Special Symposium on Model Postprocessing and Downscaling
	
	
			
			
Special Symposium on Model Postprocessing and Downscaling
	
	
Program Chairs:
		
	
	
 - Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
 - Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting - Indicates paper is an Award Winner
 - Indicates paper is an Award WinnerSaturday, 3 January 2015
7:30 AM-10:00 AM: Saturday, 3 January 2015
	
		Registration for Student Conference and Short Courses	
		
			
	
	
	
	
	
Location: Lobby of Exhibit Hall 5 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
	
	
	
	Sunday, 4 January 2015
7:30 AM-9:00 AM: Sunday, 4 January 2015
	
		Registration for Short Courses and Conference for Early Career Professionals
		
			
	
	
	
	
	
Location: Lobby of Exhibit Hall 5 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
	
	
	
	9:00 AM-6:00 PM: Sunday, 4 January 2015
	
		Registration Open for Annual Meeting
		
			
	
	
	
	
	
Location: Lobby of Exhibit Hall 5 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
	
	
	
	12:00 PM-4:00 PM: Sunday, 4 January 2015
	
		WeatherFest
		
			
	
	
	
	
	
Location: Hall 1 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
	
	
	
	3:00 PM-4:00 PM: Sunday, 4 January 2015
	
		Newcomer’s Welcome and Informational Exchange
		
			
	
	
	
	
	
Location: 127ABC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
	
	
	
	4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Sunday, 4 January 2015
	
		95th Annual Review, New Fellows, and Featured Awards
		
			
	
	
	
	
	
Location: 122BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
	
	
	
	5:45 PM-8:00 PM: Sunday, 4 January 2015
	
		Fellows Reception
		
			
	
	
	
	
	
Location: North Ballroom Foyer (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
	
	
	
	Monday, 5 January 2015
7:30 AM-6:00 PM: Monday, 5 January 2015
	
		Registration Continues through January 7
		
			
	
	
	
	
	
Location: Lobby of Exhibit Hall 5 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
	
	
	
	9:00 AM-10:30 AM: Monday, 5 January 2015

	
		
					
					
					
					
					
					
					Plenary Session
					
					
						
					
					
					
						
		1
		
		
	
	
	
	
		15th Presidential Forum: Will Weather Change Forever—Anticipating Meteorology in 2040
		
			
				Location: North Ballroom CD (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
		
			Hosts: (Joint
			
				between the Major Weather Events and Societal Impacts of 2014; 
			
				the Eugenia Kalnay Symposium; 
			
				the Harry R. Glahn Symposium; 
			
				the 31st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; 
			
				the 29th Conference on Hydrology; 
			
				the 27th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; 
			
				the 24th Symposium on Education; 
			
				the 20th Conference on Satellite Meteorology and Oceanography; 
			
				the 20th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification; 
			
				the 19th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); 
			
				the 19th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; 
			
				the 18th Conference on Middle Atmosphere; 
			
				the 17th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; 
			
				the 17th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; 
			
				the 13th Conference on Artificial Intelligence; 
			
				the 13th Symposium on the Coastal Environment; 
			
				the 13th History Symposium; 
			
				the 12th Conference on Space Weather; 
			
				the 11th Annual Symposium on New Generation Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; 
			
				the 10th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; 
			
				the Eighth Annual CCM Forum: Certified Consulting Meteorologists; 
			
				the Seventh Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; 
			
				the Seventh Conference on the Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data; 
			
				the Seventh Symposium on Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions; 
			
				the Sixth Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; 
			
				the Sixth Conference on Environment and Health; 
			
				the Fifth Conference on Transition of Research to Operations; 
			
				the Fifth Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python; 
			
				the Third Annual Conference for Early Career Professionals; 
			
				the Third Symposium on the Weather and Climate Enterprise; 
			
				the Third Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events; 
			
				the Third Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; 
			
				the Third Symposium on Prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation: Processes, Prediction and Impact; 
			
				the First Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; 
			
				the Special Symposium on Model Postprocessing and Downscaling; 
			
				the Special Symposium on the South Asia Monsoon; 
			
				the Air Pollution Meteorology and Human Health Symposium; 
			
				and the 15th Presidential Forum
			)
				
