6
Electric Generation Forecast Modeling for Wind and Solar

- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates an Award Winner
Tuesday, 6 January 2015: 1:30 PM-3:00 PM
224B (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: Sixth Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy
Cochairs:  Evan G. Osler, NRG Systems, Inc., Hinesburg, VT and James M. Wilczak, NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO

Papers:
  1:30 PM
6.1
Power Curve Modeling in Complex Terrain Using Statistical Models
Vera Bulaevskaya, LLNL, Livermore, CA; and S. Wharton, A. Clifton, G. Qualley, and W. Miller

  1:45 PM
6.2
An Operational Forecasting System for Renewable Power in the Southwest US Using NWP, Satellite Imagery, and DG PV Production Data
William F. Holmgren, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and M. Leuthold, C. K. Kim, A. T. Lorenzo, E. A. Betterton, and A. D. Cronin
Recorded Presentation

  2:00 PM
6.3
Design and Evaluation of the Distributed Solar Power Production Forecast Component of the Solar and Wind Integrated Forecast Tool (SWIFT)
John Zack, AWS Truepower LLC, Albany, NY; and K. Waight, S. Young, and E. J. Natenberg
Recorded Presentation

  2:15 PM
6.4
Improvements in Satellite-Derived Short-Term Insolation Forecasting: Statistical Comparisons, Challenges for Advection-Based Forecasts, and New Techniques
Matthew A. Rogers, CIRA/Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and S. D. Miller, J. M. Haynes, A. Heidinger, S. E. Haupt, and M. Sengupta
Recorded Presentation

  2:30 PM
6.5
Weather Regime Identification to Improve Forecasts of Variable Energy Resources
Chris Hayes, DNV GL, Portland, OR; and J. C. Collier and E. Novakovskaia
Recorded Presentation

  2:45 PM
6.6
HRRR/Rapid Refresh Assimilation/Modeling improvements for Wind/Solar Energy Guidance
Stan Benjamin, NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and J. B. Olson, E. James, J. Brown, C. Alexander, and J. Kenyon
Recorded Presentation

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