- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates an Award Winner
Saturday, 3 January 2015
7:30 AM-10:00 AM: Saturday, 3 January 2015
Registration for Student Conference and Short Courses
Location: Lobby of Exhibit Hall 5 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
8:30 AM-5:00 PM: Saturday, 3 January 2015
AMS Short Course: Advanced Python for Climate Science: From Numpy to Parallel Computing
Location: 211B West Building (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
8:30 AM-5:30 PM: Saturday, 3 January 2015
AMS Short Course:a Beginner’S Course to Using Python in Climate and Meteorology
Location: 211A West Building (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
9:00 AM-9:30 AM: Saturday, 3 January 2015
Session
1
Welcome Remarks
Location: North Ballroom CD (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Cochairs:
Rosimar Rios-Berrios, SUNY;
Kelsey Mulder, University of Manchester;
Daniel A. Rothenberg, MIT
9:00 AM
Welcome from the 14th Student Conference Planning Committee: Rosimar Rios-Berrios, Kelsey Mulder, and Daniel Rothenberg, Co-Chairs
9:05 AM
Welcome from the AMS: Bill Gail, President of the AMS
9:30 AM-10:00 AM: Saturday, 3 January 2015
Session
2
Get Primed for the AMS Student Conference by learning how to use this time wisely. You'll get tips on how to network, walk up to big-name scientists, and how to make yourself competitive in achieving your future goals.
10:00 AM-10:15 AM: Saturday, 3 January 2015
10:15 AM-11:00 AM: Saturday, 3 January 2015
Panel Discussion
1A
Breakout Panel Session Rotation 1: Forecasting
Location: North Ballroom CD (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Speakers:
John Tharp, Weather Decision Technologies;
Todd Lericos, NOAA/NWS;
Paul J. Roebber, University of Wisconsin
Chair:
Samantha A. Tushaus, University of Michigan
Panel Discussion
1B
Breakout Panel Session Rotation 1: Communication
Location: 122BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Speakers:
Keli Pirtle, NOAA;
Jorge Torres, KOB-TV;
Ginger Zee, ABC News/Good Morning America;
J. Marshall Shepherd, University of Georgia
Chair:
Matthew J. Lauridsen, Texas Tech University
Panel Discussion
1C
Breakout Panel Session Rotation 1: Research
Location: 127ABC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Speakers:
James Correia Jr., CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma/NOAA/NWS/SPC;
Jeffrey Anderson, NCAR;
Jonathan E. Martin, University of Wisconsin;
Elizabeth A. Ritchie, University of Arizona
Chair:
Daniel J. Halperin, Florida State University
11:15 AM-12:00 PM: Saturday, 3 January 2015
Panel Discussion
2A
Breakout Panel Session Rotation 2: Forecasting
Location: North Ballroom CD (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Speakers:
John Tharp, Weather Decision Technologies;
Todd Lericos, NOAA/NWS;
Paul J. Roebber, University of Wisconsin
Chair:
Samantha A. Tushaus, University of Michigan
Session
2B
Breakout Panel Session Rotation 2: Communication
Location: 122BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Speakers:
Keli Pirtle, NOAA;
Jorge Torres, KOB-TV;
Ginger Zee, ABC News/Good Morning America;
J. Marshall Shepherd, University of Georgia
Chair:
Matthew J. Lauridsen, Texas Tech University
Panel Discussion
2C
Breakout Panel Session Rotation 2: Research
Location: 127ABC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Speakers:
James Correia Jr., CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma/NOAA/NWS/SPC;
Jeffrey Anderson, NCAR;
Jonathan E. Martin, University of Wisconsin;
Elizabeth A. Ritchie, University of Arizona
Chair:
Daniel J. Halperin, Florida State University
12:00 PM-1:00 PM: Saturday, 3 January 2015
1:00 PM-1:30 PM: Saturday, 3 January 2015
Session
3
Introduction to Conversations with Professionals
Location: North Ballroom CD (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Speakers:
Christopher A. Davis, NCAR;
Jennifer K. Vanos, Texas Tech University;
Lt. Christine Schultz, NOAA Corps;
Lt. Cmdr. Rebecca Waddington, NOAA Corps;
Bernadette Woods Placky, Climate Central;
Delores J. Knipp, Univ. of Colorado;
Brian Hoeth, NOAA/NWS;
Amber Sullins, ABC15 (KNXV-TV);
Jonathan J. Rutz, NOAA/NWS;
Christina C. Crowe, NOAA/NWS;
Katherine Meinig, US Air Force;
Wendy Schreiber-Abshire, UCAR/COMET;
Nic Wilson, Vaisala;
Michael Ventrice, WSI Corporation
Stretch your mind by learning about the wide variety of careers in meteorology. From traditional to non-traditional careers, each professional will give a 2-3 minute introduction on why you will want to talk to them. Note their room numbers to visit during Session 5.
1:30 PM-3:30 PM: Saturday, 3 January 2015
Session
4A
Conversation with Professionals
Location: 123 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Speaker:
Christopher A. Davis, NCAR
Cochairs:
Ryan J. Kramer, University of Miami;
Stacey M. Hitchcock, Colorado State University
Stretch your mind by learning about the wide variety of careers in meteorology. Visit professionals to have small group discussion with them about their job. This is a great opportunity to ask questions and have discussions with top professionals. *Each discussion will be 15 minutes with 5 minutes for rotations.
Session
4B
Conversation with Professionals
Location: 124A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Speaker:
Jennifer K. Vanos, Texas Tech University
Cochairs:
Ryan J. Kramer, University of Miami;
Stacey M. Hitchcock, Colorado State University
Stretch your mind by learning about the wide variety of careers in meteorology. Visit professionals to have small group discussion with them about their job. This is a great opportunity to ask questions and have discussions with top professionals. *Each discussion will be 15 minutes with 5 minutes for rotations.
Session
4C
Conversation with Professionals
Location: 122BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Speakers:
Lt. Christine Schultz, NOAA Corps;
Lt. Cmdr. Rebecca Waddington, NOAA Corps
Cochairs:
Ryan J. Kramer, University of Miami;
Stacey M. Hitchcock, Colorado State University
Stretch your mind by learning about the wide variety of careers in meteorology. Visit professionals to have small group discussion with them about their job. This is a great opportunity to ask questions and have discussions with top professionals. *Each discussion will be 15 minutes with 5 minutes for rotations.
Session
4D
Conversation with Professionals
Location: 124B (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Speaker:
Bernadette Woods Placky, Climate Central
Cochairs:
Ryan J. Kramer, University of Miami;
Stacey M. Hitchcock, Colorado State University
Stretch your mind by learning about the wide variety of careers in meteorology. Visit professionals to have small group discussion with them about their job. This is a great opportunity to ask questions and have discussions with top professionals. *Each discussion will be 15 minutes with 5 minutes for rotations.
Session
4E
Conversation with Professionals
Location: 125AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Speaker:
Delores J. Knipp, Univ. of Colorado
Cochairs:
Ryan J. Kramer, University of Miami;
Stacey M. Hitchcock, Colorado State University
Stretch your mind by learning about the wide variety of careers in meteorology. Visit professionals to have small group discussion with them about their job. This is a great opportunity to ask questions and have discussions with top professionals. *Each discussion will be 15 minutes with 5 minutes for rotations.
Session
4F
Conversation with Professionals
Location: 122BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Speaker:
Brian Hoeth, NOAA/NWS
Cochairs:
Ryan J. Kramer, University of Miami;
Stacey M. Hitchcock, Colorado State University
Stretch your mind by learning about the wide variety of careers in meteorology. Visit professionals to have small group discussion with them about their job. This is a great opportunity to ask questions and have discussions with top professionals. *Each discussion will be 15 minutes with 5 minutes for rotations.
Session
4G
Conversation with Professionals
Location: 126A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Speaker:
Amber Sullins, ABC15 (KNXV-TV)
Cochairs:
Ryan J. Kramer, University of Miami;
Stacey M. Hitchcock, Colorado State University
Stretch your mind by learning about the wide variety of careers in meteorology. Visit professionals to have small group discussion with them about their job. This is a great opportunity to ask questions and have discussions with top professionals. *Each discussion will be 15 minutes with 5 minutes for rotations.
Session
4H
Conversation with Professionals
Location: North Ballroom CD (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Speaker:
Jonathan J. Rutz, NOAA/NWS
Cochairs:
Ryan J. Kramer, University of Miami;
Stacey M. Hitchcock, Colorado State University
Stretch your mind by learning about the wide variety of careers in meteorology. Visit professionals to have small group discussion with them about their job. This is a great opportunity to ask questions and have discussions with top professionals. *Each discussion will be 15 minutes with 5 minutes for rotations.
Session
4I
Conversation with Professionals
Location: North Ballroom CD (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Speaker:
Christina C. Crowe, NOAA/NWS
Cochairs:
Ryan J. Kramer, University of Miami;
Stacey M. Hitchcock, Colorado State University
Stretch your mind by learning about the wide variety of careers in meteorology. Visit professionals to have small group discussion with them about their job. This is a great opportunity to ask questions and have discussions with top professionals. *Each discussion will be 15 minutes with 5 minutes for rotations.
Session
4J
Conversation with Professionals
Location: 126BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Speaker:
Katherine Meinig, US Air Force
Cochairs:
Ryan J. Kramer, University of Miami;
Stacey M. Hitchcock, Colorado State University
Stretch your mind by learning about the wide variety of careers in meteorology. Visit professionals to have small group discussion with them about their job. This is a great opportunity to ask questions and have discussions with top professionals. *Each discussion will be 15 minutes with 5 minutes for rotations.
Session
4K
Conversation with Professionals
Location: 128AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Speaker:
Wendy Schreiber-Abshire, UCAR/COMET
Cochairs:
Ryan J. Kramer, University of Miami;
Stacey M. Hitchcock, Colorado State University
Stretch your mind by learning about the wide variety of careers in meteorology. Visit professionals to have small group discussion with them about their job. This is a great opportunity to ask questions and have discussions with top professionals. *Each discussion will be 15 minutes with 5 minutes for rotations.
Session
4L
Conversation with Professionals
Location: 127ABC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Speaker:
Nic Wilson, Vaisala
Cochairs:
Ryan J. Kramer, University of Miami;
Stacey M. Hitchcock, Colorado State University
Stretch your mind by learning about the wide variety of careers in meteorology. Visit professionals to have small group discussion with them about their job. This is a great opportunity to ask questions and have discussions with top professionals. *Each discussion will be 15 minutes with 5 minutes for rotations.
Session
4M
Conversation with Professionals
Location: 127ABC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Speaker:
Michael Ventrice, WSI Corporation
Cochairs:
Ryan J. Kramer, University of Miami;
Stacey M. Hitchcock, Colorado State University
Stretch your mind by learning about the wide variety of careers in meteorology. Visit professionals to have small group discussion with them about their job. This is a great opportunity to ask questions and have discussions with top professionals. *Each discussion will be 15 minutes with 5 minutes for rotations.
3:30 PM-4:00 PM: Saturday, 3 January 2015
AMS Student Chapter Town Hall Meeting
(Specifically for Student Chapter Officers, but open to all)
Location: North Ballroom CD (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Moderator:
Kristy C. Carter, University of South Carolina
This meeting is specifically designed for Student Chapter Officers, but it is open to everyone. Get a chance to hear from the
award-winning chapters in the country and discuss the joys and pains of running an AMS chapter.
4:00 PM-5:00 PM: Saturday, 3 January 2015
Session
5
Extreme Weather Events
Location: North Ballroom CD (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Speakers:
Russ S. Schumacher, Colorado State University;
Jason Samenow, Washington Post;
John J. Brost, NOAA/NWSFO;
Josh Morgerman, iCyclone.com
Chair:
Kevin A. Biernat, University at Albany, SUNY
5:00 PM-5:30 PM: Saturday, 3 January 2015
Session
6
Closing Remarks
Location: North Ballroom CD (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
5:30 PM-7:30 PM: Saturday, 3 January 2015
AMS Career Fair and Graduate School Reception
Location: North Ballroom AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Sunday, 4 January 2015
7:30 AM-9:00 AM: Sunday, 4 January 2015
Registration for Short Courses and Conference for Early Career Professionals
Location: Lobby of Exhibit Hall 5 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
8:30 AM-5:00 PM: Sunday, 4 January 2015
AMS Short Course: Advanced Python for Climate Science: From Numpy to Parallel Computing
Location: 211B West Building (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
8:30 AM-5:30 PM: Sunday, 4 January 2015
AMS Short Course:a Beginner’S Course to Using Python in Climate and Meteorology
Location: 211A West Building (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
9:00 AM-9:30 AM: Sunday, 4 January 2015
9:00 AM-6:00 PM: Sunday, 4 January 2015
Registration Open for Annual Meeting
Location: Lobby of Exhibit Hall 5 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
9:30 AM-9:45 AM: Sunday, 4 January 2015
9:40 AM-10:25 AM: Sunday, 4 January 2015
Joint Session
1
Communication and Your Career: The Power of Your Words and Visuals
Location: 124AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Facilitators:
Christopher J. Schultz, University of Alabama/NASA/MSFC;
Cody Kirkpatrick, Indiana University;
Joshua J. Alland, SUNY
Speakers:
Sarah Tessendorf, UCAR;
John J. Brost, NOAA/NWSFO;
Eric C. Bruning, Texas Tech Univ;
Kathryn Prociv, The Weather Channel;
Gina M. Eosco, Cornell University;
Daniel Porter, NOAA
Joint session with the AMS 14th Annual Student Conference
9:45 AM
A Career in Science Doesn’t Involve Writing, Does It? Speaker: Dr. Sarah Tessendorf
10:05 AM
Why Science-Based Presentations are Normally Terrible and What You Can Do About It. Speaker: John Brost
9:45 AM-10:45 AM: Sunday, 4 January 2015
Session
8A
Shaping your Future: How to Succeed in Grad School
Location: North Ballroom CD (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Speakers:
Melissa A. Burt, Center for Multiscale Modeling of Atmospheric Processes;
Clark Evans, University of Wisconsin
Chair:
Annareli Morales, University of Michigan
10:25 AM-11:40 AM: Sunday, 4 January 2015
Small Group Rotating Discussions
Participants will divide into 3 small groups which will rotate between the different 20-minute discussion topics. Each group will start in their assigned discussion (numbered 1-3). All groups will rotate to the next discussion in numerical order moving from 1 through 3 and back to 1, if needed. For example, if your group starts in "Group Discussion 2," you then proceed to "Group Discussion 3" and then to "Group Discussion 1." By the end, each group will participate in all 3 discussion topics.
Proposed timeline: 10:30 AM: All three discussions will start; 10:50 AM: All rotate for next group discussion; 11:15 AM: All rotate for final group discussion; 11:40 AM: All discussions end.
10:30 AM-11:40 AM: Sunday, 4 January 2015
10:45 AM-11:00 AM: Sunday, 4 January 2015
11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Sunday, 4 January 2015
Session
9
Experiences beyond the Classroom: Getting your Hands Dirty in the Field
Location: North Ballroom CD (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Speakers:
Jim Steenburgh, University of Utah;
Angela K. Rowe, Univ. of Washington;
Russ S. Schumacher, Colorado State Univ.;
Kiel L. Ortega, OU/CIMMS and NOAA/OAR/NSSL
Chair:
Ángel F. Adames-Corraliza, University of Washington
Some of the best lessons are learned outside of the classroom. This panel discussion will focus on ways you can make a difference in the field.
Session
10
Some of the best lessons are learned outside of the classroom. This panel will focus on ways you can make a difference through policy.
12:00 PM-12:30 PM: Sunday, 4 January 2015
12:00 PM-4:00 PM: Sunday, 4 January 2015
WeatherFest
Location: Hall 1 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
12:30 PM-12:35 PM: Sunday, 4 January 2015
Session
12
Closing Remarks
Location: North Ballroom CD (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
12:35 PM-2:00 PM: Sunday, 4 January 2015
1:00 PM-1:15 PM: Sunday, 4 January 2015
Session
1
Opening Remarks
Location: 124AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Facilitators:
Matthew C. Lacke, Jefferson County Department of Health;
Erik S. Pytlak, Bonneville Power Administration;
Jared Rennie, Cooperative Institute for Climate and Satellites/North Carolina State University
Speaker:
Bill Gail, Global Weather Corp
1:00 PM
Welcome from the Early Career Professionals Conference Chairs
1:05 PM
Welcome from the AMS President William Gail
1:15 PM-3:15 PM: Sunday, 4 January 2015
Session
2
Participants will divide into 3 small groups which will rotate between the different 30-minute discussion topics. Each group will start in their assigned discussion (numbered 1-3). All groups rotate to the next discussion in numerical order moving from 1 through 3 and back to 1, if needed. For example, if your group starts in "Group Discussion 2," you then proceed to "Group Discussion 3" and then to "Group Discussion 1." By the end, each group will participate in all 3 discussion topics. Proposed timeline: 1:20 PM: All three discussions will start; 1:50 PM: All rotate for next group discussion; 2:25 PM: All rotate for final group discussion; 3:15 PM: All discussions end.
1:20 PM-3:15 PM: Sunday, 4 January 2015
2:00 PM-5:00 PM: Sunday, 4 January 2015
3:00 PM-4:00 PM: Sunday, 4 January 2015
Newcomer’s Welcome and Informational Exchange
Location: 127ABC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
3:15 PM-3:30 PM: Sunday, 4 January 2015
3:30 PM-4:00 PM: Sunday, 4 January 2015
Panel Discussion
1
Supporting AMS Programs and Opportunities
Location: 124AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Moderator:
Isha Renta, Naval Surface Warfare Center Dahlgren Division
Panelists:
Alexander MacDonald, NOAA/ESRL;
Kenneth Carey, Earth Resources Technology (ERT), Inc.;
Chad M. Kauffman, California University of Pennsylvania
4:00 PM-5:00 PM: Sunday, 4 January 2015
Panel Discussion
2
Conversations with Professionals
Location: 124AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Moderator:
Matthew C. Lacke, Jefferson County Department of Health
Panelists:
Amber Sullins, ABC15 (KNXV-TV);
Jamie Rhome, National Hurricane Center;
Lourdes B. Avilés, Plymouth State University;
Matthew Alto, AccuWeather
4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Sunday, 4 January 2015
95th Annual Review, New Fellows, and Featured Awards
Location: 122BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
5:00 PM-5:15 PM: Sunday, 4 January 2015
Session
3
Closing Remarks
Location: 124AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Facilitators:
Matthew C. Lacke, Jefferson County Department of Health;
Erik S. Pytlak, Bonneville Power Administration;
Jared Rennie, Cooperative Institute for Climate and Satellites/North Carolina State University
5:00 PM-7:00 PM: Sunday, 4 January 2015
AMS Career Fair
Location: North Ballroom AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
5:45 PM-7:15 PM: Sunday, 4 January 2015
Poster Session
S5
Remote sensing of CO2, CH4, CO, and H2O from geostationary orbit
Xi Xi, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA; and V. Natraj, M. Luo,
Q. Zhang, R. L. Shia, S. P. Sander, and Y. Yung
S28
Meteorological Displays for a Cloud and Visibility Observatory
Megan Murat, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and A. Harte, D. Bosworth, B. Sullivan, S. Vaxter, E. Lewis, C. Rindfuss,
D. Conlee, and S. L. Nasiri
S61
Influences of the Palmer Divide on Convective Storm Initiation
Andrew J. Schwartz, Metropolitan State University of Denver, Denver, CO; and R. Hansen, D. Blanche, B. Thorne, J. Hansen, D. Carcagno, K. Steinmann, A. Trellinger, T. Croan, K. Schuenemann, S. Landolt, and S. Ng
S144
Modeling and Satellite Remote Sensing of the Meteorological Effects of Irrigation during the 2012 Central Plains Drought
Clint Aegerter, University of Nebraska-Lincoln, Lincoln, NE; and
J. Wang, C. Ge, A. L. Kessner, A. Sharma, L. Judd, B. Wardlow, J. You, M. D. Shulski, S. Irmak, and A. Kilic
5:45 PM-8:00 PM: Sunday, 4 January 2015
Fellows Reception
Location: North Ballroom Foyer (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
9:00 PM-11:00 PM: Sunday, 4 January 2015
Fifth Annual AMS Reception for Early Career Professionals
Location: Sheraton Phoenix, Valley of the Sun D/E (Sheraton Phoenix)
Monday, 5 January 2015
7:30 AM-6:00 PM: Monday, 5 January 2015
Registration Continues through January 7
Location: Lobby of Exhibit Hall 5 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
9:00 AM-10:30 AM: Monday, 5 January 2015
Plenary Session
1
15th Presidential Forum: Will Weather Change Forever—Anticipating Meteorology in 2040
Location: North Ballroom CD (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Program Chair:
Kathryn Sullivan, NOAA
Moderator:
Kimberly E. Klockow, NOAA
Keynote:
Kathryn Sullivan, NOAA
Panelists:
Bernadette Woods Placky, Climate Central;
Mac Devine, IBM Cloud Services Division;
Kathryn Sullivan, NOAA;
Curtis L. Walker, University of Nebraska
Twenty five years hence, meteorology will be much different and expand far beyond the traditional weather forecast. Personal sensors will monitor weather nearly everywhere. Advanced computing will allow us to forecast at perhaps minute scales and kilometer resolutions, customized for each particular user. Post-mobile devices will enable instantaneous use of the information – even in remote areas of today’s developing nations. Transportation will be safer, businesses will operate more efficiently, events will automatically schedule around anticipated weather, and much more. Operational weather forecasts will be interlaced with new environmental elements that impact economic, health, energy, and security decisions. Many aspects of our daily lives will change forever. Climate change’s possibilities add a critical dimension to community resiliency. Should global weather patterns be altered, forecasting could become more challenging than today. The recent release of the fifth IPCC synthesis report has brought focus to this particular issue. Dr. Kathryn Sullivan, NOAA Administrator, will lead the session with a keynote on her vision for the meteorology enterprise in the year 2040. Following her keynote, the panelists - representing different demographics and perspectives - will then provide their vision, accompanied by a moderated discussion among the panelists.
9:00 AM
William B (Bill) Gail: Introductory remarks
9:08 AM
Kimberly E. Klockow: Moderator welcoming remarks
9:16 AM
Dr. Kathryn Sullivan: AMS 2015 Annual Meeting Presidential Forum Keynote
9:24 AM
Curtis Walker: Will Weather Change Forever – Anticipating Meteorology in 2040
9:32 AM
Bernadette Woods Placky: Will Weather Change Forever? Anticipating Meteorology in 2040
9:40 AM
Mac Devine: The Perfect Storm Intensifies - The Convergence of BigData, Cloud and the Internet of Things is Now at Full Strength
9:00 AM-11:00 AM: Monday, 5 January 2015
10:30 AM-11:00 AM: Monday, 5 January 2015
Coffee Break
Location: North Ballroom Foyer (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Space Weather Coffee Break—Sponsored by Ball Aerospace
Location: 227A-C (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
11:00 AM-11:45 AM: Monday, 5 January 2015
11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Monday, 5 January 2015
Session
1
Agency Updates 1
Location: 227A-C (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Chair:
Robert P. McCoy, Univ. of Alaska
Session
1
11:45 AM
1.4
The Impact of the Chesapeake Bay Climate and Boundary Layer Dynamics on Air Pollutant Concentrations during Smog Episodes
Daniel L. Goldberg, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and C. P. Loughner, M. Tzortziou, J. W. Stehr,
K. Pickering, T. Vinciguerra,
T. Canty, R. J. Salawitch, and R. Dickerson
Joint Session
1
Development of modeling systems addressing emissions, meteorology, atmospheric dispersion, exposure, and corresponding health implications; including observational, applied, or validation study designs
Session
1
11:00 AM
1.1
“Big Data Assimilation” Revolutionizing Severe Weather Forecasting (Core Science Lecture)
Takemasa Miyoshi, RIKEN Advanced Institute for Computational Science, Kobe, Japan; and M. Kunii, J. J. Ruiz, H. Seko, S. Satoh, T. Ushio, Y. Ishikawa,
H. Tomita, and K. Bessho
11:30 AM
1.2
On the Impact of UAS Observations on High-Resolution Mesoscale Forecasts
James D. Doyle, NRL, Monterey, CA; and T. R. Holt, D. D. Flagg, C. M. Amerault, D. A. Geiszler, T. Haack, J. E. Nachamkin, P. M. Pauley, and D. P. Tyndall
Joint Session
1
11:30 AM
J1.3
Integrated metrics and benchmarking for the North American Land Data Assimilation System (NLDAS) (Invited Presentation)
David Mocko, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and C. Peters-Lidard, S. V. Kumar, S. Wang, K. R. Arsenault,
G. S. Nearing, Y. Xia, M. B. Ek, and J. Dong
Joint Panel Discussion
1
Enterprise View of Satellites
Location: 231ABC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Moderator:
Mitch Goldberg, NOAA/NESDIS
Panelists:
John Malay, Lockheed Martin/AMS President;
Stephen M. Volz, NOAA/NESDIS;
David McCarren, (Acting) Federal Coordinator for Meteorological Services and Supporting Research;
Johannes Schmetz, EUMETSAT
The enterprise view of environmental satellites, a vision of a “system of systems” of spacecraft, sensors, and ground assets, is rapidly evolving from a concept to reality. It is driven by the need for government agencies and stakeholders to more effectively and efficiently obtain and share improved satellite data and data products for multiple applications under very challenging budget conditions. The enterprise view is being realized through the establishment of new national and international agreements to promote the sharing of data, and new organizational structures and system architectures to better collect, process, distribute, and use satellite data products from a constellation of satellites. A panel of senior scientists and managers will discuss the pathway and current progress in implementing this new paradigm.
Session
1
Global Warming Hiatus-Part I
Location: 122BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Cochairs:
Shang-Ping Xie, Univesity of California;
Thomas L. Delworth, NOAA/GFDL
Global average temperature has increased by 0.8oC over the 20th century but this warming trend has slowed or even stalled for the past 15 years. This warming hiatus has caused much confusion and debate but at the same time offers a scientific opportunity to study climate change dynamics in action. Mechanisms proposed include a slowdown in net radiative forcing, and interference by natural variability. This session showcases rapidly advancing research on the physical mechanisms and various impacts of this hiatus event. Topics of particular interest include interdecadal variability and the interaction with forced climate change, radiative forcing and related processes, and ocean heat storage as pertinent to the hiatus.
Session
1
11:30 AM
1.3
Session
1
Pre-College Education Initiatives I
Location: 125AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Cochairs:
John Moore, AMS Board on Outreach and Precollege Education;
David W. Chapman, Okemos High School;
Jeffrey A. Yuhas, Morristown-Beard School
Session
1
Provides a summary of recent advances in the use of Python in the atmospheric and oceanic sciences. The first talk is the Core Science Keynote for the Python Symposium.
11:45 AM
1.3
Modernizing the Operational Workflow and Automation of the NCEP Hurricane Weather Research and Forecast (HWRF) Modeling System using Python and Rocoto
Samuel Trahan, NCEP EMC / IMSG, College Park, MD; and T. Brown, S. Hsiao, B. Thomas, C. Holt, L. Bernardet, V. Tallapragada, H. L. Tolman, C. C. Magee, B. Kyger, and W. Lapenta
Session
1
Research to operations successes
Location: 129A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Cochairs:
Jaclyn A. Shafer, ENSCO, Inc.;
John Mecikalski, University of Alabama
11:30 AM
1.3
The High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR): The Operational Implementation and Future Direction with the Aviation Community
Curtis R. Alexander, NOAA/ESRL/Global Systems Division and CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and S. S. Weygandt, S. Benjamin,
D. C. Dowell, M. Hu, T. G. Smirnova, J. B. Olson, J. S. Kenyon, J. M. Brown, E. P. James, and I. Jankov
11:45 AM
1.4
Physics in the HRRR and RAP: recent progress and future plans
John M. Brown, NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and T. G. Smirnova, J. B. Olson, G. Grell, J. S. Kenyon,
D. C. Dowell, C. R. Alexander, E. P. James, S. S. Weygandt, and M. Hu
Joint Session
1
In May 2014, the third US National Climate Assessment was publicly released by the White House. Building on efforts such as the IPCC 5th Assessment, and previous National Climate Assessments, the 2014 NCA incorporates a broad scope of the best available science relevant to decision making at multiple scales. The NCA also included important transdisciplinary efforts bridging physical and social sciences, and the communications enterprise. This session will highlight the major scientific highlights of the 2014 NCA, the process as envisioned and executed, the “ongoing assessment” concept, and policy implications. Topics within the session are not limited to direct NCA contributions. Of particular interest are sector specific and regional climate information, methods and perspectives on science communication, the policy implications at multiple scales, and next steps. Contributions that connect IPCC and regional, state, or local assessment activities with the NCA are also encouraged.
Session
1
Weather Ready Nation Keynote Addresses
Location: 221A-C (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Cochairs:
Dave Jones, StormCenter Communications, Inc.;
Kenneth Carey, Earth Resources Technology (ERT), Inc.
11:00 AM
1.1
Holly Bamford, NOAA/NOS, Silver Spring, MD - Invited Presentation
Session
1A
11:30 AM
1A.3
Toward an Integrated Solution to Mitigate the Impact of Volcanic Ash to Aviation
John J. Murray, NASA Langley Research Center, Hampton, VA; and T. D. Fairlie, J. P. Vernier, M. J. Pavolonis, J. Seiglaff, F. Prata, F. Dezitter, D. Pieri, J. Lekki, and N. A. Krotkov
Session
1B
Open Data Standards and Sharing
Location: 131C (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Cochairs:
Gerald Dittberner, Harris Corporation;
Mohan K. Ramamurthy, Unidata/UCAR
12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Monday, 5 January 2015
12:15 PM-1:15 PM: Monday, 5 January 2015
Early Career Committee
Location: 126A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Presidential Town Hall Meeting: Fulfilling the Vision of Weather, Water, and Climate Information at NOAA
Location: 127ABC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
As highlighted at the Presidential Forum, the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise has an exciting future in store as we focus on meeting the evolving societal needs in the coming decades. NOAA is energized to continue the partnership with all components of the Enterprise, especially as they pertain to NOAA's priorities for the next 5 years. At this town hall, NOAA Administrator, Dr. Kathryn Sullivan will discuss NOAA's plans for evolving the National Weather Service, building community resilience, and investing in observations. As an Enterprise, we will ensure the United States continues to push cutting edge research, technology, and improved predictions to its partners and the public. Following her opening remarks, Dr. Sullivan will engage in a lively discussion with all those interested in helping to build a Weather-Ready Nation.