	
	
	
		Program Chair:
		
	
		Moderator:
		
	
		Keynote:
		
	
		Panelists:
		
	
	Twenty five years hence, meteorology will be much different and expand far beyond the traditional weather forecast. Personal sensors will monitor weather nearly everywhere. Advanced computing will allow us to forecast at perhaps minute scales and kilometer resolutions, customized for each particular user. Post-mobile devices will enable instantaneous use of the information – even in remote areas of today’s developing nations. Transportation will be safer, businesses will operate more efficiently, events will automatically schedule around anticipated weather, and much more. Operational weather forecasts will be interlaced with new environmental elements that impact economic, health, energy, and security decisions.  Many aspects of our daily lives will change forever. Climate change’s possibilities add a critical dimension to community resiliency. Should global weather patterns be altered, forecasting could become more challenging than today. The recent release of the fifth IPCC synthesis report has brought focus to this particular issue.  Dr. Kathryn Sullivan, NOAA Administrator, will lead the session with a keynote on her vision for the meteorology enterprise in the year 2040.  Following her keynote, the panelists - representing different demographics and perspectives - will then provide their vision, accompanied by a moderated discussion among the panelists.
			
	
	
	
	
	 
		
			9:16 AM
		
	
	
	
	
		
			
				Dr. Kathryn Sullivan: AMS 2015 Annual Meeting Presidential Forum Keynote
			
			
			
				
			
			
			
		
	
		
		
 
		
			9:24 AM
		
	
	
	
	
		
			
				Curtis Walker: Will Weather Change Forever – Anticipating Meteorology in 2040
			
			
			
				
			
			
			
		
	
		
		
 
		
			9:32 AM
		
	
	
	
	
		
			
				Bernadette Woods Placky: Will Weather Change Forever? Anticipating Meteorology in 2040
			
			
			
				
			
			
			
		
	
		
		
 
		
			9:40 AM
		
	
	
	
	
		
			
				Mac Devine: The Perfect Storm Intensifies - The Convergence of BigData, Cloud and the Internet of Things is Now at Full Strength
			
			
			
				
			
			
			
		
	
		
		
12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Monday, 5 January 2015
	
		Lunch Break
		
	
	
	
	
			
	
	
	
	
	
1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Monday, 5 January 2015

	
		
					
					Joint Session
					
					
					
					
					
					
					
						
					
					
					
						
		1
		
		
	
	
	
	
		Assessing the Skill of Statistical Downscaling Techniques: Questioning Assumptions and Quantifying Value
		
			
	
	
	
	
	Location: 124B (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
		
			Hosts: (Joint
			
				between the Special Symposium on Model Postprocessing and Downscaling; 
			
				and the 13th Conference on Artificial Intelligence
			)
				
	
	
	
		Cochairs:
		
	
	2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Monday, 5 January 2015
	
		Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
		
			
	
	
	
	
	
Location: Hall 4 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
	
	
	
	4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Monday, 5 January 2015

	
		
					
					
					Themed Joint Session
					
					
					
					
					
					
						
					
					
					
						
		1
		
		
	
	
	
	
		The Last Mile: Methods and Technologies for Delivering Custom Weather, Water, and Climate Information to Everyone in the World
		
			
	
	
	
	
	Location: 124B (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
		
			Hosts: (Joint
			
				between the 13th Conference on Artificial Intelligence; 
			
				the 31st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; 
			
				and the Special Symposium on Model Postprocessing and Downscaling
			)
				
	
	
	
		Cochairs:
		
	
	5:30 PM-7:30 PM: Monday, 5 January 2015
	
		Reception and Exhibits Opening
		
			
	
	
	
	
	
Location: Hall 5 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
	
	
	
	Tuesday, 6 January 2015
11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015

	
		
					
					
					
					
					
					
					
					Lecture 
					
						
					
					
					
						
		1
		
		
	
	
	
	
		Bernhard Haurwitz Memorial Lecture
		
			
	
	
	
