5
Uncertainty quantification

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Thursday, 6 February 2014: 11:00 AM-12:00 PM
Room C205 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Host: 22nd Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences
Cochairs:  Dan Collins, NOAA/CPC, Camp Springs, MD and Brian J. Etherton, NOAA//Earth System Research Laboratory/Global Systems Division, Boulder, CO
Papers:
  11:00 AM
Reforecasts at CPC: Dan Collins
Recorded Presentation

  11:15 AM
Use of a nonlinear filter to improve the quality of Oklahoma Mesonet surface observations: Alexandria McCombs
Recorded Presentation

 
5.1
Climate Change Assessment: Uncertainty Due To Missing Data In Temperature Time Series

  11:30 AM
5.1A
Use of a nonlinear filter to improve the quality of Oklahoma Mesonet surface observations
Alexandria McCombs, Oklahoma Climatological Survey, Norman, OK; and N. E. Bain and R. Jabrzemski

 
5.2
Quantifying temporal observations uncertainty for forecast verification

  11:45 AM
5.2A
Using Ensemble Reforecasts to improve CPC's Week 2 Forecasts
Mike Charles, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC, College Park, MD; and D. C. Collins
Recorded Presentation

  12:00 PM
5.3
On the Representativeness of Observational and Modeling Data in Numerical Weather Prediction
Wanli Wu, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and Y. Liu, J. C. Knievel, and J. Pace
Recorded Presentation

  12:15 PM
5.4
An Unbiased Estimation of Analysis and Short-Range Forecast Error Variances
Zoltan Toth, NOAA, Boulder, CO; and M. Peņa
Recorded Presentation

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