12:15 PM
Presidential Town Hall Meeting: Fulfilling the Vision of Weather, Water, and Climate Information at NOAA
Town Hall Meeting: Accessibility for People with Disabilities
Location: 128AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Speakers:
Melissa A. Burt, Center for Multiscale Modeling of Atmospheric Processes;
Imke Durre, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC
The AMS membership includes individuals who have physical limitations, such as blindness or vision impairment, hearing loss or limited hand use or mobility. Individuals with disabilities have a great deal to contribute to our field and desire to participate. Making meetings accessible to people with disabilities not only encourages inclusion, but it also brings forth diverse perspectives, effective partnerships, and enhanced opportunities for all participants.
We would like to propose a town-hall meeting to commence a discussion on the topic of making AMS meetings fully accessible to people with disabilities. The session will serve as a platform to address accessibility barriers and needs of participants with disabilities. We intend to invite a few speakers and engage the AMS membership on a panel discussion on this topic. We hope to explore answers to questions like why is it important to fully engage people with disabilities, what is the role of AMS in this engagement, how can AMS meetings be made accessible, etc. This discussion, the first of its kind at the AMS Annual Meeting, will serve as a guide to plan accessible AMS events in the future. We will summarize the discussions in a follow-up report that will form the basis of further action on this topic.
Town Hall Meeting: Effective Resume Writing
Location: 125AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Speaker:
Jared Rennie, Cooperative Institute for Climate and Satellites/North Carolina State University
The Board for Early Career Professionals invites you to participate in a panel discussion regarding building a resume that will make you stand out in a sea of job applications. Panelists from academic, broadcast, government, and private sectors will be on hand to share past experiences, and provide tips and techniques to write an effective resume, whether it’s for your first, second, or subsequent job. Talks will be given by each panelist, along with a Q&A session at the end. Topics will include:
•Tailoring your resume for every job application.
•Understanding what skill sets hiring managers look for.
•Recognizing the difference between a resume and curriculum vitae (CV).
•Knowing what to leave off a resume.
•Making an eye-catching demo tape.
•Going above and beyond.
All members of the AMS community, including undergraduate and graduate students, post docs, and early career professionals are encouraged to attend this one hour town hall meeting.
Town Hall Meeting: NWS Model Development Forum
Location: 126BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
The mission of NWS global models is to provide the best possible numerical forecasts to our customers. A key element in providing accurate forecasts is the availability of accurate numerical guidance provided by computer models, mostly provided by NCEP. To address growing service demands and improve the accuracy of the forecasts, NWS needs to remain at the cutting-edge of research and model development and continuously transition science advances from research community to operations (R2O). Given the tremendously increased complexities of weather, climate and environmental prediction systems in the last two decades, the demands for more and more rigorous technology transfer processes and quality management procedures are increased. In an effort to foster more effective communications and successful research to operation transition to improve NWS operational models, NWS and OAR are sponsoring a Town Hall Meeting on NWS Model Development Forum. The purpose is to explain to the partners and stakeholders operational constraints and management procedures for the NWS model development and transition processes, and to get feedback on the expectations and requirements from the community.
Town Hall Meeting: Watch out! A review of the National Weather Service's watch, warning, advisory hazard messaging system. It's advised you attend. You have been warned!
Location: 121BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
For generations, the National Weather Service has utilized the terms "Watch", "Warning", and "Advisory" (WWA) to convey expectations of impact and level of forecast certainty associated with expected weather and water hazards. However, results of numerous NWS Service Assessments, initial social science research and other interactions with partners and the public suggests that many people misunderstand these terms - or confuse the terms one to another. In addition, there exists confusion among the 100+ products NWS uses to differentiate among the type, impact and forecast certainty of these hazards.
In response, NWS has initiated a "Hazards Simplification (or "Haz Simp") study to assess whether there may exist alternatives to WWA that would prove to be more intuitive, more easily understood and/or more easily communicated to users for the purpose of inspiring desired action by the public. This effort has now engaged social research and Phase I of this research has now been completed. High level results from the 20 focus groups held among the public, emergency managers, broadcasters and NWS forecasters during Phase I are as follows:
•Most people misunderstand the term "Advisory".
•Many supported the use of a hierarchical, color-based scheme to express varying levels of forecast certainty and impact (such as is employed by the European "Meteoalarm" system).
•Some people believe the system is working well enough and that enhanced education would increase understanding.
•Any change should be considered carefully and executed gradually.
The purpose of this Town Hall will be to present the results of "Haz Simp Phase I" and engage discussion from participants on their reaction and suggested options/alternatives for moving forward based on these results. Feedback on how "institutionalized" WWA is in partner and public decision making processes will also be welcomed. Also, all Annual Meeting attendees will be invited to visit the "Haz Simp" booth in the Exhibition Hall, where prototypes developed based on the Phase I results will be available for comment as part of Phase II of this project.
12:45 PM-1:05 PM: Monday, 5 January 2015
Daily Weather Briefings
Location: 132AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
1:30 PM-2:00 PM: Monday, 5 January 2015
Session
2
1:30 PM
2.1
Natural Gas Prices and the Extreme Winters of 2011/12 and 2013/14: Causes, Indicators, and Interactions
Carl J. Schreck III, North Carolina State University, Asheville, NC; and S. Bennett, J. Cordeira, J. Crouch, J. Dissen, A. L. Lang, D. Margolin, A. O'Shay, J. Rennie, and
M. Ventrice
1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Monday, 5 January 2015
Panel Discussion
1
A Snapshot of the Federal Policy Landscape for the AMS Community
Location: 226C (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Moderator:
Shali Mohleji, AMS
Panelists:
Paul Higgins, AMS;
Timothy Stryker, U.S. National Science and Technology Council, Executive Office of the President;
Fern Gibbons, Senate Commerce, Science & Transportation Committee;
Allison Schwier, 2014-2015 AMS Congressional Fellow
Joint Session
1
1:45 PM
J1.2
Joint Session
1
2:30 PM
J1.4
Session
2
Aerosol impacts on shallow clouds I
Location: 223 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Cochairs:
Yangang Liu, Brookhaven National Laboratory;
Leo Donner, NOAA/GFDL
Session
2
Agency Updates 2
Location: 227A-C (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Chair:
Genene Fisher, NOAA/NWS
Session
2
2:15 PM
Paper 2.4 has moved. New poster number 930
Joint Session
2
Development of modeling systems addressing emissions, meteorology, atmospheric dispersion, exposure, and corresponding health implications; including observational, applied, or validation study designs
Session
2
1:45 PM
2.2
Session
2
Global Warming Hiatus-Part II
Location: 122BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Cochairs:
Thomas L. Delworth, NOAA/GFDL;
Shang-Ping Xie, Univesity of California
Session
2
Over the last decade, significant advances have been made in both in situ and remote sensing technologies for measuring greenhouse gases (GHGs). In addition, the planned launch of the Orbiting Carbon Observatory (OCO-2) and the Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP) instruments later this year should yield more information on GHGs than ever before. While these multiple observational platforms provide a significant potential for the monitoring of GHG emissions, more and more uncertainties are coming to light regarding our understanding of the global and regional budgets of GHGs, and in the identification and quantification of their climate feedback sensitivities.
This session solicits abstracts that address these uncertainties using models and observations, and provides new insights on process understanding across a variety of spatial and temporal scales. We encourage contributions on current and prospective observation technologies for GHGs, modeling studies to quantify GHG budgets and their associated uncertainties, evaluation and benchmarking of GHG estimates from Earth System Models using contemporary observations, and integration of observations and models to augment our process-based understanding.
1:45 PM
2.2
MuQuantification of high-resolution, bottom-up fossil fuel CO2 emissions at the global, national and urban landscape domains
Kevin Gurney, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ; and S. Asefi-Najafabady, R. Patarasuk, P. Rayner, X. Zhang, Y. Song, D. O'Keeffe, I. Razlivanov,
D. Mendoza, Y. Zhou, J. Huang, and B. Benes
2:00 PM
2.3
A multiyear, global gridded fossil fuel CO2 emissions data product: evaluation and analysis of results
salvi Asefi-Najafabady, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ; and P. Rayner, K. Gurney, A. McRobert, Y. Song, K. Coltin, J. Huang, C. Elvidge, and K. Baugh
Session
2
1:30 PM
2.1
Forecaster “Best Practices” during Operations in the Hazardous Weather Testbed Hydrology Experiment 2014
Elizabeth Mintmire Argyle, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and J. Gourley,
C. Ling, R. Clark III,
Z. L. Flamig, M. M. Gutierrez, J. M. Erlingis, S. M. Martinaitis, and B. R. Smith
Session
2
2:15 PM
2.4
The U.S. Interagency Volcanic Hazards Sciences and Services Coordination Group
John J. Murray, NASA Langley Research Center, Hampton, VA; and C. Miner, R. Tatusuko, M. Strahan, C. Mandeville, M. Guffanti, C. R. Holliday, G. Swanson, J. Kibler, M. J. Pavolonis,
B. J. B. Stunder,
J. M. Osiensky, D. Moore, L. G. Mastin, T. Murray, D. Schneider, and C. Neal
Session
2
2:15 PM
Each poster presenter, in order by their poster number is provided with an opportunity to give a brief intro of their poster presentation that will be given during the formal poster viewing following the session
Session
2
1:30 PM
2.1
Observing System Simulation Experiments to evaluate the potential impact of proposed observing systems on hurricane prediction
Robert Atlas, NOAA/AOML, Miami, FL; and L. Bucci,
A. Aksoy, B. Annane,
R. N. Hoffman, G. D. Emmitt, Y. Xie, S. J. Majumdar, J. Delgado, and L. Cucurull
Session
2
Pre-college Education Initiatives II
Location: 125AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Cochairs:
David W. Chapman, Okemos High School;
Jeffrey A. Yuhas, Morristown-Beard School;
John Moore, AMS Board on Outreach and Precollege Education
This is a continuation of Pre-college Education Initiatives I.
2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Monday, 5 January 2015
Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Hall 4 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Poster Session
1
304
Overview of the 2014 Aviation Weather Testbed Summer Experiment
Steven A. Lack, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/Aviation Weather Center, Kansas City, MO; and B. R. J. Schwedler, A. M. Terborg, A. R. Harless, B. P. Pettegrew, S. Silberberg,
R. L. Solomon, D. Vietor, D. R. Bright,
M. P. Murphy, D. Blondin, M. Strahan, and B. Entwistle
Paper 309 has been moved. New paper number is 2.1A.
Poster Session
1
This session covers the breadth of recent advances in using Python for data analysis, visualization, workflow integration, modeling, and teaching.
402
Poster 406 will now be presented as 3.4A
Poster Session
1
354
ACONVEX—Aerosols, Clouds, cONvection, Experiment—A new site in central Amazonia for long term monitoring of aerosol-clouds-convection interactions
Henrique M. J. Barbosa, Physics Institute, São Paulo, Brazil; and
T. Pauliquevis,
D. K. Adams, P. Artaxo,
G. Cirino,
B. Barja,
A. Correia, H. Gomes,
D. A. Gouveia, M. B. Padua, N. M. E. Rosario, R. A. F. Souza, R. M. N. Santos, L. Sapucci, and B. T. Portela
356
Poster 361 has been moved. New paper number is 2.1A.
Poster 363 has been moved. New paper number is 5.3A.
Poster 368 has been moved. New paper number is 7.4A.
Poster Session
1
285
286
Poster 296 has been moved. New paper number is 4.4A.
Poster 297 has been moved. New paper number is 5.1A.
Poster Session
1
Poster 53 has been moved. New paper number is 3.1A.
Joint Poster Session
1
Joint Satellite Program Poster Session I
Cochairs:
Derek J. Posselt, University of Michigan;
Christopher S. Velden, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin;
George P. Kablick III, University of Maryland, College Par;
Jim G. Yoe, NOAA/NESDIS;
Gary McWilliams, JPSS Program Office/Army Research Laboratory
142
Building OSSE system at JCSDA
Michiko Masutani, EMC, College Park, MD; and J. S. Woollen,
S. P. F. Casey, T. Zhu, Z. Ma, K. Kumar, S. A. Boukabara, K. Ide, L. Cucurull, and
R. N. Hoffman
145
149
Mid-Pacific ground-truth data for validation of the CrIMSS sensor suite aboard Suomi-NPP
Andrew Keeler Mollner, The Aerospace Corporation, El Segundo, CA; and J. Wessel, S. D. LaLumondiere, P. Karuza, M. Williams, P. Belden, K. M. Gaab, W. Lotshaw,
N. R. Nalli,
A. Gambacorta, Q. Liu, C. D. Barnet, T. Reale, C. Tan, and F. Iturbide-Sanchez
161
Impact of Multivariate Background Error Covariance Matrix in satellite radiance Assimilation
Chandrasekar Radhakrishnan, IBM Research, New Delhi, New Delhi, India; and
R. Mittal,
V. Saxena, T. George,
M. Dawar,
Y. Sabharwal,
J. P. Cipriani, and L. A. Treinish
172
Forward Light Scattering and Radiative Transfer Modeling Capabilities in Support of Retrieving Ice Cloud and Dust Properties From Satellite Observations
Ping Yang, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and S. L. Nasiri, L. Bi, B. Yi, S. Hioki, C. P. Kuo, Y. Ding, J. Zhang, and G. Xu
201
The July 2012 Niobrara Valley Wildfires and their Aftermath: Satellite and Radiative Characteristics
Timothy J. Wagner, Creighton University, Omaha, NE; and B. H. Decicco, A. A. Ellis, R. M. Hepper, L. C. Mahoney,
M. Salerno, C. B. Risanto, K. Wright, and J. F. Schalles
209
Poster 211 has moved. New paper number is 1A.2A
Poster Session
1
122
A University/High School Forecasting Classroom
Jeffrey A. Yuhas, Morristown-Beard School, Morristown, NJ; and W. G. Blumberg, K. Halbert, M. Yalch, T. Ruggiero, E. Mushlitz, M. Stropkay, J. Bailey-Wells, O. Braunstein, and S. Nadler
Poster Session
1
Poster Session - Part I
Cochairs:
Nancy N. Soreide, NOAA/PMEL;
Jennifer Luppens Mahoney, NOAA/ESRL/GSD;
Scott Jacobs, NOAA/NWS/NCEP
Monday and Tuesday Poster Session for EIPT Conference focusing on topics covered during the first two days of sessions.
4
NOAA Meteorological Assimilation Data Ingest System (MADIS) Current Operational Status and Future Plans
Greg Pratt, NOAA/ESRL/GSD, Boulder, CO; and L. Benjamin, T. Kent, G. Padmanabhan, L. K. Cheatwood, M. Vrencur, T. McClung,
S. Pritchett,
L. J. Cano, S. Jacobs, C. Shelton, D. Saunders, and P. Jones
7
8
AN INTEGRATED MODELING AND OBSERVING SYSTEM FOR THE STUDY OF ECOLOGY OF LAKE GEORGE IN THE JEFFERSON PROJECT
Anthony P. Praino, IBM Thomas J. Watson Research Center, Yorktown Heights, NY; and L. A. Treinish, H. Kolar, J. Cipriani, E. Dow, M. Kelly, F. Liu, F. O'Donncha, E. Ragnoli, M. Passow, and L. Villa Real
Poster Session
1
Posters
Location: 128AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Air Pollution and Observational Studies Posters
Source Models and Atmospheric Dispersion Studies Posters
442
A Source Term Estimation Method for a Nuclear Accident, using Atmospheric Dispersion Models
Ryohji Ohba, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan; and M. Kim, M. Oura, S. kato, M. Takigawa,
P. Bieringer, B. Lauritzen, and M. Drews
Poster Session
1
Posters on:
- extratropical upper troposphere / lower stratosphere
- gravity waves
- middle atmospheric climate variability and change
- tropical tropopause layer
- middle atmospheric transport
Poster 274 has been moved. New paper number is 9.1A
Poster 277 has been moved. New paper number is 14.2A
278
Impact of Interactive Ozone on Climate Reconstruction in an Earth System Model: the Case of Antarctica in mid-Holocene
Satoshi Noda, Kyoto University, Kyoto city, Japan; and R. Mizuta, M. Deushi, K. Kodera,
K. Yoshida, A. Kitoh, S. Murakami, Y. Adachi, and S. Yoden
Poster Session
1
319
Realtime Monitoring of Electric Fields for Power Grid And Other Applications
Geoff Crowley, Atmospheric & Space Technology Research Associates, Boulder, CO; and C. Fish, I. Azeem, C. Winkler, M. Pilinski, A. Reynolds,
J. Kunches, D. Hunton, and G. Thompson
321
322
Poster Session
2
Poster 57 has moved. New paper number is 13A.1.
85
Adventures with November Snowfall: Time Series, Synoptic Classification, and Modeling of Snow Days in the Lake Michigan Region
Craig Clark, Valparaiso Univ., Valparaiso, IN; and A. Young, E. Delap, K. Heinlein, R. Connelly, A. Caruthers, A. VanDe Guchte, Z. Sefcovic, D. Koning, A. Carne, H. Boney, B. Ganesh-Babu, K. H. Goebbert, and S. Fingerle
Poster Session
383
393
Continuity of Solar Observations
Naaman Michael Simpson, NOAA/NESDIS, Silver Spring, MD; and P. Mulligan, D. Biesecker, S. A. Mango, J. Pereira, and R. Rutledge
Poster Session
253
Poster Session
Madden-Julian Oscillation symposium posters
Poster 421 has been moved. New paper is J1.1A
427
A High-Resolution Merged Wind Dataset for DYNAMO: Progress and future plans
Timothy J. Lang, NASA/MSFC, Huntsville, AL; and J. Mecikalski, X. Li,
T. Chronis, T. Castillo, K. Hoover, W. A. Brewer, J. Churnside, B. J. McCarty, P. Hein, S. Rutledge, B. Dolan, A. A. Matthews, and
E. J. Thompson
428
Precipitation Structures during A DYNAMO MJO Event: A Tale Told by Three Cloud-Resolving Models, Two Ground-Based Radars, and Two Satellites
Xiaowen Li, Morgan State University, Greenbelt, MD; and W. K. Tao,
M. Janiga, S. Wang, S. Hagos, T. Matsui, C. Liu,
A. K. Rowe,
W. Xu, and
C. Zhang
Poster Session
Poster 345 has been moved. New paper number is 6.1A
346
Lightning Imaging Sensor (LIS) for the International Space Station (ISS): Mission Desciption and Science Goals
Richard J. Blakeslee, NASA/MSFC, Huntsville, AL; and H. J. Christian Jr.,
D. Mach, D. E. Buechler,
W. J. Koshak,
T. D. Walker,
M. Bateman,
M. F. Stewart,
S. O'Brien,
T. Wilson,
S. Pavelitz, and
C. Coker
Poster Session
333
Poster Session
Tuesday poster session
Poster Session
Poster 262 has been moved. New paper number is 8.1.
263
4:00 PM-5:15 PM: Monday, 5 January 2015
4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Monday, 5 January 2015
Session
1
4:30 PM
1.3
2D Wind Field Estimation with Higher Spatial Resolution Using Dual Compact X-Band Weather Radars
Masahiro Minowa, Furuno Electric Co., LTD., Nishinomiya, Hyogo, Japan; and T. Takaki, Y. Takechi, Y. Asada, M. Hayano, Y. Ishigaki, and T. Kashiwa
Session
2
Analysis of DYNAMO Observations
Location: 229AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Cochairs:
Chidong Zhang, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS;
Carl J. Schreck III, North Carolina State University
Joint Session
2
5:15 PM
J2.6
Session
3
Aerosol impacts on shallow clouds II
Location: 223 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Cochairs:
Yangang Liu, Brookhaven National Laboratory;
Leo Donner, NOAA/GFDL
5:00 PM
3.5
5:15 PM
3.6
A Multi-Model Analysis of cloud water response to anthropogenic aerosols
Minghuai Wang, PNNL, Richland, WA; and
S. Ghan, S. Zhang,
H. Wang, D. Neubauer, U. Lohmann, S. Ferrachat, T. Takemura, D. G. Partridge, Y. Lee, A. Gettelman, and H. Morrison
Joint Session
3
Development of modeling systems addressing emissions, meteorology, atmospheric dispersion, exposure, and corresponding health implications; including observational, applied, or validation study designs
4:30 PM
J3.3
Session
3
Applications for end users
Location: 227A-C (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Chair:
Richard D. Clark, Millersville University
4:15 PM
3.3
Operational advances for atmospheric radiation dose rate specification
W. Kent Tobiska, Space Environment Technologies, Pacific Palisades, CA; and D. Bouwer, J. Bailey, L. Didkovsky, K. Judge, H. Garrett, W. Atwell, B. Gersey, R. Wilkins, D. Rice, R. W. Schunk, D. Bell, C. J. Mertens, X. Xu, G. Crowley, A. Reynolds, I. Azeem,
M. Wiltberger, S. Wiley,
S. Bacon, E. H. Teets Jr.,
A. Sim, and
L. Dominik
4:45 PM
3.5
DMSP SSUSI Space Weather for Users
Larry Paxton, Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Lab, Laurel, MD; and R. Schaefer, G. Bust,
Y. Zhang, H. Kil, E. Miller, M. A. Kelly, J. Comberiate, M. Weiss, and J. Hicks
Session
3
Data and Visualization
Location: 129B (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Chair:
Aashish Chaudhary, Kitware
Session
3
Global Warming Hiatus-Part III
Location: 122BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Cochairs:
Gerald Meehl, NCAR;
Matthew H. England, University of New South Wales
Session
3
Gravity Waves
Location: 212A West Building (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Chair:
Elisa Manzini, Max-Planck-Institut fuer Meteorologie
4:00 PM
3.1
An Overview of Gravity Wave Observations and Modeling during DEEPWAVE
James D. Doyle, NRL, Monterey, CA; and D. C. Fritts, R. B. Smith,
S. D. Eckermann, M. Taylor, A. Doernbrack, M. Uddstrom, P. A. Reinecke, C. A. Reynolds, and Q. Jiang
Session
3
4:15 PM
3.2
Quantifying the benefit of total column CO2 observations for constraining the global carbon budget: An inter-comparison study of top-down flux estimates based on GOSAT observations with bottom-up flux estimates from MsTMIP
Abhishek Chatterjee, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and A. M. Michalak, X. Qiu, E. D. Cody, C. O'Dell, D. N. Huntzinger, S. R. Kawa, T. Oda, C. R. Schwalm, V. Yadav, and M. MsTMIP Core and Modeling Teams
Session
3
4:30 PM
3.3
HiWinGS Buoy Measurements of Wave Statistics and Energy Spectra
Matthew J. Amison, University of Leeds, Pudsey, England; and L. Bariteau, B. W. Blomquist,
I. M. Brooks,
H. Czerski, C. W. Fairall, J. Hare,
B. J. Huebert,
A. Matei, S. J. Norris, R. W. Pascal,
J. Prytherch, M. J. Yang, and M. J. Yelland
5:15 PM
3.6
Session
3
Mobile Apps for Weather
Location: 132AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Cochairs:
M. D. Eilts, Weather Decision Technologies, Inc.;
George D. Emmitt, Simpson Weather Associates
Session
3
4:30 PM
3.3
North Atlantic OSSEs in support of improved hurricane forecasting: Nature Run evaluation
Villy H. Kourafalou, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and G. R. Halliwell Jr.,
R. Atlas,
H. S. Kang,
M. F. Mehari, M. Le Henaff, L. K. Shay, R. Lumpkin, and G. Goni
5:15 PM
3.6
Remote sensing of CO2, CH4, CO, and H2O from geostationary orbit
Xi Xi, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA; and V. Natraj, M. Luo,
Q. Zhang, R. L. Shia, S. P. Sander, and Y. Yung
Session
3
4:15 PM
3.2
Highly-resolved Modeling of Emissions and Concentrations of Carbon Monoxide, Carbon Dioxide, Nitrogen Oxides, and Fine Particulate Matter in Salt Lake City, Utah
Daniel Mendoza, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and J. Lin, L. Mitchell, J. Ehleringer, K. Gurney, R. Patarasuk, D. O'Keeffe, T. Song, and J. Huang
Joint Session
4
Citizen Science
Location: 226C (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Cochairs:
Julie S. Malmberg, UCAR;
Mark A. Shafer, Oklahoma Climatological Survey
Session documents the many uses of data that are increasingly available through public participation in earth observing. Presentations for work that evaluates the outcomes of a program or policy.
Joint Session
4
4:00 PM
J4.1
Invited Presentation: KMA Vice Administrator Jung
5:30 PM-7:30 PM: Monday, 5 January 2015
Reception and Exhibits Opening
Location: Hall 5 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
7:00 PM-8:30 PM: Monday, 5 January 2015
Town Hall Meeting: Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy – Applying Big Weather Data to Address Today’s Energy Challenges
Location: 126BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Speaker:
John Bosse, Schneider Electric
There is a tight correlation between weather and energy consumption but the relationship between meteorology and the electricity grid runs much deeper. The industry has undergone many changes and our Nation’s grid is increasingly more complex. From the integration of large scale wind generation and the complexities introduced from their intermittent behavior, to the disruptive forces of distributed solar generation and it’s ever increasing footprint, to maintaining overall grid resiliency in the wake of Super-Storm Sandy and other large scale severe weather outbreaks. These challenges with their increasing levels of complexity are being met head on by increased computational resources, big weather data in the form of increased observations and model output, and other big data being collected by the utilities.
The topics this Town Meeting will address broadly are:
1.Distributed Solar and its impact in Southern California. What is the “duck curve” and what can be done to mitigate its impact on the grid?
2.Outage modeling is now real, and in place within several utilities. How are outage models performing, and how are the utilities using big weather data to push the envelope further?
3.Resiliency isn’t just a difficult word to spell. All aspects of our Nation’s Energy Complex are dealing with climate adaptation. What role can the meteorological community play in this planning work?
This Town Hall Meeting is held in conjunction with the AMS Energy Committee and the AMS Renewable Energy Committees’ Sixth Conference on Weather, Climate and the New Energy Economy. Immediately following this Town Hall Meeting, joins us for an "Energizing" Happy Hour reception. Kick off the night's activities with light appetizers and drinks. Full details on the reception will be provided at the town hall meeting.
7:00 PM
Resilience - Joseph Casola
7:00 PM-10:00 PM: Monday, 5 January 2015
Arizona Science Center Reception
Tuesday, 6 January 2015
7:00 AM-8:15 AM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015
Town Hall Meeting: Open Environmental Information: A Discussion about Needs and Paths Forward
Location: 121BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Speaker:
Warren L. Qualley, Harris Corporation
What is meant by Open Environmental Information? What are the gaps today for access to government-held environmental information and services? What are the impacts of those gaps and what are the societal benefits if those gaps are closed? How do we close the gaps and how rapidly can this be done? Who should take on the role to close the gaps? The Town Hall will include a panel and moderator and will encourage audience participation.
The following are excerpts from the Terms of Reference of the COEIS and is provided as additional background for the Town Hall.
“Open, timely access to rich state-of-the-science environmental data, model output, archives and information is crucial for the Weather and Climate Enterprise to optimally serve the nation.
To help NOAA and similar sources of environmental data ( federal, state, municipalities, etc.) ensure that such services are created and shared according to the principles of the open services paradigm, it is important to have clear and open exchanges amongst members of the Enterprise. This is especially true in an era of not only rapidly evolving information services, but also in uncertain fiscal conditions that may limit service options. It is also true that private industry, academia, and other organizations and institutions have access to data, model output, archives and information that is of communitywide value and must be included in the open dialogue. The American Meteorological Society is uniquely positioned to host and catalyze such exchanges.
The primary goals of open environmental information services are to ensure that:
a.The Weather and Climate Enterprise, and therefore the nation as a whole, realize maximum value from environmental information services by ensuring that all potentially useful and relevant information is available to the entire Enterprise;
b.New environmental information services and technologies are developed openly in symbiotic partnership with all elements of the Enterprise such that the resulting services achieve optimal utility and efficacy when deployed. This includes development in the broadest sense, and includes data bases, access systems, models, data assimilation schemes, applications, measurement and observing systems, and so forth.
The purpose of the COEIS is to build and strengthen bridges between various sectors of the weather and climate communities to help achieve the open environmental information services goals. While much of the focus of COEIS will be towards NOAA environmental services and the communities that develop and use such services, the committee will also work to foster open services with other domestic and foreign members of the Enterprise. While there are a number of forums in which NOAA and related government agencies currently engage the Enterprise on related topics, the COEIS would provide an explicit AMS entity to help encourage, create, promote, organize, expand, standardize, and execute these generally ad hoc efforts today.”
7:00 AM
Open Environmental Information - NWS - Laura Furgone
7:15 AM
Open Environmental Information - Matt Parker
7:30 AM
Open Environmental Information - Ryan
7:45 AM
Open Environment Information - Seablon
8:00 AM
Open Environmental Information - Ban
Town Hall Meeting: Strategic Planning Update for UCAR and NCAR
Location: 126A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Speaker:
Gloria Kelly, UCAR
The National Center for Atmospheric Research and its managing entity, the University Corporation for Atmospheric Research, have undertaken strategic planning over the last two years. The UCAR plan is in the final draft stages after input from UCAR's 103 member universities. The NCAR plan has recently been finalized after community consultation and input from NSF. The two documents that have emerged will work in concert with each other, with UCAR's plan supporting the science goals outlined in the NCAR plan. This town hall will update attendees on the current status of the UCAR plan, including broad themes and objectives and the emergent goals related to research, facilities, services, education, training, and other activities of broad interest. A brief overview of NCAR's future directions based on its new strategic plan will also be provided.
7:00 AM
Town Hall Meeting: Strategic Planning Update for UCAR and NCAR -- Speaker: Gloria Kelly, UCAR
7:30 AM-8:15 AM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015
Town Hall Meeting: Future Challenges for NMHSs and the Opportunities of Partnership Working
Location: 124A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
8:00 AM-8:30 AM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015
Town Hall Meeting: Local AMS Chapter Town Hall
Location: 232A-C (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Looking for ideas for your local AMS chapter? Have an idea to share? Interested in learning about local AMS chapters? Join us at the first ever Local AMS Chapter Town Hall - designed for both student and regular chapter officers, members and prospective members. This town hall will be held on Tuesday, January 6, 2015 from 8:00am to 8:30am. The Chapter of the Year award winners will begin the town hall by sharing activities that have worked well for them over the past year. All chapters are invited to share their successful activities, in addition to, their challenges to seek advice from other chapters. Those interested in joining a local chapter are also invited to attend to learn about local AMS chapters and how to participate. The Local Chapter Affairs Committee and local AMS chapters from across the country invite you to take part in this information sharing session!
