1
Maximizing the Utility of Ensembles

- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates an Award Winner
Wednesday, 7 January 2015: 8:30 AM-10:00 AM
123 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: Special Symposium on Model Postprocessing and Downscaling
Cochairs:  Brian J. Etherton, NOAA/OAR/ESRL, Boulder, CO and Barbara G. Brown, Research Applications Laboratory, NCAR, Boulder, CO

Papers:
  8:30 AM
1.1
A Hybrid, Analog-NWP Ensemble
F. Anthony (Tony) Eckel, Microsoft, Bellevue, WA; and L. delle Monache
Recorded Presentation

Handout (1.4 MB)

  8:45 AM
1.2
Tigge Ensemble Forecasts with Useful Skill-Spread Relationships for African Meningitis and Asia Streamflow Forecasting
Thomas M. Hopson, NCAR, Boulder, CO

  9:00 AM
1.3
Quantifying Decision-Relevant Uncertainties in Climate Model Ensembles Across Multiple Spatial and Temporal Scales
Ryan L. Sriver, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and K. Keller and C. E. Forest
Recorded Presentation

  9:15 AM
1.4
The Application and Evaluation of Analog Ensemble Method to Day-Ahead Temperature Forecasting in California
Steven H. Young, MESO, Inc., Troy, NY; and J. Zack
Recorded Presentation

  9:30 AM
1.5
Producing a Synthesis Forecast and Uncertainty Estimation From Multiple, Disparate Forecast Products
Matthew S. Wandishin, NOAA/ESRL/Global Systems Division/CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and G. Layne, M. A. Petty, and B. J. Etherton
Recorded Presentation

  9:45 AM
1.6
Poster Introductions (Invited Presentation)
Barbara G. Brown, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and B. J. Etherton and S. Sellars
Recorded Presentation

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