4
Analysis and Forecasting with Ensemble or Probabilistic Techniques III

- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates an Award Winner
Tuesday, 4 February 2014: 3:30 PM-5:30 PM
Room C202 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the 26th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting / 22nd Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction; and the 22nd Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences )
Cochairs:  Brian J. Etherton, NOAA/OAR/ESRL, Boulder, CO and Barbara G. Brown, Research Applications Program, NCAR, Boulder, CO
Papers:
  3:30 PM
J4.1
A First Look at the Meteorological Development Laboratory's Experimental ECMWF MOS System
David Rudack, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and D. P. Ruth, K. K. Gilbert, and T. Curtis
Recorded Presentation Manuscript (1010.5 kB)

  3:45 PM
J4.2
Stochastic tendency in a global atmospheric model
Myung-Seo Koo, Yonsei University, Seoul, South Korea; and S. Y. Hong
Recorded Presentation

Handout (3.2 MB)

  4:00 PM
J4.3
Accounting for Varying Variances in Ensemble Post-Processing
Elizabeth A. Satterfield, NRL, Monterey, CA; and C. Bishop
Recorded Presentation

  4:15 PM
J4.4
A probabilistic nowcasting approach to precipitation start/stop time using a recursive probability calculator
Majid Fekri, Pelmorex Media Inc, Oakville, ON, Canada; and R. Davis, P. Cool, and I. Russell
Recorded Presentation

  4:30 PM
J4.5
Rapid, Short-Term Forecast Adjustment Through Offline Ensemble Data Assimilation
Luke E. Madaus, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and G. J. Hakim
Recorded Presentation

  4:45 PM
J4.6
Distinct Characteristics of Hurricane Ensemble Forecasts using Physical Parameterizations vs. Stochastic Perturbations
Shuyi S. Chen, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and F. Judt, J. Berner, C. Y. Lee, M. Curcic, C. Snyder, and R. Rotunno

  5:00 PM
J4.7
Extended-Range Predictability of Midlatitude Weather Patterns due to Recurving Tropical Cyclones
Patrick Harr, NPS, Monterey, CA; and H. M. Archambault
Recorded Presentation

  5:15 PM
J4.8
Evaluation of tropical cyclone genesis precursors with relative operating characteristics (ROC) in high-resolution ensemble forecasts
Levi Thatcher, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and Z. Pu
Recorded Presentation

See more of: 26th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting / 22nd Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction
<< Previous Session | Next Session >>