8:30 AM-9:30 AM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015
Session
4
Lightning Safety and Protection
Location: 225AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Cochairs:
William P. Roeder, 45th Weather Squadron;
Brody R. Fuchs, Colorado State University
8:30 AM-9:45 AM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015
Session
1
Introduction and Accomplishments
Location: 211A West Building (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Chair:
David A. Unger, NOAA/CPC
CoChair:
Barbara G. Brown, NCAR
8:30 AM
Introduction - David Unger
Session
1
Domestic and International officials have increasingly recognized links between environment and health. The World Health Organization (WHO) states “environmental hazards are responsible for as much as a quarter of the total burden of disease worldwide.” NASA maintains a diverse constellation of Earth observing research satellites and sponsors research in developing satellite data applications across a wide spectrum of areas including environmental health; infectious disease; air quality standards, policies, and regulations; and the impact of climate change on health and air quality. Successfully providing predictions with the accuracy and specificity required by decision makers will require advancements over current capabilities in a number of interrelated areas. These areas include observations, modeling systems, forecast development, application integration, and the research to operations transition process. NASA has been a primary partner with local, state, Federal, and international operational agencies over the past twelve years in these areas.
Session
1
9:15 AM
1.4
Inadvertent Weather Modification Resulting From Anthropogenic Emissions and Photochemistry
Paul, A. Makar, EC, Toronto, ON, Canada; and W. Gong, C. Stroud, M. D. Moran, S. Gravel, J. A. Milbrandt, J. Zhang, A. Akingunola, B. Pabla, P. Cheung, and Q. Zheng
Session
3
Session explores the what, how, why, and “what now?” surrounding the perception of risk of severe weather and other forms of weather and climate. Presentations for foundational research on this topic.
Session
3
University Education Initiatives
Location: 125AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Cochairs:
Alison F.C. Bridger, San Jose State University;
Teresa M. Bals-Elsholz, Valparaiso Univ.
9:00 AM
3.3
Evaluation of AMS Education Resources during Digital Transition
Chad M. Kauffman, California University of Pennsylvania, California, PA; and J. A. Brey, K. A. Nugnes, I. W. Geer, R. S. Weinbeck, E. W. Mills,
A. Asokan, K. L. O'Neill, L. A. Johnson-Systermann, and K. L. Mercadante
Session
4
9:00 AM
4.3
The 2014/2015 projected expansion of NCEP's RTMA and URMA
Manuel Pondeca, I.M. Systems Group, Inc./NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, College Park, MD; and J. Carley, S. Levine, Y. Lin, Y. Zhu,
J. McQueen, G. Manikin,
R. J. Purser, G. DiMego,
D. F. Parrish, V. Osychny, and J. H. G. M. Alves
9:15 AM
4.4
A Status Update for the NAMRR, an Hourly-Updated Version of NAM Forecast System
Jacob Carley, I.M. Systems Group Inc./NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, College Park, MD; and E. Rogers, S. Liu, B. Ferrier, E. Aligo, M. Pyle, X. Zhang, and G. DiMego
Session
4
Extreme Events and WRN
Location: 221A-C (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Cochairs:
Kenneth Carey, Earth Resources Technology (ERT), Inc.;
Jennifer Sprague, NOAA/NWS
Session
4
8:30 AM
4.1
Cloud chemistry and aerosol processing during the HCCT-2010 hill cap cloud experiment
Dominik van Pinxteren, TROPOS, Leipzig, Germany; and L. Poulain, K. W. Fomba, K. Müller, A. Tilgner, S. Henning, F. Stratmann, S. Mertes, E. Harris, B. Sinha, J. Schneider, T. Lee, J. L. Collett, L. Whalley, D. Heard, B. D'Anna, C. George, and H. Herrmann
9:30 AM
4.4A
Characterization of chemical composition and aerosol processing by clouds and fogs from different field studies (Baengyeong Island and Daegwallyeong, South Korea)
Taehyoung Lee, Hankuk University of Foreign Studies, Yongin, South Korea; and
A. J. Boris, J. Kim, Y. Lim, J. Ahn, Y. S. Park, J. Y. Jeong, S. Lee, S. Cho, T. Park, and J. L. Collett Jr.
Session
4
9:15 AM
4.4
Northern winter climate change: Assessment of uncertainty in CMIP5 projections related to stratosphere-troposphere coupling
Elisa Manzini, Max-Planck-Institut fuer Meteorologie, Hamburg, Germany; and A. Y. Karpechko, J. Anstey, M. Baldwin, R. X. Black, C. Cagnazzo, N. Calvo, A. Charlton-Perez, B. Christiansen, P. Davini, E. Gerber, M. A. Giorgetta,
L. J. Gray, S. C. Hardiman, Y. Y. Lee, D. R. Marsh, B. A. Mc Daniel, A. Purich, A. Scaife, D. Shindell, S. W. Son, S. Watanabe, and G. Zappa
Session
4
9:15 AM
4.3
Session
4A
AWIPS System Updates - Part I
Location: 132AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Cochairs:
Scott Jacobs, NOAA/NWS/NCEP;
William Roberts, OAR
9:00 AM
4A.3
Hazard Services Progress Report -- An AWIPS II Extended Project to Improve the Ability to Communicate Hazard Information in a Digital World
Joseph Wakefield, OAR, Boulder, CO; and
M. Churma, C. Golden, T. Hansen, K. Manross,
M. Nash, J. Ramer, R. Rood, J. Sanchez, D. Schaffer, S. S. Schotz, and S. Williams
Session
4B
The decade long International Tropical Ocean Global Atmosphere (TOGA) program ended twenty years ago in December 1994. TOGA fundamentally advanced our understanding of tropical ocean-atmosphere interactions and their global impacts, established a new observing system for El Niño and the Southern Oscillation (ENSO) research and forecasting, and served as an incubator for the development of skillful seasonal prediction models. It paved the way for much subsequent progress in climate research and its legacy still resonates throughout the scientific community. This session will celebrate that legacy and pay tribute to two renowned scientists whose pioneering studies laid the foundation for TOGA and contributed greatly to its success: Gene Rasmusson and the late Klaus Wyrtki. Presentations are encouraged that highlight climate variability and change in the tropics, the global impacts of the tropics in the climate system, and advances in seasonal to decadal time scale climate forecasting. Presentations on evolving 2014 El Niño-like conditions are also encouraged.
8:30 AM
Introduction - Mike McPhaden
Joint Session
5
Increased climate warming has brought more frequent and severe weather events which include more intense precipitation and extreme heat. These events put human lives and ecosystems at risk, cost billions of dollars, and create havoc for planning, particularly in communities that do not fully understand the potential impact and ramifications of weather and climate. As a result, communities, working with their water utilities, are facing decisions previously unimagined from trucking in potable water during severe droughts to assure survival of their residents to spending large sums of money to move water supply and treatment infrastructure in response to flooding.
Using the water sector as a framing, this session concentrates on understanding and avoiding the increased potential risk communities face from a changing climate. This session will explore how communities assess their risks and risk tolerance to establish planning thresholds, and the kind of information, tools and outreach they need to manage a future of changing precipitation patterns. Talks should address how communities assess their water supply risks and thresholds in terms of too much/too little water, what needs to be taken into consideration in determining these tipping points, and what decision support tools, methods, and approaches communities are using to prepare for and adapt to potential extreme events.
A final panel will discuss lessons learned from these studies, including where each community needs to make individualized decisions and where a common framework can serve everyone in their thinking.
9:00 AM-11:00 AM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015
9:45 AM-11:00 AM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015
Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Hall 4 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Poster Session
1
Poster 231 has been moved. New paper number is 8.2A.
238
CYGNSS data and surface wind analysis
Bachir Annane, Univ. of Miami/CIMAS and NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL, Miami, FL, FL; and
B. McNoldy, J. Delgado, L. Bucci,
R. Atlas, and S. Majumdar
240
DART: Tools and Support for Ensemble Data Assimilation Research, Operations, and Education
Jeffrey Anderson, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and T. Hoar, N. Collins, K. Raeder, H. Kershaw, G. Romine,
A. P. Mizzi,
A. Chatterjee, A. Karspeck, C. M. Zarzycki, S. Y. Ha, J. Barre, and B. Gaubert
Poster Session
1
Poster 443 has been moved. Will now be paper 2.4A in the POSTDOWN Symposium
Poster Session
2
Advances in the estimation of evapotranspiration (ET) and atmospheric evaporative demand (Eo) are made across a broad range of scales and techniques, from in-situ observations to remote sensing and modeling. Specific topics for this session might include:
• estimating ET from various perspectives: remote sensing platforms, ground-based point observations and parameterizations, plant-based experimentation, and water budgets
• operational ET estimation
• land surface-atmosphere feedbacks
• future remote sensing missions and needs for ET
• Eo as an input to operational LSMs to derive ET, schedule crop irrigation, and as a metric of hydroclimatic trends and variability
36
Improving Estimates of Evaporation from Earth's Largest Lake System
Andrew Gronewold, NOAA, Ann Arbor, MI; and P. D. Blanken, C. Spence, J. Lenters, B. Kerkez, W. Leger, K. Paige, T. Slawecki, F. Seglenieks, V. Fortin, N. J. Froelich, S. Ruberg, D. E. Wolfe, and C. W. Fairall
Poster Session
3
50
11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015
Joint Session
1
Space weather education initiatives
Location: 227A-C (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Cochairs:
William B. Cade III, Baylor University;
Melissa A. Burt, Center for Multiscale Modeling of Atmospheric Processes
Joint Panel Discussion
1
This panel discussion will further the topics discussed in the 8:30 session with the same name. In both sessions, we use the water sector as an example, to better understand how to lessen the risk associated with a changing climate. The previous talks addressed how communities assess their water supply risks and thresholds in terms of too much/too little water, what needs to be taken into consideration in determining these tipping points, and what decision support tools, methods, and approaches communities are using to prepare for and adapt to potential extreme events. This panel will discuss lessons learned from these studies, including where each community needs to make individualized decisions and where a common framework can serve everyone in their thinking. Among the questions we will ask are: (1) What is the value of using thresholds and tipping points as a framework for decision making and assessing risk? (2) What are the best practices that were learned from the session 1 talks, and how can they be adopted in other decision making contexts? and (3) How can an interdisciplinary approach bring physical and social sciences together to establish thresholds and tipping points within a specific context (i.e., users, geographic location, population, etc…)?
Session
1
Key note opening remarks to be given by Dr. Joel Myers, Founder, Chairman and President, Accuweather.
Session
2
11:45 AM
2.3
Session
2
11:00 AM
Remarks: The STAC Committee on the Coastal Environment - Andre Van Der Westhuysen
Session
2
11:30 AM
2.3
The 2013 Rim Fire: Implications for Predicting Extreme Fire Spread, Pyroconvection, and Smoke Emissions
David A. Peterson, National Research Council, Monterey, CA; and E. J. Hyer, J. R. Campbell, M. Fromm, J. W. Hair, C. F. Butler, and M. A. Fenn
Session
2
Model Output Statistics (MOS)
Location: 211A West Building (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Chair:
Ward R. Seguin, Consultant
CoChair:
David A. Unger, NOAA/CPC
Session
2
11:00 AM
2.1
11:45 AM
2.4
Session
3
11:00 AM
3.1
Multivariate assimilation of satellite-derived remote sensing datasets in the North American Land Data Assimilation System (NLDAS)
Sujay V. Kumar, SAIC at NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and C. Peters-Lidard, D. Mocko, R. H. Reichle, K. R. Arsenault, B. F. Zaitchik, Y. Liu, M. B. Ek, H. Kato, and Y. Xia
Session
5
11:30 AM
5.3
Computational and laboratory experiments on microphysics of the air-sea interface under hurricane conditions
Alexander V. Soloviev, Nova Southeastern University Oceanographic Center, Dania Beach, FL; and M. McGauley, B. Hamilton, M. Donelan, B. Haus, N. J. M. Laxague, D. Ortiz-Suslow,
I. Ginis, and R. Lukas
Session
5
11:30 AM
5.3
Recent Developments of NCAR 4D-Relaxation Ensemble Kalman Filter System
Yubao Liu, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and Y. Wu,
L. Pan, A. Bourgeois, G. Roux, J. Knievel, J. Hacker, J. Pace, F. W. Gallagher, and S. F. Halvorson
Session
5
11:30 AM
5.3
Session
5
Turbulence and Wind Shear - Part I
Location: 129A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Cochairs:
Matt Fronzak, The MITRE Corporation;
Edward H. Teets Jr., NASA
11:30 AM
5.3
Session
5A
AWIPS System Updates - Part II
Location: 132AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Cochairs:
William Roberts, OAR;
Scott Jacobs, NOAA/NWS/NCEP
Continuation of AWIPS session
Joint Session
7
The impacts of climate variability and change manifest in dramatically different ways. Coastal regions grapple with storm surge and sea level rise; urban areas endure heat waves that affect public health and safety; and forested regions with drought and wildfire. These impacts are overlaid on vastly different social, political, and economic systems, creating a patchwork of different risk and vulnerability profiles at sub-national scales. The breadth and depth of this challenge requires multiple partners with different expertise, collaborating across regional scales. This session invites papers that describe the importance and value of regional collaborations, challenges faced in coordination, examples of bridging science with decision making, and other co-production models. Papers that focus on particular engagements with NOAA RISA, DOI Climate Science Centers, USDA Regional Climate Hubs, State Climatologists, Sea Grant, and Regional Climate Centers are encouraged.
Joint Session
7
Satellite Observations for Climate
Location: 230 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Cochairs:
Hank Revercomb, University of Wisconsin;
Gary Jedlovec, NASA/MSFC NSSTC
Joint Session between 20th SatMet Conference, 11GOES-R/JPSS Symposium, and 3rd JCSDA Symposium
12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015
Harry R. Glahn Symposium Luncheon
Location: 213AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
12:15 PM-1:15 PM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015
Workshop
12:15 PM
Faster, Cheaper, and More Nimble: Improvements and Innovations in Publishing AMS Journals - Ken Heideman
12:30 PM
All About Peer Review and How Authors Can Maximize Success - Christa Peters-Lidard
New Ideas Forum: Networking and Idea Exchange for Student and Early Career Members
Location: 126A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Speaker:
Andrew L. Molthan, NASA/MSFC
Student and early career members of the AMS represent the next generation of educators, scientists, broadcasters, and technical professionals that will continue to advance the weather enterprise. As their careers grow, these members will assume greater roles in the advancement of our scientific and related capabilities, supporting a broader thematic goal of “Fulfilling the Vision of Weather, Water, and Climate Information for Every Need, Time, and Place.” The AMS supports student and early career members in many ways, such as long-standing conferences catering to their specific needs and interests, and the technical meetings and sessions to be held during the 95th Annual Meeting in Phoenix. Student and early career members can also benefit from presenting, exchanging, and discussing their research interests and goals in an informal setting, fostering and growing the social networks critical to their future success. The New Ideas Forum offers additional opportunities for student and early career members to engage the community during the weeklong AMS Annual Meeting.
We are introducing The New Ideas Forum as a way for attendees to provide a brief, informal overview of their current and future interests in a collegial setting. Informal discussions are encouraged across all aspects of our discipline, including basic science, applied science, education, new technology, policy interests, or future directions you feel our field may be headed. Participants will be given the opportunity to introduce themselves to their community, share highlights of their interests, and engage in questions and answers with their peers. The goal of the session is to increase networking opportunities for student and early career members participating in the Annual Meeting, and to encourage partnerships among student, early, and later-career members that can lead to mentoring opportunities, business or proposal collaborations, and other activities of mutual benefit.
This Tuesday lunch-hour session will focus on activities of student and early-career members. Interested participants, including mid- and late-career members, are invited to stop by the Town Hall Meeting session on Tuesday. Session chairs will help to coordinate an informal exchange among attendees while ensuring time for all to participate. Participants will then be provided up to 5 minutes to present their interests. A few presentation charts are welcome, but not required. Ideally, this session will function as a “speed round” of introductions and interactions among attendees to share their new ideas and future goals.
Town Hall Meeting: Advances in OCONUS Satellite Applications Enabled by the Current and New Generation of Polar-orbiting and Geostationary Environmental Satellites
Location: 121BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Speaker:
Gary McWilliams, JPSS Program Office/Army Research Laboratory
The current and new generation of operational polar-orbiting and geostationary environmental satellite systems (JPSS, GCOM-W, Metop, DMSP, GOES-R and Himawari) are being accompanied by new and improved user applications. Many of these improved applications are being made available to regions outside the conterminous United States (OCONUS) through direct broadcast (DB) technology and by other means. These user applications include tropical cyclone monitoring, volcanic ash tracking, river flood assessment, and low cloud and fog forecasting. These new user applications are anticipated to become critical tools for weather forecasters and environmental managers in regions with a scarcity of other data. The use of direct broadcast antennas offers the user many advantages such as reduced data latency, the ability to network with other DB sites to create wider regional coverage, and the ability to assimilate these data into forecast models to help generate locally-unique products. The Town Hall will convene a panel with broad expertise in satellite data applications and DB technology to discuss these new satellite applications, their current operational use, and the evaluation of their impact to the user communities in OCONUS regions.
12:15 PM
Advances in OCONUS Satellite Applications Enabled by the Current and New Generation of Polar-Orbiting and Geostationary Environmental Satellites - Gary McWilliams
Town Hall Meeting: Dawn of a New Age in Water Prediction – The National Water Center
Location: 128AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Speaker:
David S. Green, NASA Headquarters
This AMS Town Hall meeting is expected to raise awareness of the unprecedented opportunity to innovate, coordinate and collaborate in the water sector to address 21st century water resource and management challenges such as water shortages and security, water quality and hydrologic extremes. Speakers from academia and federal agencies (including NOAA’s National Weather Service (NWS), the U.S. Geological Survey and the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers) will discuss how strong involvement through the National Water Center (NWC) will enhance joint planning and co-development of new science as well as the transition of research results to sustained applications and operations.
The NWC provides the capacity to transform, integrate and modernize hydrology and water resource science-based services to improve resiliency and build a more Weather and Water Ready Nation. Designed for optimal coordination and collaboration across the climate, water and weather enterprise, the NWC promotes a total water approach that fosters linkages between riverine and coastal water outcomes. By working closely with the community-of-practice (academia, industry) as well as various regional and local actors (end-users such as farmers, federal, state, regional and local water resource managers, commercial enterprises…) this approach will catalyze development and exploitation of state-of-the-science and infrastructure to enable sustainable solutions. Demand-driven innovation, merging interdisciplinary and new information, will contribute to the knowledge base supporting decision making in water resource and emergency management as well as key sectors such as transport, tourism, fisheries, agriculture, biotech, resource extraction and energy. The intended result is for the NWC to provide the Nation’s most trusted and authoritative source for comprehensive and integrated water predictions including critical data, models, analyses, and forecast information to enhance resilience to high impact extreme hydrometeorological events. Recognizing the advanced challenges, NWC-partnerships are being created to strengthen capabilities and do new things that focus on key areas including data interoperability, enterprise GIS, improving observational capacity, and numerical modeling to simulate hydrologic processes and the water budget at very high resolution. As an example, the NWC will operate and improve end-to-end early warning and Disaster Risk Reduction (DRR) systems, and make available and accessible the predictive information and related data, models, maps and forecast products for optimizing decision-support services.
Town Hall Meeting: Developing Climate Scenarios for the 4th National Climate Assessment and the Sustained Assessment Process
Location: 124A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Speaker:
David R. Easterling, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC
Scenarios of future physical climate conditions provide the necessary unifying foundation for internally consistent consideration of impacts and for modeling of impacts performed specifically for the climate assessment process. The development of scenarios for the Fourth U.S. National Climate Assessment and the Sustained Assessment process is already beginning and this Town Hall is intended to provide a mechanism for gathering input from the climate community on the scenarios process. Issues to be addressed include, but are not limited to, the use of CMIP3 vs. CMIP5 model simulations, statistical and dynamical downscaling, higher temporal resolution (e.g. sub-daily) scenarios, and integration with other types of scenarios such as land-use or population change.
Town Hall Meeting: NASA Earth Science Division Town Hall Meeting
Location: 125AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Speaker:
Jack A. Kaye, NASA, Science Mission Directorate
This Town Hall session will provide an opportunity for the earth science community to interact with members of the leadership team and staff of the Earth Science Division (ESD) of NASA’s Science Mission Directorate. Brief presentations by the ESD leadership will precede a longer opportunity for audience questions. Topics to be addressed in the Town Hall session include scientific accomplishments and programmatic milestones from the past year, current programmatic directions, and NASA’s progress towards implementing the missions identified in the June 2010 report "Responding to the Challenge of Climate and Environmental Change:NASA’s Plan for a Climate-Centric Architecture for Earth Observations and Applications from Space" which incorporates recommendations from the National Research Council’s 2007 Decadal Survey for Earth Science, “Earth Science and Applications from Space: National Imperatives for the Next Decade and Beyond.” Recent developments in the Venture Class program and? the non-flight parts of the NASA program (research and analysis, applied sciences, technology) and NASA's involvement in interagency and international programs will also be reviewed.
12:15 PM
Introduction - Michael Freilich
Town Hall: Report of an International Roadmap on Space Weather: Science of space weather and its impact on life and society
Location: 127ABC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Speaker:
Kendra Greb, UCAR Visiting Scientist Programs
With the rapid development of the technological infrastructure upon which modern society depends comes a growing appreciation of the hazards presented by the phenomena around our home planet that we call
space weather. The complexity of the coupled Sun-Earth system, the sparseness by which it can be covered by remote-sensing and in-situ instrumentation, and the costs of the required observational and computational infrastructure warrant an international approach with feasible, affordable solutions. COSPAR and the steering committee of the International Living With a Star program tasked a multi-disciplinary, international team with the development of a roadmap with the goal of demonstrably improving our observational capabilities for, scientific understanding of, and ability to forecast the various aspects of space weather. This presentation reviews the
significance of space weather, and summarizes the roadmap, its top-priority recommendations, and their underlying rationale.
12:45 PM-1:05 PM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015
Daily Weather Briefings
Location: 132AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
1:30 PM-3:00 PM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015
Panel Discussion
1
Communicating the State of Understanding of Climate and Climate Change
Location: 222A-C (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Moderators:
Robert Ryan, Consulting Meteorologist;
Jenny Dissen, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC/CICS
Panelists:
Andrea Thompson, Climate Central;
Don Wuebbles, University of Illinois;
Jim Gandy, WLTX-TV;
Susan Joslyn, University of Washington;
Xubin Zeng, University of Arizona
Effective communication of climate and climate change information remains a challenging goal. The scientific terminology and public understanding of “climate” has changed significantly over the years. Scientific understanding of the “climate system” has made major advances in the past decades as the interdependency of the atmosphere, oceans, biosphere, land surfaces, ice, soil moisture , etc., have become part of “climate”. Human responses to climate and climate change have historically been driven by adaptation to relatively slow changes. Observations and research show climate and its many components now is changing at a rate not seen in human history. Can we more effectively communicate the certainty and the uncertainties of climate and climate change for both better public understanding and better decision making in a rapidly changing climate environment? A distinguished panel of science communicators, climate scientists, social scientists, decision makers and users of climate, climate and global change information will address a number of these questions and discuss pertinent issues with the attendees. It is the intent of the CECWCI that review/synopsis of the panel/town hall session will also be widely disseminated and published.
Joint Session
1
1:45 PM
J1.2
Evidence for New Particle Formation in the Summertime Arctic near Resolute Bay, Nunavut, Canada
Julia Burkart, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada; and M. Willis, F. Koellner, J. Schneider, H. Bozem, P. Hoor, R. Ghahremaninezhadgharelar, G. Wentworth, A. L. Norman, R. Brauner, C. Konrad, A. Herber, R. Leaitch, and J. P. D. Abbatt
Session
3
Dissemination and Decision Support
Location: 211A West Building (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Chair:
Barbara G. Brown, NCAR
CoChair:
Ward R. Seguin, Consultant
1:30 PM
Introduction - David Unger
2:45 PM
3.4
Statistical Post Processing for US Navy Ship Routing (Invited Presentation)
James Hansen, NRL, Monterey, CA; and J. E. Peak, E. A. Satterfield, J. Morford, J. McLay, C. Hutchins, W. Henry, R. Bankert, and
M. E. Gorris
Session
3
Major Weather Impacts in 2014
Location: 229AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Chair:
Klaus E. Wolter, ESRL/Univ of Colorado-CIRES
Session
3
2:30 PM
3.5
Numerical Validation of a Coupled Probabilistic Rip Current Model and Nearshore Wave Prediction System for South Florida
Alex Gibbs, NOAA, Miami, FL; and
G. Dusek,
A. J. van der Westhuysen,
D. P. Santos, S. Stripling, S. huddleston, E. Rivera-Acevedo,
J. Estupinan, and H. Seim
Session
4
1:30 PM
4.1
A Successful Example of Transitioning Research to NCEP Operations: The North American Land Data Assimilation System (NLDAS)
Michael B. Ek, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, College Park, MD; and Y. Xia, H. Wei, J. Meng, K. Mitchell (retired), E. F. Wood, J. Sheffield, C. Peters-Lidard, D. Mocko, B. Cosgrove, D. P. Lettenmaier, K. Mo, W. Ebisuzaki, M. Rosencrans, L. Luo, and E. Luebehusen
2:00 PM
4.3
Session
4
Outreach and Broader Impacts
Location: 125AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Cochairs:
Melissa A. Burt, Center for Multiscale Modeling of Atmospheric Processes;
Julie S. Malmberg, UCAR
Session
5
1:30 PM
5.1
Towards a National Space Weather Predictive Capability
Nicola J. Fox, Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory, Laurel, MD; and M. Ryschkewitsch, M. A. Kelly, B. Anderson, R. Barnes, J. Comberiate, R. Demajistre, R. Erlandson,
J. Gjerloev, C. Michaelis, V. Merkin, E. Miller, L. Paxton, M. Sitnov, T. Sotirelis, G. Stephens, and A. Ukhorskiy
Session
6
2:30 PM
6.5
Development and evaluation of a multi-functional data assimilation testbed based on EnKF and WRFVar with various hybrid options
Yonghui Weng, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA; and
F. Zhang, J. Poterjoy, Y. Ying, C. Melhauser, D. Tao, S. J. Greybush, X. Zhang, and J. Sun
Session
6
1:45 PM
6.2
Coordinated 3-D Lightning Mapping, Balloon-borne Electric Field, and Polarimetric Radar Observations of Triggered Lightning Flashes at Camp Blanding, Florida
Donald R. MacGorman, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and M. I. Biggerstaff, S. Waugh, J. Pilke, M. A. Uman, D. Jordan, T. Ngin, W. Gamerota, G. Carrie, and P. T. Hyland
Session
6
2:00 PM
6.3
Processes controlling tropical tropopause temperature and stratospheric water vapour
Steven C. Hardiman, Met Office, Exeter, Devon, United Kingdom; and
I. A. Boutle, A. C. Bushell, N. Butchart, M. J. P. Cullen, P. R. Field, K. Furtado, J. Manners, S. F. Milton, F. M. O'Connor, B. Shipway, C. Smith, D. Walters, K. D. Williams, N. Wood, L. Abraham, J. Keeble, and A. C. Maycock
Session
6
2:30 PM
6.5
Findings from the 2014 Hazardous Weather Testbed Probabilistic Hazard Information Experiment
Christopher D. Karstens, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and
G. J. Stumpf, D. M. Kingfield,
C. Ling, L. Hua, T. M. Smith, J. Correia Jr., K. M. Calhoun, K. L. Ortega, C. J. Melick, and
L. P. Rothfusz
Session
6
Turbulence and Wind Shear - Part II
Location: 129A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Cochairs:
Timothy H. Miner, Allied Pilots Association;
Cecilia Miner, NOAA/NWS
Session
6A
2:00 PM
6A.3
Rapid Refresh: NCEP operational upgrade and work toward version 3 and the North American Rapid Refresh Ensemble (NARRE)
Stephen S. Weygandt, NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and S. Benjamin, T. G. Smirnova, M. Hu, J. B. Olson, H. Lin, C. R. Alexander, G. Manikin, E. P. James, I. Jankov, J. Brown, and
D. C. Dowell
Session
6B
RADAR - MPAR Program and Radar Research
Location: 132AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Cochairs:
Mark B. Yeary, University of Oklahoma;
Michael J. Istok, NOAA/NWS;
Kurt D. Hondl, NOAA/NSSL;
Robert E. Saffle, Noblis, Inc.
1:45 PM
6B.2
Cylindrical Polarimetric Phased Array Radar Demonstrator
Caleb Fulton, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and J. Meier, R. Kelley, S. Karimkashi, M. McCord, I. Meier, G. Zhang, R. Palmer, A. Zahrai, D. Schmidt, R. J. Doviak, D. Zrnic, L. Bhowmik, and A. Byrd
2:00 PM
6B.3
A Dual Polarization Phased Array Radar Demonstrator
Kurt D. Hondl, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and A. Zahrai, D. Zrnic, B. M. Isom, D. Conway, M. Fosberry, H. Thomas, M. Harger, A. Mankame, J. Cho, R. Kelley, J. B. Meier, and M. McCord
2:30 PM
6B.5
Joint Session
8
This session focuses on efforts that have evaluated how climate services have influenced resource management, policy, or other decision contexts. Presentations can highlight useful metrics and effective research design for evaluating climate services as well as documented outcomes of climate service activities. Presentations for work that evaluates the outcomes of a program or policy.
Joint Session
8
Pulling student submissions from each of the three conferences within the Joint Satellite Program, this session will highlight the innovations being made by young scientists.
2:00 PM
J8.3
2:45 PM
J8.6A
Joint Session
9
Session explores the roles weather and forecasting play in human health and happiness, community viability, public health practice, and increases in demand for weather DSS in health.
2:00 PM
J9.3
3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015
Coffee Break
Location: Hall 5 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Meet the President
Location: 126A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
3:30 PM-4:30 PM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015
3:30 PM-5:00 PM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015
3:30 PM-5:15 PM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015
Session
7
5:00 PM
7.7
Investigating Marine Boundary Layer Parameterizations for Improved Off-Shore Wind Predictions by Combining Observations with Models via State Estimation
Luca delle Monache, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Hacker, B. Kosovic,
J. A. Lee, F. Vandenberghe, Y. Wu, A. Clifton, S. Hawkins, J. N. Nissen, and
D. Rostkier-Edelstein
3:30 PM-5:30 PM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015
Joint Session
2
3:30 PM
J2.1
Advancing understanding of the marine biogeochemical influence on primary sea spray aerosol composition
Susannah M. Burrows, PNNL, Richland, WA; and S. M. Elliott, A. Frossard, D. T. McCoy, L. M. Russell, X. Liu, O. Ogunro, R. Easter, and P. Rasch
3:45 PM
J2.2
Identifying links between sea spray ice nucleating particles and oceanic biological activity
Christina S. McCluskey, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and T. C. J. Hill,
E. J. T. Levin, G. Cornwell, C. Sultana, C. Lee, H. A. Al-Mashat, O. Laskina, V. H. Grassian, C. M. Beall, K. A. Moore, K. A. Prather, D. Pham, R. C. Moffet, S. M. Kreidenweis, and P. J. DeMott
4:15 PM
J2.4
Ice nuclei in the sea surface microlayer
Theodore W. Wilson, University of Leeds, Leeds, United Kingdom; and L. A. ladino, P. A. Alpert, T. F. Whale, J. P. D. Abbatt,
J. Y. Aller, A. K. Bertram, M. Breckels, C. Judd, D. A. Knopf, R. H. Mason, L. Miller, E. Polishchuk, C. L. Schiller, M. Si, W. Kilthau, J. P. S. Wong, O. Wurl, J. D. Yakobi-Hancock, and B. J. Murray
4:45 PM
J2.6
The Southern Ocean Clouds, Radiation, Aerosol Transport Experimental Study (SOCRATES): An Observational Campaign for Determining Role of Clouds, Aerosols and Radiation in Climate System
P. K. Quinn, NOAA, Seattle, WA; and R. Wood, C. S. Bretherton, G. M. McFarquhar, S. P. Alexander, C. Jakob, R. T. Marchand, A. Protat,
S. Siems, and R. A. Weller
Session
3
AI for Climate Informatics
Location: 124B (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Chair:
William W. Hsieh, Univ. of British Columbia
Session
3
4:00 PM
3.2
Can Wintertime Orographic Clouds Be over Seeded by AgI?
