US Navy Modeling Roadmap: Pathway for Modeling Research to Operations

The Naval Meteorology and Oceanography Command production centers ,along with our primary developers will continue to support development and transition of deterministic and probabilistic models in the atmosphere and ocean at resolutions to support Navy mission around the global. In the future we will increase our coupling of the models with minimization and rationalization of models to reduce the complexity of the CNMOC Modeling portfolio. With increasing budget pressures, the modeling effort needs to leverage resources of other agencies and partnerships to develop the next generation weather, ocean and climate models. Resources we will need to leverage to maintain our competitive advantage include the increased use of the Navy DoD Supercomputing Resource Center, increasing the distributed computing efforts from Fleet Numerical Meteorology and Oceanography Center, and the renewed national efforts exemplified by the National Unified Operational Ensemble Prediction Capability (NUOPC) and the Earth System Prediction Capability. (ESPC).

This presentation will provide a review of the "roadmap" for the community and provide a couple brief scenarios to bring a more realistic look at future operations.