impacts on Fish Sustainability Below Shasta Lake
Laurel Saito, University of Nevada, Reno, NV; and R. J. Caldwell, J. Sapin, B. Rajagopalan, D. Kauneckis, and R. B. Hanna

 
512
Assessment of climate change impact on groundwater reservoirs and water resources management in the Upper Santa Cruz River, Arizona
Eylon Shamir, Hydrologic Research Center, San Diego, CA; and S. Megdal, S. Eden, C. L. Castro, C. Carrillo, and H. I. Chang

 
514
Climate-Sensitive Water Demand Forecasting: New Tools for Water Managers
Juliet Christian-Smith, Pacific Institute, Oakland, CA; and M. Heberger

 
515
Local Resilience of CWS and Severe Weather Patterns
Alex Coletti, Syneren Technologies Corp., Arlington, VA; and B. Yarnal and P. Howe

Handout (717.4 kB)

 
516
Climate Scenarios for the NASA/USAID SERVIR Project: Challenges for Multiple Planning Horizons
F. R. Robertson, NASA/MSFC, Huntsville, AL; and J. B. Roberts, B. Lyon, C. C. Funk, and M. Bosilovich

 
517
Assessing the Roles of Regional Climate Uncertainty, Policy, and Economics on Future Risks to Water Stress: A Large-Ensemble Pilot Case for Southeast Asia
C. Adam Schlosser, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and K. Strzepek, X. Gao, C. Fant, E. Blanc, E. Monier, A. Sokolov, S. Paltsev, J. Reilly, and H. Jacoby

 
518
An Experimental seasonal hydrological forecast system for East Africa
Shraddhanand Shukla, University of California, Santa Barbara, CA; and C. C. Funk and F. R. Robertson

 
521
Probabilistic Hydrologic Forecasts for Decision Support at the North Central River Forecast Center
Steven D. Buan, NOAA/NWS, Chanhassen, MN; and P. Restrepo, M. DeWeese, M. Ziemer, A. Holz, B. Connelly, and L. Diamond

Handout (9.9 MB)

 
522
Complex Response of Grassland Soil Moisture to Extreme Precipitation Patterns
John D. Hottenstein, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and G. Ponce Campos and M. S. Moran

 
524
Addressing the Nation's Water Information Needs through Interagency Collaboration: Integrated Water Resources Science and Services (IWRSS) and the National Water Center (NWC)
Jerad Bales, USGS, Reston, VA; and D. Cline, S. P. Contorno, T. Graziano, M. G. Mullusky, A. Rost, and T. Schneider


Poster Session 2
Poster (Part II)
Location: Hall C3 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Host: 26th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Xuebin Zhang, EC
 
547
Atmospheric Dust Seasonal Variability from Riyadh
Assaf A. Alhawas, King Saud University, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia

 
548
Characterizing Anomalous Mid-tropospheric Ridges and Their Trends
Stu Ostro, The Weather Channel, Atlanta, GA; and D. Huber, J. H. Casola, D. Kaiser, T. P. Karnowski, V. C. Paquit, S. C. Kao, J. Francis, and J. Gulledge

 
550
Climate Change Projected Effects on the Agriculture of the Southeast USA
Guillermo A. Baigorria, University of Nebraska, Lincoln, NE; and D. W. Shin, C. C. Romero, J. Oh, and S. Cocke

 
551
Teaching Extension Agents about Climate Change Impacts on Livestock
Pamela N. Knox, Univ. of Georgia, Athens, GA; and D. Schmidt, C. Powers, D. Smith, E. Whitefield, and J. Pronto

Handout (2.1 MB)

 
552
Using Analog Methods to Illustrate Possible Climate Change for Agricultural Producers
Pamela N. Knox, Univ. of Georgia, Athens, GA; and M. Griffin

Handout (915.9 kB)

 
553
How does the changing general circulation affect observed cloud types?
Paul Staten, NASA JPL/Caltech, Pasadena, CA; and B. Kahn and T. Reichler

 
554
Evaluating Empirically Derived Dew Point Estimation Methods to asses the Effect of Irrigation on Climate in the Southeastern United States
Marcus D. Williams, USDA, Athens, GA; and M. J. Shepherd, A. Grundstein, and S. L. Goodrick

 
555
Pacific Climate Services Capacity building in cooperation with Pacific Island Country Meteorological Offices and NOAA, a case study in the country of Vanuatu
Mark Morrissey, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and P. Masale, C. Fiebrich, J. S. Greene, and S. Postawko