Lulin Xue, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and
I. Geresdi, R. M. Rasmussen, S. A. Tessendorf,
V. P. Holbrook, D. Blestrud, M. L. Kunkel, B. Glenn, and S. Parkinson
Paper 3.5 has been moved. It is now poster 924.
Session
4
Future Directions
Location: 211A West Building (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Chair:
Barbara G. Brown, NCAR
CoChair:
David A. Unger, NOAA/CPC
Session
4
3:45 PM
4.2
A Wave, Surge and Inundation Modeling Testbed for Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands: Year 1 progress
Andre J. van der Westhuysen, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, College Park, MD; and C. Anselmi, R. Calzada, J. C. Feyen, C. Forbes, J. Gonzalez, A. Mercado, J. Morell, J. Rhome, E. Rodriguez,
J. Smith, J. Veeramony, and J. Westerink
4:00 PM
4.3
4:15 PM
4.4
Session
6
4:45 PM
6.6
Real-time Flash Flood Observational Datasets in Support of the NSSL's 2014 HWT-Hydro Experiment
Brandon R. Smith, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and J. Gourley,
L. P. Rothfusz, R. Clark III, J. M. Erlingis,
Z. L. Flamig, E. Mintmire, K. L. Ortega, and B. Cosgrove
Session
6
4:15 PM
6.4
Session
7
3:45 PM
7.2
Session
7
Details regarding lightning physics and corresponding scientific applications of lightning photography and videography.
4:45 PM
7.6
Video and Photographic Investigations of Lightning and Transient Luminous Events (TLEs) during PhOCAL 2014
Walter A. Lyons, WeatherVideoHD.TV, Fort Collins, CO; and T. A. Warner, T. J. Lang, W. Rison, S. A. Cummer, M. G. McHarg, T. Ashcraft, K. Palivec, J. Yue, T. E. Nelson, H. E. Edens, and M. A. Stanley
Session
7
4:30 PM
7.5
Session
7A
4:30 PM
7A.5
Session
7B
Road Weather Applications
Location: 131C (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Cochairs:
Paul Pisano, Federal Highway Administration;
Ralph Patterson, NarwhalMet;
James P. Koermer, Plymouth State University
5:15 PM
7B.8
Joint Session
10
4:30 PM
J10.5
Preparing Users for the Geostationary Lightning Mapper (GLM) on GOES-R
Steven J. Goodman, NOAA/NESDIS/GOES-R Program Office, Greenbelt, MD; and S. D. Rudlosky, G. T. Stano, K. M. Calhoun, L. Carey,
P. Dills, P. Roohr,
B. C. Motta, and J. LaDue
Joint Session
11
Session explores tools and programs community clinicians and health officials use to prepare for and respond to weather emergencies. Presentations for work that transitions research to applications.
4:15 PM
J11.4
New Evidence from a Hot Climate: Considering Multiple Health Events, Exposure Variables, and Trigger Points for Interventions Related to Health Impacts of High Temperatures
Sharon, L. Harlan, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ; and D. M. Hondula, D. B. Petitti, S. Yang, G. Chowell, and B. L. Ruddell
3:30 PM-5:45 PM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015
Session
6
4:30 PM
6.5
Influence of Two Types of El Niños on the East Asian Climate During Boreal Summer: A Numerical Study
Zhiping Wen, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China; and Z. Chen, R. Wu, P. Zhao, and J. Cao
5:30 PM-6:30 PM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015
Town Hall Meeting: Education Symposium Discussion
Location: 125AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
The Symposium on Education seeks input to help formulate ideas for activities and sessions for the 2016 annual AMS meeting. Please join us for an inclusive conversation about the Education Symposium. We seek ideas to make the symposium even more dynamic, to better connect it to research and other research-focused symposia, and to interest more annual meeting attendees in participating. We welcome your ideas and suggestions.
6:00 PM-7:00 PM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015
Session
Weather information is being used in exciting new ways. The forefront of this innovation is online applications such as search, social, and mobile. This Town Hall panel brings together four key players in this space – Facebook, Twitter, Google, and Microsoft – to discuss how they use weather to reach billions of consumers, often in novel ways.
David Kenny, CEO of The Weather Company, will moderate. Panelists include:
• Bryan Hurren, strategic partnerships manager at Facebook
• Andrew Fitzgerald, Media Partnerships team at Twitter
• Arial Gronau, technical program manager at Google
• Brett Tanzer, weather program manager at Microsoft
6:00 PM
Town Hall Meeting: Weather in Search, Social, and Mobile - Ariel Gronau
6:15 PM
Weather and Microsoft - Brett Tanzer
6:00 PM-7:30 PM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015
Town Hall Meeting: Weather Risk Management: What Does it Mean and Where is it Going?
Location: 127ABC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Wikipedia defines Weather Risk Management as “a way for organizations to limit their financial exposure to disruptive weather events.” The Weather Risk Management Association defines it as “having two facets: (1) The management of the financial consequences adverse weather for those with natural exposure to weather; and (2) Commercial trading of weather risk, both in its own right and in conjunction with a variety of commodities. “
Willis Group’s website cites “Traditional insurance offers protection against events such as floods and storms, but in the UK and in Europe there is not yet a wide use of protection against the effects of seasonal weather patterns such as temperature, rainfall or sunshine. However, these factors can have a major influence on corporate results and many firms publicly acknowledge this. As weather hedging becomes more commonplace, blaming the weather for poor results will become less acceptable.”
The CME Group says “To help manage [the] impact on consumers and corporations, CME Group’s product slate has grown to meet customer needs by offering multiple risk management opportunities related to temperature, snowfall, frost, rainfall and hurricanes in more than 50 cities worldwide.
Weather futures and options are available for block trading, which are privately negotiated futures, options, or combination transactions.”
The term “Weather Risk Management” means many different things across our professional community. Weather trading, commodity trading, insurance, reinsurance and hedging are all terms of art. But what does it all really mean?? Who protects their business from weather risk? What information do they need in order to ‘manage weather risk?’ What is weather risk?? What does Weather Risk Management mean for meteorologists? What opportunities does it present? How have those opportunities changed since the first financial products were introduced in the late 1990s? Where is the market headed and what does that mean for information providers, experts, and customers? Join our panel of experts as we discuss the future for Weather Risk Management.
6:00 PM
Town Hall Meeting: Weather Risk Management: What Does it Mean and Where is it Going? - S. Bennett
6:00 PM-8:30 PM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015
Town Hall Meeting: Wind-wave-current interactions, high winds, and tropical cyclone
Location: 124A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Speaker:
Alexander V. Babanin, Swinburne University of Technology
We will discuss a new initiative for complex measurements in hurricanes with the purpose of advancing hurricane modeling.
Physics of air-sea interactions, wave dynamics, atmospheric boundary layer, and upper ocean currents/mixing are very different in extreme winds compared to more benign conditions. However, our ability to observe and understand these physics is very limited. Often extrapolations from moderate conditions are relied upon even though they may not be physically justified.
While theoretical research and numerical modeling of physics under extreme wind conditions have improved significantly over the last decade, there is little experimental and field evidence to validate and calibrate the models. In this meeting, we will discuss a new initiative to measure surface waves, air-sea fluxes, near-surface ocean turbulence/currents/mixing, and structure of the near-surface atmospheric boundary layer in extreme wind conditions for use in model validation. Please follow the link for more details (http://www.po.gso.uri.edu/airsea/ASI2015hurricane/Extreme_Events_meeting_AMS_2015.pdf)
Wednesday, 7 January 2015
7:00 AM-8:00 AM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
Town Hall Meeting: The Weather Coalition: An Organizational Status and a Broad Legislative Update
Location: 223 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
The Weather Coalition (WC) welcomes new and returning members, as well as non-members interested in learning about the Weather Coalition and its activities, to this Town Hall event. The Weather Coalition Co-Chairs will provide a status of the organization, summarize activities associated with weather-related advocacy and legislation that took place across the past year, and discuss expected activities during 2015. Invited speaker Scott Rayder of UCAR will provide a legislative update that will focus on House and Senate legislative activities, budgets, and the recent elections.
7:00 AM-8:15 AM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
Town Hall Meeting: Lessons learned about coping with high impact hydro-meteorological events in the US: “A stepping stone panel discussion for the 2015 DRR Summit on Lessons Learned about Lessons Learned
Location: 126A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Speaker:
Curt Barrett, Consultant to USAID Office of Foreign Disaster Assistance (OFDA)
Globally, high impact hydrometeorological events such as floods, flash floods, mudslides and droughts cause more humanitarian and economic losses than all other natural hazards. A key solution to mitigating climate, weather and water catastrophes is to establish End-to-End Early warning systems (EWS) as part of sustained and durable Disaster Risk Reduction (DRR) programs. Country Donors, Finance Institutions, Hydrometeorological Organizations, such as the World Meteorological Organization (WMO), and Federal agencies, such as NOAA, have established and strengthened EWS capacity in regions where climate-extreme events have caused major disasters, such as in Central America (Hurricane Mitch 1998), and yet after each disaster these systems have fallen into disrepair. There are many technical and social/cultural lessons that should be learned from capacity building hydrometeorological projects that are not captured and used to restructure projects to improve sustainability. Instead, we keep making many of the same design, development, operation and maintenance mistakes and keep getting the same results. Recent studies (Glance and Baudoin,2014) of hydrometeorological projects reveals lessons are not learned. In fact lessons are not readily learned nor applied by many of the players responsible for and investing in building capacity of National Hydrological and Meteorological Services required to support key sectors and vulnerable communities. A “Lessons Learned” conference is planned in 2015 to address the question why the international community is not learning from history and what must be done to change effective practices. In the U.S., hydrometeorological disasters such as Katrina and Sandy have had a significant impact on the economy and building resilience to future high impact events.
How does the U.S. and its partners learn from disaster preparedness, response and recovery and are there more effective approaches and practices that will contribute to lesson learning internationally? Are there international approaches from which the US can learn ? A panel will discuss the Lessons learning processes in the US, how it can be improved and how the US could/should work in the Global theater of building resilience to the new normal of extreme and high-impact events.
7:30 AM-8:15 AM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
Presidential Town Hall Meeting: President Obama's Climate Action Plan, Climate Impacts and EPA Action
Location: 127ABC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
7:30 AM
Presidential Town Hall Meeting: President Obama's Climate Action Plan, Climate Impacts and EPA Action
8:30 AM-9:00 AM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
Session
1
Welcome and Introductions
Location: 129B (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Chair:
Matthew D. Ramey, UCAR
8:30 AM
Welcome and Introductions - Matt Ramey
8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
Session
1
9:15 AM
1.4
Cyclone Global Navigation Satellite System (CYGNSS): All Weather Observations of Surface Winds in Tropical Cyclones and Hurricanes
Derek J. Posselt, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI; and C. S. Ruf, A. Ridley, V. Zavorotny, S. Gleason, A. O'Brien, M. P. Clarizia, S. J. Katzberg, J. T. Johnson, J. L. Garrison,
R. Atlas, and S. J. Majumdar
Joint Session
1
Applications of Lidar in the Energy Sector
Location: 211A West Building (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Cochairs:
Sara C. Tucker, Ball Aerospace & Technologies Corp.;
Rebecca M. Pauly, University of Wyoming
8:45 AM
J1.2
Evaluation of the Six-Beam Lidar Scanning Strategy at the Boulder Atmospheric Observatory
Jennifer F. Newman, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and T. A. Bonin, P. M. Klein, S. Wharton,
P. B. Chilson, A. Muschinski, A. Sathe, L. M. Root, and S. Tichkule
9:15 AM
J1.4
Lidar Uncertainty Measurement Experiment (LUMEX) – An Overview
Aditya Choukulkar, CU Boulder/NOAA/ESRL/CSD, Boulder, CO; and W. A. Brewer, R. M. Banta,
R. M. Hardesty, Y. L. Pichugina, C. J. Senff,
S. P. Sandberg, A. M. Weickmann,
G. Antoszewski,
B. J. Carroll, R. Delgado, J. K. Lundquist, M. E. Rhodes, B. Kosovic, A. Muschinski, K. S. Barr, and D. Wolfe
9:30 AM
J1.5
Dual Doppler Lidar Wind Profiling in the Lidar Uncertainty Measurement Experiment (LUMEX)
Brian J. Carroll, JCET/Univ. of Maryland Baltimore County, Baltimore, MD; and
A. Choukulkar, R. Delgado,
R. M. Hardesty,
S. P. Sandberg,
G. Antoszewski, W. A. Brewer, J. K. Lundquist, and A. Muschinski
9:45 AM
J1.6
Lidar Uncertainty Measurement Experiment (LUMEX) – Profiling lidar Intercomparisons
Julie K. Lundquist, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and M. E. Rhodes, J. C. Y. Lee, P. T. Quelet, R. Robey, C. St. Martin, K. Tay, B. Vanderwende, R. Worsnop, B. Kosovic,
A. Choukulkar, W. A. Brewer, R. M. Banta,
R. M. Hardesty, Y. L. Pichugina, C. J. Senff,
S. P. Sandberg, A. M. Weickmann,
G. Antoszewski,
B. J. Carroll, R. Delgado, A. Muschinski, and D. E. Wolfe
Joint Session
2
MJO Prediction and Tropical Cyclones
Location: 224B (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Cochairs:
John Bosse, Schneider Electric;
Matthew Janiga, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS
Session
2
Every day, public officials, business leaders and private citizens are making decisions that depend on understanding how climate will change over the course of the next 1, 10, to 100 years. To meet the rising demand for information that these decisions require, a suite of climate service information providers has emerged. The climate services enterprise in the United States includes entities from public, private, academic and non-governmental organizations. As the climate service enterprise grows with the demand for information, it is increasingly important that the public and private sector in particular work as partners if nation is fulfill the vision of climate information for every need, time and place.
This session will explore the climate service value chain and the relationship between the public and private sectors in optimizing the development and delivery of climate services. The session will focus on understanding what decision makers need, and how climate service providers across sectors supply this information. How is information generated by the public and private sectors, and then delivered to the decision maker? Are there best practices for the partnership between the public and private sectors that the AMS community should be aware of? The Climate Services Committee would also expects that this session will explore how the AMS Community can work to ensure continuing support for the basic infrastructure on which climate services rely, and inform the dialog between the public and private climate service sectors as it has successfully done for the weather sector.
Session
6
9:30 AM
6.5
Signature of a Pacific Hurricane in the Composition of the Upper Troposphere over Socorro, New Mexico
Ken Minschwaner, New Mexico Tech, Socorro, NM; and G. L. Manney, I. Petropavlovskikh, A. M. Thompson, L. A. Torres, B. Johnson, Z. D. Lawrence, and B. Sutherland
Session
6
Session explores the history, current, and future conceptions of the “integrated team” underpinning IWTs, and welcomes talks exploring the value and lessons learned from IWTs, questions about how they should be organized and run, and how to continue momentum after an IWT. Presentations for work that evaluates the outcomes of a program or policy.
9:15 AM
6.4
Session
7
The North American Monsoon (NAM) defines the summer season hydroclimatology of the southwestern United States and northwestern Mexico with important interactions between oceanic, atmospheric, land surface and ecological processes. This session invites contributions on recent advances in understanding the NAM, including its predictability, physical processes, and societal implications. Of particular interest are studies using field datasets, such as those from the North American Monsoon Experiment (NAME) and subsequent activities, and numerical modeling efforts stemming from those activities. We welcome studies focused across a range of time scales from the diurnal cycle up to interannual predictions under climate change scenarios.
Session
7B
This session is dedicated to Dr. Peter J. Lamb. Because Dr. Lamb's interests encompassed a wide scope of precipitation processes studies from around the globe, research concerned with precipitation variability from any geographical region or location are welcome. Targeted presentations can be observational, modeling, or a combination of either related to precipitation processes, at time scales spanning the continuum of weather to climate.
Session
8
Lightning Climatology
Location: 225AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Chair:
Amitabh Nag, Vaisala Inc.
Session
8
9:15 AM
8.4
Session
8
Sudden stratospheric warmings
Location: 212A West Building (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Chair:
Peter Hitchcock, University of Cambridge
8:45 AM
8.2
The predictability of the Stratospheric Sudden Warming of January 2013 in various NWP systems
Om Tripathi, University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom; and A. J. Charlton, M. P. Baldwin,
S. D. Eckermann, D. Jackson, Y. Kuroda, C. A. Reynolds, G. Roff, S. W. Son, and T. Stockdate
Joint Session
12
Joint Session with the 29th Conference on Hydrology
8:30 AM
J12.1
Current Status and Future Outlook for NOAA/NESDIS Operational Precipitation Products
Ralph R. Ferraro, NOAA/NESDIS/STAR, College Park, MD; and L. Zhao, S. Q. Kidder, C. R. Kondragunta, R. J. Kuligowski, H. Meng, P. C. Meyers, B. R. Nelson, N. Y. Wang, and X. Zhan
Paper J12.5 has moved. New paper number is J13.1A
9:00 AM-9:30 AM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
9:00 AM-10:00 AM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
Session
2
ASLI is pleased to bring Dr Heidorn and Ruth Kneale to present on the topic of librarian competencies and the roles our professional organizations play in our development. With challenging budgets, job redefinition, and the need for ongoing skill and knowledge creation, how do these groups support us? How might they evolve to further meet our educational needs? We will explore these questions, aware of our relationships to some scientific societies.
9:00 AM
Professional Organizations: Bringing Us Forward (Keynote) - Bryan Heidorn
9:15 AM
Professional Organizations: Bringing Us Forward (Keynote) - Ruth Kneale
9:00 AM-11:00 AM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
9:30 AM-10:00 AM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
Session
8
9:30 AM
8.1
Scientific Aspects of Forecasting Ionospheric Space Weather
A. J. Mannucci, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and O. Verkhoglyadova, X. Meng, B. T. Tsurutani, X. Pi, E. M. Lynch, S. Sharma, A. Ridley, W. B. Manchester, C. Wang, and G. Rosen
10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
Coffee Break
Location: Hall 5 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Meet the President
Location: 126A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
10:30 AM-11:15 AM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
Session
2
Fiscal/Accounting
Location: 128AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
10:30 AM-11:45 AM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
Session
3
Growing ASLI to Deliver the Vision
Location: 129B (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Chair:
Christine Sherratt, MIT Libraries, Massachusetts Institute of Technology
10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
Panel Discussion
1
Views and Perspectives on Earth's Unique Climate in Our Solar System
Location: 228AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Moderator:
J. Marshall Shepherd, Univ. of Georgia
Panelists:
John Balbus, National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences;
Rear Admiral David W. Titley, Center for Solutions to Weather and Climate Risk/Penn State Univ.;
Ghassem R. Asrar, Joint Global Change Research Institute/PNNL;
Phil Christensen, Arizona State University;
Giulio Boccaletti, The Nature Conservancy
Cochairs:
Stephen Ambrose, NASA/GSFC;
Karen Andersen, NCAR
11:30 AM
David Titley, Ph.D, Rear Admiral (ret.) USN
Session
2
10:45 AM
2.2
Revisiting Kalnay's “Rules for Physics Interoperability” 25 Years Later
James D. Doyle, NRL, Monterey, CA; and
M. Iredell, P. Tripp, J. Dudhia, T. Henderson, J. Michalakes, J. A. Ridout, J. Rosinski, S. Rugg, R. Adams Selin, T. R. Whitcomb, K. Lutz, and D. McCarren
Session
2
Innovative Sensors and Methods
Location: 232A-C (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Cochairs:
George Komar, NASA/ESTO;
Robert Bauer, GSFC
11:00 AM
2.3
Airborne Demonstration of High-frequency Airborne Microwave and Millimeter-wave Radiometer (HAMMR) to Improve Spatial Resolution of Wet-Tropospheric Path Delay Corrections for Coastal and Inland Water Altimetry
Steven C. Reising, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and P. Kangaslahti, A. B. Tanner, S. T. Brown, S. Padmanabhan, X. Bosch-Lluis, V. Hadel, T. Johnson, O. Montes, C. Parashare, B. Khayatian, D. E. Dawson, T. C. Gaier, and B. Razavi
11:30 AM
2.5
Fusion of Hurricane Models and Observations: Developing the Technology to Improve the Forecasts
Svetla Hristova-Veleva, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and M. Boothe, S. G. Gopalakrishnan, Z. Haddad, B. Knosp, B. Lambrigtsen, P. P. Li, M. Montgomery, N. Niamsuwan, T. P. Shen, V. Tallapragada, S. Tanelli, and F. J. Turk
Panel Discussion
2
This panel will build off the presentations from the first session and continue to explore the relationship between the public and private sectors in optimizing the development and delivery of climate services. This panel will focus on: identifying lessons learned that can be applied to other locales and/or sectors; exploring best practices for the partnership between the public and private sectors; and the role of the broader AMS community in fostering these relationships for climate services as it has successfully done for the weather sector.
Session
2
Paper 2.3 has been moved. New poster number is 927.
Joint Panel Discussion
3
Advancing the Space Weather Enterprise: An Interactive Discussion
Location: 227A-C (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Moderators:
Matthew J. Parker, Savannah River National Laboratory;
Genene Fisher, NOAA/NWS
Panelists:
Geoff Crowley, Atmospheric & Space Technology Research Associates;
Robert P. McCoy, Univ. of Alaska;
Thomas E. Berger, NOAA/NWS;
Jeffrey Newmark, NASA
Joint Session
3
Applications of Lidar in the Energy Sector - II
Location: 211A West Building (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Cochairs:
Shane D. Mayor, California State Univ.;
Brian J. Carroll, JCET/Univ. of Maryland Baltimore County
11:30 AM
J3.5
Joint Session
4
10:30 AM
J4.1
An improved model for mineral dust emission (Invited Presentation)
Jasper F. Kok, University of California, Los Angeles, CA; and N. M. Mahowald, G. Fratini, J. Gillies, M. Ishizuka, J. Leys, M. Mikami, S. U. Park, M. S. Park, R. S. Van Pelt, and T. Zobeck
Session
4
11:45 AM
4.6
Themed Joint Session
4
11:15 AM
TJ4.4
The Role of Cooling Centers in Climate Adaptation: Observations from the Phoenix Heat Relief Network Evaluation Project
David M. Hondula, Arizona State University, Phoenix, AZ; and A. Asburry,
D. Bentz, V. Berisha, N. Boryczka, J. Eneboe, K. Goodin, E. W. Johnston,
E. Kuras, S. Lewis, M. Luc, M. McCullough, A. Mohamed, M. C. Roach, B. Salas, K. Starr, and
J. Uebelherr
Joint Session
4
Extratropical Interactions with the MJO
Location: 224B (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Cochairs:
Carl J. Schreck III, North Carolina State University;
Matthew Janiga, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS
Session
5
Case Studies: Part 1
Location: 130 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Cochairs:
Michael J. DeFlorio, SIO/Univ. Of California;
Andre J. van der Westhuysen, NOAA/NWS/NCEP
10:45 AM
5.2
Session
5
11:30 AM
5.4
Session
6
A continuation of Innovations in University Instruction - Synoptic Meteorology I
Session
7
11:15 AM
7.4
Downward ozone transport associated with mesoscale convective storms in the central Amazon rainforest
Jose D. Fuentes, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA; and M. Chamecki, T. Gerken,
X. M. Hu, G. G. Katul, A. O. Manzi, R. M. Nascimento dos Santos, P. Stoy, J. Tóta, A. M. Trowbridge, C. von Randow, C. Schumacher, and
L. Machado
11:30 AM
7.5
Investigation of Low Ozone in the Tropical Tropopause Layer (TTL) in the Western Tropical Pacific
Alexander David Haugstad, NOAA, Boulder, CO; and E. J. Hintsa, J. W. Elkins, J. D. Nance, F. L. Moore, G. S. Dutton, B. D. Hall, A. McClure-Begley, L. Pan, C. R. Homeyer, A. J. Weinheimer, S. Honomichl, T. L. Campos, B. C. Daube, J. V. Pittman, and S. C. Wofsy
Session
7B
Responses to Natural Hazards
Location: 226AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Chair:
Kathleen Sherman-Morris, Mississippi State Univ.
Studies examining responses to severe weather, from behavioral (sheltering, evacuating) to cognitive or affective (anxiety, excitement). Documentation for recent events is particularly encouraged. Presentations for foundational research on this topic.
Session
8A
11:15 AM
8A.4
The Pacific Decadal Oscillation, Revisited
Matthew Newman, University of Colorado/CIRES and NOAA/ESRL/Physical Sciences Division, Boulder, CO; and M. Alexander, T. Ault, K. M. Cobb, C. Deser, E. Di Lorenzo, N. J. Mantua, A. J. Miller,
S. Minobe,
H. Nakamura, N. Schneider, and D. J. Vimont
Session
9
Decision Support Tools - Part I
Location: 129A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Cochairs:
Benjamin R. J. Schwedler, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/AWC & CIRA;
Le Jiang, I.M. Systems Group, Inc.
Session
9
10:45 AM
9.2
11:15 AM
9.4
A WRF-Chem analysis of flash rates, lightning-NOx production and subsequent trace gas chemistry of the 29-30 May 2012 convective event in Oklahoma during DC3
Kristin A. Cummings, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and
K. Pickering, M. C. Barth, M. M. Bela, Y. Li, D. Allen, E. C. Bruning, D. R. MacGorman, S. Rutledge, B. Basarab,
B. R. Fuchs, A. J. Weinheimer, I. B. Pollack, T. B. Ryerson, H. Huntrieser, and
M. I. Biggerstaff
Session
9
Services Update (invited)
Location: 132AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Facilitator:
William Roberts, OAR
Speakers:
Louis W. Uccellini, Director, NOAA/NWS;
Jonathan White, US Navy;
Jack A. Kaye, NASA, Science Mission Directorate
10:30 AM
Director NWS - Louis Uccellini
10:45 AM
U.S. Navy - Jonathan White
11:00 AM
NASA Earth Science - Jack Kaye
Session
9
11:45 AM
9.6
Future changes in Major Stratospheric Warmings in CCMI models
B. Ayarzagüena, Freie Universitaet Berlin, Berlin, Germany; and U. Langematz, L. M. Polvani, J. Abalichin, H. Akiyoshi, A. Klekociuk, M. Michou, O. Morgenstern, L. D. Oman, and K. Shibata
Joint Session
13
Joint Session with the 29th Conference on Hydrology
Paper J13.1 has moved. New paper number is J12.5A
Joint Session
14
Algorithm Development I
Location: 230 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Cochairs:
Ivan A. Csiszar, NOAA/NESDIS;
Fuzhong Weng, NOAA/NESDIS/STAR
10:45 AM
J14.2
Validation of the S-NPP NOAA-Unique CrIS/ATMS Processing System (NUCAPS) Operational EDR Products
Nicholas R. Nalli, NOAA/NESDIS, College Park, MD; and
A. Gambacorta, Q. Liu, C. D. Barnet, T. Reale, C. Tan, F. Iturbide-Sanchez, B. Sun, L. Borg, E. Joseph, V. Morris,
A. K. Mollner, T. King, W. Wolf, J. W. Smith, F. Tilley, and D. E. Wolfe
11:00 AM
J14.3
Suomi-NPP Cross-Track Infrared Sounder (CrIS): Radiometric Calibration and Validation
David C. Tobin, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and H. Revercomb,
R. Knuteson, J. Taylor, L. Borg, D. H. DeSlover, G. Martin, A. Merrelli, and T. Greenwald
11:15 AM-11:45 AM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
11:45 AM-12:00 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
Panel Discussion
1
Panel Discussion
Location: 128AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
11:45 AM
PD1.1
Panel discussion involving the forum participants. This is the time for the audience to bring up specific matters for discussion.
12:00 PM-1:15 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
Town Hall Meeting: Core Science Talk – Multi-hazard Impact Science with an Emphasis on Natural Hazards
Location: 131C (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
The last few years has seen an increasing focus by the Met Office in the UK to provide Impact-based weather warnings in response to the public's, disaster management authorities' and Governments' needs to have a common, meaningful and understandable means of weather hazard communication. The UK's National Severe Weather Warning Service went impact-based in 2011 and a series of successfully communicated high impact flooding and wind storms events since then have provided ample evidence of the common language now being spoken between the scientists, planners and responders. The biggest challenge now is to further develop the underpinning science of weather hazard impact by integrating the mature science of weather forecasting with the developing science of hazard vulnerability and exposure. This necessarily requires an increasing dependency on other agencies and new databases, the development of interoperable science and visualisation frameworks and new and innovative means of monitoring and reporting hazard impact. The Natural Hazard Partnership, chaired by the Met Office, is leading the way in coordinating work in the UK to broaden the science to services pipeline into a range of multi-hazard impact assessments. This town hall talk looks to take us on the journey that is multi-hazard impact science into relevant and understandable assessments and warnings to the public, disaster management authorities and UK Governments.
The second half of the town hall will feature an update and discussion of the Bárðarbunga volcanic activity and its impacts with updates from Sara Barsotti from the IMO and others.
12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
Eugenia Kalnay Symposium Luncheon
Location: 229B (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Speaker:
Jagadish Shukla, George Mason Univ./COLA
Women in the Atmospheric Sciences Luncheon
Location: 213AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Weather-Ready Nation Student Luncheon
Location: 221A-C (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
12:15 PM-1:15 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
Town Hall Meeting: DOE Data strategy for the atmospheric and climate sciences
Location: 124A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Currently available systems to disseminate observations and model-generated data to atmospheric and climate scientists are varied, and funding agencies are exploring ways to harmonize data inventories into a form where researchers can access information in a seamless and efficient manner. We will summarize the DOE pathway towards unification of DOE data inventories, including investments to provide server side analysis, multi-dimensional visualization, federated data nodes, and options to overcome the growing data storage challenge. Within this Town Hall we hope to facilitate a forum whereby attendees can help shape our future plans.
