6.1
Status, Advancements and Future Challenges of NCEP High-Resolution Tropical Cyclone Forecast Model (HWRF) for Operational Needs: An R2O Perspective
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This presentation will focus on describing the performance of the operational HWRF for tropical cyclones of all ocean basins in 2014. Significant advancements to the HWRF modeling system have been made possible through focused research and developmental efforts, systematic testing and evaluation, and this presentation will highlight the efficient mechanism established for research transitioning to operations (R2O) through support from HFIP.
Efforts for further advancements to the HWRF modeling system for improved tropical cyclone prediction capabilities will be presented. Improvements in predicting the rapid intensity changes remain as the high priority area of research done in collaboration with several NOAA agencies, international operational centers and academic partners. High-resolution ensembles and global-to-local scale modeling efforts are going to define the future generation tropical cyclone forecasting tools to meet the operational requirements.