Saturday, 21 January 2017
9:00 AM-9:40 AM: Saturday, 21 January 2017
1
Welcoming Remarks
Location: Conference Center: Tahoma 3/4 (Washington State Convention Center )
9:40 AM-10:10 AM: Saturday, 21 January 2017
Get primed for the AMS Student Conference! Our first speakers will help set you up for a successful conference in Seattle. You’ll get tips on how to network, walk up to big-name scientists, and how to make yourself competitive in achieving your future goals.
10:10 AM-10:25 AM: Saturday, 21 January 2017
COFFEE BREAK IN TAHOMA FOYER
10:25 AM-11:10 AM: Saturday, 21 January 2017
You’ll get a chance to attend two unique panels during this breakout session, which are designed to highlight a range of careers in meteorology based on your skills and interests. You will have a chance to ask professionals how they got their jobs, what they do, and what you can do now to prepare yourself to follow in their footsteps. Note: Each rotation will consist of a 45-minute discussion period followed by a 5-minute transition period (2 discussions).
Rotation 1: 10:25am - 11:10am
Rotation 2: 11:15am - 12:00pm
You’ll get a chance to attend two unique panels during this breakout session, which are designed to highlight a range of careers in meteorology based on your skills and interests. You will have a chance to ask professionals how they got their jobs, what they do, and what you can do now to prepare yourself to follow in their footsteps. Note: Each rotation will consist of a 45-minute discussion period followed by a 5-minute transition period (2 discussions).
Rotation 1: 10:25am - 11:10am
Rotation 2: 11:15am - 12:00pm
You’ll get a chance to attend two unique panels during this breakout session, which are designed to highlight a range of careers in meteorology based on your skills and interests. You will have a chance to ask professionals how they got their jobs, what they do, and what you can do now to prepare yourself to follow in their footsteps. Note: Each rotation will consist of a 45-minute discussion period followed by a 5-minute transition period (2 discussions).
Rotation 1: 10:25am - 11:10am
Rotation 2: 11:15am - 12:00pm
You’ll get a chance to attend two unique panels during this breakout session, which are designed to highlight a range of careers in meteorology based on your skills and interests. You will have a chance to ask professionals how they got their jobs, what they do, and what you can do now to prepare yourself to follow in their footsteps. Note: Each rotation will consist of a 45-minute discussion period followed by a 5-minute transition period (2 discussions).
Rotation 1: 10:25am - 11:10am
Rotation 2: 11:15am - 12:00pm
11:15 AM-12:00 PM: Saturday, 21 January 2017
You’ll get a chance to attend two unique panels during this breakout session, which are designed to highlight a range of careers in meteorology based on your skills and interests. You will have a chance to ask professionals how they got their jobs, what they do, and what you can do now to prepare yourself to follow in their footsteps. Note: Each rotation will consist of a 45-minute discussion period followed by a 5-minute transition period (2 discussions).
Rotation 1: 10:25am - 11:10am
Rotation 2: 11:15am - 12:00pm
You’ll get a chance to attend two unique panels during this breakout session, which are designed to highlight a range of careers in meteorology based on your skills and interests. You will have a chance to ask professionals how they got their jobs, what they do, and what you can do now to prepare yourself to follow in their footsteps. Note: Each rotation will consist of a 45-minute discussion period followed by a 5-minute transition period (2 discussions).
Rotation 1: 10:25am - 11:10am
Rotation 2: 11:15am - 12:00pm
You’ll get a chance to attend two unique panels during this breakout session, which are designed to highlight a range of careers in meteorology based on your skills and interests. You will have a chance to ask professionals how they got their jobs, what they do, and what you can do now to prepare yourself to follow in their footsteps. Note: Each rotation will consist of a 45-minute discussion period followed by a 5-minute transition period (2 discussions).
Rotation 1: 10:25am - 11:10am
Rotation 2: 11:15am - 12:00pm
You’ll get a chance to attend two unique panels during this breakout session, which are designed to highlight a range of careers in meteorology based on your skills and interests. You will have a chance to ask professionals how they got their jobs, what they do, and what you can do now to prepare yourself to follow in their footsteps. Note: Each rotation will consist of a 45-minute discussion period followed by a 5-minute transition period (2 discussions).
Rotation 1: 10:25am - 11:10am
Rotation 2: 11:15am - 12:00pm
12:00 PM-1:00 PM: Saturday, 21 January 2017
STUDENT CONFERENCE LUNCHEON
Location: 4E (Washington State Convention Center )
1:00 PM-1:30 PM: Saturday, 21 January 2017
Stretch your mind by learning about the wide variety of careers in meteorology and related fields. From traditional to non-traditional careers, we’ve assembled a group of professionals who will each give a 2-3 minute introduction on who they are, what they do, and why you’ll want to talk with them in the next session. Be sure to note their room numbers!
1:35 PM-3:45 PM: Saturday, 21 January 2017
Stretch your mind by learning about the wide variety of careers in meteorology and related fields. In this session, you’ll have an opportunity to meet with professionals in small-group settings and discuss their jobs. This is a great opportunity to ask questions and have discussions with top professionals! Note: Each rotation will consist of a 20-minute discussion period followed by a 7-minute transition period (5 discussions).