Town Hall Meeting: Future Directions for Employment for Newly Graduated Meteorologists
Location: 121BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Speaker:
Bruce Telfeyan, Air Force Weather Agency
The AMS Board on Higher Education, Board for Operational Government Meteorologists, and Weather Analysis and Forecast Committee invite you to participate in a panel discussion regarding employment opportunities and challenges for newly graduated meteorologists. Panelists from government and private sectors will be on hand to provide insight on where job opportunities are opening up and what future indicators are suggesting for the next several years. Short talks will be given by each panelist, along with a Q&A session at the end. Areas addressed will include:
•Additional skills that make a new B.S. holder more competitive in the job market
•Tips on finding job opportunities
•Additional strategies to enhance your potential for employment
•Benefits of additional education
All members of the AMS community, including undergraduate and graduate students, post docs, and early career professionals are encouraged to attend this one hour town hall meeting.
1:30 PM
Future Directions For Employment for Newly Graduated Meteorologists - Peter Telfeyan
Town Hall Meeting: NASA ICESat-2 Mission Town Hall
Location: 130 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
The Ice, Cloud, and land Elevation Satellite-2 (ICESat-2) is the new space-based altimeter mission being developed for a target launch in 2017. ICESat-2 will continue important observations of ice-sheet elevation change, sea ice freeboard, and vegetation canopy height begun by the first ICESat mission, which operated from 2003 to 2009. This town hall discusses the primary ICESat-2 data products and highlights the different initiatives and goals of the ICESat-2 Applications program. Our goal is to elicit questions to foster the development of currently underrepresented thematic areas that will benefit from ICESat-2 measurements.
12:15 PM
NASA ICESat-2 Mission Applications - Sabrina Delgado Arias
12:30 PM
Overview and Updates - Sabrina Delgado Arias
Town Hall Meeting: NASA’s Earth Science Flight Program Investments in and Planning for the Next-Generation Earth Observatories – An Update
Location: 232A-C (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
NASA has eleven Earth science missions currently in formulation and development, with eight scheduled to launch before the end of 2018. These include CATS (NET December 2014), SMAP (January 2015), SAGE III (2016), CYGNSS (2016), TEMPO (2017), GRACE FO (2017), ICESat-2 (2017), and ECOSTRESS (2018). These will join the fleet of seventeen operating NASA Earth science research satellites, including the recently launched Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM) mission, OCO-2, and ISS-Rapidscat, as well as other US and international weather, climate, and research satellites. NASA also has the responsibility for defining and implementing, in coordination with the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), the nation’s Sustainable Land Imaging (SLI) program to follow the currently flying Landsat 7 and Landsat 8 missions. Additionally, NASA has been directed to continue the fundamental climate measurements of solar irradiance, Earth radiation budget, and Ozone profiling to extend these data records into the future. How will NASA meet these demanding measurement objectives? NASA’s Earth Science Division is working now, in collaboration with the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), the USGS, DOE, international partners, and with the industrial community on science studies, technology investments, and mission definition studies to prepare the next generation of satellites and observations for launch in 2019 and beyond. At this Town Hall meeting we will present the progress and plans for these next generation missions, including mission concepts from the 2007 NRC Decadal Survey (http://science.nasa.gov/earth-science/decadal-surveys/) and from the 2010 NASA Climate Plan (http://science.nasa.gov/earth-science/). We will identify opportunities for greater interaction with the NASA missions already in formulation and development, as well as opportunities for future collaboration as we move forward with this next generation of missions and measurements.
Town Hall Meeting: NASA’s Earth Science Flight Program Investments in and Planning for the Next-Generation Earth Observatories – An Update
Location: 232A-C (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
NASA has eleven Earth science missions currently in formulation and development, with eight scheduled to launch before the end of 2018. These include CATS (NET December 2014), SMAP (January 2015), SAGE III (2016), CYGNSS (2016), TEMPO (2017), GRACE FO (2017), ICESat-2 (2017), and ECOSTRESS (2018). These will join the fleet of seventeen operating NASA Earth science research satellites, including the recently launched Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM) mission, OCO-2, and ISS-Rapidscat, as well as other US and international weather, climate, and research satellites. NASA also has the responsibility for defining and implementing, in coordination with the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), the nation’s Sustainable Land Imaging (SLI) program to follow the currently flying Landsat 7 and Landsat 8 missions. Additionally, NASA has been directed to continue the fundamental climate measurements of solar irradiance, Earth radiation budget, and Ozone profiling to extend these data records into the future. How will NASA meet these demanding measurement objectives? NASA’s Earth Science Division is working now, in collaboration with the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), the USGS, DOE, international partners, and with the industrial community on science studies, technology investments, and mission definition studies to prepare the next generation of satellites and observations for launch in 2019 and beyond. At this Town Hall meeting we will present the progress and plans for these next generation missions, including mission concepts from the 2007 NRC Decadal Survey (http://science.nasa.gov/earth-science/decadal-surveys/) and from the 2010 NASA Climate Plan (http://science.nasa.gov/earth-science/). We will identify opportunities for greater interaction with the NASA missions already in formulation and development, as well as opportunities for future collaboration as we move forward with this next generation of missions and measurements.
Town Hall Meeting: NOAA’s NCDC Responds to the Deepening Southwestern Drought with Climate Data, Products, and Services
Location: 125AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Speaker:
Kevin Werner, NOAA
In response to the deepening drought sweeping the southwestern US in 2014 and the perennial stress on the region’s water resources, NOAA’s National Climatic Data Center in Asheville, NC offers a suite of climate data, products, and services. End users requiring these products and services range from State Climatologists to regional and local water providers and agricultural extension agents. The drought products offered include the weekly US Drought Monitor Report, authorship in the Monthly North American Drought Monitor, and essential measurement variables including Soil moisture, Palmer Drought Indices (PDSI) the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) and the TD9658 Palmer Drought. NCDC also provides in-situ and satellite datasets and analysis of historical and current drought conditions. All of the climate data, products, and services offered by NCDC for drought response, focused on the southwestern US, will be presented and discussed. In addition, NCDC and NOAA continually seek to improve their support to decision makers. To that end, input will be solicited via discussion on emerging needs from decision makers and how those needs may be met through the nation’s climate archives and science.
Town Hall Meeting: Post-THORPEX Legacy Projects: High-Impact Weather (HIWeather) and a new proposed US initiative
Location: 126BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Speaker:
Sharanya J. Majumdar, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS
This Town Hall comprises two interconnected projects: the WMO/WWRP High-Impact Weather Project (HIWeather), and a new US initiative to develop a plan that integrates US interests in HIWeather with two other WMO/WWRP projects: the Polar Prediction and Subseasonal-to-Seasonal Prediction projects. This Town Hall will provide an opportunity to find out more about the activities that are planned and to question those involved about how to get involved.
Despite dramatic improvements in forecast accuracy in the last decade, the global cost of high impact weather continues to grow at an alarming rate. HIWeather will focus global research on those aspects of the weather enterprise, both science- and service-related, that currently inhibit effective responses to forecasts and warnings, especially with regard to the impacts of urban flooding, wildfires, local extreme winds, disruptive winter weather and extreme heat/air pollution in megacities. Working together on these problems will both accelerate progress and enable less developed nations to benefit.
In parallel, efforts have been underway since mid-2014 to engage the US community in the three aforementioned WMO/WWRP projects, and for participants to identify critical gaps, common scientific challenges and priorities. The next stage in the US is to develop a coordinated community project plan. In addition to introducing the structure for a US project plan, Town Hall participants are encouraged to provide feedback on the path forward, and contributions from the community to the drafting of the US project plan are encouraged.
Town Hall Meeting: “Hotspot Project”: What can we learn and what's next?
Location: 224A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Speaker:
Hisashi Nakamura, Univ. of Tokyo
Midlatitude air-sea interaction, including the climatic impacts of strong western boundary currents and associated oceanic fronts, is drawing increasing attention from climate science community. These impacts have been studied extensively during a 5-year Japanese "Hotspot Project" launched in 2010. An overview and the main outcomes of this project are introduced in this Town Hall Meeting. We will discuss how the community can utilize the unique data obtained by the intensive observation campaigns around the Kuroshio Extension, and how we can coordinate international collaborations in future. Grab your lunch and join us for a lively discussion on the “hotspots of our climate system”.
12:45 PM-1:05 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
Daily Weather Briefings
Location: 132AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
1:00 PM-1:30 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
ASLI Choice Book Awards
Location: 129B (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
This year the awards for the best books published in 2014 will be presented in the ASLI Conference Room. Please join us to honor the authors and publishers!
1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
Joint Panel Discussion
1
1:30 PM
Introduction - Tom Champoux
Session
1
1:45 PM
1.2
Paper 1.4 has been moved. New poster number is 928
Panel Discussion
1
Presentations and Panel Discussion: Altmetrics
Location: 129B (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Moderator:
Matthew D. Ramey, UCAR
Panelists:
Jinny Nathans, American Meteorological Society;
Jason Dewland, University of Arizona Libraries;
Fiona Murphy, Wiley;
Matthew S. Mayernik, NCAR
This panel will engage the ASLI community in a discussion of alternative metrics (Altmetrics): what they measure, what librarians need to know, and how they are being used.
1:30 PM
Altmetrics - Jinny Nathans
1:45 PM
Altmetrics - Matthew Ramey
2:00 PM
Altmetrics - Matthew Mayernik
2:15 PM
Altmetrics - Jason Dewland
Lecture
2
Horton Lecture
Location: 127ABC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Chair:
Michael B. Ek, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC
1:30 PM
L2.1
Session
3
Data Assimilation
Location: 229A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Chair:
Kayo Ide, University of Maryland
Panel Discussion
3
Streaming Media: The Choice Between "Movies" or Weather Products
Location: 222A-C (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Moderators:
David G. Lubar, Aerospace Corporation, GOES-R Program Office;
Carol Anne Clayson, WHOI
Panelists:
Mark Paese, NOAA/NESDIS;
Ivan Navarro, NWS;
Jonathan Porter, AccuWeather;
Mark Mulholland, NOAA/NESDIS
Federal spectrum sharing, both currently underway and proposed, and how it will affect meteorological users. Moving data from space to users may be impacted by other commercial interests. Understand how it may affect you, how you can speak up about proposed plans and what the next steps are in protecting meteorological radio frequency spectrum and the products it supports.
1:30 PM
Introduction - Carol Anne Clayson
1:45 PM
Future Spectrum Sharing - Mark Mulholland
2:00 PM
DAA Perspective - Mark Paese
2:15 PM
NWS Radiosondes - Ivan Navarro
2:30 PM
Accuweather Spectrum Concerns - Jonathan Porter
Joint Session
5
1:45 PM
J5.2
Joint Session
5
Core Science Lecture
Location: 124A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Cochairs:
Sonia M. Kreidenweis, Colorado State University;
Tom Jobson, Washington State Univeristy;
Jiwen Fan, PNNL
Session
6
Case Studies: Part 2
Location: 130 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Cochairs:
Michael J. DeFlorio, SIO/Univ. Of California;
Andre J. van der Westhuysen, NOAA/NWS/NCEP
Session
6
2:00 PM
6.2
Methodologies for Trace Chemical Sampling and Analysis of Snow, Water and Soil in Support of the WWMPP: Summary and Lessons Learned
Jeffrey S. Tilley, DRI and Open Science Associates, LLC., Reno, NV; and A. Huggins, L. Layman, M. Fearon, R. David, F. McDonough, and K. Texeira
2:15 PM
6.3
Trace Chemical Analyses of Snow during the WWMPP: Results and Implications for the Randomized Statistical Experiment
Jeffrey S. Tilley, DRI and Open Science Associates, LLC., Reno, NV; and A. Huggins, L. Layman, I. McCubbin, J. Dean, J. Juchtzer, K. Texeira, and F. McDonough
Session
8
2:00 PM
8.3
The National Weather Service's Emerging Technology Integrated Work Team and Its Role in Information Delivery and Communication via Social Media
Corey Pieper, NOAA/NWS, Fort Worth, TX; and M. Hudson,
D. R. Deroche, M. Solum, B. Ward, W. Levine,
M. Gerber, D. J. Miller,
P. K. Pickard, G. Limon, M. Bailey, S. Shea, J. Liang, and S. Potter
Session
8A
1:30 PM
This Session Has Been Canceled
1:45 PM
8A.1 has been moved to Poster number 457.
2:15 PM
Paper 8A.3 has been moved. New paper number is 7A.6A.
Session
8B
This session will examine the communication of weather information across diverse publics, through and across multiple platforms, especially social and digital mobile media, and the challenges created by multiple, competing sources of weather information. Presentations for work that transitions research to operations.
1:30 PM
8B.1
Session
10
Decision Support Tools - Part II
Location: 129A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Cochairs:
Matt Fronzak, The MITRE Corporation;
Benjamin R. J. Schwedler, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/AWC & CIRA
1:30 PM
10.1
Recent Improvements in Rapid Refresh and High-Resolution Rapid Refresh Forecasts of Low Ceilings
Jaymes S. Kenyon, NOAA, Boulder, CO; and J. B. Olson, J. M. Brown, C. R. Alexander, S. Benjamin,
D. C. Dowell, G. Grell, M. Hu, E. P. James, T. G. Smirnova, and S. S. Weygandt
2:00 PM
Paper 10.3 has moved. New paper number is 769A.
Session
10
Community Discussion last 45 min
Session
10
Field Experiments I
Location: 131AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Chair:
Bill Proenza, NOAA/NWS
Session
10
Lightning in Tropical Cyclones
Location: 225AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Chair:
Natalia N. Solorzano, DigiPen Institute of Technology
Session
10
RADAR - Radar Meteorology Science & Applications
Location: 132AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Cochairs:
Mark B. Yeary, University of Oklahoma;
Michael J. Istok, NOAA/NWS;
Kurt D. Hondl, NOAA/NSSL;
Robert E. Saffle, Noblis, Inc.
Joint Session
15
2:00 PM
J15.3
Monitoring and Predicting the Intensity of Saharan Air Layer (SAL) Events Over the Caribbean Using Remote Sensing and a Dust Model Ensemble
Arunas P. Kuciauskas, NRL, Monterey, CA; and
P. Lynch, E. J. Hyer, J. R. Campbell, L. Rosa, J. Prospero, S. D. Miller, J. E. Solbrig, and M. L. Surratt
Joint Session
16
Algorithm Development II
Location: 230 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Cochairs:
Kenneth Carey, Earth Resources Technology (ERT), Inc.;
Vince Grano, JPSS Program Office
2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Hall 4 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Poster Session
1
893
Ensembles, Predictability, Assimilation and Reanalysis on Mars
Steven J. Greybush, Penn State Univ., University Park, PA; and
R. N. Hoffman, R. J. Wilson,
Y. Zhao, M. J. Hoffman, K. Ide, T. Miyoshi, and
E. Kalnay
Poster Session
2
Poster 791 has been moved. New paper number is J4.2A.
Poster 794 has moved. New paper number is J4.6A.
795
Single Particle Mass Spectrometry of Soil and Dust Particles—Linking their Chemical Composition to Ice-Nucleation Activity
Berko Sierau, ETH, Zurich, Switzerland; and Y. Boose, F. Mahrt, J. D. Haskins, M. I. García, I. Steinke, C. Hoose, Z. A. Kanji, S. Nickovic,
O. Möhler, S. Rodríguez, and U. Lohmann
805
807
Poster 808 has been moved. New paper number is 11.3A.
Poster 811 has moved. New paper number is 9.2A.
Poster 812 has been moved. New paper number is 5.1A.
Poster Session
2
poster session for Atmospheric Convection and TropoChem sessions
Poster 750 has been moved. New paper number is 8.1A.
751
Concentrations and deposition of reactive nitrogen in Grand Teton National Park
Katherine B. Benedict, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and A. P. Sullivan, Y. Li, A. J. Prenni, X. Chen,
E. J. T. Levin, D. Day, S. M. Kreidenweis,
B. A. Schichtel,
W. C. Malm, and J. L. Collett Jr.
759
Joint Poster Session
2
Joint Satellite Program Poster Session II
Organizer:
Kenneth Carey, Earth Resources Technology (ERT), Inc.
Cochairs:
Derek J. Posselt, University of Michigan;
Christopher S. Velden, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin;
George P. Kablick III, University of Maryland, College Par;
Jim G. Yoe, NOAA/NESDIS;
Gary McWilliams, JPSS Program Office/Army Research Laboratory
604
Testing, Troubleshooting and Integrating Changes to Joint Polar Satellite Systems (JPSS) Algorithms using Algorithm Development Library (ADL)
Bigyani Das, NOAA/NESDIS/STAR/IMSG, College Park, MD; and W. Wolf, W. Chen, M. Tsidulko, Y. Zhao, V. Mikles, K. Sprietzer, and V. Dharmawardane
605
JPSS-1 xDR Requirements Verification: Pre-Launch to Post-Launch Plans
Murty G. Divakarla, IM Systems Group, Inc., Rockville, MD; and L. Zhou, X. Liu, W. Wolf, E. Gottshall, J. Feeley, T. Atkins, R. S. Steadley, and R. Godin
606
Community Radiative Transfer Model (CRTM) Support To Cloud Radiance Assimilation
Quanhua Liu, NOAA/NESDIS, College Park, MD; and P. van Delst, D. Groff, H. Liu,
E. Liu, M. Chen, A. Collard, S. A. Boukabara,
F. Weng, and J. C. Derber
639
644
Performance and Capabilities of the New Compact Ocean Wind Vector Radiometer System
Shannon Thomas Brown, JPL and California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA; and P. Focardi, A. Kitiyakara, F. Maiwald, O. Montes, S. Padmanabhan, R. Redick, D. Russell, J. Wincentsen, F. Wentz, K. Hilburn, and
T. Meissner
651
A CERES-Consistent Cloud Property Climate Data Record From AVHRR Data
Patrick Minnis, NASA Langley Research Center, Hampton, VA; and B. Kristopher, D. David, K. Seiji,
Q. Z. Trepte, B. Sarah, S. Benjamin, Y. Christopher, K. Konstantin, H. Gang, K. Mandana, P. Rabindra, G. Arun, B. Rajendra, H. Conor, S. Alok, and P. W. Heck
652
Global Top-of-Atmosphere Broadband Shortwave and Longwave Fluxes Derived from AVHRR
Mandana M. Khaiyer, SSAI, Hampton, VA ; and P. Minnis, K. M. Bedka, S. Kato, W. F. Miller, A. K. Shrestha, C. R. Yost, M. L. Nordeen, and B. Scarino
662
676
Routine Validation of the GOES-R Multi-Satellite Processing System Framework
William Straka III, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and W. Wolf, S. Sampson, G. Quinn, R. Garcia, G. Martin, R. Rollins,
M. Fan, and E. Schiffer
Poster Session
2
707
Integrated Cropland and Grassland Flux Tower Observation Sites over Grazinglands for Quantifying Surface-Atmosphere Exchange
Hayden R. Mahan, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and P. Wagle, R. Bajgain, Y. Zhou, J. B. Basara, X. Xiao, J. Duckles, J. Steiner, P. Starks, and B. Northup
710
Using Satellite, NWP, and Atmospheric Refraction Assessments to Enhance Radiative Transfer
Steven T. Fiorino, Air Force Institute of Technology, Wright Patterson AFB, OH; and D. Meier, L. Burchett, M. Via, C. Rice, B. Elmore, and K. Keefer
Poster Session
2
Poster Session - Part II
Cochairs:
Scott Jacobs, NOAA/NWS/NCEP;
Nancy N. Soreide, NOAA/PMEL;
Jennifer Luppens Mahoney, NOAA/ESRL/GSD
Wednesday and Thursday Poster Session for EIPT Conference focusing on topics covered during the last two days of sessions.
502
GISC Washington
Robert Bunge, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and W. Smith Jr., L. Y. Tai, and P. Gillis
504
507
Poster Session
2
Posters related to:
- sudden stratospheric warmings
- stratosphere-troposphere coupling
- middle atmospheric dynamics
- reanalyses / data assimilation
- ozone
742
Sunset–sunrise difference in solar occultation ozone measurements (SAGE II, HALOE, and ACE–FTS) and its relationship to tidal vertical winds
Takatoshi Sakazaki, Kyoto University, Uji, Japan; and M. Shiotani, M. Suzuki, J. Zawodny, D. E. Kinnison, M. J. McHugh, and K. A. Walker
Poster Session
3
768
Pitot Tube Anemometry at the Mount Washington Observatory
Cyrena-Marie Briede, Mount Washington Observatory, North Conway, NH; and M. Carmon, M. Dorfman, P. Gagne, R. Knapp, M. Kyle, K. O'Brien, T. Padham, and R. Pushor
Poster Session
4
Poster 515 will now be presented as paper 9.2A
Poster Session
5
Paper 550 has been moved. New paper number is 10A.3.
Poster Session
817
CASA-DFW Radar Networking and Control Infrastructure as a Research-to-Operations Enabler
Eric J. Lyons, CASA, Amherst, MA; and
D. L. Pepyne, V. Chandrasekar,
H. Chen,
A. Bajaj, B. J. Philips, J. Brotzge, D. Westbrook, and M. Zink
819
822
Best Practices of the Research-To-Operations Process between NOAA's National Severe Storms Laboratory and the National Weather Service
Steven Koch, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and S. Cobb, K. D. Hondl,
M. H. Jain, D. Jorgensen, J. S. Kain,
L. P. Rothfusz, M. J. Istok,
M. B. Miller,
R. S. Schneider,
R. Ice, and N. Edens
Poster Session
716
Air-Sea Aerosol Flux and Sea State Measurements During HiWinGS
John Prytherch, University of Leeds, Leeds, United Kingdom; and S. J. Norris,
I. M. Brooks,
M. J. Amison, B. W. Blomquist, L. Bariteau, S. Brumer, H. Czerkski, C. W. Fairall, J. Hare,
A. Matei, R. W. Pascal, M. J. Yelland, and C. J. Zappa
Poster Session
719
Characterising surface conditions during the Arctic Cloud in Summer Experiment (ACSE)
Dominic J. Salisbury, University of Leeds, Leeds, United Kingdom; and
B. J. Brooks, J. Prytherch,
P. Achtert, J. Sedlar, G. Sotiropoulou, M. Tjernstrom, O. Persson, M. Shupe, and B. I. Moat
Poster 720 has been moved. New paper number is 11.5A.
Poster Session
828
Climate Analytics-as-a-Service (CAaas), Advanced Information Systems, and Services to Accelerate the Climate Sciences
Mark McInerney, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and
J. L. Schnase,
D. Duffy,
G. S. Tamkin,
D. Nadeau,
J. H. Thompson,
S. Strong,
S. Sinno, and D. Lazar
Poster 832 has been moved. New Paper number is 1.2A
Joint Poster Session
Joint between the 19th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction and the Third Symposium on Prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation: Processes, Prediction and Impact
Poster Session
727
HiWinGS Observations: Whitecap Fraction and Sea State
Matthew J. Amison, University of Leeds, Pudsey, England; and L. Bariteau, B. W. Blomquist,
I. M. Brooks,
H. Czerski, C. W. Fairall, J. Hare,
B. J. Huebert, R. A. Jansen,
A. Matei, S. J. Norris, R. W. Pascal, A. Prytherch,
J. Prytherch, J. Talib, M. Yang, and M. J. Yelland
Poster Session
779
783
Expanding the Operational Use of Total Lightning Ahead of GOES-R
Geoffrey T. Stano, ENSCO, Inc./NASA, Huntsville, AL; and L. Wood, T. Garner, R. Nunez, D. Kann, J. Reynolds, N. Rydell, R. Cox, and W. R. Bobb
4:00 PM-4:30 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
Session
4
Core Science Lecture
Location: 228AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Chair:
George Luber, CDC
4:00 PM-4:45 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
4:00 PM-5:00 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
Panel Discussion
1
The State of the Coastal Environment
Location: 130 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Moderator:
Mona Behl, Texas A&M University
Panelists:
Roger M. Samelson, Oregon State Univ.;
Rick A. Luettich, University of North Carolina;
Art Miller, Scripps Institution of Oceanography;
Philipe Tissot, Texas A&M University;
Andre J. van der Westhuysen, NOAA/NWS/NCEP
4:00 PM
Remarks - The State of the Coastal Environment - Mona Behl
ASLI Business Meeting
Location: 129B (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
4:00 PM-5:15 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
Session
2
4:00 PM
Observations of Tropospheric Ozone Enhancement in Fort Collins Using the GSFC TROPOZ DIAL during DISCOVERAQ 2014 - John Sullivan
4:30 PM
2.2A
4:45 PM
2.3
Summary of Micro-Pulse Lidar Data Obtained During NASA's DISCOVER-AQ Field Missions
Timothy Berkoff, NASA, Hampton, VA; and R. M. Hoff, R. Delgado, P. Sawamura, J. S. Compton, D. Orozco, J. Sullivan, R. M. Pauly, R. D. Clark,
R. K. Uribe, J. Vivola, C. Delong, A. Thomas, E. Lawrence, T. Jones, P. L. DeCola, S. Mathur, Y. Zheng, G. Wyant, R. Blucher, R. Piatt, M. Abderrahman, D. K. Martins, H. Halliday, R. Auvil, M. Woodman, R. Connell, M. Hicks, B. B. Demoz, M. Tzortziou, P. De Rosa,
R. A. Ferrare, C. A. Hostetler, and W. Lawrence
5:00 PM
2.4
DIAL and Doppler Lidar Characterization of the Boundary Layer for Air Quality and Greenhouse Gas Emissions Studies
R. Michael Hardesty, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and W. A. Brewer, C. J. Senff, R. J. Alvarez II,
A. O. Langford, R. M. Banta,
A. Choukulkar,
S. P. Sandberg, A. M. Weickmann,
G. Kirgis, and Y. L. Pichugina
5:30 PM
2.6
The HAWC-OAWL
Sara C. Tucker, Ball Aerospace & Technologies Corp., Boulder, CO; and C. Weimer and W. S. Good
Session
4
4:00 PM
4.1
Rapid Refresh: version 2 upgrade at NCEP and work toward version 3 and the North American Rapid Refresh Ensemble (NARRE)
Stephen S. Weygandt, NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and S. Benjamin, T. G. Smirnova, M. Hu, J. B. Olson, H. Lin, C. R. Alexander, G. Manikin, E. P. James, I. Jankov, J. M. Brown, and
D. C. Dowell
5:00 PM
4.5
The Role in Verification in R2O Testing and Evaluation
Tara L. Jensen, NCAR/Research Applications Laboratory, Boulder, CO; and M. P. Mittermaier, T. Fowler, B. G. Brown, J. Halley Gotway, R. Bullock, J. K. Wolff,
M. Harrold,
E. Tollerud, L. B. Nance, and
Y. H. Kuo
5:15 PM
4.6
Joint Panel Discussion
4
Often climate models and data are complex and built for use by climate scientists, but what about the decision makers looking for climate information to make decisions? Creating information from climate data and models involves making the data easy to understand and useful to citizen scientists and non-scientists alike. How can climate experts provide outlooks on climate useful for decisions on policy, infrastructure, resources, and life and safety? Some issues related to providing this information include data/model uncertainty, sampling errors, spatial resolution, model downscaling, visualization, liability, and risk management, to name a few. This panel will discuss plans, strategies, challenges, perspectives, technologies, and the future of climate change information and services for society.
4:00 PM
Stephen Ambrose Introduction
Session
4
Predictability
Location: 229A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Chair:
Jim Carton, University of Maryland, Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Science
5:00 PM
4.5
Stories with Eugenia by Antonio J. Busalacchi
Joint Session
5
4:15 PM
J5.2
The Madden-Julian Oscillation in a Coupled Data Assimilation System
Abhishek Chatterjee, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Anderson, M. W. Moncrieff, N. Collins, G. Danabasoglu, T. J. Hoar, A. R. Karspeck, R. B. Neale, K. D. Raeder, and J. J. Tribbia
Joint Session
6
5:00 PM
J6.5
Themed Joint Session
6
With the potential for more frequent and more intense extreme events in parts of the world as a consequence of climate change, there is increasing focus on science in the context of minimizing risk and vulnerability. This session will showcase the scientific advances, impacts, and lessons learned through the lens of Western drought events. Topics of interest include predictability of US drought on multiple scales, climate change attribution of drought, lessons gleaned from the applied science community, planning and processes for drought, and cascading impacts of drought on both the ecological and urban environments. Papers addressing social and economic impacts are particularly encouraged. Note that papers do not have to directly relate to Western US drought, but can also discuss impacts and response to other extreme events in other parts of the US and the world from which transferable lessons might be shared.
4:15 PM
TJ6.2
CalWater 2—Precipitation, Aerosols, and Pacific Atmospheric Rivers Experiment
F. Martin Ralph, SIO, La Jolla, CA; and J. R. Spackman, K. A. Prather, D. Cayan, P. J. DeMott, M. D. Dettinger, C. W. Fairall, L. R. Leung,
D. Rosenfeld, S. Rutledge, D. Waliser, and A. White
Session
7
Aerosol impacts on cirrus clouds
Location: 223 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Cochairs:
David L. Mitchell, DRI;
Xiaohong Liu, University of Wyoming
5:15 PM
7.6
Intercomparison of Aerosol Indirect Effects Through Cirrus Clouds in Global Aerosol-Climate Models
Kai Zhang, PNNL, Richland, WA; and X. Liu, Y. Wang, D. Neubauer, U. Lohmann, S. Ferrachat, C. Zhou, J. E. Penner, D. Barahona, and X. Shi
Joint Session
7
MJO Prediction and Impacts
Location: 224B (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Cochairs:
Carl J. Schreck III, North Carolina State University;
Matthew Janiga, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS
Session
7
University Education Initiatives II
Location: 125AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Cochairs:
Teresa M. Bals-Elsholz, Valparaiso Univ.;
Alison F.C. Bridger, San Jose State University
A continuation of the University Education Initiatives I session
Session
8
4:30 PM
8.3
Policy relevant science: Using satellite and aircraft observations to improve the CMAQ and CAMx regulatory air quality models
Timothy Canty, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and D. Anderson, S. Carpenter,
D. L. Goldberg, L. Hembeck,
L. N. Montgomery, T. Vinciguerra, X. Liu, R. J. Salawitch, and R. Dickerson
Session
9
The theme of this session is precipitation measurement/estimation techniques, and applications that demonstrate the downstream impacts of improved quantitative precipitation information for hydrologic, land surface, and weather modeling. Presentations in this session will focus on the following subjects:
(1) Advances in precipitation measurement devices and methods;
(2) Techniques for fusing precipitation observations from remote-sensing and in situ platforms, and related datasets;
(3) Existing and emerging high-resolution real-time and retrospective precipitation data sets;
(4) Effects of improving precipitation precision and accuracy on hydrologic predictions, fluxes from land surface models, Numeric Weather Model predictions, climate monitoring, and engineering design;
(5) User requirements for precipitation information and gaps in existing data sets and observing platforms.