 
559
Eurasian Cold Extreme in January 2012: Sudden Intensification of Ural Blocking by Stratospheric Coupling
Ah-Ryeon Yang, Korea Polar Research Institute, Incheon, South Korea; and B. M. Kim, S. H. Woo, J. S. Kug, and E. Jung

 
560
Tropical expansion and its impact on climate extremes
Mahesh Kovilakam, University of California, Riverside, CA; and R. J. Allen

Handout (6.3 MB)

 
561
Seasonal Indian Ocean Rim Drought in the Absence of La Niña and the Indian Ocean Dipole
Andrew Hoell, University of California, Santa Barbara, CA; and C. C. Funk

 
Poster 563 has been moved. New poster number is S152A

 
565
Correlation between oceanic patterns and precipitation in basins that compose the Brazilian SIN to improve the long-time forecast
Maria de Souza Custodio, University of São Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil; and P. D. Madeira, C. G. M. Ramos, and A. L. F. de Macedo

 
566
On the drivers of variability and trend of surface solar radiation in Great Beijing area of China
Xiaoling Zhang, Chinese Meteorological Administration, Beijing, China; and X. Xia

 
569
 
570
Analysis of Extreme Negative Arctic Oscillation Values and their Relationship to Southeast U.S. Cold Air Outbreaks
Ivetta V. Abramyan, South Carolina State Climatology Office, Columbia, SC; and L. Vaughan

 
571
 
572
Understanding and predicting the extreme wet conditions over Australia in 2010 spring
Eun-Pa Lim, Australian Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, Australia; and H. Hendon, G. Liu, and G. Young

Handout (4.4 MB)


Joint Poster Session 6
Drought Analysis and Prediction Posters
Location: Hall C3 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the 28th Conference on Hydrology; and the 26th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Cochairs: Christa D. Peters-Lidard, NASA/GSFC; Siegfried D. Schubert, Global Modeling and Assimilation Office; Andrew W. Wood, National Center for Atmospheric Research; John B. Eylander, US Army Corps of Engineers

We are pleased to announce that the American Meteorological Society's annual meeting, held 2-6 February, 2014 in Atlanta, GA, USA, will include a session on Drought Prediction and Applications as part of the 28th Conference on Hydrology and the 26th Conference on Climate Variability and Change. Drought is a multi-faceted phenomenon that challenges our current prediction capabilities. Taking drought prediction and hydrological applications to the next level requires advances in understanding, monitoring, communications and water resources management. Specific topics addressed by presenters might include: • Current prediction science and skill at various lead times; • Innovative management uses of that science; • Case studies illustrating advances in understanding, monitoring and prediction
 
525
Building Open Environment for Near Real-Time Monitoring And Analysis Of Global Agricultural Drought
Meixia Deng, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA; and L. Di, A. L. Yagci, C. Peng, W. Han, and G. Heo

 
527
Could U.S. extreme droughts have been anticipated?—A NASA NEWS initiative on extremes
Shih-Yu Wang, Utah State University, Logan, UT; and R. J. Oglesby, K. Hilburn, R. Pinker, M. Pan, P. R. Houser, D. Barandiaran, and H. Wang
Manuscript (1.0 MB)

Handout (6.3 MB)

 
528
Evaluating the Predictive Skill of CFSv2 Precipitation and Temperature Forecasts in China
Yang Lang, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, China; and Q. Duan and A. Ye

 
531
Impact of soil-moisture/terrestrial water-storage assimilated initializations on forecasting drought
Bala Narapusetty, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and C. D. Peters-Lidard, S. Kumar, J. B. Eylander, R. D. Koster, M. Rodell, J. Bolten, and K. R. Arsenault

 
887
Hydrologic and Climatologic Conditions that Shape Groundwater Resources in Utah and the Great Basin
Kirsti Hakala, Utah State University, Logan, UT; and S. Y. W. Wang

4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Wednesday, 5 February 2014


Session 10A
Detection and attribution of climate change with a focus on extremes (Part II)
Location: Room C102 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Host: 26th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Michael F. Wehner, LBNL
  4:00 PM
10A.1
Long-term Changes in Warm Season Convective Storm Frequency Over the Northeastern United States
Brian A. Colle, Stony Brook University/SUNY, Stony Brook, NY; and H. Li

