3
Tropical Cyclones & Winter Weather; NWP physics and data assimilation

- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates an Award Winner
Wednesday, 5 February 2014: 2:30 PM-4:00 PM
Hall C3 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Host: 26th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting / 22nd Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction
Cochairs:  Andrew L. Molthan, Earth Science Office/Short-term Prediction Research and Transition (SPoRT) Center, NASA/MSFC, Huntsville, AL and Kelly M. Mahoney, NOAA ESRL Physical Sciences Division, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO
Papers:
 
573
The role of the large-scale environment in determining North Atlantic tropical cyclone size

 
574
The Influence of the Low-Level Jet Upon the Overland Reintensification of Tropical Storm Erin (2007)
Clark Evans, University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee, Milwaukee, WI; and R. S. Schumacher

Handout (2.5 MB)

 
575
Numerical Weather Modelling of the Factors affecting the Rapid Intensification of Tropical Cyclone Yasi
Chelsea. L. Parker, Brown University, Providence, RI; and A. H. Lynch, M. Tsukernik, and T. E. Arbetter

 
576
A Diagnostic Phase Space for the Structural State of Pre-genesis Tropical Convective Systems
Charles N. Helms, SUNY Albany, Albany, NY; and J. P. Dunion and L. F. Bosart

 
577
New Vortex Initialization Scheme for the NCEP's HWRF Model
In-Hyuk Kwon, KIAPS (Korea Institute of Atmospheric Prediction Systems), Seoul, South Korea; and V. Tallapragada, Y. C. Kwon, M. Tong, and B. Zhang

Handout (1.5 MB)

 
578
Assessment of Tropical Cyclone Moisture Budgets and Thermodynamics in the North American Regional Reanalysis
Stephanie E. Zick, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL; and C. J. Matyas

Handout (1.4 MB)

 
579
The Galvez-Davison Index for Tropical Convection
Jose Manuel Galvez, SRG / NOAA / National Weather Service, College Park, MD; and M. Davison

 
580
Experimental Model Evaluations for Tropical Cyclone Forecasting
Louisa B. Nance, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. K. Biswas, B. G. Brown, T. L. Fowler, P. A. Kucera, K. M. Newman, J. L. Vigh, and C. L. Williams

Handout (1.8 MB)

 
581
Formation of Tropical Cyclone Spiral Rainbands in a 3-D Cloud-Resolving Model
Diamilet Perez-Betancourt, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and K. A. Emanuel

 
582
Analysis of the origins of east Pacific easterly waves
Ernesto W. Findlay, University At albany, Albany, NY; and A. V. Rydbeck and E. D. Maloney

 
583
An examination of a non-developing tropical disturbance in the western North Pacific using high-resolution numerical simulations and data assimilation
Andrew B. Penny, NPS, Monterey, CA; and P. A. Harr and J. Hacker

 
584
Tropical Cyclone Forecast Verification: Multivariate Attributes and Rapid Intensity Change
Christopher L. Williams, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. K. Biswas, B. G. Brown, T. L. Fowler, E. Gilleland, P. A. Kucera, L. B. Nance, and K. M. Newman

 
585
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Forecasting: Predictability and Uncertainty
Falko Judt, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and S. S. Chen

 
586
Ensemble Predictions of Tropical Cyclone Rainfall Totals in Varying Synoptic Environments
Erik R. Nielsen, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and R. S. Schumacher

 
587
Case Study on the Difference of the Analyzed Typhoon Positions of Typhoon Centers over western North Pacific Region
Ki-ho Chang, National Typhoon Center / KMA, Jeju, South Korea; and W. Lee, K. Y. Byun, W. S. Yoon Sr., and J. H. Lee

 
588
Comparison Of Extratropical Cyclones Process Among Yyphoon Forecasting Model Using Cyclone Phase Space
Na InChae, National Typhoon Center / KMA, Jeju, South Korea; and W. J. Lee, J. Kim Sr., K. H. Chang, N. Y. Kang, and J. H. Lee

 
589
Case study on the formation of snowfall in a basin covered by the stratiformed precipitation system with an extratropic cyclone in winter
Tetsuya Sano, University of Yamanashi, Kofu, Yamanashi, Japan; and T. Suetsugi and S. Oishi
Manuscript (4.3 MB)

Handout (5.1 MB)

 
590
Numerical Modeling of a Historic Storm: Simulating the Blizzard of 1888
Allison Claire Michaelis, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and G. Lackmann

 
Poster 591 will now be presented as 10.3A

 
592
Analysis and Predictability of the Wasatch Windstorm of 1 December 2011
John Lawson, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and J. D. Horel

 
593
Characteristics of Northeast Winter Cyclones Associated With Significant Upper Level Easterly Wind Anomalies
Adrian N. Mitchell, SUNY Albany, Albany, NY; and L. F. Bosart and K. L. Corbosiero

 
594
Observational Analysis and Numerical Simulations of a Lake-Effect Snow Event over Lake Tahoe
Brian Crow, University of Missouri, Columbia, MO; and N. Laird and N. D. Metz

 
595
Dynamical and Thermodynamic Processes Contributing to Thundersnow Events
Kyle J. Meier, University at Albany, State University of New York, Albany, NY; and D. Keyser, L. F. Bosart, and M. L. Jurewicz Sr.

 
596
Relationships between synoptic-scale circulation features and antecedent upstream air trajectories associated with winter storms in central North Carolina
Christopher M. Fuhrmann, Southeast Regional Climate Center, Chapel Hill, NC; and C. E. Konrad

 
597
Banded convection in Colorado snowstorms: insights obtained from X-band radar observations and numerical simulations
Russ S. Schumacher, Colorado State University, Ft. Collins, CO; and S. A. Rutledge, M. R. Kumjian, P. Kennedy, and R. H. Johnson

Handout (10.4 MB)

 
598
An Objective Forecast Study for Northwest Flow Snow Events in the Southwestern Pennsylvania Region
Karly Bitsura-Meszaros, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC

 
599
Comparisons of cloud microphysics schemes implemented in KIAPS-GM
In-Jin Choi, Korea Institute of Atmospheric Prediction Systems, Seoul, South Korea; and S. Y. Bae and E. K. Jin

 
600
Microphysical Aspects of Representing Cloud Regime Transitions in Regional Forecast Models
Kevin J. Nelson, University of Kansas, Lawrence, KS; and D. B. Mechem

 
601
Monthly Forecast Improvement with Stratospheric Winds
W.F.J. Evans, North West Research Associates, Redmond, WA; and D. C. Fritts, L. L. Gordley, and M. J. McHugh

 
602
Community Support for the WRF Data Assimilation System (WRFDA)
Michael J. Kavulich Jr., NCAR, Boulder, CO; and X. Zhang and X. Y. Huang

 
603
Assimilation of satellite and radar observations in a convection-resolving Observing System Simulation Experiment
Rebecca M. Cintineo, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and J. A. Otkin, T. A. Jones, S. Koch, L. J. Wicker, and D. J. Stensrud

 
604
Crowdsourcing, what is it good for? (Something, we hope!)

 
605
The Potential for Self-Organizing Maps to Identify Model Error Structures
Walter C. Kolczynski Jr., NPS, Monterey, CA; and J. Hacker

 
Poster 606 will now be presented as 13.4A

 
607
Assimilating Aircraft Humidity in the U.S. Navy's Global Data Assimilation System

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