Rotation 1: 1:35p - 1:55p Rotation 2: 2:02p - 2:22p
Rotation 3: 2:29p - 2:49p Rotation 4: 2:56p - 3:16p
Rotation 5: 3:23p - 3:43p
Stretch your mind by learning about the wide variety of careers in meteorology and related fields. In this session, you’ll have an opportunity to meet with professionals in small-group settings and discuss their jobs. This is a great opportunity to ask questions and have discussions with top professionals! Note: Each rotation will consist of a 20-minute discussion period followed by a 7-minute transition period (5 discussions).
Rotation 1: 1:35p - 1:55p Rotation 2: 2:02p - 2:22p
Rotation 3: 2:29p - 2:49p Rotation 4: 2:56p - 3:16p
Rotation 5: 3:23p - 3:43p
Stretch your mind by learning about the wide variety of careers in meteorology and related fields. In this session, you’ll have an opportunity to meet with professionals in small-group settings and discuss their jobs. This is a great opportunity to ask questions and have discussions with top professionals! Note: Each rotation will consist of a 20-minute discussion period followed by a 7-minute transition period (5 discussions).
Rotation 1: 1:35p - 1:55p Rotation 2: 2:02p - 2:22p
Rotation 3: 2:29p - 2:49p Rotation 4: 2:56p - 3:16p
Rotation 5: 3:23p - 3:43p
Stretch your mind by learning about the wide variety of careers in meteorology and related fields. In this session, you’ll have an opportunity to meet with professionals in small-group settings and discuss their jobs. This is a great opportunity to ask questions and have discussions with top professionals! Note: Each rotation will consist of a 20-minute discussion period followed by a 7-minute transition period (5 discussions).
Rotation 1: 1:35p - 1:55p Rotation 2: 2:02p - 2:22p
Rotation 3: 2:29p - 2:49p Rotation 4: 2:56p - 3:16p
Rotation 5: 3:23p - 3:43p
Stretch your mind by learning about the wide variety of careers in meteorology and related fields. In this session, you’ll have an opportunity to meet with professionals in small-group settings and discuss their jobs. This is a great opportunity to ask questions and have discussions with top professionals! Note: Each rotation will consist of a 20-minute discussion period followed by a 7-minute transition period (5 discussions).
Rotation 1: 1:35p - 1:55p Rotation 2: 2:02p - 2:22p
Rotation 3: 2:29p - 2:49p Rotation 4: 2:56p - 3:16p
Rotation 5: 3:23p - 3:43p
Stretch your mind by learning about the wide variety of careers in meteorology and related fields. In this session, you’ll have an opportunity to meet with professionals in small-group settings and discuss their jobs. This is a great opportunity to ask questions and have discussions with top professionals! Note: Each rotation will consist of a 20-minute discussion period followed by a 7-minute transition period (5 discussions).
Rotation 1: 1:35p - 1:55p Rotation 2: 2:02p - 2:22p
Rotation 3: 2:29p - 2:49p Rotation 4: 2:56p - 3:16p
Rotation 5: 3:23p - 3:43p
Stretch your mind by learning about the wide variety of careers in meteorology and related fields. In this session, you’ll have an opportunity to meet with professionals in small-group settings and discuss their jobs. This is a great opportunity to ask questions and have discussions with top professionals! Note: Each rotation will consist of a 20-minute discussion period followed by a 7-minute transition period (5 discussions).
Stretch your mind by learning about the wide variety of careers in meteorology and related fields. In this session, you’ll have an opportunity to meet with professionals in small-group settings and discuss their jobs. This is a great opportunity to ask questions and have discussions with top professionals! Note: Each rotation will consist of a 20-minute discussion period followed by a 7-minute transition period (5 discussions).
Stretch your mind by learning about the wide variety of careers in meteorology and related fields. In this session, you’ll have an opportunity to meet with professionals in small-group settings and discuss their jobs. This is a great opportunity to ask questions and have discussions with top professionals! Note: Each rotation will consist of a 20-minute discussion period followed by a 7-minute transition period (5 discussions).
Stretch your mind by learning about the wide variety of careers in meteorology and related fields. In this session, you’ll have an opportunity to meet with professionals in small-group settings and discuss their jobs. This is a great opportunity to ask questions and have discussions with top professionals! Note: Each rotation will consist of a 20-minute discussion period followed by a 7-minute transition period (5 discussions).
Stretch your mind by learning about the wide variety of careers in meteorology and related fields. In this session, you’ll have an opportunity to meet with professionals in small-group settings and discuss their jobs. This is a great opportunity to ask questions and have discussions with top professionals! Note: Each rotation will consist of a 20-minute discussion period followed by a 7-minute transition period (5 discussions).
Stretch your mind by learning about the wide variety of careers in meteorology and related fields. In this session, you’ll have an opportunity to meet with professionals in small-group settings and discuss their jobs. This is a great opportunity to ask questions and have discussions with top professionals! Note: Each rotation will consist of a 20-minute discussion period followed by a 7-minute transition period (5 discussions).
This panel session will run concurrently with Conversations with Professionals and feature current graduate students. Two groups of students will split the rotations to allow for multiple points of view. Join one group or both, but be sure to come with questions for your fellow students!
This panel session will run concurrently with Conversations with Professionals and feature current graduate students. Two groups of students will split the rotations to allow for multiple points of view. Join one group or both, but be sure to come with questions for your fellow students!