  4:15 PM
10A.2
A Study of the Magnitude and Distribution of Daily and Monthly Heavy Rainfall in Kansas
Vahid Rahmani, Kansas State University, Manhattan, KS; and S. L. Hutchinson, J. A. Harrington, J. M. S. Hutchinson, and A. Anandhi

  4:30 PM
10A.3
Variability and trends in average and extreme summer near-surface equivalent temperature in the Eastern USA
J.T. Schoof, Southern Illinois University, Carbondale, IL; and Z. Heern

  4:45 PM
10A.4
Prolonged Droughts over Southern Australia: Causes and Future Projections
Carsten Frederiksen, Centre for Australian Weather and Climate Research, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia; and J. Frederiksen, J. Sisson, and S. Osbrough

  5:15 PM
10A.6
An improved algorithm for detecting blocking events
Rainer Bleck, NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies & NOAA/Earth System Research Laboratory, Boulder, CO; and S. Sun and S. Benjamin

Handout (1.4 MB)

Recording files available
Session 10B
Teleconnections and climate modes and their influence on climate extremes (Part IV)
Location: Room C101 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Host: 26th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Bin Yu, EC
  4:00 PM
10B.1
Surface Temperature Probability Distributions and Extremes in the NARCCAP Hindcast Experiment: Evaluation Methodology and Metrics, Results, and Associated Atmospheric Mechanisms
Paul C. Loikith, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and D. E. Waliser, J. Kim, H. Lee, B. R. Lintner, J. D. Neelin, S. A. McGinnis, C. Mattmann, and L. O. Mearns
  4:15 PM
10B.2
ENSO phase transition in spring and its potential impact on tornado outbreaks in the U.S
Sang-Ki Lee, University of Miami, Miami, FL; and R. Atlas, D. B. Enfield, C. Wang, and H. Liu
  4:45 PM
10B.4
Predictability and prediction skill of the Southern Annular Mode based on its relationship with ENSO
Eun-Pa Lim, Australian Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, Australia; and H. Hendon and H. Rashid
  5:00 PM
10B.5
Recording files available
Joint Session 14
Drought Analysis and Prediction Part III
Location: Room C209 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the 28th Conference on Hydrology; and the 26th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Cochairs: Christa Peters-Lidard, NASA/GSFC; Andrew W. Wood, National Center for Atmospheric Research; Siegfried D. Schubert, Global Modeling and Assimilation Office; John B. Eylander, US Army Corps of Engineers

We are pleased to announce that the American Meteorological Society's annual meeting, held 2-6 February, 2014 in Atlanta, GA, USA, will include a session on Drought Prediction and Applications as part of the 28th Conference on Hydrology and the 26th Conference on Climate Variability and Change. Drought is a multi-faceted phenomenon that challenges our current prediction capabilities. Taking drought prediction and hydrological applications to the next level requires advances in understanding, monitoring, communications and water resources management. Specific topics addressed by presenters might include: • Current prediction science and skill at various lead times; • Innovative management uses of that science; • Case studies illustrating advances in understanding, monitoring and prediction
  4:00 PM
J14.1
Remote Sensing-based Drought and Agricultural Risk Products for Mexico
Enrique R. Vivoni, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ; and G. Mascaro

  4:15 PM
J14.2
Comparison of the SPI and ESPI on predicting drought conditions and streamflow in Canada
Allan Howard, National Agroclimate Information Service, Regina, SK, Canada
  4:30 PM
J14.3
A quantitative, GRACE-based framework for regional hydrologic drought characterization
Alys Thomas, University of California, Irvine, CA; and J. T. Reager, J. S. Famiglietti, and M. Rodell
  4:45 PM
J14.4
Coupled model simulations of extreme rainfall events over Africa coupled models
Wassila Mamadou Thiaw, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC, College Park, MD

  5:00 PM
J14.5
  5:15 PM
J14.6
Seasonal to Interannual Variability of Evapotranspiration across Oklahoma during Drought Periods
Jing Liu, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and J. B. Basara, K. S. Pennington, J. C. Glenn, and B. G. Illston

