Tropical Cyclones & Winter Weather; NWP physics and data assimilation

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Wednesday, 5 February 2014: 2:30 PM-4:00 PM
Hall C3 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Host: 26th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting / 22nd Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction
Cochairs:  Andrew L. Molthan, Earth Science Office/Short-term Prediction Research and Transition (SPoRT) Center, NASA/MSFC, Huntsville, AL and Kelly M. Mahoney, NOAA ESRL Physical Sciences Division, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO
The Influence of the Low-Level Jet Upon the Overland Reintensification of Tropical Storm Erin (2007)
Clark Evans, University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee, Milwaukee, WI; and R. S. Schumacher

Handout (2.5 MB)

A Diagnostic Phase Space for the Structural State of Pre-genesis Tropical Convective Systems
Charles N. Helms, SUNY Albany, Albany, NY; and J. P. Dunion and L. F. Bosart

New Vortex Initialization Scheme for the NCEP's HWRF Model
In-Hyuk Kwon, KIAPS (Korea Institute of Atmospheric Prediction Systems), Seoul, South Korea; and V. Tallapragada, Y. C. Kwon, M. Tong, and B. Zhang

Handout (1.5 MB)

The Galvez-Davison Index for Tropical Convection
Jose Manuel Galvez, SRG / NOAA / National Weather Service, College Park, MD; and M. Davison

Experimental Model Evaluations for Tropical Cyclone Forecasting
Louisa B. Nance, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. K. Biswas, B. G. Brown, T. L. Fowler, P. A. Kucera, K. M. Newman, J. L. Vigh, and C. L. Williams

Handout (1.8 MB)

Formation of Tropical Cyclone Spiral Rainbands in a 3-D Cloud-Resolving Model
Diamilet Perez-Betancourt, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and K. A. Emanuel

Analysis of the origins of east Pacific easterly waves
Ernesto W. Findlay, University At albany, Albany, NY; and A. V. Rydbeck and E. D. Maloney

Tropical Cyclone Forecast Verification: Multivariate Attributes and Rapid Intensity Change
Christopher L. Williams, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. K. Biswas, B. G. Brown, T. L. Fowler, E. Gilleland, P. A. Kucera, L. B. Nance, and K. M. Newman

Tropical Cyclone Intensity Forecasting: Predictability and Uncertainty
Falko Judt, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and S. S. Chen

Ensemble Predictions of Tropical Cyclone Rainfall Totals in Varying Synoptic Environments
Erik R. Nielsen, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and R. S. Schumacher

Case Study on the Difference of the Analyzed Typhoon Positions of Typhoon Centers over western North Pacific Region
Ki-ho Chang, National Typhoon Center / KMA, Jeju, South Korea; and W. Lee, K. Y. Byun, W. S. Yoon Sr., and J. H. Lee

Comparison Of Extratropical Cyclones Process Among Yyphoon Forecasting Model Using Cyclone Phase Space
Na InChae, National Typhoon Center / KMA, Jeju, South Korea; and W. J. Lee, J. Kim Sr., K. H. Chang, N. Y. Kang, and J. H. Lee

Case study on the formation of snowfall in a basin covered by the stratiformed precipitation system with an extratropic cyclone in winter
Tetsuya Sano, University of Yamanashi, Kofu, Yamanashi, Japan; and T. Suetsugi and S. Oishi
Manuscript (4.3 MB)

Handout (5.1 MB)

Numerical Modeling of a Historic Storm: Simulating the Blizzard of 1888
Allison Claire Michaelis, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and G. Lackmann

Poster 591 will now be presented as 10.3A

Analysis and Predictability of the Wasatch Windstorm of 1 December 2011
John Lawson, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and J. D. Horel

Observational Analysis and Numerical Simulations of a Lake-Effect Snow Event over Lake Tahoe
Brian Crow, University of Missouri, Columbia, MO; and N. Laird and N. D. Metz

Dynamical and Thermodynamic Processes Contributing to Thundersnow Events
Kyle J. Meier, University at Albany, State University of New York, Albany, NY; and D. Keyser, L. F. Bosart, and M. L. Jurewicz Sr.

Banded convection in Colorado snowstorms: insights obtained from X-band radar observations and numerical simulations
Russ S. Schumacher, Colorado State University, Ft. Collins, CO; and S. A. Rutledge, M. R. Kumjian, P. Kennedy, and R. H. Johnson

Handout (10.4 MB)

An Objective Forecast Study for Northwest Flow Snow Events in the Southwestern Pennsylvania Region
Karly Bitsura-Meszaros, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC

Comparisons of cloud microphysics schemes implemented in KIAPS-GM
In-Jin Choi, Korea Institute of Atmospheric Prediction Systems, Seoul, South Korea; and S. Y. Bae and E. K. Jin

Monthly Forecast Improvement with Stratospheric Winds
W.F.J. Evans, North West Research Associates, Redmond, WA; and D. C. Fritts, L. L. Gordley, and M. J. McHugh

Assimilation of satellite and radar observations in a convection-resolving Observing System Simulation Experiment
Rebecca M. Cintineo, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and J. A. Otkin, T. A. Jones, S. Koch, L. J. Wicker, and D. J. Stensrud

The Potential for Self-Organizing Maps to Identify Model Error Structures
Walter C. Kolczynski Jr., NPS, Monterey, CA; and J. Hacker

Poster 606 will now be presented as 13.4A