3:20 PM-3:45 PM: Saturday, 21 January 2017
Ever wondered how a weather forecast is used to inform emergency managers and other decision-makers? If so, this is the session for you! This session will familiarize you with the Integrated Warning Team and how to get started with emergency management. Note: This session will run during the fifth rotation of Session 6a/6b.
3:45 PM-4:00 PM: Saturday, 21 January 2017
4:00 PM-5:05 PM: Saturday, 21 January 2017
Get a review of the world’s recent extreme weather events from the experts who forecast and research them.
5:30 PM-7:30 PM: Saturday, 21 January 2017
Sunday, 22 January 2017
7:30 AM-9:00 AM: Sunday, 22 January 2017
8:30 AM-9:00 AM: Sunday, 22 January 2017
COFFEE BREAK IN TAHOMA FOYER
9:00 AM-9:30 AM: Sunday, 22 January 2017
Opening remarks to the 5th Conference For Early Career Professionals and two Networking Activities to allow attendees to get to know their peers.
10
Keynote Speaker
Location: Conference Center: Tahoma 3/4 (Washington State Convention Center )
9:00 AM-6:00 PM: Sunday, 22 January 2017
9:30 AM-9:45 AM: Sunday, 22 January 2017
9:45 AM-10:15 AM: Sunday, 22 January 2017
9:45 AM-10:40 AM: Sunday, 22 January 2017
It doesn’t matter where you are or where you’re going with your career; there is always something more you can do to prepare yourself for success! This breakout session focuses on different career paths to consider and strategies for success.
It doesn’t matter where you are or where you’re going with your career; there is always something more you can do to prepare yourself for success! This breakout session focuses on different career paths to consider and strategies for success.
10:15 AM-11:45 AM: Sunday, 22 January 2017
This group discussion will center around the first steps to starting new initiatives for career development.
This breakout group will discuss imposter syndrome and provide tips on how to overcome this common issue among early career scientists.
Self Assessment is a critical skill needed for early career members to help them identify strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats to their early career. The discussion will provide early career members with a toolkit to perform a self-evaluation.
10:40 AM-10:50 AM: Sunday, 22 January 2017
10:50 AM-11:45 AM: Sunday, 22 January 2017
Employers in forecasting, research, broadcasting and nearly all other careers under the AMS umbrella seek applicants who possess not only scientific expertise, but also proficiency with specialized software platforms and programming languages ("Tools"). Sometimes the task of learning a new tool can seem daunting, and it's hard to know where to begin; this session will help you get started through a series of short talks introducing some of the "tools" used in different AMS-related careers.
Although atmospheric science is commonly associated with the physical sciences, there is an ongoing movement to incorporate societal impacts and to obtain a better understanding of how weather affects the general public. What exactly is social science, how do these researchers approach weather-related topics, and how do social scientists communicate their findings beyond the research community? This panel session will highlight the importance of social science research in the weather enterprise and elaborate on how we can use different disciplines (anthropology, communication, psychology, behavioral sciences, etc.) to better understand how the general public views weather-related hazards.
11:45 AM-12:00 PM: Sunday, 22 January 2017
12:00 PM-12:30 PM: Sunday, 22 January 2017
We’ve spent the past two days learning about new, exciting, and different career options in meteorology and ways to prepare ourselves for them. Now it’s time to assimilate our observations of the past two days.
12:00 PM-4:00 PM: Sunday, 22 January 2017
Weatherfest
Location: Ballroom 6E (Washington State Convention Center )
12:30 PM-12:35 PM: Sunday, 22 January 2017
12:35 PM-2:00 PM: Sunday, 22 January 2017
1:15 PM-1:30 PM: Sunday, 22 January 2017
Outgoing AMS President Dr. Fred Carr will address current Early Career members.
1:30 PM-3:00 PM: Sunday, 22 January 2017
This session is focused on topics such as salary negotiation, work-life balance and Understanding Roles within the scientific field. Topics will rotate among 3 groups during the 1.5 hour session.
The goal of this discussion is to provide the key components of salary negotiation and tips one can utilize during the negotiation process.
This group discussion will focus on the challenges and tips for maintaining a healthy work/life balance to minimize stress and increase productivity.
The goal of this discussion is to help early career attendees identify what is necessary to start their career and roadmap for future positions in the scientific field.
2:00 PM-3:00 PM: Sunday, 22 January 2017
In today's competitive job market, recruiters get hundreds of applications per job position. How will you make sure you stand out and secure an interview? A good resume is the first step! Come to this workshop and learn what it takes to prepare a good resume, and hear about the latest job-hunting tips! If you like, bring your resume to get feedback from job recruiters and professionals from academia and the private industry!
2:00 PM-3:30 PM: Sunday, 22 January 2017
During a severe weather event, it takes a team of leaders pooling their respective skills to ensure public safety. Join professionals from the broadcast and public sectors of meteorology, emergency managers, and other leaders in an interactive demonstration of two Integrated Warning Team exercises. With the guidance of these professionals, you will learn how all of these groups collaborate to protect the public and how physical science and social science intertwine to support decision-making.
3:00 PM-4:00 PM: Sunday, 22 January 2017
This session provides the opportunity for attendees to network with AMS members who serve on Boards, Committees, Council and meet the incoming AMS President, Dr. Matt Parker.