5:00 PM-6:00 PM: Wednesday, 5 February 2014

Recording files available
Lecture 3
Walter Orr Roberts Lecture
Location: Room C113 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the 16th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Second Symposium on Prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation: Impacts on Weather and Climate Extremes; the Second Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Stanley A. Changnon Symposium; the Edward S. Epstein Symposium; the 30th Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 28th Conference on Hydrology; the 26th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 26th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting / 22nd Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction; the 23rd Symposium on Education; the 22nd Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences; the 18th Joint Conference on the Applications of Air Pollution Meteorology with the A&WMA; the 18th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 12th Conference on Artificial and Computational Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences; the 12th History Symposium; the 12th Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 11th Conference on Space Weather; the 11th Symposium on the Urban Environment; the Tenth Annual Symposium on New Generation Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Ninth Symposium on Policy and Socio-Economic Research; the Seventh Annual CCM Forum: Certified Consulting Meteorologists; the Sixth Symposium on Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions; the Fifth Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the Fifth Conference on Environment and Health; the Fourth Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology Special Symposium; the Fourth Conference on Transition of Research to Operations; the Fourth Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python; the Second Symposium on the Weather and Climate Enterprise; the Second Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events; and the Special Symposium on Severe Local Storms: The Current State of the Science and Understanding Impacts )
  5:00 PM
L3.1

5:30 PM-6:30 PM: Wednesday, 5 February 2014


Awards Banquet Reception in the Exhibit Hall

7:00 PM-10:00 PM: Wednesday, 5 February 2014


94th AMS Awards Banquet

Thursday, 6 February 2014

8:30 AM-9:45 AM: Thursday, 6 February 2014

Recording files available
Session 11A
CMIP5 models: 20th and 21st century simulations (Part II)
Location: Room C102 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Host: 26th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Eric D. Maloney, Colorado State University
  8:30 AM
11A.1
Role of Dynamical and Physical Processes in Simulated Extremes Due to Climate Change
Jeffrey T. Kiehl, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. A. Shields

  8:45 AM
11A.2
  9:00 AM
11A.3
  9:15 AM
11A.4
  9:30 AM
11A.5
Response of Walker circulation to CO2 increases and its relation to tropical precipitation in CMIP5 models
Ahreum Lee, Seoul National Univ., Seoul, South Korea; and B. J. Sohn and W. K. M. Lau
Recording files available
Session 11B
Statistical techniques for the quantification of climate extremes (Part II)
Location: Room C101 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Host: 26th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Michael F. Wehner, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory
  8:30 AM
11B.1
Optimal application of climate data to the development of design wind speeds
Andries C. Kruger, South African Weather Service, Pretoria, South Africa; and X. G. Larsén, A. Goliger, and J. V. Retief
  8:45 AM
11B.2
Power Law Behavior of Atmospheric Variability
Robert West, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and P. Sura
  9:00 AM
11B.3
Use of NN based approaches to create high resolution climate meteorological forecasts
Nabin Malakar, City College of New York, New York, NY; and B. Gross, J. E. Gonzalez, P. Yang, and F. Moshary
  9:15 AM
11B.4A
Cyclonecenter: Crowdsourcing insights into historical tropical cyclone intensities
Peter W. Thorne, Nansen Environmental and Remote Sensing Center, Bergen, Norway; and C. C. Hennon, K. R. Knapp, C. J. Schreck III, S. E. Stevens, P. A. Hennon, J. P. Kossin, M. C. Kruk, J. Rennie, and L. E. Stevens
  9:30 AM
11B.5
Reframing North Pacific atmosphere dynamics for western US streamflow
Steven Brewster Malevich, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and C. Woodhouse

9:45 AM-11:00 AM: Thursday, 6 February 2014


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Hall C3 (The Georgia World Congress Center )

11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Thursday, 6 February 2014

Recording files available
Session 12A
CMIP5 models: 20th and 21st century simulations (Part III)
Location: Room C102 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Host: 26th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Seung-Ki Min, Pohang University of Science and Technology
  11:15 AM
12A.2
Climate Simulation for the 21st Century with High Resolution AGCM based on CMIP5 data
Jai-Ho Oh, Pukyung National University, Busan, South Korea; and S. Woo and K. M. Lee
  11:30 AM
12A.3
Evaluation of CMIP5 models using network analysis
Ilias Fountalis, Georgia Institute of Techbology, Atlanta, GA; and A. Bracco and C. Dovrolis

Recording files available
Session 12B
General topics (Part V)
Location: Room C101 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Host: 26th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Michael C. Kruk, ERT, Inc.
  11:15 AM
12B.2
  11:30 AM
12B.3
Comparison of the PACRAIN Database to the Global Historical Climatology Network Data Set
Michael D. Klatt, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and M. L. Morrissey and J. S. Greene

