1.2 The 2015-2016 El Niño: A Communication Retrospective

Tuesday, 24 January 2017: 9:00 AM
Ballroom 6E (Washington State Convention Center )
Emily J. Becker, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, College Park, MD; and M. L'Heureux, A. G. Barnston, and T. Di Liberto

The 2015-2016 El Niño was one of the strongest events on record, and the growth, peak, and decline of warm SST anomalies in the Niño3.4 region were generally well forecast. The impacts to global weather and climate were more difficult to predict, including a lack of increased winter precipitation in Southern California. Communication of both forecast confidence and uncertainty are critical, especially in a situation with high media interest. We’ll review the evolution of the El Niño event and our forecast communication, including in the ENSO Blog at NOAA’s Climate.gov.
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