Session
9
Moderated panel, where panelists will highlight ongoing research, plans, or implemented strategies for integrating social sciences into operations.
4:30 PM
9.4
Conversations on Consilience: SPC Operations and Social Science
Susan A. Jasko, California Univ. of Pennsylvania, California, PA; and G. W. Carbin, J. Correia Jr.,
R. S. Schneider, W. F. Bunting, K. Pirtle, P. Marsh,
L. Myers, J. L. Peters, and E. M. Leitman
Session
11
Convective Weather
Location: 129A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Cochairs:
John Mecikalski, University of Alabama;
Mike Robinson, AvMet Applications Inc.
Session
11
Field Experiments II
Location: 131AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Chair:
Bjorn H. Lambrigtsen, JPL
Session
11
4:45 PM
11.4
Joint Session
18
Calibration and Validation I
Location: 230 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Cochairs:
Johannes Schmetz, EUMETSAT;
Paul Menzel, NOAA/NESDIS
4:00 PM
J18.1
Validation of Level 2 Temperature and Water Vapor Profiles from JPSS and EUMETSAT Operational Polar Satellites using DOE ARM, SuomiNet, and COSMIC Datasets
Robert Knuteson, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and M. Feltz, J. Roman, J. Gartzke, S. Ackerman, H. Revercomb, D. Tobin, L. Borg, T. August, T. Hultberg, and T. Reale
4:30 PM-5:30 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
Panel Discussion
1
Orographic Precipitation Panel Discussion
Location: 211B West Building (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Moderator:
Sarah A. Tessendorf, NCAR
Panelists:
Bruce A. Boe, Weather Modification, Inc.;
Bart Geerts, Univ. of Wyoming;
Shaun Parkinson, Idaho Power;
Roy M. Rasmussen, NCAR;
Michael J. Manton, Monash University
5:30 PM-6:30 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
Awards Banquet Reception in the Exhibit Hall
Location: Hall 5 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
7:00 PM-8:30 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
7:00 PM-10:00 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
95th AMS Awards Banquet
Location: North Ballroom (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Thursday, 8 January 2015
8:30 AM-9:15 AM: Thursday, 8 January 2015
Session
9
8:30 AM
9.1
Results from the Position of Offshore Wind Energy Resources (POWER) Study
Melinda Marquis, NOAA, Boulder, CO; and J. Olson, R. M. Banta, Y. L. Pichugina, S. Benjamin, E. P. James, J. M. Wilczak, I. V. Djalalova, L. Bianco, J. Carley, and J. W. Cline
8:30 AM-9:30 AM: Thursday, 8 January 2015
Session
4
Vendor Updates
Location: 129B (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
8:30 AM
AMS Books Update - Sarah Jane Shangraw
8:45 AM
Springer Update - Ron Doering
9:00 AM
4.1
Collections Question Roundup
9:15 AM
4.2
Wiley
Fiona Murphy, Wiley, Chichester, n/a, United Kingdom
8:30 AM-9:45 AM: Thursday, 8 January 2015
Session
1
Papers dealing on Rainfall distribution, impacts and Mitigation and monoon variability
Joint Session
4
8:30 AM
J4.1
Technology Advancement for Active Remote Sensing of Carbon Dioxide from Space Using the ASCENDS CarbonHawk Experiment Simulator: First Results
Michael D. Obland, NASA, Hampton, VA; and A. R. Nehrir, B. Lin, F. W. Harrison, S. A. Kooi, Y. Choi, J. Plant, M. Yang, C. Antill, J. Campbell, S. Ismail, B. Meadows, E. V. Browell,
J. T. Dobler, T. S. Zaccheo, B. Moore III, and S. Crowell
8:45 AM
J4.2
Atmospheric CO2 Column Measurements from Laser Absorption Spectrometry Lidar Systems
Bing Lin, NASA, Hampton, VA; and S. Ismail, F. W. Harrison, E. V. Browell, A. R. Nehrir, S. Kooi,
J. T. Dobler, B. Meadows, and
M. D. Obland
Joint Session
4
8:30 AM
J4.1
Technology Advancement for Active Remote Sensing of Carbon Dioxide from Space Using the ASCENDS CarbonHawk Experiment Simulator: First Results
Michael D. Obland, NASA, Hampton, VA; and A. R. Nehrir, B. Lin, F. W. Harrison, S. A. Kooi, Y. Choi, J. Plant, M. Yang, C. Antill, J. Campbell, S. Ismail, B. Meadows, E. V. Browell,
J. T. Dobler, T. S. Zaccheo, B. Moore III, and S. Crowell
8:45 AM
J4.2
Atmospheric CO2 Column Measurements from Laser Absorption Spectrometry Lidar Systems
Bing Lin, NASA, Hampton, VA; and S. Ismail, F. W. Harrison, E. V. Browell, A. R. Nehrir, S. Kooi,
J. T. Dobler, B. Meadows, and
M. D. Obland
Session
5
8:45 AM
5.2
Results from a global non-hydrostatic dynamical core comparison using idealized tests
Jeffrey S., Whitaker, NOAA/ESRL/PSD, Boulder, CO ; and J. Doyle, W. C. Skamarock, J. Klemp, S. J. Lin, J. Lee, Z. Janjic, S. Gabersek, P. A. Reinecke, and K. C. Viner
9:00 AM
5.3
Targeting on the Research to Operational Transition with the Basin-scale HWRF Modeling System
Xuejin Zhang, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and T. Quirino, S. Trahan, Q. Liu, Z. Zhang, R. St. Fleur,
S. Gopalakrishnan, V. Tallapragada, and F. D. Marks Jr.
Session
6
Extreme heat's impact on physical, mental, or emotional health of communities and tools which can improve future resilience or policy
9:30 AM
6.5
Themed Joint Session
7
9:00 AM
TJ7.3
Recent Advancements in the TAMDAR Sensor Network Expansion
Neil Jacobs, Chief Atmospheric Scientist, Panasonic Avionics Corporation, Morrisville, NC; and D. Mulally, A. Anderson, J. Braid, P. Childs, A. Huffman, E. Wilson, and F. Gao
Session
8
9:30 AM
8.5
Assessment of long-term simulations with various observations for better understanding of aerosol effects on radiation “brightening” in the United States
Chuen Meei Gan, EPA, Research Triangle Park, NC; and J. E. Pleim, R. Mathur, C. Hogrefe,
C. N. Long, J. Xing, D. Wong, R. Gilliam, S. J. Roselle, and C. Wei
Session
10
9:00 AM
10.3
9:30 AM
10.5
Gridded Ensemble Precipitation and Temperature Estimates from Observations over the Contiguous United States
Andrew J. Newman, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. Clark, J. A. Craig, B. Nijssen, A. W. Wood, E. Gutmann, N. Mizukami, L. D. Brekke, and J. R. Arnold
Session
11
8:30 AM
11.1
Surface Turbulent Exchange over the Arctic Ocean—Measurements from the SWERUS-C3 / ACSE Project (Invited Presentation)
Ian M. Brooks, University of Leeds, Leeds, United Kingdom; and
J. Prytherch, D. J. Salisbury, B. J. Brooks, J. Sedlar, G. Sotiropoulou, M. Tjernstrom, P. O. G. Persson, M. Shupe, P. M. Crill, B. F. Thornton, B. I. Moat, and
P. Achtert
Session
11
This session invites papers that focus on scientific and operational, practical issues related to predicting and defining drought and reducing drought impacts. Topics of interest include the formulation and use of drought indices and definitions, and the characterization of drought impacts across the diverse climates of North America and the world. In particular, we welcome presentations spanning a range from drought analysis and prediction to management activities for high-impact drought events, on statewide to continental scales, and including applications such as drought early warning systems. Policy responses for managing drought are also of interest.
Session
12
Ensemble Modeling/Climate Change
Location: 129A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Cochairs:
John J. Murray, NASA Langley Research Center;
Benjamin R. J. Schwedler, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/AWC & CIRA
Session
12A
8:45 AM
12A.2
A Photo Storm Report Mobile Application, Processing/Distribution System, and AWIPS-II Display Concept
Scott Longmore, CIRA/Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and S. D. Miller, D. Bikos, D. T. Lindsey, E. Szoke, D. A. Molenar, D. W. Hillger, R. Brummer, and J. A. Knaff
Session
12B
Software Engineering
Location: 130 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Cochairs:
Jennifer Luppens Mahoney, NOAA/ESRL/GSD;
William Roberts, OAR
8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Thursday, 8 January 2015
8:45 AM-9:45 AM: Thursday, 8 January 2015
Session
3
9:15 AM
3.2
CASA DFW Urban Demonstration Network: A regional approach to Network of Networks
Brenda J. Philips, Univ. of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA; and
A. Bajaj, V. Chandrasekar, J. Brotzge, F. H. Carr, D. J. Seo, E. J. Lyons, D. L. Pepyne,
F. Junyent, A. Everly, M. Thoerner, J. Ortiz, K. Oden, P. O. G. Heppner,
S. Woll, and D. Lapoint
9:15 AM-9:45 AM: Thursday, 8 January 2015
Session
10
9:30 AM
10.2
An Integrated Approach to the Prediction of Weather, Renewable Energy Generation and Energy Demand in Vermont
Lloyd A. Treinish, IBM Research, Yorktown Heights, NY; and
A. P. Praino,
J. P. Cipriani,
I. Khabibrakhmanov,
C. Tian,
M. Sinn,
A. Stamp,
M. Coombs,
R. D'Arienzo,
D. Haas, and
D. Poulin
9:45 AM-11:00 AM: Thursday, 8 January 2015
Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Hall 4 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Poster Session
1
Poster presentations
848
Warm Indian Ocean, Weak Asian Monsoon
Mathew Koll Roxy, Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, Pune, Pune, Maharashtra, India; and P. Terray, K. Ritika, R. Murtugudde, A. Karumuri, and B. N. Goswami
853
Investigating the systematic biases on intraseasonal time-scale in NCEP CFSv2 simulated Indian Summer monsoon – an effort of improvement through Superparameterization technique
Bidyut B. Goswami, University of Victoria, Victoria, BC, Canada; and M. S. Deshpande, R. Phani, P. Mukhopadhyay, A. S. Rao, R. Murtugudde, M. F. Khairoutdinov, and B. N. Goswami
856
Impact of model resolution in the Extended Range Prediction of Indian summer monsoon and 2013 North Indian Heavy Rainfall Event
AK Sahai, Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, Pune, Maharashtra, India; and
S. Joseph, S. Sharmila, S. Abhilash, N. Borah, R. Chattopadhyay, M. Rajeevan, and A. Kumar
863
CAIPEEX Phase III Ganga Basin experiment: probing the effect of pollution on monsoon clouds
T. V. Prabha, Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, Pune, Maharashtra, India; and Y. Tiwari, P. Murugavel, B. Padmakumari, M. Konwar, C. Subharthi, B. Balaji, R. S. Maheshkumar, P. Safai, P. Rao, S. Nair, E. A. Reshmi, S. Patade, T. Dharmaraj, M. P. Raju, S. G. Narkhedkar, K. Chakravarti, A. Mahajan, S. Tiwari, M. Varghese, A. Srivastava, Gopalakrishnan, S. Chakravarty, D. Siingh, G. Pandithurai, Y. Bhavani Kumar, A. Jayaraman,
N. Malap, K. Anandakumar, P. Pradeep Kumar, P. R. Sinha, D. Ojha, B. Raneesh, K. Nandakumar, B. Goswami, and M. Rajeevan
Poster Session
6
524
Poster Session
9
Poster 583 has been moved. New paper number is 12A.2A.
Poster 588 has been moved. New paper number is 9B.3A.
595
11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Thursday, 8 January 2015
Session
2
Monsoon Dynamics
Location: 125AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Cochairs:
Duane E. Waliser, JPL;
Dr. Tiruvalam N. Krishnamurti, Florida State Univ.
Papers dealing in Monsoon Dynamics
Session
3
11:30 AM
3.3
A new water vapor and aerosol profiling lidar system for measurements in the lower stratosphere and troposphere
Syed Ismail, NASA, Hampton, VA; and A. R. Nehrir, A. Notari, J. Hair,
R. A. Ferrare, S. A. Kooi, C. A. Hostetler,
T. Chuang, T. Refaat, K. H. Rosenlof, E. Jensen, and
P. A. Newman
Joint Session
4
11:00 AM
Open Discussion - Matthew Mayernik
Session
9
11:00 AM
9.1
The Development of the DAPHNE Conceptual Model for the Potentiality of Designing a Precipitation Enhancement Project in Thessaly, Greece
Theodore Karacostas, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, Thessaloniki, Greece; and
I. Pytharoulis, I. Tegoulias,
D. Bampzelis,
S. Kartsios,
S. Kotsopoulos, P. Zanis, E. Katragkou, P. Mouskos, and K. Tympanidis
Session
12
11:15 AM
12.2
Improved rainfall estimates and predictions for 21st century drought early warning
Chris C. Funk, USGS/Earth Resources Observation Systems, Santa Barbara, CA; and P. peterson,
S. Shukla, G. Husak, M. landsfeld, A. Hoell, D. pedreros, J. B. Roberts, F. R. Robertson, T. Tadesse, B. F. Zaitchik, J. rowland, and J. Verdin
Session
12A
11:00 AM
12A.1
Session
12B
11:30 AM
12B.3
Session
13B
Split session into two to accomodate Radar change
Joint Session
20
11:30 AM
J20.3
Near-Real Time Satellite-Retrieved Cloud and Surface Properties for Nowcasting and Assimilation
Rabindra Palikonda, SSAI/NASA/LaRC, Hampton, VA; and P. Minnis, G. Hong,
Q. Z. Trepte, D. A. Spangenberg, B. Shan, B. Scarino, S. Sun-Mack, T. L. Chee, F. L. Chang, J. K. Ayers, W. L. Smith Jr., K. Bedka, L. Nguyen, and P. W. Heck
Joint Session
21
NOAA Satellite Data Operations
Location: 230 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Cochairs:
Michael Jamilkowski, Raytheon Intelligence, Information and Services (IIS);
Heather Kilcoyne, NOAA/NESDIS
Session to discuss current future satellite data operational capabilities.
12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Thursday, 8 January 2015
Birds of a Feather Lunch
Location: 129B (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Due to unforeseen circumstances, Springer Lunch and Learn is cancelled. Instead, please join us for a “” Lunch. Depending on interests, we’ll offer topics for small groups to discuss over lunches at nearby venues. Flock to the group of your choice, or perhaps we’ll migrate together.
12:15 PM-1:15 PM: Thursday, 8 January 2015
Town Hall Meeting: Future of the Weather Enterprise
Location: 222A-C (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
To advance the dialogue on the collaboration of private, public, and adademic elements of the weather enterprise for the future, panelists will discuss weather services infrastructure, trends, and innovations as a wrap-up to the Annual Meeting Theme of "Fullilling the Vision of Weather, Water, Climate Information for Every Need, Time, and Place" in collaboration with the AMS Commission ont he Weather and Climate Enterprise.
12:45 PM-1:05 PM: Thursday, 8 January 2015
Daily Weather Briefings
Location: 132AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
1:30 PM-2:00 PM: Thursday, 8 January 2015
Session
5
This session will feature common ground these two archivists find in their interwoven disciplines: past, present and future.
1:30 PM
Meteorology and Physics - Jinny Nathans
1:45 PM
Meteorology and Physics - Elaina Vitale
1:30 PM-2:15 PM: Thursday, 8 January 2015
Session
4
1:30 PM
4.1
Design of an Autonomous Polarized Raman Lidar for Arctic Observations
Ryan R. Neely III, Univ. of Leeds, CIRES and Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, Colorado; and
R. Stillwell, M. O'Neill,
M. Hayman, J. P. Thayer, D. D. Turner,
R. M. Hardesty, R. J. Alvarez II, and M. Shupe
1:30 PM-3:00 PM: Thursday, 8 January 2015
Session
1A
Paper 1A.2 has moved. New paper number is 211A
Paper 1A.5 has moved. New paper number is 1A.1A
Session
3
Monsoon Predictability-I
Location: 125AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Cochairs:
Laxman Singh Rathore, NOAA/NWS;
Jagadish Shukla, George Mason Univ./COLA
2:15 PM
3.4
Promises and Prospects for Predicting the South Asian Monsoon
James L. Kinter III, COLA, Fairfax, VA; and P. A. Dirmeyer, B. Huang, E. K. Schneider, R. Bombardi,
S. Halder, C. S. Shin, R. Shukla, and B. Singh
Session
3
Optimizing Codes for HPC Improvement
Location: 128AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Cochairs:
Alexander O. Tardy, NOAA/NWS;
Nazila Merati, Merati and Associates
Session
7
Testbeds and Proving Grounds
Location: 232A-C (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Cochairs:
John Pereira, NOAA/NESDIS;
Stephen A. Mango, NOAA/NESDIS/OSD
Session
10
1:45 PM
10.2
Asian Tropopause Aerosol Layer (ATAL): composition, origin, and radiative forcing estimates
T. Duncan Fairlie, NASA, Hampton, VA; and J. P. Vernier, M. Natarajan, K. Bedka, L. Thomason, F. G. Wienhold, J. Bian, and B. G. Martinsson
2:00 PM
10.3
Quantifying sources, deposition, transport and radiative forcing of black carbon over the Himalayas and Tibetan Plateau
Hailong Wang, PNNL, Richland, WA; and R. Zhang, Y. Qian, P. Rasch, R. Easter, P. L. Ma, B. Singh, J. Huang, and Q. Fu
Session
10
2:30 PM
10.5
Aerosol liquid water driven by anthropogenic nitrate: implications for lifetimes of water-soluble organic gases and potential for secondary organic aerosol formation
Natasha Hodas, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA; and A. P. Sullivan, K. Skog, F. N. Keutsch, J. L. Collett, S. Decesari, M. C. Facchini, A. Carlton, A. Laaksonen, and B. J. Turpin
Session
12
Building a WRN through Partnerships
Location: 221A-C (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Cochairs:
Douglas Hilderbrand, NOAA/NWS;
Dave Jones, StormCenter Communications, Inc.
Session
13A
1:45 PM
13A.2
Implementation and testing of variable soil depth in the global land surface model CLM4.5
Michael A. Brunke, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and P. D. Broxton, J. Pelletier, D. J. Gochis, P. Hazenberg, D. M. Lawrence, G. Y. Niu, P. A. Troch, and X. Zeng
2:00 PM
13A.3
Session
14
Icing/winter weather
Location: 129A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Cochairs:
Cecilia Miner, NOAA/NWS;
Timothy H. Miner, Allied Pilots Association
Session
14
Middle atmosphere dynamics
Location: 212A West Building (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Chair:
Luke Oman, NASA/GSFC
1:45 PM
14.2A
Solar Signals in CMIP-5 Simulations: The Ozone Response
L. L. Hood, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and S. Misios, D. M. Mitchell, E. Rozanov,
L. J. Gray, K. Tourpali, K. Matthes, H. Schmidt, G. Chiodo, R. Thieblemont, D. Shindell, and A. Krivolutsky
Session
14A
1:45 PM
14A.2
Open and interoperable NWS geospatial data from NOAA IDP NextGen IT Web Services
Ryan L. Solomon, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Kansas City, MO; and
L. J. Cano,
M. R. Peroutka, S. R. Olson,
K. Mars,
P. K. Pickard, C. MacDermaid,
K. Ward,
W. Marr, A. Braeckel, and B. R. J. Schwedler
2:00 PM-3:00 PM: Thursday, 8 January 2015
2:15 PM-3:00 PM: Thursday, 8 January 2015
3:00 PM-3:05 PM: Thursday, 8 January 2015
3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Thursday, 8 January 2015
Coffee Break
Location: Meeting room foyers (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Meet the President
Location: 126A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
3:30 PM-4:15 PM: Thursday, 8 January 2015
3:30 PM-5:00 PM: Thursday, 8 January 2015
Session
2
4:30 PM
3.5
Land Long Term Climate Data Records from AVHRR, MODIS and VIIRS
Eric Vermote, NASA, Greenbelt, MD; and C. O. Justice, M. claverie, I. A. Csiszar, D. Meyer, R. Myneni, S. devadiga, E. Masuoka, and R. wolfe
Session
4
Monsoon Predictability-II
Location: 125AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Cochairs:
Brian E. Mapes, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS;
Sumant Nigam, University of Maryland
Papers dealing with monsoon prediction
4:15 PM
4.4
Efforts on Seasonal Forecasts under the Monsoon Mission
Suryachandra Rao Anguluri, Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, Pune, Maharashtra, India; and
A. Hazra, R. Chattopadhyay, S. Ali, A. Dhakate,
G. George, K. Saluknke, R. Dandi, and S. Mahapatra
4:30 PM
4.5
Development of CFS based Grand Ensemble Prediction System for the Extended Range Forecasting of Indian Summer Monsoon
S. Abhilash, Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, Pune, India; and
A. Sahai, N. Borah, S. Joseph, R. Chattopadhyay, S. Sharmila, M. Rajeevan, B. E. Mapes, and A. Kumar
Session
4
Visualization/Access of Large Data Volumes
Location: 128AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Cochairs:
Tiffany C. Vance, NOAA/National Marine Fisheries Service;
Gerald J. Creager, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma/NSSL
As dataset sizes increase, and petascale computational systems are becoming more common, moving large data sets between computational resources and separate analysis sites has become problematical. This session will examine examine approaches to access, postprocess and visualize large data sets remotely, and discuss methods to move large data sets efficiently, if need be.
Session
8
4:45 PM
8.6
Session
11
3:30 PM
11.1
Observations of Aerosol Particles and Cloud in the Summertime Arctic near Resolute Bay, Nunavut, Canada (Invited Presentation)
Richard Leaitch, EC, Toronto, ON, Canada; and
J. Burkart, M. Willis, J. Abbatt, F. Koellner, J. Schneider, H. Bozem, C. Konrad, A. Herber, and A. Korolev
4:30 PM
11.5
Real-time Measurements of Fluorescent Biological Aerosol Particles in the Atmosphere and in Clouds
Cynthia H. Twohy, NorthWest Research Associates, Redmond, WA; and G. McMeeking, P. J. DeMott, D. W. Toohey, C. S. McCluskey, T. C. J. Hill, J. Anderson, G. Kulkarni, and J. L. Stith
Session
11
3:45 PM
11.2
4:30 PM
11.5
Impacts of Oil and Gas Development in the North Dakota Bakken Formation Region on Winter Particulate Matter and Associated Precursor Gases
Ashley R. Evanoski-Cole, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and A. J. Prenni, M. Schurman, D. Day, A. P. Sullivan, Y. Li, B. C. Sive, Y. Zhou, J. L. Hand, K. A. Gebhart,
B. A. Schichtel, and J. L. Collett Jr.
4:45 PM
11.6
Reactive Nitrogen Composition and Origin in the United States Rocky Mountains
Bret A. Schichtel, National Park Service, Fort Collins, CO; and K. B. Benedict,
W. C. Malm, A. J. Prenni,
T. M. Thompson,
M. G. Barna, K. A. Gebhart, D. Day,
M. A. Rodriguez,
E. J. T. Levin, J. L. Collett Jr., and S. M. Kreidenweis
Session
15
Ozone
Location: 212A West Building (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Chair:
John Gille, NCAR
Session
15A
3:30 PM
NOAA IDP: An overview - Michelle Mainelli
4:45 PM
15A.5
Joint Session
22
Calibration and Validation II
Location: 230 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Cochairs:
Wanda Harding, NOAA/NESDIS/JPSS;
Fuzhong Weng, NOAA/NESDIS/STAR
4:00 PM
J22.3
Suomi NPP VIIRS Imagery Update
Donald W. Hillger, NOAA/NESDIS, Fort Collins, CO; and C. J. Seaman, S. D. Miller, T. J. Kopp, R. Williams, and G. Mineart
3:30 PM-5:30 PM: Thursday, 8 January 2015
Session
14
3:45 PM
14.2
Comparison of bubble plume data with foam measurements, gas flux data and aerosol measurements
Adrian Matei, University College, London, United Kingdom; and
H. Czerski,
R. Al-Lashi, S. Gunn,
I. M. Brooks,
M. J. Amison, R. W. Pascal, N. Hall-Patch, B. W. Blomquist, and L. Bariteau
4:15 PM-4:30 PM: Thursday, 8 January 2015
Closing Remarks
Location: 129B (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
5:00 PM-5:05 PM: Thursday, 8 January 2015
AMS 95th Annual Meeting Adjourns
Saturday, 3 January 2015
7:30 AM-10:00 AM: Saturday, 3 January 2015
Registration for Student Conference and Short Courses
Location: Lobby of Exhibit Hall 5 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
8:30 AM-5:00 PM: Saturday, 3 January 2015
AMS Short Course: Advanced Python for Climate Science: From Numpy to Parallel Computing
Location: 211B West Building (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
8:30 AM-5:30 PM: Saturday, 3 January 2015
AMS Short Course:a Beginner’S Course to Using Python in Climate and Meteorology
Location: 211A West Building (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
9:00 AM-9:30 AM: Saturday, 3 January 2015
1
Welcome Remarks
Location: North Ballroom CD (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
9:30 AM-10:00 AM: Saturday, 3 January 2015
Get Primed for the AMS Student Conference by learning how to use this time wisely. You'll get tips on how to network, walk up to big-name scientists, and how to make yourself competitive in achieving your future goals.
10:00 AM-10:15 AM: Saturday, 3 January 2015
10:15 AM-11:00 AM: Saturday, 3 January 2015
11:15 AM-12:00 PM: Saturday, 3 January 2015
12:00 PM-1:00 PM: Saturday, 3 January 2015
1:00 PM-1:30 PM: Saturday, 3 January 2015
Stretch your mind by learning about the wide variety of careers in meteorology. From traditional to non-traditional careers, each professional will give a 2-3 minute introduction on why you will want to talk to them. Note their room numbers to visit during Session 5.
1:30 PM-3:30 PM: Saturday, 3 January 2015
Stretch your mind by learning about the wide variety of careers in meteorology. Visit professionals to have small group discussion with them about their job. This is a great opportunity to ask questions and have discussions with top professionals. *Each discussion will be 15 minutes with 5 minutes for rotations.
Stretch your mind by learning about the wide variety of careers in meteorology. Visit professionals to have small group discussion with them about their job. This is a great opportunity to ask questions and have discussions with top professionals. *Each discussion will be 15 minutes with 5 minutes for rotations.
Stretch your mind by learning about the wide variety of careers in meteorology. Visit professionals to have small group discussion with them about their job. This is a great opportunity to ask questions and have discussions with top professionals. *Each discussion will be 15 minutes with 5 minutes for rotations.
Stretch your mind by learning about the wide variety of careers in meteorology. Visit professionals to have small group discussion with them about their job. This is a great opportunity to ask questions and have discussions with top professionals. *Each discussion will be 15 minutes with 5 minutes for rotations.
Stretch your mind by learning about the wide variety of careers in meteorology. Visit professionals to have small group discussion with them about their job. This is a great opportunity to ask questions and have discussions with top professionals. *Each discussion will be 15 minutes with 5 minutes for rotations.
Stretch your mind by learning about the wide variety of careers in meteorology. Visit professionals to have small group discussion with them about their job. This is a great opportunity to ask questions and have discussions with top professionals. *Each discussion will be 15 minutes with 5 minutes for rotations.
Stretch your mind by learning about the wide variety of careers in meteorology. Visit professionals to have small group discussion with them about their job. This is a great opportunity to ask questions and have discussions with top professionals. *Each discussion will be 15 minutes with 5 minutes for rotations.
Stretch your mind by learning about the wide variety of careers in meteorology. Visit professionals to have small group discussion with them about their job. This is a great opportunity to ask questions and have discussions with top professionals. *Each discussion will be 15 minutes with 5 minutes for rotations.
Stretch your mind by learning about the wide variety of careers in meteorology. Visit professionals to have small group discussion with them about their job. This is a great opportunity to ask questions and have discussions with top professionals. *Each discussion will be 15 minutes with 5 minutes for rotations.
Stretch your mind by learning about the wide variety of careers in meteorology. Visit professionals to have small group discussion with them about their job. This is a great opportunity to ask questions and have discussions with top professionals. *Each discussion will be 15 minutes with 5 minutes for rotations.
Stretch your mind by learning about the wide variety of careers in meteorology. Visit professionals to have small group discussion with them about their job. This is a great opportunity to ask questions and have discussions with top professionals. *Each discussion will be 15 minutes with 5 minutes for rotations.
Stretch your mind by learning about the wide variety of careers in meteorology. Visit professionals to have small group discussion with them about their job. This is a great opportunity to ask questions and have discussions with top professionals. *Each discussion will be 15 minutes with 5 minutes for rotations.
Stretch your mind by learning about the wide variety of careers in meteorology. Visit professionals to have small group discussion with them about their job. This is a great opportunity to ask questions and have discussions with top professionals. *Each discussion will be 15 minutes with 5 minutes for rotations.
3:30 PM-4:00 PM: Saturday, 3 January 2015
AMS Student Chapter Town Hall Meeting
(Specifically for Student Chapter Officers, but open to all)
Location: North Ballroom CD (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
This meeting is specifically designed for Student Chapter Officers, but it is open to everyone. Get a chance to hear from the
award-winning chapters in the country and discuss the joys and pains of running an AMS chapter.
4:00 PM-5:00 PM: Saturday, 3 January 2015
5:00 PM-5:30 PM: Saturday, 3 January 2015
6
Closing Remarks
Location: North Ballroom CD (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
5:30 PM-7:30 PM: Saturday, 3 January 2015
AMS Career Fair and Graduate School Reception
Location: North Ballroom AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Sunday, 4 January 2015
7:30 AM-9:00 AM: Sunday, 4 January 2015
Registration for Short Courses and Conference for Early Career Professionals
Location: Lobby of Exhibit Hall 5 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
8:30 AM-5:00 PM: Sunday, 4 January 2015
AMS Short Course: Advanced Python for Climate Science: From Numpy to Parallel Computing
Location: 211B West Building (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
8:30 AM-5:30 PM: Sunday, 4 January 2015
AMS Short Course:a Beginner’S Course to Using Python in Climate and Meteorology
Location: 211A West Building (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
9:00 AM-9:30 AM: Sunday, 4 January 2015
9:00 AM-6:00 PM: Sunday, 4 January 2015
Registration Open for Annual Meeting
Location: Lobby of Exhibit Hall 5 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
9:30 AM-9:45 AM: Sunday, 4 January 2015
9:40 AM-10:25 AM: Sunday, 4 January 2015
Joint session with the AMS 14th Annual Student Conference
9:45 AM-10:45 AM: Sunday, 4 January 2015
10:25 AM-11:40 AM: Sunday, 4 January 2015
Small Group Rotating Discussions
Participants will divide into 3 small groups which will rotate between the different 20-minute discussion topics. Each group will start in their assigned discussion (numbered 1-3). All groups will rotate to the next discussion in numerical order moving from 1 through 3 and back to 1, if needed. For example, if your group starts in "Group Discussion 2," you then proceed to "Group Discussion 3" and then to "Group Discussion 1." By the end, each group will participate in all 3 discussion topics.