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Thursday, 6 February 2014


Lunch Break

1:30 PM-3:00 PM: Thursday, 6 February 2014

Recording files available
Session 13A
Detection and attribution of climate change with a focus on extremes (Part III)
Location: Room C102 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Host: 26th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Xuebin Zhang, EC
  1:30 PM
13A.1
Attribution of the recent intensification of Northern Hemisphere summer monsoon and tropical circulation
B. Wang, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and J. Liu, H. J. Kim, P. J. Webster, S. Y. Yim, and B. Xiang

  1:45 PM
13A.2
Debate on Stratospheric Temperature Trends from SSU Measurements
Cheng-Zhi Zou, NOAA/NESDIS, College Park, MD

  2:00 PM
13A.3
Factors Associated with Decadal Variability in Great Plains Summertime Surface Temperatures
Scott Weaver, NOAA/CPC, College Park, MD; and A. Kumar and M. Chen

  2:45 PM
13A.6
Is global warming significantly affecting daily weather extremes ?
Prashant D. Sardeshmukh, CIRES, Boulder, CO; and G. P. Compo, C. Penland, and C. McColl
Recording files available
Session 13B
General topics (Part VI)
Location: Room C101 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Host: 26th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Eric D. Maloney, Colorado State University
  2:15 PM
13B.4
A surface based method for analyzing feedback contributions
Sergio A. Sejas, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and M. Cai

  2:30 PM
13B.5
Interhemispheric Influence of the Northern Summer Monsoons on the Southern Subtropical Anticyclones
Sang-Ki Lee, University of Miami, Miami, FL; and C. R. Mechoso, C. Wang, and J. D. Neelin

3:00 PM-3:05 PM: Thursday, 6 February 2014


Registration Closes

3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Thursday, 6 February 2014


Coffee Break

Meet the President
Location: Room C103 (The Georgia World Congress Center )

3:30 PM-5:00 PM: Thursday, 6 February 2014

Recording files available
Session 14A
High latitude climate variability and change
Location: Room C102 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Host: 26th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Xiangdong Zhang, University of Alaska
  3:30 PM
14A.1
Decadal covariability of the northern wintertime land surface temperature and atmospheric circulation
Bin Yu, EC, Toronto, ON, Canada; and X. L. Wang, X. Zhang, J. N. S. Cole, and Y. Feng
  3:45 PM
14A.2
Land Surface Air Temperature Diurnal Range over High Northern Latitudes
Xubin Zeng, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and A. Wang
  4:00 PM
14A.3
Declining spring snow cover extent over high latitude Northern Hemisphere lands
David A. Robinson, Rutgers University and NJ State Climatologist, Piscataway, NJ; and T. W. Estilow
  4:15 PM
14A.4
Alaska Climate Changes in Dynamically Downscaled CMIP5 Simulations
Jing Zhang, North Carolina A&T State University, Greensboro, NC; and R. Hock, J. R. Krieger, W. Tao, C. Lu, U. S. Bhatt, and X. Zhang

  4:30 PM
14A.5
  4:45 PM
14A.6
The Intense Arctic Cyclone of Early August 2012: Analysis of a Rare Event
Adam H. Turchioe, University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY; and L. F. Bosart
Recording files available
Session 14B
Impacts of weather and climate extremes on urban environments
Location: Room C101 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Host: 26th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: David R. Easterling, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC
  3:30 PM
14B.1
  3:45 PM
14B.2
  4:00 PM
14B.3
ENSO Impact on Groundwater Levels in the Lower Apalachicola-Chattahoochee-Flint River Basin
Subhasis Mitra, Auburn University, Auburn, AL; and P. Srivastava, L. J. Torak, and S. Singh
  4:15 PM
14B.4
Extreme Events in a Tropical Paradise: An Anomalous Severe Convective Event in the Northern Bahamas
Fiona Horsfall, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and B. C. Hagemeyer and A. Rolle
  4:30 PM
14B.5
Sensitivity of Ozone Exceedences to Increasing Maximum Temperatures in the U.S
Richard Wagner, Metropolitan State University, Denver, CO; and E. J. Dresselhaus
  4:45 PM
14B.6
Summer-Season Forecast Experiments with Upgrades in the Land Component of the NCEP Climate Forecast System (CFS)
Rongqian Yang, NOAA/NWS/NCEP and I.M. Systems Group, College Park, MD; and M. B. Ek and J. Meng

5:00 PM-5:05 PM: Thursday, 6 February 2014


AMS 94th Annual Meeting Adjourns