	
	Location: 122BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
		
			Hosts: (Joint
			
				between the 15th Presidential Forum; 
			
				the Major Weather Events and Societal Impacts of 2014; 
			
				the Eugenia Kalnay Symposium; 
			
				the Harry R. Glahn Symposium; 
			
				the 31st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; 
			
				the 29th Conference on Hydrology; 
			
				the 24th Symposium on Education; 
			
				the 20th Conference on Satellite Meteorology and Oceanography; 
			
				the 20th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification; 
			
				the 19th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); 
			
				the 19th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; 
			
				the 27th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; 
			
				the 18th Conference on Middle Atmosphere; 
			
				the 17th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; 
			
				the 17th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; 
			
				the 13th Conference on Artificial Intelligence; 
			
				the 13th Symposium on the Coastal Environment; 
			
				the 13th History Symposium; 
			
				the 12th Conference on Space Weather; 
			
				the 11th Annual Symposium on New Generation Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; 
			
				the 10th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; 
			
				the Seventh Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; 
			
				the Seventh Conference on the Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data; 
			
				the Seventh Symposium on Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions; 
			
				the Sixth Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; 
			
				the Sixth Conference on Environment and Health; 
			
				the Fifth Conference on Transition of Research to Operations; 
			
				the Third Symposium on the Weather and Climate Enterprise; 
			
				the Third Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events; 
			
				the Third Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; 
			
				the Third Symposium on Prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation: Processes, Prediction and Impact; 
			
				the First Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; 
			
				and the Special Symposium on Model Postprocessing and Downscaling
			)
				
	
	
	
	Wednesday, 7 January 2015
8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015

	
		
					Session
					
					
					
					
					
					
					
					
						
					
					
					
						
		1
		
		
	
	
	
	
		Maximizing the Utility of Ensembles
		
			
	
	
	
	
	Location: 123 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
		
			Host: Special Symposium on Model Postprocessing and Downscaling
				
	
	
	
		Cochairs:
		
	
	9:00 AM-11:00 AM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
	
		Spouses' Coffee
		
	
	
	
	
			
	
	
	
	
	
10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
	
		Coffee Break
		
			
	
	
	
	
	
Location: Hall 5 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
	
	
	
	
	
		Meet the President
		
			
	
	
	
	
	
Location: 126A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
	
	
	
	10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015

	
		
					Session
					
					
					
					
					
					
					
					
						
					
					
					
						
		2
		
		
	
	
	
	
		Statistical and Dynamical Downscaling
		
			
	
	
	
	
	Location: 123 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
		
			Host: Special Symposium on Model Postprocessing and Downscaling
				
	
	
	
		Cochairs:
		
	
	
		
			
				Paper 2.3 has been moved. New poster number is 927.
			
			
			
				
			
			
			
				
				
				
		
	
		
		
12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
	
		Lunch Break
		
	
	
	
	
			
	
	
	
	
	
12:45 PM-1:05 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
	
		Daily Weather Briefings
		
			
	
	
	
	
	
Location: 132AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
	
	
	
	1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
	
		
					
					
					
					
					
					
					
					Lecture 
					
						
					
					
					
						
		2
		
		
	
	
	
	
		Horton Lecture
		
			
	
	
	
	
	Location: 127ABC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
		
			Hosts: (Joint
			
				between the Eugenia Kalnay Symposium; 
			
				the 31st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; 
			
				the 27th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; 
			
				the 24th Symposium on Education; 
			
				the 20th Conference on Satellite Meteorology and Oceanography; 
			
				the 20th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification; 
			
				the 19th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); 
			
				the 19th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; 
			
				the 29th Conference on Hydrology; 
			
				the 18th Conference on Middle Atmosphere; 
			
				the 17th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; 
			
				the 17th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; 
			
				the 13th Conference on Artificial Intelligence; 
			
				the 13th Symposium on the Coastal Environment; 
			
				the 13th History Symposium; 
			
				the 12th Conference on Space Weather; 
			
				the 11th Annual Symposium on New Generation Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; 
			
				the 10th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; 
			
				the Eighth Annual CCM Forum: Certified Consulting Meteorologists; 
			
				the Seventh Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; 
			
				the Seventh Conference on the Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data; 
			
				the Seventh Symposium on Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions; 
			
				the Sixth Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; 
			
				the Sixth Conference on Environment and Health; 
			
				the Fifth Conference on Transition of Research to Operations; 
			
				the Third Symposium on the Weather and Climate Enterprise; 
			
				the Third Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events; 
			
				the Third Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; 
			
				the Third Symposium on Prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation: Processes, Prediction and Impact; 
			
				the First Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; 
			
				and the Special Symposium on Model Postprocessing and Downscaling
			)
				