Proposed timeline: 10:30 AM: All three discussions will start; 10:50 AM: All rotate for next group discussion; 11:15 AM: All rotate for final group discussion; 11:40 AM: All discussions end.
10:30 AM-11:40 AM: Sunday, 4 January 2015
10:45 AM-11:00 AM: Sunday, 4 January 2015
11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Sunday, 4 January 2015
Some of the best lessons are learned outside of the classroom. This panel discussion will focus on ways you can make a difference in the field.
Some of the best lessons are learned outside of the classroom. This panel will focus on ways you can make a difference through policy.
12:00 PM-12:30 PM: Sunday, 4 January 2015
12:00 PM-4:00 PM: Sunday, 4 January 2015
WeatherFest
Location: Hall 1 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
12:30 PM-12:35 PM: Sunday, 4 January 2015
12
Closing Remarks
Location: North Ballroom CD (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
12:35 PM-2:00 PM: Sunday, 4 January 2015
1:00 PM-1:15 PM: Sunday, 4 January 2015
1
Opening Remarks
Location: 124AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
1:15 PM-3:15 PM: Sunday, 4 January 2015
Participants will divide into 3 small groups which will rotate between the different 30-minute discussion topics. Each group will start in their assigned discussion (numbered 1-3). All groups rotate to the next discussion in numerical order moving from 1 through 3 and back to 1, if needed. For example, if your group starts in "Group Discussion 2," you then proceed to "Group Discussion 3" and then to "Group Discussion 1." By the end, each group will participate in all 3 discussion topics. Proposed timeline: 1:20 PM: All three discussions will start; 1:50 PM: All rotate for next group discussion; 2:25 PM: All rotate for final group discussion; 3:15 PM: All discussions end.
1:20 PM-3:15 PM: Sunday, 4 January 2015
2:00 PM-5:00 PM: Sunday, 4 January 2015
3:00 PM-4:00 PM: Sunday, 4 January 2015
Newcomer’s Welcome and Informational Exchange
Location: 127ABC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
3:15 PM-3:30 PM: Sunday, 4 January 2015
3:30 PM-4:00 PM: Sunday, 4 January 2015
4:00 PM-5:00 PM: Sunday, 4 January 2015
4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Sunday, 4 January 2015
95th Annual Review, New Fellows, and Featured Awards
Location: 122BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
5:00 PM-5:15 PM: Sunday, 4 January 2015
3
Closing Remarks
Location: 124AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
5:00 PM-7:00 PM: Sunday, 4 January 2015
AMS Career Fair
Location: North Ballroom AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
5:45 PM-7:15 PM: Sunday, 4 January 2015
5:45 PM-8:00 PM: Sunday, 4 January 2015
Fellows Reception
Location: North Ballroom Foyer (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
9:00 PM-11:00 PM: Sunday, 4 January 2015
Fifth Annual AMS Reception for Early Career Professionals
Location: Sheraton Phoenix, Valley of the Sun D/E (Sheraton Phoenix)
Monday, 5 January 2015
7:30 AM-6:00 PM: Monday, 5 January 2015
Registration Continues through January 7
Location: Lobby of Exhibit Hall 5 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
9:00 AM-10:30 AM: Monday, 5 January 2015
Twenty five years hence, meteorology will be much different and expand far beyond the traditional weather forecast. Personal sensors will monitor weather nearly everywhere. Advanced computing will allow us to forecast at perhaps minute scales and kilometer resolutions, customized for each particular user. Post-mobile devices will enable instantaneous use of the information – even in remote areas of today’s developing nations. Transportation will be safer, businesses will operate more efficiently, events will automatically schedule around anticipated weather, and much more. Operational weather forecasts will be interlaced with new environmental elements that impact economic, health, energy, and security decisions. Many aspects of our daily lives will change forever. Climate change’s possibilities add a critical dimension to community resiliency. Should global weather patterns be altered, forecasting could become more challenging than today. The recent release of the fifth IPCC synthesis report has brought focus to this particular issue. Dr. Kathryn Sullivan, NOAA Administrator, will lead the session with a keynote on her vision for the meteorology enterprise in the year 2040. Following her keynote, the panelists - representing different demographics and perspectives - will then provide their vision, accompanied by a moderated discussion among the panelists.
9:00 AM-11:00 AM: Monday, 5 January 2015
10:30 AM-11:00 AM: Monday, 5 January 2015
Coffee Break
Location: North Ballroom Foyer (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Space Weather Coffee Break—Sponsored by Ball Aerospace
Location: 227A-C (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
11:00 AM-11:45 AM: Monday, 5 January 2015
11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Monday, 5 January 2015
1
Agency Updates 1
Location: 227A-C (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Development of modeling systems addressing emissions, meteorology, atmospheric dispersion, exposure, and corresponding health implications; including observational, applied, or validation study designs
The enterprise view of environmental satellites, a vision of a “system of systems” of spacecraft, sensors, and ground assets, is rapidly evolving from a concept to reality. It is driven by the need for government agencies and stakeholders to more effectively and efficiently obtain and share improved satellite data and data products for multiple applications under very challenging budget conditions. The enterprise view is being realized through the establishment of new national and international agreements to promote the sharing of data, and new organizational structures and system architectures to better collect, process, distribute, and use satellite data products from a constellation of satellites. A panel of senior scientists and managers will discuss the pathway and current progress in implementing this new paradigm.
Global average temperature has increased by 0.8oC over the 20th century but this warming trend has slowed or even stalled for the past 15 years. This warming hiatus has caused much confusion and debate but at the same time offers a scientific opportunity to study climate change dynamics in action. Mechanisms proposed include a slowdown in net radiative forcing, and interference by natural variability. This session showcases rapidly advancing research on the physical mechanisms and various impacts of this hiatus event. Topics of particular interest include interdecadal variability and the interaction with forced climate change, radiative forcing and related processes, and ocean heat storage as pertinent to the hiatus.
Provides a summary of recent advances in the use of Python in the atmospheric and oceanic sciences. The first talk is the Core Science Keynote for the Python Symposium.
In May 2014, the third US National Climate Assessment was publicly released by the White House. Building on efforts such as the IPCC 5th Assessment, and previous National Climate Assessments, the 2014 NCA incorporates a broad scope of the best available science relevant to decision making at multiple scales. The NCA also included important transdisciplinary efforts bridging physical and social sciences, and the communications enterprise. This session will highlight the major scientific highlights of the 2014 NCA, the process as envisioned and executed, the “ongoing assessment” concept, and policy implications. Topics within the session are not limited to direct NCA contributions. Of particular interest are sector specific and regional climate information, methods and perspectives on science communication, the policy implications at multiple scales, and next steps. Contributions that connect IPCC and regional, state, or local assessment activities with the NCA are also encouraged.
12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Monday, 5 January 2015
12:15 PM-1:15 PM: Monday, 5 January 2015
Early Career Committee
Location: 126A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Presidential Town Hall Meeting: Fulfilling the Vision of Weather, Water, and Climate Information at NOAA
Location: 127ABC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
As highlighted at the Presidential Forum, the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise has an exciting future in store as we focus on meeting the evolving societal needs in the coming decades. NOAA is energized to continue the partnership with all components of the Enterprise, especially as they pertain to NOAA's priorities for the next 5 years. At this town hall, NOAA Administrator, Dr. Kathryn Sullivan will discuss NOAA's plans for evolving the National Weather Service, building community resilience, and investing in observations. As an Enterprise, we will ensure the United States continues to push cutting edge research, technology, and improved predictions to its partners and the public. Following her opening remarks, Dr. Sullivan will engage in a lively discussion with all those interested in helping to build a Weather-Ready Nation.
Town Hall Meeting: Accessibility for People with Disabilities
Location: 128AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
The AMS membership includes individuals who have physical limitations, such as blindness or vision impairment, hearing loss or limited hand use or mobility. Individuals with disabilities have a great deal to contribute to our field and desire to participate. Making meetings accessible to people with disabilities not only encourages inclusion, but it also brings forth diverse perspectives, effective partnerships, and enhanced opportunities for all participants.
We would like to propose a town-hall meeting to commence a discussion on the topic of making AMS meetings fully accessible to people with disabilities. The session will serve as a platform to address accessibility barriers and needs of participants with disabilities. We intend to invite a few speakers and engage the AMS membership on a panel discussion on this topic. We hope to explore answers to questions like why is it important to fully engage people with disabilities, what is the role of AMS in this engagement, how can AMS meetings be made accessible, etc. This discussion, the first of its kind at the AMS Annual Meeting, will serve as a guide to plan accessible AMS events in the future. We will summarize the discussions in a follow-up report that will form the basis of further action on this topic.
Town Hall Meeting: Effective Resume Writing
Location: 125AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
The Board for Early Career Professionals invites you to participate in a panel discussion regarding building a resume that will make you stand out in a sea of job applications. Panelists from academic, broadcast, government, and private sectors will be on hand to share past experiences, and provide tips and techniques to write an effective resume, whether it’s for your first, second, or subsequent job. Talks will be given by each panelist, along with a Q&A session at the end. Topics will include:
•Tailoring your resume for every job application.
•Understanding what skill sets hiring managers look for.
•Recognizing the difference between a resume and curriculum vitae (CV).
•Knowing what to leave off a resume.
•Making an eye-catching demo tape.
•Going above and beyond.
All members of the AMS community, including undergraduate and graduate students, post docs, and early career professionals are encouraged to attend this one hour town hall meeting.
Town Hall Meeting: NWS Model Development Forum
Location: 126BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
The mission of NWS global models is to provide the best possible numerical forecasts to our customers. A key element in providing accurate forecasts is the availability of accurate numerical guidance provided by computer models, mostly provided by NCEP. To address growing service demands and improve the accuracy of the forecasts, NWS needs to remain at the cutting-edge of research and model development and continuously transition science advances from research community to operations (R2O). Given the tremendously increased complexities of weather, climate and environmental prediction systems in the last two decades, the demands for more and more rigorous technology transfer processes and quality management procedures are increased. In an effort to foster more effective communications and successful research to operation transition to improve NWS operational models, NWS and OAR are sponsoring a Town Hall Meeting on NWS Model Development Forum. The purpose is to explain to the partners and stakeholders operational constraints and management procedures for the NWS model development and transition processes, and to get feedback on the expectations and requirements from the community.
Town Hall Meeting: Watch out! A review of the National Weather Service's watch, warning, advisory hazard messaging system. It's advised you attend. You have been warned!
Location: 121BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
For generations, the National Weather Service has utilized the terms "Watch", "Warning", and "Advisory" (WWA) to convey expectations of impact and level of forecast certainty associated with expected weather and water hazards. However, results of numerous NWS Service Assessments, initial social science research and other interactions with partners and the public suggests that many people misunderstand these terms - or confuse the terms one to another. In addition, there exists confusion among the 100+ products NWS uses to differentiate among the type, impact and forecast certainty of these hazards.
In response, NWS has initiated a "Hazards Simplification (or "Haz Simp") study to assess whether there may exist alternatives to WWA that would prove to be more intuitive, more easily understood and/or more easily communicated to users for the purpose of inspiring desired action by the public. This effort has now engaged social research and Phase I of this research has now been completed. High level results from the 20 focus groups held among the public, emergency managers, broadcasters and NWS forecasters during Phase I are as follows:
•Most people misunderstand the term "Advisory".
•Many supported the use of a hierarchical, color-based scheme to express varying levels of forecast certainty and impact (such as is employed by the European "Meteoalarm" system).
•Some people believe the system is working well enough and that enhanced education would increase understanding.
•Any change should be considered carefully and executed gradually.
The purpose of this Town Hall will be to present the results of "Haz Simp Phase I" and engage discussion from participants on their reaction and suggested options/alternatives for moving forward based on these results. Feedback on how "institutionalized" WWA is in partner and public decision making processes will also be welcomed. Also, all Annual Meeting attendees will be invited to visit the "Haz Simp" booth in the Exhibition Hall, where prototypes developed based on the Phase I results will be available for comment as part of Phase II of this project.
12:45 PM-1:05 PM: Monday, 5 January 2015
Daily Weather Briefings
Location: 132AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
1:30 PM-2:00 PM: Monday, 5 January 2015
1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Monday, 5 January 2015
2
Agency Updates 2
Location: 227A-C (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Development of modeling systems addressing emissions, meteorology, atmospheric dispersion, exposure, and corresponding health implications; including observational, applied, or validation study designs
Over the last decade, significant advances have been made in both in situ and remote sensing technologies for measuring greenhouse gases (GHGs). In addition, the planned launch of the Orbiting Carbon Observatory (OCO-2) and the Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP) instruments later this year should yield more information on GHGs than ever before. While these multiple observational platforms provide a significant potential for the monitoring of GHG emissions, more and more uncertainties are coming to light regarding our understanding of the global and regional budgets of GHGs, and in the identification and quantification of their climate feedback sensitivities.
This session solicits abstracts that address these uncertainties using models and observations, and provides new insights on process understanding across a variety of spatial and temporal scales. We encourage contributions on current and prospective observation technologies for GHGs, modeling studies to quantify GHG budgets and their associated uncertainties, evaluation and benchmarking of GHG estimates from Earth System Models using contemporary observations, and integration of observations and models to augment our process-based understanding.
This is a continuation of Pre-college Education Initiatives I.
2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Monday, 5 January 2015
Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Hall 4 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
This session covers the breadth of recent advances in using Python for data analysis, visualization, workflow integration, modeling, and teaching.
Monday and Tuesday Poster Session for EIPT Conference focusing on topics covered during the first two days of sessions.
Posters on:
- extratropical upper troposphere / lower stratosphere
- gravity waves
- middle atmospheric climate variability and change
- tropical tropopause layer
- middle atmospheric transport
Madden-Julian Oscillation symposium posters
Tuesday poster session
4:00 PM-5:15 PM: Monday, 5 January 2015
4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Monday, 5 January 2015
Development of modeling systems addressing emissions, meteorology, atmospheric dispersion, exposure, and corresponding health implications; including observational, applied, or validation study designs
3
Gravity Waves
Location: 212A West Building (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Session documents the many uses of data that are increasingly available through public participation in earth observing. Presentations for work that evaluates the outcomes of a program or policy.
5:30 PM-7:30 PM: Monday, 5 January 2015
Reception and Exhibits Opening
Location: Hall 5 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
7:00 PM-8:30 PM: Monday, 5 January 2015
Town Hall Meeting: Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy – Applying Big Weather Data to Address Today’s Energy Challenges
Location: 126BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
There is a tight correlation between weather and energy consumption but the relationship between meteorology and the electricity grid runs much deeper. The industry has undergone many changes and our Nation’s grid is increasingly more complex. From the integration of large scale wind generation and the complexities introduced from their intermittent behavior, to the disruptive forces of distributed solar generation and it’s ever increasing footprint, to maintaining overall grid resiliency in the wake of Super-Storm Sandy and other large scale severe weather outbreaks. These challenges with their increasing levels of complexity are being met head on by increased computational resources, big weather data in the form of increased observations and model output, and other big data being collected by the utilities.
The topics this Town Meeting will address broadly are:
1.Distributed Solar and its impact in Southern California. What is the “duck curve” and what can be done to mitigate its impact on the grid?
2.Outage modeling is now real, and in place within several utilities. How are outage models performing, and how are the utilities using big weather data to push the envelope further?
3.Resiliency isn’t just a difficult word to spell. All aspects of our Nation’s Energy Complex are dealing with climate adaptation. What role can the meteorological community play in this planning work?
This Town Hall Meeting is held in conjunction with the AMS Energy Committee and the AMS Renewable Energy Committees’ Sixth Conference on Weather, Climate and the New Energy Economy. Immediately following this Town Hall Meeting, joins us for an "Energizing" Happy Hour reception. Kick off the night's activities with light appetizers and drinks. Full details on the reception will be provided at the town hall meeting.
7:00 PM-10:00 PM: Monday, 5 January 2015
Arizona Science Center Reception
Tuesday, 6 January 2015
7:00 AM-8:15 AM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015
Town Hall Meeting: Open Environmental Information: A Discussion about Needs and Paths Forward
Location: 121BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
What is meant by Open Environmental Information? What are the gaps today for access to government-held environmental information and services? What are the impacts of those gaps and what are the societal benefits if those gaps are closed? How do we close the gaps and how rapidly can this be done? Who should take on the role to close the gaps? The Town Hall will include a panel and moderator and will encourage audience participation.
The following are excerpts from the Terms of Reference of the COEIS and is provided as additional background for the Town Hall.
“Open, timely access to rich state-of-the-science environmental data, model output, archives and information is crucial for the Weather and Climate Enterprise to optimally serve the nation.
To help NOAA and similar sources of environmental data ( federal, state, municipalities, etc.) ensure that such services are created and shared according to the principles of the open services paradigm, it is important to have clear and open exchanges amongst members of the Enterprise. This is especially true in an era of not only rapidly evolving information services, but also in uncertain fiscal conditions that may limit service options. It is also true that private industry, academia, and other organizations and institutions have access to data, model output, archives and information that is of communitywide value and must be included in the open dialogue. The American Meteorological Society is uniquely positioned to host and catalyze such exchanges.
The primary goals of open environmental information services are to ensure that:
a.The Weather and Climate Enterprise, and therefore the nation as a whole, realize maximum value from environmental information services by ensuring that all potentially useful and relevant information is available to the entire Enterprise;
b.New environmental information services and technologies are developed openly in symbiotic partnership with all elements of the Enterprise such that the resulting services achieve optimal utility and efficacy when deployed. This includes development in the broadest sense, and includes data bases, access systems, models, data assimilation schemes, applications, measurement and observing systems, and so forth.
The purpose of the COEIS is to build and strengthen bridges between various sectors of the weather and climate communities to help achieve the open environmental information services goals. While much of the focus of COEIS will be towards NOAA environmental services and the communities that develop and use such services, the committee will also work to foster open services with other domestic and foreign members of the Enterprise. While there are a number of forums in which NOAA and related government agencies currently engage the Enterprise on related topics, the COEIS would provide an explicit AMS entity to help encourage, create, promote, organize, expand, standardize, and execute these generally ad hoc efforts today.”
Town Hall Meeting: Strategic Planning Update for UCAR and NCAR
Location: 126A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
The National Center for Atmospheric Research and its managing entity, the University Corporation for Atmospheric Research, have undertaken strategic planning over the last two years. The UCAR plan is in the final draft stages after input from UCAR's 103 member universities. The NCAR plan has recently been finalized after community consultation and input from NSF. The two documents that have emerged will work in concert with each other, with UCAR's plan supporting the science goals outlined in the NCAR plan. This town hall will update attendees on the current status of the UCAR plan, including broad themes and objectives and the emergent goals related to research, facilities, services, education, training, and other activities of broad interest. A brief overview of NCAR's future directions based on its new strategic plan will also be provided.
7:30 AM-8:15 AM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015
Town Hall Meeting: Future Challenges for NMHSs and the Opportunities of Partnership Working
Location: 124A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
8:00 AM-8:30 AM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015
Town Hall Meeting: Local AMS Chapter Town Hall
Location: 232A-C (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Looking for ideas for your local AMS chapter? Have an idea to share? Interested in learning about local AMS chapters? Join us at the first ever Local AMS Chapter Town Hall - designed for both student and regular chapter officers, members and prospective members. This town hall will be held on Tuesday, January 6, 2015 from 8:00am to 8:30am. The Chapter of the Year award winners will begin the town hall by sharing activities that have worked well for them over the past year. All chapters are invited to share their successful activities, in addition to, their challenges to seek advice from other chapters. Those interested in joining a local chapter are also invited to attend to learn about local AMS chapters and how to participate. The Local Chapter Affairs Committee and local AMS chapters from across the country invite you to take part in this information sharing session!
8:30 AM-9:30 AM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015
8:30 AM-9:45 AM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015
Domestic and International officials have increasingly recognized links between environment and health. The World Health Organization (WHO) states “environmental hazards are responsible for as much as a quarter of the total burden of disease worldwide.” NASA maintains a diverse constellation of Earth observing research satellites and sponsors research in developing satellite data applications across a wide spectrum of areas including environmental health; infectious disease; air quality standards, policies, and regulations; and the impact of climate change on health and air quality. Successfully providing predictions with the accuracy and specificity required by decision makers will require advancements over current capabilities in a number of interrelated areas. These areas include observations, modeling systems, forecast development, application integration, and the research to operations transition process. NASA has been a primary partner with local, state, Federal, and international operational agencies over the past twelve years in these areas.
Session explores the what, how, why, and “what now?” surrounding the perception of risk of severe weather and other forms of weather and climate. Presentations for foundational research on this topic.
The decade long International Tropical Ocean Global Atmosphere (TOGA) program ended twenty years ago in December 1994. TOGA fundamentally advanced our understanding of tropical ocean-atmosphere interactions and their global impacts, established a new observing system for El Niño and the Southern Oscillation (ENSO) research and forecasting, and served as an incubator for the development of skillful seasonal prediction models. It paved the way for much subsequent progress in climate research and its legacy still resonates throughout the scientific community. This session will celebrate that legacy and pay tribute to two renowned scientists whose pioneering studies laid the foundation for TOGA and contributed greatly to its success: Gene Rasmusson and the late Klaus Wyrtki. Presentations are encouraged that highlight climate variability and change in the tropics, the global impacts of the tropics in the climate system, and advances in seasonal to decadal time scale climate forecasting. Presentations on evolving 2014 El Niño-like conditions are also encouraged.
Increased climate warming has brought more frequent and severe weather events which include more intense precipitation and extreme heat. These events put human lives and ecosystems at risk, cost billions of dollars, and create havoc for planning, particularly in communities that do not fully understand the potential impact and ramifications of weather and climate. As a result, communities, working with their water utilities, are facing decisions previously unimagined from trucking in potable water during severe droughts to assure survival of their residents to spending large sums of money to move water supply and treatment infrastructure in response to flooding.
Using the water sector as a framing, this session concentrates on understanding and avoiding the increased potential risk communities face from a changing climate. This session will explore how communities assess their risks and risk tolerance to establish planning thresholds, and the kind of information, tools and outreach they need to manage a future of changing precipitation patterns. Talks should address how communities assess their water supply risks and thresholds in terms of too much/too little water, what needs to be taken into consideration in determining these tipping points, and what decision support tools, methods, and approaches communities are using to prepare for and adapt to potential extreme events.
A final panel will discuss lessons learned from these studies, including where each community needs to make individualized decisions and where a common framework can serve everyone in their thinking.
9:00 AM-11:00 AM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015
9:45 AM-11:00 AM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015
Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Hall 4 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Advances in the estimation of evapotranspiration (ET) and atmospheric evaporative demand (Eo) are made across a broad range of scales and techniques, from in-situ observations to remote sensing and modeling. Specific topics for this session might include:
• estimating ET from various perspectives: remote sensing platforms, ground-based point observations and parameterizations, plant-based experimentation, and water budgets
• operational ET estimation
• land surface-atmosphere feedbacks
• future remote sensing missions and needs for ET
• Eo as an input to operational LSMs to derive ET, schedule crop irrigation, and as a metric of hydroclimatic trends and variability
11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015
This panel discussion will further the topics discussed in the 8:30 session with the same name. In both sessions, we use the water sector as an example, to better understand how to lessen the risk associated with a changing climate. The previous talks addressed how communities assess their water supply risks and thresholds in terms of too much/too little water, what needs to be taken into consideration in determining these tipping points, and what decision support tools, methods, and approaches communities are using to prepare for and adapt to potential extreme events. This panel will discuss lessons learned from these studies, including where each community needs to make individualized decisions and where a common framework can serve everyone in their thinking. Among the questions we will ask are: (1) What is the value of using thresholds and tipping points as a framework for decision making and assessing risk? (2) What are the best practices that were learned from the session 1 talks, and how can they be adopted in other decision making contexts? and (3) How can an interdisciplinary approach bring physical and social sciences together to establish thresholds and tipping points within a specific context (i.e., users, geographic location, population, etc…)?
Key note opening remarks to be given by Dr. Joel Myers, Founder, Chairman and President, Accuweather.
Continuation of AWIPS session
The impacts of climate variability and change manifest in dramatically different ways. Coastal regions grapple with storm surge and sea level rise; urban areas endure heat waves that affect public health and safety; and forested regions with drought and wildfire. These impacts are overlaid on vastly different social, political, and economic systems, creating a patchwork of different risk and vulnerability profiles at sub-national scales. The breadth and depth of this challenge requires multiple partners with different expertise, collaborating across regional scales. This session invites papers that describe the importance and value of regional collaborations, challenges faced in coordination, examples of bridging science with decision making, and other co-production models. Papers that focus on particular engagements with NOAA RISA, DOI Climate Science Centers, USDA Regional Climate Hubs, State Climatologists, Sea Grant, and Regional Climate Centers are encouraged.
Joint Session between 20th SatMet Conference, 11GOES-R/JPSS Symposium, and 3rd JCSDA Symposium
12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015
Harry R. Glahn Symposium Luncheon
Location: 213AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
12:15 PM-1:15 PM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015
New Ideas Forum: Networking and Idea Exchange for Student and Early Career Members
Location: 126A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Student and early career members of the AMS represent the next generation of educators, scientists, broadcasters, and technical professionals that will continue to advance the weather enterprise. As their careers grow, these members will assume greater roles in the advancement of our scientific and related capabilities, supporting a broader thematic goal of “Fulfilling the Vision of Weather, Water, and Climate Information for Every Need, Time, and Place.” The AMS supports student and early career members in many ways, such as long-standing conferences catering to their specific needs and interests, and the technical meetings and sessions to be held during the 95th Annual Meeting in Phoenix. Student and early career members can also benefit from presenting, exchanging, and discussing their research interests and goals in an informal setting, fostering and growing the social networks critical to their future success. The New Ideas Forum offers additional opportunities for student and early career members to engage the community during the weeklong AMS Annual Meeting.
We are introducing The New Ideas Forum as a way for attendees to provide a brief, informal overview of their current and future interests in a collegial setting. Informal discussions are encouraged across all aspects of our discipline, including basic science, applied science, education, new technology, policy interests, or future directions you feel our field may be headed. Participants will be given the opportunity to introduce themselves to their community, share highlights of their interests, and engage in questions and answers with their peers. The goal of the session is to increase networking opportunities for student and early career members participating in the Annual Meeting, and to encourage partnerships among student, early, and later-career members that can lead to mentoring opportunities, business or proposal collaborations, and other activities of mutual benefit.
This Tuesday lunch-hour session will focus on activities of student and early-career members. Interested participants, including mid- and late-career members, are invited to stop by the Town Hall Meeting session on Tuesday. Session chairs will help to coordinate an informal exchange among attendees while ensuring time for all to participate. Participants will then be provided up to 5 minutes to present their interests. A few presentation charts are welcome, but not required. Ideally, this session will function as a “speed round” of introductions and interactions among attendees to share their new ideas and future goals.
Town Hall Meeting: Advances in OCONUS Satellite Applications Enabled by the Current and New Generation of Polar-orbiting and Geostationary Environmental Satellites
Location: 121BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
The current and new generation of operational polar-orbiting and geostationary environmental satellite systems (JPSS, GCOM-W, Metop, DMSP, GOES-R and Himawari) are being accompanied by new and improved user applications. Many of these improved applications are being made available to regions outside the conterminous United States (OCONUS) through direct broadcast (DB) technology and by other means. These user applications include tropical cyclone monitoring, volcanic ash tracking, river flood assessment, and low cloud and fog forecasting. These new user applications are anticipated to become critical tools for weather forecasters and environmental managers in regions with a scarcity of other data. The use of direct broadcast antennas offers the user many advantages such as reduced data latency, the ability to network with other DB sites to create wider regional coverage, and the ability to assimilate these data into forecast models to help generate locally-unique products. The Town Hall will convene a panel with broad expertise in satellite data applications and DB technology to discuss these new satellite applications, their current operational use, and the evaluation of their impact to the user communities in OCONUS regions.
Town Hall Meeting: Dawn of a New Age in Water Prediction – The National Water Center
Location: 128AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
This AMS Town Hall meeting is expected to raise awareness of the unprecedented opportunity to innovate, coordinate and collaborate in the water sector to address 21st century water resource and management challenges such as water shortages and security, water quality and hydrologic extremes. Speakers from academia and federal agencies (including NOAA’s National Weather Service (NWS), the U.S. Geological Survey and the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers) will discuss how strong involvement through the National Water Center (NWC) will enhance joint planning and co-development of new science as well as the transition of research results to sustained applications and operations.
The NWC provides the capacity to transform, integrate and modernize hydrology and water resource science-based services to improve resiliency and build a more Weather and Water Ready Nation. Designed for optimal coordination and collaboration across the climate, water and weather enterprise, the NWC promotes a total water approach that fosters linkages between riverine and coastal water outcomes. By working closely with the community-of-practice (academia, industry) as well as various regional and local actors (end-users such as farmers, federal, state, regional and local water resource managers, commercial enterprises…) this approach will catalyze development and exploitation of state-of-the-science and infrastructure to enable sustainable solutions. Demand-driven innovation, merging interdisciplinary and new information, will contribute to the knowledge base supporting decision making in water resource and emergency management as well as key sectors such as transport, tourism, fisheries, agriculture, biotech, resource extraction and energy. The intended result is for the NWC to provide the Nation’s most trusted and authoritative source for comprehensive and integrated water predictions including critical data, models, analyses, and forecast information to enhance resilience to high impact extreme hydrometeorological events. Recognizing the advanced challenges, NWC-partnerships are being created to strengthen capabilities and do new things that focus on key areas including data interoperability, enterprise GIS, improving observational capacity, and numerical modeling to simulate hydrologic processes and the water budget at very high resolution. As an example, the NWC will operate and improve end-to-end early warning and Disaster Risk Reduction (DRR) systems, and make available and accessible the predictive information and related data, models, maps and forecast products for optimizing decision-support services.
Town Hall Meeting: Developing Climate Scenarios for the 4th National Climate Assessment and the Sustained Assessment Process
Location: 124A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Scenarios of future physical climate conditions provide the necessary unifying foundation for internally consistent consideration of impacts and for modeling of impacts performed specifically for the climate assessment process. The development of scenarios for the Fourth U.S. National Climate Assessment and the Sustained Assessment process is already beginning and this Town Hall is intended to provide a mechanism for gathering input from the climate community on the scenarios process. Issues to be addressed include, but are not limited to, the use of CMIP3 vs. CMIP5 model simulations, statistical and dynamical downscaling, higher temporal resolution (e.g. sub-daily) scenarios, and integration with other types of scenarios such as land-use or population change.
