Drought Analysis and Prediction Part II

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Wednesday, 5 February 2014: 10:30 AM-12:00 PM
Room C209 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the 28th Conference on Hydrology; and the 26th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Cochairs:  Andrew W. Wood, Research Applications Laboratory, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO; Siegfried D. Schubert, Global Modeling and Assimilation Office, Greenbelt, MD; John B. Eylander, Engineer Research and Development Center, Cold Regions Research and Engineering Lab, US Army Corps of Engineers, Hanover, NH and Christa Peters-Lidard, Hydrological Sciences Lagoratory, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD
  10:30 AM
Drought Predictability and Prediction Skill on Seasonal and Longer Time Scales
Siegfried D. Schubert, Global Modeling and Assimilation Office, Greenbelt, MD; and H. Wang, Y. G. Ham, R. D. Koster, and M. J. Suarez

  10:45 AM
An examination of the recent droughts in the Horn of Africa and their predictability
Sharon E. Nicholson, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL

  11:00 AM
Sources of predictability for decadal drought in western North America in GCMs
Sally V. Langford, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and D. Noone, Y. Chikamoto, and S. Stevenson

  11:30 AM
  11:45 AM
Predictability and Prediction of Multiyear to Decadal Droughts with a Hybrid Dynamical-Statistical System using CMIP5 Experiments with the MIROC5 Global Earth System Model
Vikram M. Mehta, The Center for Research on the Changing Earth System, Catonsville, MD; and H. Wang, K. Mendoza, and N. Rosenberg