3:30 PM-4:30 PM: Sunday, 22 January 2017
In today's competitive job market, recruiters get hundreds of applications per job position. How will you make sure you stand out and secure an interview? A good resume is the first step! Come to this workshop and learn what it takes to prepare a good resume, and hear about the latest job-hunting tips! If you like, bring your resume to get feedback from job recruiters and professionals from academia and the private industry!
16B
Broadcast Tape Swap
Location: Conference Center: Tahoma 5 (Washington State Convention Center )
Watch aspiring broadcasters in action! Submitted tapes from students will be viewed and critiqued by a panel of professional meteorologists. Learn the do’s and don’ts of broadcast meteorology by watching the panel’s constructive criticism.
4:00 PM-5:00 PM: Sunday, 22 January 2017
This session provides the attendees to have a question and answer session with a panel of professionals within the meteorology field.
5:00 PM-5:15 PM: Sunday, 22 January 2017
6
Closing Remarks
Location: Conference Center: Tahoma 1/2 (Washington State Convention Center )
5:30 PM-7:30 PM: Sunday, 22 January 2017
Monday, 23 January 2017
9:00 AM-10:30 AM: Monday, 23 January 2017
Our ability to observe the atmosphere, hydrosphere, lithosphere, and cryosphere underlies our understanding of the Earth system and our ability to predict its evolution. The richness of Earth system observations enables us to span disciplinary boundaries to make exciting discoveries about our planet and address challenges to human health, food security, sustainable energy, water quality and abundance, and environmental change. This year’s Presidential Forum will include presentations and discussion about how our current observations serve societal needs and the limitations, vulnerabilities, and requirements for our future Earth observing system.
10:30 AM-11:00 AM: Monday, 23 January 2017
Coffee Break (6th Floor Foyer)
Location: Washington State Convention Center
11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Monday, 23 January 2017
Anthropogenic air pollutant emissions, including those from transportation, industrial, residential, and commercial sectors, contribute to the long-existing air pollution problems (PM2.5/10, VOC, O3, NOx, SOx) around globe, especially in megacities and in the developing world, in addition to the warming produced by greenhouse gas emissions. Data from ground-based and satellite aerosol and trace gas (composition) remote sensing instruments with regional and global representation, have provided major advances in the understand of air quality issues and their impacts on human, environmental and agricultural health. This Themed Joint Session invites experts from remote sensing community to discuss the greatest observational needs and future challenges to extend and improve our observations of atmospheric chemistry, aerosols, and their impacts on human, environmental and agricultural health, and climate.
This panel will present some key historical developments that produced the sub-field of meteorology and climate sciences that has come to be known, broadly, as the social sciences side of the weather and climate enterprise. This corner of the field is composed of a very diverse confederation of academic disciplines and areas of practice, and therefore, of perspectives on the very mission this field should take up. During this session, the panelists will provide an overview of the cornerstones in development for such fields as risk communication, hazards geography and disaster sociology, and discuss the linkages that have - and have not - been made with the weather and climate enterprise.
This session will focus on the scientific challenges facing space weather understanding and prediction.
1
Simulating the MJO
Location: Conference Center: Chelan 2 (Washington State Convention Center )
In 2015 the United Nations adopted Agenda 2030, a global development agenda as a blueprint for progress on economic, social and environmental sustainability. Seventeen Goals and associated Targets and Indicators anchor this 2030 Agenda. And, there is a specific provision for the use of Earth observations and geospatial information to support countries’ and stakeholders’ progress on the Goals. How will the AMS and Earth science community support the use of its data, knowledge, models, and information products to contribute to achieving the Goals? And how will Earth science data interact with and integrate with other data types that are needed to address the Agenda 2030 challenges?
There is a strong need for ideas and specific examples of how Earth science and observations can address specific Goals, Targets, and Indicators. There are near-term efforts (e.g., the Group on Earth Observations) to develop sound methods and solutions that countries and stakeholders can use in their planning, tracking, and reporting on the Goals. Strong examples are a key start in developing these sound methods and solutions. This session invites submissions of examples and proposed methods for the use of Earth science (data, models, etc.) for specific Goals, Targets, and/or Indicators.
High-impact hydro-meteorological events produce the most destructive and costly outcomes of any weather-driven phenomena world-wide. Furthermore, despite significant progress over the last several decades, forecasting and warning for these events still lacks the precision that could minimize loss of property and life, especially in developing nations. However, new observational platforms (in-situ, remote) and data-collection methods are improving our ability to assess ongoing events as well as forecast and distinguish those that could be destructive from those that probably will not be. Excessive precipitation or runoff associated with tropical cyclones/convection, land-based convection, atmospheric rivers, ENSO, wintertime snow-melt, rain-on-snow, etc. results in both flash-flooding and large-river system floods whose characteristics often depend on local soils, vegetation/agriculture, and topography. Conversely, severe droughts create deleterious impacts on crop/food production and the water supply. In this session, papers are invited that contribute to our ability to improve real-time/operational forecasts and warnings for these kinds of extremes, especially observational (as well as modeling) approaches that may vary depending upon differing societal contexts. In addition, papers that address promising and innovative methods of assessing and modeling the statistics of observed hydro-meteorological extremes as applied to real-time/operational forecasting/warning systems are encouraged. Papers that document forecast system performance vis-a-vis the effect of including new or additional observations are also encouraged. Please contact the session chair, Ana Barros (barros@duke.edu) or the session organizer, John McHenry (john.mchenry@baronweather.com) for additional information.