Town Hall Meeting: NASA Earth Science Division Town Hall Meeting
Location: 125AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
This Town Hall session will provide an opportunity for the earth science community to interact with members of the leadership team and staff of the Earth Science Division (ESD) of NASA’s Science Mission Directorate. Brief presentations by the ESD leadership will precede a longer opportunity for audience questions. Topics to be addressed in the Town Hall session include scientific accomplishments and programmatic milestones from the past year, current programmatic directions, and NASA’s progress towards implementing the missions identified in the June 2010 report "Responding to the Challenge of Climate and Environmental Change:NASA’s Plan for a Climate-Centric Architecture for Earth Observations and Applications from Space" which incorporates recommendations from the National Research Council’s 2007 Decadal Survey for Earth Science, “Earth Science and Applications from Space: National Imperatives for the Next Decade and Beyond.” Recent developments in the Venture Class program and? the non-flight parts of the NASA program (research and analysis, applied sciences, technology) and NASA's involvement in interagency and international programs will also be reviewed.
Town Hall: Report of an International Roadmap on Space Weather: Science of space weather and its impact on life and society
Location: 127ABC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
With the rapid development of the technological infrastructure upon which modern society depends comes a growing appreciation of the hazards presented by the phenomena around our home planet that we call
space weather. The complexity of the coupled Sun-Earth system, the sparseness by which it can be covered by remote-sensing and in-situ instrumentation, and the costs of the required observational and computational infrastructure warrant an international approach with feasible, affordable solutions. COSPAR and the steering committee of the International Living With a Star program tasked a multi-disciplinary, international team with the development of a roadmap with the goal of demonstrably improving our observational capabilities for, scientific understanding of, and ability to forecast the various aspects of space weather. This presentation reviews the
significance of space weather, and summarizes the roadmap, its top-priority recommendations, and their underlying rationale.
12:45 PM-1:05 PM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015
Daily Weather Briefings
Location: 132AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
1:30 PM-3:00 PM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015
Effective communication of climate and climate change information remains a challenging goal. The scientific terminology and public understanding of “climate” has changed significantly over the years. Scientific understanding of the “climate system” has made major advances in the past decades as the interdependency of the atmosphere, oceans, biosphere, land surfaces, ice, soil moisture , etc., have become part of “climate”. Human responses to climate and climate change have historically been driven by adaptation to relatively slow changes. Observations and research show climate and its many components now is changing at a rate not seen in human history. Can we more effectively communicate the certainty and the uncertainties of climate and climate change for both better public understanding and better decision making in a rapidly changing climate environment? A distinguished panel of science communicators, climate scientists, social scientists, decision makers and users of climate, climate and global change information will address a number of these questions and discuss pertinent issues with the attendees. It is the intent of the CECWCI that review/synopsis of the panel/town hall session will also be widely disseminated and published.
This session focuses on efforts that have evaluated how climate services have influenced resource management, policy, or other decision contexts. Presentations can highlight useful metrics and effective research design for evaluating climate services as well as documented outcomes of climate service activities. Presentations for work that evaluates the outcomes of a program or policy.
Pulling student submissions from each of the three conferences within the Joint Satellite Program, this session will highlight the innovations being made by young scientists.
Session explores the roles weather and forecasting play in human health and happiness, community viability, public health practice, and increases in demand for weather DSS in health.
3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015
Coffee Break
Location: Hall 5 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Meet the President
Location: 126A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
3:30 PM-4:30 PM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015
3:30 PM-5:00 PM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015
3:30 PM-5:15 PM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015
3:30 PM-5:30 PM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015
4
Future Directions
Location: 211A West Building (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Details regarding lightning physics and corresponding scientific applications of lightning photography and videography.
Session explores tools and programs community clinicians and health officials use to prepare for and respond to weather emergencies. Presentations for work that transitions research to applications.
3:30 PM-5:45 PM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015
5:30 PM-6:30 PM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015
Town Hall Meeting: Education Symposium Discussion
Location: 125AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
The Symposium on Education seeks input to help formulate ideas for activities and sessions for the 2016 annual AMS meeting. Please join us for an inclusive conversation about the Education Symposium. We seek ideas to make the symposium even more dynamic, to better connect it to research and other research-focused symposia, and to interest more annual meeting attendees in participating. We welcome your ideas and suggestions.
6:00 PM-7:00 PM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015
Weather information is being used in exciting new ways. The forefront of this innovation is online applications such as search, social, and mobile. This Town Hall panel brings together four key players in this space – Facebook, Twitter, Google, and Microsoft – to discuss how they use weather to reach billions of consumers, often in novel ways.
David Kenny, CEO of The Weather Company, will moderate. Panelists include:
• Bryan Hurren, strategic partnerships manager at Facebook
• Andrew Fitzgerald, Media Partnerships team at Twitter
• Arial Gronau, technical program manager at Google
• Brett Tanzer, weather program manager at Microsoft
6:00 PM-7:30 PM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015
Town Hall Meeting: Weather Risk Management: What Does it Mean and Where is it Going?
Location: 127ABC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Wikipedia defines Weather Risk Management as “a way for organizations to limit their financial exposure to disruptive weather events.” The Weather Risk Management Association defines it as “having two facets: (1) The management of the financial consequences adverse weather for those with natural exposure to weather; and (2) Commercial trading of weather risk, both in its own right and in conjunction with a variety of commodities. “
Willis Group’s website cites “Traditional insurance offers protection against events such as floods and storms, but in the UK and in Europe there is not yet a wide use of protection against the effects of seasonal weather patterns such as temperature, rainfall or sunshine. However, these factors can have a major influence on corporate results and many firms publicly acknowledge this. As weather hedging becomes more commonplace, blaming the weather for poor results will become less acceptable.”
The CME Group says “To help manage [the] impact on consumers and corporations, CME Group’s product slate has grown to meet customer needs by offering multiple risk management opportunities related to temperature, snowfall, frost, rainfall and hurricanes in more than 50 cities worldwide.
Weather futures and options are available for block trading, which are privately negotiated futures, options, or combination transactions.”
The term “Weather Risk Management” means many different things across our professional community. Weather trading, commodity trading, insurance, reinsurance and hedging are all terms of art. But what does it all really mean?? Who protects their business from weather risk? What information do they need in order to ‘manage weather risk?’ What is weather risk?? What does Weather Risk Management mean for meteorologists? What opportunities does it present? How have those opportunities changed since the first financial products were introduced in the late 1990s? Where is the market headed and what does that mean for information providers, experts, and customers? Join our panel of experts as we discuss the future for Weather Risk Management.
6:00 PM-8:30 PM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015
Town Hall Meeting: Wind-wave-current interactions, high winds, and tropical cyclone
Location: 124A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
We will discuss a new initiative for complex measurements in hurricanes with the purpose of advancing hurricane modeling.
Physics of air-sea interactions, wave dynamics, atmospheric boundary layer, and upper ocean currents/mixing are very different in extreme winds compared to more benign conditions. However, our ability to observe and understand these physics is very limited. Often extrapolations from moderate conditions are relied upon even though they may not be physically justified.
While theoretical research and numerical modeling of physics under extreme wind conditions have improved significantly over the last decade, there is little experimental and field evidence to validate and calibrate the models. In this meeting, we will discuss a new initiative to measure surface waves, air-sea fluxes, near-surface ocean turbulence/currents/mixing, and structure of the near-surface atmospheric boundary layer in extreme wind conditions for use in model validation. Please follow the link for more details (http://www.po.gso.uri.edu/airsea/ASI2015hurricane/Extreme_Events_meeting_AMS_2015.pdf)
Wednesday, 7 January 2015
7:00 AM-8:00 AM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
Town Hall Meeting: The Weather Coalition: An Organizational Status and a Broad Legislative Update
Location: 223 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
The Weather Coalition (WC) welcomes new and returning members, as well as non-members interested in learning about the Weather Coalition and its activities, to this Town Hall event. The Weather Coalition Co-Chairs will provide a status of the organization, summarize activities associated with weather-related advocacy and legislation that took place across the past year, and discuss expected activities during 2015. Invited speaker Scott Rayder of UCAR will provide a legislative update that will focus on House and Senate legislative activities, budgets, and the recent elections.
7:00 AM-8:15 AM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
Town Hall Meeting: Lessons learned about coping with high impact hydro-meteorological events in the US: “A stepping stone panel discussion for the 2015 DRR Summit on Lessons Learned about Lessons Learned
Location: 126A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Globally, high impact hydrometeorological events such as floods, flash floods, mudslides and droughts cause more humanitarian and economic losses than all other natural hazards. A key solution to mitigating climate, weather and water catastrophes is to establish End-to-End Early warning systems (EWS) as part of sustained and durable Disaster Risk Reduction (DRR) programs. Country Donors, Finance Institutions, Hydrometeorological Organizations, such as the World Meteorological Organization (WMO), and Federal agencies, such as NOAA, have established and strengthened EWS capacity in regions where climate-extreme events have caused major disasters, such as in Central America (Hurricane Mitch 1998), and yet after each disaster these systems have fallen into disrepair. There are many technical and social/cultural lessons that should be learned from capacity building hydrometeorological projects that are not captured and used to restructure projects to improve sustainability. Instead, we keep making many of the same design, development, operation and maintenance mistakes and keep getting the same results. Recent studies (Glance and Baudoin,2014) of hydrometeorological projects reveals lessons are not learned. In fact lessons are not readily learned nor applied by many of the players responsible for and investing in building capacity of National Hydrological and Meteorological Services required to support key sectors and vulnerable communities. A “Lessons Learned” conference is planned in 2015 to address the question why the international community is not learning from history and what must be done to change effective practices. In the U.S., hydrometeorological disasters such as Katrina and Sandy have had a significant impact on the economy and building resilience to future high impact events.
How does the U.S. and its partners learn from disaster preparedness, response and recovery and are there more effective approaches and practices that will contribute to lesson learning internationally? Are there international approaches from which the US can learn ? A panel will discuss the Lessons learning processes in the US, how it can be improved and how the US could/should work in the Global theater of building resilience to the new normal of extreme and high-impact events.
7:30 AM-8:15 AM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
Presidential Town Hall Meeting: President Obama's Climate Action Plan, Climate Impacts and EPA Action
Location: 127ABC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
8:30 AM-9:00 AM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
Every day, public officials, business leaders and private citizens are making decisions that depend on understanding how climate will change over the course of the next 1, 10, to 100 years. To meet the rising demand for information that these decisions require, a suite of climate service information providers has emerged. The climate services enterprise in the United States includes entities from public, private, academic and non-governmental organizations. As the climate service enterprise grows with the demand for information, it is increasingly important that the public and private sector in particular work as partners if nation is fulfill the vision of climate information for every need, time and place.
This session will explore the climate service value chain and the relationship between the public and private sectors in optimizing the development and delivery of climate services. The session will focus on understanding what decision makers need, and how climate service providers across sectors supply this information. How is information generated by the public and private sectors, and then delivered to the decision maker? Are there best practices for the partnership between the public and private sectors that the AMS community should be aware of? The Climate Services Committee would also expects that this session will explore how the AMS Community can work to ensure continuing support for the basic infrastructure on which climate services rely, and inform the dialog between the public and private climate service sectors as it has successfully done for the weather sector.
Session explores the history, current, and future conceptions of the “integrated team” underpinning IWTs, and welcomes talks exploring the value and lessons learned from IWTs, questions about how they should be organized and run, and how to continue momentum after an IWT. Presentations for work that evaluates the outcomes of a program or policy.
The North American Monsoon (NAM) defines the summer season hydroclimatology of the southwestern United States and northwestern Mexico with important interactions between oceanic, atmospheric, land surface and ecological processes. This session invites contributions on recent advances in understanding the NAM, including its predictability, physical processes, and societal implications. Of particular interest are studies using field datasets, such as those from the North American Monsoon Experiment (NAME) and subsequent activities, and numerical modeling efforts stemming from those activities. We welcome studies focused across a range of time scales from the diurnal cycle up to interannual predictions under climate change scenarios.
This session is dedicated to Dr. Peter J. Lamb. Because Dr. Lamb's interests encompassed a wide scope of precipitation processes studies from around the globe, research concerned with precipitation variability from any geographical region or location are welcome. Targeted presentations can be observational, modeling, or a combination of either related to precipitation processes, at time scales spanning the continuum of weather to climate.
Joint Session with the 29th Conference on Hydrology
9:00 AM-9:30 AM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
9:00 AM-10:00 AM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
ASLI is pleased to bring Dr Heidorn and Ruth Kneale to present on the topic of librarian competencies and the roles our professional organizations play in our development. With challenging budgets, job redefinition, and the need for ongoing skill and knowledge creation, how do these groups support us? How might they evolve to further meet our educational needs? We will explore these questions, aware of our relationships to some scientific societies.
9:00 AM-11:00 AM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
9:30 AM-10:00 AM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
Coffee Break
Location: Hall 5 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Meet the President
Location: 126A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
10:30 AM-11:15 AM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
2
Fiscal/Accounting
Location: 128AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
10:30 AM-11:45 AM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
This panel will build off the presentations from the first session and continue to explore the relationship between the public and private sectors in optimizing the development and delivery of climate services. This panel will focus on: identifying lessons learned that can be applied to other locales and/or sectors; exploring best practices for the partnership between the public and private sectors; and the role of the broader AMS community in fostering these relationships for climate services as it has successfully done for the weather sector.
A continuation of Innovations in University Instruction - Synoptic Meteorology I
Studies examining responses to severe weather, from behavioral (sheltering, evacuating) to cognitive or affective (anxiety, excitement). Documentation for recent events is particularly encouraged. Presentations for foundational research on this topic.
Joint Session with the 29th Conference on Hydrology
11:15 AM-11:45 AM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
11:45 AM-12:00 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
12:00 PM-1:15 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
Town Hall Meeting: Core Science Talk – Multi-hazard Impact Science with an Emphasis on Natural Hazards
Location: 131C (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
The last few years has seen an increasing focus by the Met Office in the UK to provide Impact-based weather warnings in response to the public's, disaster management authorities' and Governments' needs to have a common, meaningful and understandable means of weather hazard communication. The UK's National Severe Weather Warning Service went impact-based in 2011 and a series of successfully communicated high impact flooding and wind storms events since then have provided ample evidence of the common language now being spoken between the scientists, planners and responders. The biggest challenge now is to further develop the underpinning science of weather hazard impact by integrating the mature science of weather forecasting with the developing science of hazard vulnerability and exposure. This necessarily requires an increasing dependency on other agencies and new databases, the development of interoperable science and visualisation frameworks and new and innovative means of monitoring and reporting hazard impact. The Natural Hazard Partnership, chaired by the Met Office, is leading the way in coordinating work in the UK to broaden the science to services pipeline into a range of multi-hazard impact assessments. This town hall talk looks to take us on the journey that is multi-hazard impact science into relevant and understandable assessments and warnings to the public, disaster management authorities and UK Governments.
The second half of the town hall will feature an update and discussion of the Bárðarbunga volcanic activity and its impacts with updates from Sara Barsotti from the IMO and others.
12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
Eugenia Kalnay Symposium Luncheon
Location: 229B (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Women in the Atmospheric Sciences Luncheon
Location: 213AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Weather-Ready Nation Student Luncheon
Location: 221A-C (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
12:15 PM-1:15 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
Town Hall Meeting: DOE Data strategy for the atmospheric and climate sciences
Location: 124A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Currently available systems to disseminate observations and model-generated data to atmospheric and climate scientists are varied, and funding agencies are exploring ways to harmonize data inventories into a form where researchers can access information in a seamless and efficient manner. We will summarize the DOE pathway towards unification of DOE data inventories, including investments to provide server side analysis, multi-dimensional visualization, federated data nodes, and options to overcome the growing data storage challenge. Within this Town Hall we hope to facilitate a forum whereby attendees can help shape our future plans.
Town Hall Meeting: Future Directions for Employment for Newly Graduated Meteorologists
Location: 121BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
The AMS Board on Higher Education, Board for Operational Government Meteorologists, and Weather Analysis and Forecast Committee invite you to participate in a panel discussion regarding employment opportunities and challenges for newly graduated meteorologists. Panelists from government and private sectors will be on hand to provide insight on where job opportunities are opening up and what future indicators are suggesting for the next several years. Short talks will be given by each panelist, along with a Q&A session at the end. Areas addressed will include:
•Additional skills that make a new B.S. holder more competitive in the job market
•Tips on finding job opportunities
•Additional strategies to enhance your potential for employment
•Benefits of additional education
All members of the AMS community, including undergraduate and graduate students, post docs, and early career professionals are encouraged to attend this one hour town hall meeting.
Town Hall Meeting: NASA ICESat-2 Mission Town Hall
Location: 130 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
The Ice, Cloud, and land Elevation Satellite-2 (ICESat-2) is the new space-based altimeter mission being developed for a target launch in 2017. ICESat-2 will continue important observations of ice-sheet elevation change, sea ice freeboard, and vegetation canopy height begun by the first ICESat mission, which operated from 2003 to 2009. This town hall discusses the primary ICESat-2 data products and highlights the different initiatives and goals of the ICESat-2 Applications program. Our goal is to elicit questions to foster the development of currently underrepresented thematic areas that will benefit from ICESat-2 measurements.
Town Hall Meeting: NASA’s Earth Science Flight Program Investments in and Planning for the Next-Generation Earth Observatories – An Update
Location: 232A-C (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
NASA has eleven Earth science missions currently in formulation and development, with eight scheduled to launch before the end of 2018. These include CATS (NET December 2014), SMAP (January 2015), SAGE III (2016), CYGNSS (2016), TEMPO (2017), GRACE FO (2017), ICESat-2 (2017), and ECOSTRESS (2018). These will join the fleet of seventeen operating NASA Earth science research satellites, including the recently launched Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM) mission, OCO-2, and ISS-Rapidscat, as well as other US and international weather, climate, and research satellites. NASA also has the responsibility for defining and implementing, in coordination with the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), the nation’s Sustainable Land Imaging (SLI) program to follow the currently flying Landsat 7 and Landsat 8 missions. Additionally, NASA has been directed to continue the fundamental climate measurements of solar irradiance, Earth radiation budget, and Ozone profiling to extend these data records into the future. How will NASA meet these demanding measurement objectives? NASA’s Earth Science Division is working now, in collaboration with the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), the USGS, DOE, international partners, and with the industrial community on science studies, technology investments, and mission definition studies to prepare the next generation of satellites and observations for launch in 2019 and beyond. At this Town Hall meeting we will present the progress and plans for these next generation missions, including mission concepts from the 2007 NRC Decadal Survey (http://science.nasa.gov/earth-science/decadal-surveys/) and from the 2010 NASA Climate Plan (http://science.nasa.gov/earth-science/). We will identify opportunities for greater interaction with the NASA missions already in formulation and development, as well as opportunities for future collaboration as we move forward with this next generation of missions and measurements.
Town Hall Meeting: NASA’s Earth Science Flight Program Investments in and Planning for the Next-Generation Earth Observatories – An Update
Location: 232A-C (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
NASA has eleven Earth science missions currently in formulation and development, with eight scheduled to launch before the end of 2018. These include CATS (NET December 2014), SMAP (January 2015), SAGE III (2016), CYGNSS (2016), TEMPO (2017), GRACE FO (2017), ICESat-2 (2017), and ECOSTRESS (2018). These will join the fleet of seventeen operating NASA Earth science research satellites, including the recently launched Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM) mission, OCO-2, and ISS-Rapidscat, as well as other US and international weather, climate, and research satellites. NASA also has the responsibility for defining and implementing, in coordination with the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), the nation’s Sustainable Land Imaging (SLI) program to follow the currently flying Landsat 7 and Landsat 8 missions. Additionally, NASA has been directed to continue the fundamental climate measurements of solar irradiance, Earth radiation budget, and Ozone profiling to extend these data records into the future. How will NASA meet these demanding measurement objectives? NASA’s Earth Science Division is working now, in collaboration with the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), the USGS, DOE, international partners, and with the industrial community on science studies, technology investments, and mission definition studies to prepare the next generation of satellites and observations for launch in 2019 and beyond. At this Town Hall meeting we will present the progress and plans for these next generation missions, including mission concepts from the 2007 NRC Decadal Survey (http://science.nasa.gov/earth-science/decadal-surveys/) and from the 2010 NASA Climate Plan (http://science.nasa.gov/earth-science/). We will identify opportunities for greater interaction with the NASA missions already in formulation and development, as well as opportunities for future collaboration as we move forward with this next generation of missions and measurements.
Town Hall Meeting: NOAA’s NCDC Responds to the Deepening Southwestern Drought with Climate Data, Products, and Services
Location: 125AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
In response to the deepening drought sweeping the southwestern US in 2014 and the perennial stress on the region’s water resources, NOAA’s National Climatic Data Center in Asheville, NC offers a suite of climate data, products, and services. End users requiring these products and services range from State Climatologists to regional and local water providers and agricultural extension agents. The drought products offered include the weekly US Drought Monitor Report, authorship in the Monthly North American Drought Monitor, and essential measurement variables including Soil moisture, Palmer Drought Indices (PDSI) the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) and the TD9658 Palmer Drought. NCDC also provides in-situ and satellite datasets and analysis of historical and current drought conditions. All of the climate data, products, and services offered by NCDC for drought response, focused on the southwestern US, will be presented and discussed. In addition, NCDC and NOAA continually seek to improve their support to decision makers. To that end, input will be solicited via discussion on emerging needs from decision makers and how those needs may be met through the nation’s climate archives and science.
Town Hall Meeting: Post-THORPEX Legacy Projects: High-Impact Weather (HIWeather) and a new proposed US initiative
Location: 126BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
This Town Hall comprises two interconnected projects: the WMO/WWRP High-Impact Weather Project (HIWeather), and a new US initiative to develop a plan that integrates US interests in HIWeather with two other WMO/WWRP projects: the Polar Prediction and Subseasonal-to-Seasonal Prediction projects. This Town Hall will provide an opportunity to find out more about the activities that are planned and to question those involved about how to get involved.
Despite dramatic improvements in forecast accuracy in the last decade, the global cost of high impact weather continues to grow at an alarming rate. HIWeather will focus global research on those aspects of the weather enterprise, both science- and service-related, that currently inhibit effective responses to forecasts and warnings, especially with regard to the impacts of urban flooding, wildfires, local extreme winds, disruptive winter weather and extreme heat/air pollution in megacities. Working together on these problems will both accelerate progress and enable less developed nations to benefit.
In parallel, efforts have been underway since mid-2014 to engage the US community in the three aforementioned WMO/WWRP projects, and for participants to identify critical gaps, common scientific challenges and priorities. The next stage in the US is to develop a coordinated community project plan. In addition to introducing the structure for a US project plan, Town Hall participants are encouraged to provide feedback on the path forward, and contributions from the community to the drafting of the US project plan are encouraged.
Town Hall Meeting: “Hotspot Project”: What can we learn and what's next?
Location: 224A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Midlatitude air-sea interaction, including the climatic impacts of strong western boundary currents and associated oceanic fronts, is drawing increasing attention from climate science community. These impacts have been studied extensively during a 5-year Japanese "Hotspot Project" launched in 2010. An overview and the main outcomes of this project are introduced in this Town Hall Meeting. We will discuss how the community can utilize the unique data obtained by the intensive observation campaigns around the Kuroshio Extension, and how we can coordinate international collaborations in future. Grab your lunch and join us for a lively discussion on the “hotspots of our climate system”.
12:45 PM-1:05 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
Daily Weather Briefings
Location: 132AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
1:00 PM-1:30 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
ASLI Choice Book Awards
Location: 129B (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
This year the awards for the best books published in 2014 will be presented in the ASLI Conference Room. Please join us to honor the authors and publishers!
1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
This panel will engage the ASLI community in a discussion of alternative metrics (Altmetrics): what they measure, what librarians need to know, and how they are being used.
3
Data Assimilation
Location: 229A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Federal spectrum sharing, both currently underway and proposed, and how it will affect meteorological users. Moving data from space to users may be impacted by other commercial interests. Understand how it may affect you, how you can speak up about proposed plans and what the next steps are in protecting meteorological radio frequency spectrum and the products it supports.
This session will examine the communication of weather information across diverse publics, through and across multiple platforms, especially social and digital mobile media, and the challenges created by multiple, competing sources of weather information. Presentations for work that transitions research to operations.
Community Discussion last 45 min
2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Hall 4 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
poster session for Atmospheric Convection and TropoChem sessions
Wednesday and Thursday Poster Session for EIPT Conference focusing on topics covered during the last two days of sessions.
Posters related to:
- sudden stratospheric warmings
- stratosphere-troposphere coupling
- middle atmospheric dynamics
- reanalyses / data assimilation
- ozone
Joint between the 19th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction and the Third Symposium on Prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation: Processes, Prediction and Impact
4:00 PM-4:30 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
4:00 PM-4:45 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
4:00 PM-5:00 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
ASLI Business Meeting
Location: 129B (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
4:00 PM-5:15 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
Often climate models and data are complex and built for use by climate scientists, but what about the decision makers looking for climate information to make decisions? Creating information from climate data and models involves making the data easy to understand and useful to citizen scientists and non-scientists alike. How can climate experts provide outlooks on climate useful for decisions on policy, infrastructure, resources, and life and safety? Some issues related to providing this information include data/model uncertainty, sampling errors, spatial resolution, model downscaling, visualization, liability, and risk management, to name a few. This panel will discuss plans, strategies, challenges, perspectives, technologies, and the future of climate change information and services for society.
4
Predictability
Location: 229A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
With the potential for more frequent and more intense extreme events in parts of the world as a consequence of climate change, there is increasing focus on science in the context of minimizing risk and vulnerability. This session will showcase the scientific advances, impacts, and lessons learned through the lens of Western drought events. Topics of interest include predictability of US drought on multiple scales, climate change attribution of drought, lessons gleaned from the applied science community, planning and processes for drought, and cascading impacts of drought on both the ecological and urban environments. Papers addressing social and economic impacts are particularly encouraged. Note that papers do not have to directly relate to Western US drought, but can also discuss impacts and response to other extreme events in other parts of the US and the world from which transferable lessons might be shared.
A continuation of the University Education Initiatives I session
The theme of this session is precipitation measurement/estimation techniques, and applications that demonstrate the downstream impacts of improved quantitative precipitation information for hydrologic, land surface, and weather modeling. Presentations in this session will focus on the following subjects:
(1) Advances in precipitation measurement devices and methods;
(2) Techniques for fusing precipitation observations from remote-sensing and in situ platforms, and related datasets;
(3) Existing and emerging high-resolution real-time and retrospective precipitation data sets;
(4) Effects of improving precipitation precision and accuracy on hydrologic predictions, fluxes from land surface models, Numeric Weather Model predictions, climate monitoring, and engineering design;
(5) User requirements for precipitation information and gaps in existing data sets and observing platforms.
Moderated panel, where panelists will highlight ongoing research, plans, or implemented strategies for integrating social sciences into operations.
4:30 PM-5:30 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
5:30 PM-6:30 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
Awards Banquet Reception in the Exhibit Hall
Location: Hall 5 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
7:00 PM-8:30 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
7:00 PM-10:00 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
95th AMS Awards Banquet
Location: North Ballroom (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Thursday, 8 January 2015
8:30 AM-9:15 AM: Thursday, 8 January 2015
8:30 AM-9:30 AM: Thursday, 8 January 2015
4
Vendor Updates
Location: 129B (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
8:30 AM-9:45 AM: Thursday, 8 January 2015
Papers dealing on Rainfall distribution, impacts and Mitigation and monoon variability
Extreme heat's impact on physical, mental, or emotional health of communities and tools which can improve future resilience or policy
This session invites papers that focus on scientific and operational, practical issues related to predicting and defining drought and reducing drought impacts. Topics of interest include the formulation and use of drought indices and definitions, and the characterization of drought impacts across the diverse climates of North America and the world. In particular, we welcome presentations spanning a range from drought analysis and prediction to management activities for high-impact drought events, on statewide to continental scales, and including applications such as drought early warning systems. Policy responses for managing drought are also of interest.
8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Thursday, 8 January 2015
8:45 AM-9:45 AM: Thursday, 8 January 2015
9:15 AM-9:45 AM: Thursday, 8 January 2015
9:45 AM-11:00 AM: Thursday, 8 January 2015
Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Hall 4 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Poster presentations
11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Thursday, 8 January 2015
2
Monsoon Dynamics
Location: 125AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Papers dealing in Monsoon Dynamics
Split session into two to accomodate Radar change
Session to discuss current future satellite data operational capabilities.
12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Thursday, 8 January 2015
Birds of a Feather Lunch
Location: 129B (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Due to unforeseen circumstances, Springer Lunch and Learn is cancelled. Instead, please join us for a “” Lunch. Depending on interests, we’ll offer topics for small groups to discuss over lunches at nearby venues. Flock to the group of your choice, or perhaps we’ll migrate together.
12:15 PM-1:15 PM: Thursday, 8 January 2015
Town Hall Meeting: Future of the Weather Enterprise
Location: 222A-C (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
To advance the dialogue on the collaboration of private, public, and adademic elements of the weather enterprise for the future, panelists will discuss weather services infrastructure, trends, and innovations as a wrap-up to the Annual Meeting Theme of "Fullilling the Vision of Weather, Water, Climate Information for Every Need, Time, and Place" in collaboration with the AMS Commission ont he Weather and Climate Enterprise.
12:45 PM-1:05 PM: Thursday, 8 January 2015
Daily Weather Briefings
Location: 132AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
1:30 PM-2:00 PM: Thursday, 8 January 2015
This session will feature common ground these two archivists find in their interwoven disciplines: past, present and future.
1:30 PM-2:15 PM: Thursday, 8 January 2015
1:30 PM-3:00 PM: Thursday, 8 January 2015
2:00 PM-3:00 PM: Thursday, 8 January 2015
2:15 PM-3:00 PM: Thursday, 8 January 2015
3:00 PM-3:05 PM: Thursday, 8 January 2015
3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Thursday, 8 January 2015
Coffee Break
Location: Meeting room foyers (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Meet the President
Location: 126A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
3:30 PM-4:15 PM: Thursday, 8 January 2015
3:30 PM-5:00 PM: Thursday, 8 January 2015
Papers dealing with monsoon prediction
As dataset sizes increase, and petascale computational systems are becoming more common, moving large data sets between computational resources and separate analysis sites has become problematical. This session will examine examine approaches to access, postprocess and visualize large data sets remotely, and discuss methods to move large data sets efficiently, if need be.
15
Ozone
Location: 212A West Building (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
3:30 PM-5:30 PM: Thursday, 8 January 2015
4:15 PM-4:30 PM: Thursday, 8 January 2015
Closing Remarks
Location: 129B (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
5:00 PM-5:05 PM: Thursday, 8 January 2015
AMS 95th Annual Meeting Adjourns