	
	
	
		Chair:
		
	
	
	
		
					Session
					
					
					
					
					
					
					
					
						
					
					
					
						
		3
		
		
	
	
	
	
		Post-Processing and Product Generation - Part 1
		
			
	
	
	
	
	Location: 123 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
		
			Host: Special Symposium on Model Postprocessing and Downscaling
				
	
	
	
		Cochairs:
		
	
	2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
	
		Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
		
			
	
	
	
	
	
Location: Hall 4 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
	
	
	
	
	
		 
					
					
					
					Poster Session
					
					
					
					
					
						
					
					
					
					
		
		
	
	
	
	
		Model Postprocessing and Downscaling
		
		
			
			
	
	
	
	
	Host: Special Symposium on Model Postprocessing and Downscaling
				
	
	
	
		Cochairs:
		
	
	4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015

	
		
					Session
					
					
					
					
					
					
					
					
						
					
					
					
						
		4
		
		
	
	
	
	
		Post-Processing and Product Generation - Part 2
		
			
	
	
	
	
	Location: 123 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
		
			Host: Special Symposium on Model Postprocessing and Downscaling
				
	
	
	
		Cochairs:
		
	
	 
		
			4:00 PM
		
	
	
	
	
			
		4.1
				
	
	
	
		
		
5:30 PM-6:30 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
	
		Awards Banquet Reception in the Exhibit Hall
		
			
	
	
	
	
	
Location: Hall 5 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
	
	
	
	7:00 PM-10:00 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
	
		95th AMS Awards Banquet
		
			
	
	
	
	
	
Location: North Ballroom (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
	
	
	
	Thursday, 8 January 2015
9:45 AM-11:00 AM: Thursday, 8 January 2015
	
		Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
		
			
	
	
	
	
	
Location: Hall 4 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
	
	
	
	11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Thursday, 8 January 2015
	
		
					
					
					
					
					
					
					
					Lecture 
					
						
					
					
					
						
		3
		
		
	
	
	
	
		Walter Orr Roberts Lecture
		
			
	
	
	
	
	Location: 124A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
		
			Hosts: (Joint
			
				between the Major Weather Events and Societal Impacts of 2014; 
			
				the 15th Presidential Forum; 
			
				the Eugenia Kalnay Symposium; 
			
				the Harry R. Glahn Symposium; 
			
				the 31st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; 
			
				the 29th Conference on Hydrology; 
			
				the 27th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; 
			
				the 24th Symposium on Education; 
			
				the 20th Conference on Satellite Meteorology and Oceanography; 
			
				the 20th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification; 
			
				the 19th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); 
			
				the 19th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; 
			
				the 17th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; 
			
				the 18th Conference on Middle Atmosphere; 
			
				the 17th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; 
			
				the 13th Conference on Artificial Intelligence; 
			
				the 13th Symposium on the Coastal Environment; 
			
				the 13th History Symposium; 
			
				the 12th Conference on Space Weather; 
			
				the 11th Annual Symposium on New Generation Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; 
			
				the 10th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; 
			
				the Seventh Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; 
			
				the Seventh Conference on the Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data; 
			
				the Seventh Symposium on Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions; 
			
				the Sixth Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; 
			
				the Sixth Conference on Environment and Health; 
			
				the Fifth Conference on Transition of Research to Operations; 
			
				the Fifth Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python; 
			
				the Third Symposium on the Weather and Climate Enterprise; 
			
				the Third Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events; 
			
				the Third Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; 
			
				the Third Symposium on Prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation: Processes, Prediction and Impact; 
			
				the First Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; 
			
				the Special Symposium on Model Postprocessing and Downscaling; 
			
				and the Air Pollution Meteorology and Human Health Symposium
			)
				
	
	
	
	5:00 PM-5:05 PM: Thursday, 8 January 2015
	
		AMS 95th Annual Meeting Adjourns
		
	
	
	
	
			
	
	
	
	
	