Model Center Overviews
12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Monday, 23 January 2017
12:15 PM-1:15 PM: Monday, 23 January 2017
The Town Hall provides an opportunity to discuss the definition of “atmospheric river” as it is being developed for the Glossary of Meteorology. Atmospheric river draft definition: A long narrow and transient corridor of anomalously strong horizontal water vapor transport that is typically located in the lowest 3 km of the troposphere and associated with a low-level jet stream ahead of the cold front of an extratropical cyclone. The water vapor in atmospheric rivers is supplied by tropical and/or extratropical moisture sources and atmospheric rivers frequently lead to heavy precipitation where they intersect topographic or other lower-tropospheric boundaries, or enter into the warm-conveyor-belt-related isentropic upward air motion. Atmospheric rivers conduct over 90 percent of all poleward water vapor transport in the extratropics in less than 10 percent of the zonal circumference of the globe.
This town hall will discuss innovative methods for flood and flash flood prediction focused on systems and methods applied at global scale. Advancements in computing power have recently enabled distributed hydrologic models to be run at 1-10 km2 spatial resolution over the world with forecast lead times up to a week. These hydrologic models are commonly forced with satellite-based rainfall or output from numerical weather prediction models. The discussion will focus on the current state of global hydrologic forecasting systems and how these systems are envisioned to evolve into the future with an emphasis on the Global Flood Partnership (GFP).
As illustrated by lack of inclusion in recent presidential debates, results from voter surveys, and ultimately by the general election outcome, climate change is not a primary issue for a substantial fraction of the general public. This may not be surprising given that it has been shown that many Americans do not think that climate change is happening or that humans are the cause, despite consensus among the vast majority of climatologists. The first step in making climate change a national priority is thus ensuring that the general public has an accurate understanding the science. Despite the existence of dozens of online resources, books, documentaries, and groups of willing science speakers through networks such as Climate Voices, the general public is not responding to this global problem as informed voters might, nor are they demanding that it be made a priority during campaigns for elected office. The goals of this Town Hall meeting are as follows: 1) To encourage participants to accept the responsibility as individual scientists to make communication of climate change a priority, 2) To identify existing obstacles to effective climate change communication, 3) To identify more effective methods for climate change communication, and 4) To establish a social network of concerned atmospheric scientists who may share educational resources and provide encouragement for young scientists to participate in this effort.
Radio frequencies are widely used in the timely measurement, collection and dissemination of critical foundational data including data from satellites, weather radar, surface observations, radiosondes etc. High quality weather and hydrologic forecasts and warnings required to ensure safety and enhance the nation’s economy are underpinned by these observations. At the same time, there is increasing and accelerating pressure from policymakers to optimize the use of the radio spectrum to support our increasingly connected world, resulting in the potential for radio frequencies used by our community to be no longer available or exhibit significant interference, affecting our community’s ability to perform our critical missions. This Town Hall will explore the current status of this issue from across the weather, water and climate enterprise, with a focus on the most pressing concerns. Additionally, opportunities to work together to meet the challenges and opportunities presented by this issue will be discussed.
Dr. Bill Hooke of the AMS Policy Program will lead a discussion on challenges early career scientists face related to law and policy. These topics are often overlooked by those starting out their careers, and much of the training is received on the job. The goals of this town hall are to expose attendees to steps they can take to best understand policy and law related to their work; and to provide managers, supervisors and those in leadership roles with ways to encourage early career scientists to be proactive when it comes to maintaining policy standards in the workplace.
What are the requirements for a national smoke health warning system? Smoke from wildland and agricultural fires is a recognized contributor to air quality degradation, yet ambient concentrations of smoke are difficult to accurately forecast and the potential risks to human, animal, and environmental health are not well understood. Epidemiological, medical, and public health expertise, along with effective communication strategies, are necessary components of an effective national system. Within the U.S., there are multiple agencies involved in providing information regarding smoke emissions, transport, and exposure estimates, as well as efforts towards developing warning systems. This Town Hall invites community discussion around this issue, and will include comments from representatives from various national agencies and the private sector.
The transportation revolution is coming. Connected vehicles (CV) are already talking to each other and the infrastructure around them, sending basic safety messages ten times per second. Smart cities are embracing the promise of connected technologies to improve safety, mobility, and sustainability for their citizens. Once deployed nationwide, these technologies will produce massive amounts of data from hundreds of millions of vehicles. What new businesses, public services, and research could these data fuel? Could CV data be used for micro-forecasting or added to the national climatic data record? What should the Federal role be in enabling nationwide access to the data while protecting the travelers’ privacy? The US Department of Transportation invites you to join the conversation and help shape our national strategy for intelligent transportation data. We will discuss our strategy for accelerating deployment of CV and smart city technologies, types and amounts of data produced, and potential uses.
Forecasts to predict Earth system conditions on subseasonal to seasonal (S2S) timescales (2 weeks to 12 months) will help to save lives, protect property, and increase economic vitality. The National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine released a report in March 2016 entitled Next Generation Earth System Prediction: Strategies for Subseasonal to Seasonal Forecasting that provides a detailed research agenda for improving the nation’s S2S forecasting capabilities. The report sets out a bold vision for the next decade – that S2S forecasts will be as widely used as short-term weather forecasts are today. Please join us for further discussion of the strategies and issues raised in the report and initial plans for responding to the report’s recommendations. There will be a panel discussion with representatives from the authoring Committee and from several funding agencies.The NAS Board on Atmospheric Sciences and Climate will provide a limited number of box lunches.
1:30 PM-2:00 PM: Monday, 23 January 2017
1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Monday, 23 January 2017
The session will provide an overview of the federal policy landscape as related to the weather, water, and climate community. The session will focus on exploring the different ways that the private sector, academic sector, Executive branch agencies, and Congress engage in the federal policy process. We hope to foster a conversation on the relationships among the diverse sectors of the weather, water, and climate enterprise.
This session will explore the interactions among climate change and extreme weather with environmentally mediated health issues. It will assess research-to-operation concepts and applications that are bringing us closer to understanding how Earth's changing environment can influence the geographic range and incidence of infectious diseases, and will explore how this research can increase our preparedness capacity.
Variations in meteorology and climate couple with a range of source types and source activity levels to yield a wide range of regional scale air quality challenges around the globe. This session solicits reports from both observational and modeling perspectives on air pollution in different regions within North America and around the globe. Presentations focusing on improving air quality and air quality challenges are both welcome. Relevant air quality issues include, but are not limited to, ozone, fine particles, smoke from wild and prescribed fires, visibility and regional haze, and reactive nitrogen deposition.
2
MJO Mechanisms
Location: Conference Center: Chelan 2 (Washington State Convention Center )
These session featuring talks on recent new platforms for space weather observations as well critical existing facilities. This session will look at some of the many new facilities that are coming into existence as well as being proposed. Existing facilities are being upgraded or developing new techniques. The focus of these two sessions will be on the way these new observational capabilities support the space weather enterprise. The emphasis will be on “the way” rather than just the observations, bringing into consideration data-assimilation, discovery missions, monitoring programs, and discussions of data/model coverage sufficient to allow predictions.
A primary connection between meteorology and the larger world comes through forecasts of the weather. But where do forecasts come from, how do forecasters make decisions, and how are the methods for both creating and disseminating forecasts changing? The panelists in this session will include forecasters as well as those who have observed and studied the forecasting process and how it has evolved through the history of our field. The discussion will center on the observations needed to make forecasts, along with the observations needed to understand and improve how forecasters do what they do, and the methods used to collect those observations.
2
Offshore Wind
Location: 606 (Washington State Convention Center )
2
WRF and Python
Location: Conference Center: Chelan 5 (Washington State Convention Center )
High-impact hydro-meteorological events produce the most destructive and costly outcomes of any weather-driven phenomena world-wide. Furthermore, despite significant progress over the last several decades, forecasting and warning for these events still lacks the precision that could minimize loss of property and life, especially in developing nations. However, new observational platforms (in-situ, remote) and data-collection methods are improving our ability to assess ongoing events as well as forecast and distinguish those that could be destructive from those that probably will not be. Excessive precipitation or runoff associated with tropical cyclones/convection, land-based convection, atmospheric rivers, ENSO, wintertime snow-melt, rain-on-snow, etc. results in both flash-flooding and large-river system floods whose characteristics often depend on local soils, vegetation/agriculture, and topography. Conversely, severe droughts create deleterious impacts on crop/food production and the water supply. In this session, papers are invited that contribute to our ability to improve real-time/operational forecasts and warnings for these kinds of extremes, especially observational (as well as modeling) approaches that may vary depending upon differing societal contexts. In addition, papers that address promising and innovative methods of assessing and modeling the statistics of observed hydro-meteorological extremes as applied to real-time/operational forecasting/warning systems are encouraged. Papers that document forecast system performance vis-a-vis the effect of including new or additional observations are also encouraged. Please contact the session chair, Ana Barros (barros@duke.edu) or the session organizer, John McHenry (john.mchenry@baronweather.com) for additional information.
2:00 PM-2:30 PM: Monday, 23 January 2017
2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Monday, 23 January 2017
Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: 4E (Washington State Convention Center )
Posters on the topics of: Winter Weather, Mesoscale Meteorology and Severe Local Storms, and Other Weather Phenomena, Forecasting Techniques (Aviation, Fire Weather, and Hydrological), Recent Field Campaigns, and Other Contributions
High-impact hydro-meteorological events produce the most destructive and costly outcomes of any weather-driven phenomena world-wide. Furthermore, despite significant progress over the last several decades, forecasting and warning for these events still lacks the precision that could minimize loss of property and life, especially in developing nations. However, new observational platforms (in-situ, remote) and data-collection methods are improving our ability to assess ongoing events as well as forecast and distinguish those that could be destructive from those that probably will not be. Excessive precipitation or runoff associated with tropical cyclones/convection, land-based convection, atmospheric rivers, ENSO, wintertime snow-melt, rain-on-snow, etc. results in both flash-flooding and large-river system floods whose characteristics often depend on local soils, vegetation/agriculture, and topography. Conversely, severe droughts create deleterious impacts on crop/food production and the water supply. In this session, papers are invited that contribute to our ability to improve real-time/operational forecasts and warnings for these kinds of extremes, especially observational (as well as modeling) approaches that may vary depending upon differing societal contexts. In addition, papers that address promising and innovative methods of assessing and modeling the statistics of observed hydro-meteorological extremes as applied to real-time/operational forecasting/warning systems are encouraged. Papers that document forecast system performance vis-a-vis the effect of including new or additional observations are also encouraged. Please contact the session chair, Ana Barros (barros@duke.edu) or the session organizer, John McHenry (john.mchenry@baronweather.com) for additional information.
4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Monday, 23 January 2017
This panel will feature policymakers in Congress, the federal agencies, and the White House with insight into the presidential and congressional transitions underway and what the transitions may hold in store for the weather, water, and climate community.
The NASA and Environmental Health session explores concepts and applications that utilize NASA satellites and instruments to improve our understanding of environment and human health.
Recent laboratory and field studies provide new insights into the formation, growth, phase, viscosity, and volatility of secondary organic aerosols (SOA). These data indicate that under many atmospherically-relevant conditions SOA particles are significantly more viscous and orders of magnitude less volatile than assumed in traditional modeling approaches; SOA formation yields can be significantly higher than previously reported values; and anthropogenic pollution enhance loadings of SOA from biogenic precursors.
This session comprises invited contributions discussing the greatest observational needs to advance understanding of aerosol-cloud interactions and their connections with climate. In particular, presenters are asked to address the ways in which observations can be used to evaluate and advance understanding of cloud-active particles and their impacts on clouds and precipitation, and how processes within numerical models can be better represented via insights from new observational strategies.
The vital role of communication in meteorology has been recognized since the issuance of the very first weather forecasts, but only recently has the scientific study of communication been integrated with the study of weather and climate. Furthermore, the methods for communicating weather and climate information have proliferated: from dissemination almost exclusively through television, radio, and print just 15-20 years ago, to the ability—and the expectation—to access detailed forecasts and high-resolution radar data in the palm of one’s hand today. The panelists in this session will summarize the many methods and perspectives for studying communication in this context —including mass communication of emergency information, risk communication, organizational communication, and so on—and how observations are crucial to advancing understanding.
3
Observing the MJO
Location: Conference Center: Chelan 2 (Washington State Convention Center )
This session focuses on the role of the emerging CubeSat platform in the Space Weather Enterprise. Access to space has been made more available with the advent of CubeSats as evidenced by the 400+ launches in recent years. CubeSats range in size and capability and offer the opportunity for multipoint observations. Recent studies by the National Academy and NASA’s Living With a Star Program on the science and value of CubeSats, and NSF’s successful CubeSat program and the popular SmallSat conference demonstrate the strong interest across the community.
High-impact hydro-meteorological events produce the most destructive and costly outcomes of any weather-driven phenomena world-wide. Furthermore, despite significant progress over the last several decades, forecasting and warning for these events still lacks the precision that could minimize loss of property and life, especially in developing nations. However, new observational platforms (in-situ, remote) and data-collection methods are improving our ability to assess ongoing events as well as forecast and distinguish those that could be destructive from those that probably will not be. Excessive precipitation or runoff associated with tropical cyclones/convection, land-based convection, atmospheric rivers, ENSO, wintertime snow-melt, rain-on-snow, etc. results in both flash-flooding and large-river system floods whose characteristics often depend on local soils, vegetation/agriculture, and topography. Conversely, severe droughts create deleterious impacts on crop/food production and the water supply. In this session, papers are invited that contribute to our ability to improve real-time/operational forecasts and warnings for these kinds of extremes, especially observational (as well as modeling) approaches that may vary depending upon differing societal contexts. In addition, papers that address promising and innovative methods of assessing and modeling the statistics of observed hydro-meteorological extremes as applied to real-time/operational forecasting/warning systems are encouraged. Papers that document forecast system performance vis-a-vis the effect of including new or additional observations are also encouraged. Please contact the session chair, Ana Barros (barros@duke.edu) or the session organizer, John McHenry (john.mchenry@baronweather.com) for additional information.
5:30 PM-7:30 PM: Monday, 23 January 2017
Reception and Exhibits Opening
Location: 4AB (Washington State Convention Center )
7:00 PM-8:30 PM: Monday, 23 January 2017
The energy markets are driven immensely by weather patterns, short-term forecasts, and long-term trends. Market players in the power & gas sectors rely on meteorological guidance for managing risk every day. In this interactive discussion, we will frame a risk management challenge using the power merit order curve. Power plants of varying fuel types are dispatched in response to demand, which is largely driven by weather.
7:00 PM-9:30 PM: Monday, 23 January 2017
Sponsors: Aerospace, ERT and Science and Technology Corp (STC)
7:30 PM-8:30 PM: Monday, 23 January 2017
The National Climate Assessment (NCA) is a mandated quadrennial assessment of the risks posed by climate change to our nation and how we can respond to minimize those risks. As part of the Sustained Assessment process, the fourth such assessment, NCA4, is currently in development under the auspices of the US Global Change Research Program (USGCRP). In this listening session, you’ll hear about the NCA4 process, progress to date, and how you can contribute. We’re particularly interested in hearing from stakeholders about how NCA4 can best reflect the impacts you are seeing, the risks posed to the things you care about, and specific case studies worth sharing with the nation.
7:30 PM-9:00 PM: Monday, 23 January 2017
During the time-frame August 12-14, 2016, the boot area of the state of Louisiana, northwest of New Orleans, was subject to rainfall of over 30". This produced major flooding that, as of August 20, killed 13 people and inflicted over one billion dollars of damage to thousands of homes and businesses. The slow, westward-moving weather system responsible for this devastation will be shown to have both tropical and non-tropical characteristics, along with huge amounts of precipitable water drawn up from the 87-degree water of the Gulf of Mexico. The difficulty of forecasting the system will be discussed.
Tuesday, 24 January 2017
8:00 AM-8:30 AM: Tuesday, 24 January 2017
Looking for ideas for your local AMS chapter? Have an idea to share? Interested in learning about local AMS chapters? Join us at the third annual Local AMS Chapter Town Hall - designed for both student and regular chapter officers, members, and prospective members. All chapters are invited to share their successful activities in addition to their challenges and seek advice from other chapters. Those interested in joining a local chapter are also invited to attend to learn about local AMS chapters and how to get involved. The Local Chapter Affairs Committee and local AMS chapters from across the country invite YOU to take part in this information sharing session! For questions, email amschaps@ametsoc.org.
8:30 AM-9:45 AM: Tuesday, 24 January 2017
8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Tuesday, 24 January 2017
A look at some of the major global weather events in 2016, and their associated impacts.
Open data, crowd-sourced data streams and data mining large data sets of social media provide users new avenues to procuring data and information to help analyze and communicate weather impacts in real time as well as doing post-event analysis. But how do open data portals, crowdsourced (informal data) and real-time observations and opening up data APIs help data users get to the climate observations they need to make decisions? This panel will discuss how new technologies can be used to make data available, data quality issues and developing tools and products to help decision makers get the data in a workable form
Moderator: Nazila Merati (Nazila Merati and Associates PLC)
Our Nation's security, economic vitality, and daily functioning depend on the reliable operations of an increasingly interconnected and interdependent technology infrastructure. Space-weather events pose a significant and complex risk to this infrastructure, potentially disrupting electric power systems; satellite, aircraft, and spacecraft operations; telecommunications; position, navigation, and timing services; and other technologies and infrastructures. These technologies form the very backbone of the critical infrastructure we rely on for so much of what we do today. In November 2014, in his role as Chair of the National Science and Technology Council (NSTC), and on behalf of the President of the United States, Dr. John Holdren chartered the interagency Space Weather Operations, Research, and Mitigation (SWORM) Task Force. In October 2015, the Task Force delivered a National Space Weather Strategy (NSWS) that articulates high-level strategic goals that enhance our Nation's preparedness for a severe space weather event. In addition, a Space Weather Action Plan was delivered to identify the activities, outcomes, and timelines that will be undertaken by Federal departments and agencies for the Nation to make progress toward the Strategy's goals. Strengthening America's resilience to space weather is a challenge that will require insight, expertise, and dedication from many; consequently, this is a coordinated approach from numerous Federal Departments and Agencies. Leadership from across the Federal Government will present a progress report on the implementation status for their respective agencies.
This session welcomes studies funded by, but not limited to NASAs Atmospheric Composition Modeling and Analysis Program (ACMAP). In particular, studies related to global and regional modeling and/or data analysis in the area of atmospheric chemistry, air quality and the oxidation efficiency in the troposphere, stratospheric chemistry and ozone depletion, and interactions between atmospheric chemistry and the climate are welcome. Studies of long-term trends in atmospheric composition are also of interest, where the connection between cause and effect is elucidated using models. The session is also interested in studies that integrate observations from NASA instruments with models to address attribution and predictions. Use of satellite and suborbital data sets and ground-based measurements are encouraged for modeling constraints and verification where applicable.
This is a named session for the US Department of Energy (DOE) Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) Climate Research Facility. ARM provides the climate research community with strategically located observatories and coordinated aerial measurements designed to provide in-situ and remotely-sensed measurements to improve understanding of clouds and aerosols and their connection to the Earths energy budget. This understanding ultimately targets improved characterization of relevant processes in climate and earth system models. The session will include invited speakers to provide overviews of ARM capabilities in advancing our understanding of aerosol, cloud, precipitation and radiation, as well as speakers positioned to provide unique insights into critical advances spurred on by ARM observations. We solicit papers spanning instrumentation advancements and limitations, observational strategies and errors/uncertainties, and observational analyses to improve process understanding and model/parameterization evaluation. Papers demonstrating observational gaps in improving model parameterization and forecast capabilities and novel integration of observations and models are particularly welcome.
The 31st Conference on Hydrology is hosting a session joint with the Probability and Statistics committee on diagnostic model evaluation and improvement of land models. Advancements in earth system modeling require coupling of the atmosphere, hydrologic, land surface, ocean and cryosphere systems. Correspondingly, there are significant challenges in the systematic evaluation of each of the system components and their interactions. This session seeks to move beyond traditional verification studies that document accuracy of land models, and instead ask questions if models are adequately using the information available to them, what are specific weaknesses in land models, and how can models be improved. As such, the particular interest of this session is to explore the model evaluation challenges in hydrology, land processes and the corresponding impact on coupled land-atmosphere processes and hydrometeorological prediction. With the increase in the variety of model developers and users, more integrated approaches that encapsulate the key water cycle component are needed to improve individual model components and coupled earth system component interactions. In addition, the development of a common, systematic set of measures will improve the observability of various model outputs from these systems. This session solicits contributions on integrated diagnostic evaluation and benchmarking techniques and metrics that promote systematic error and uncertainty quantification across complex modeling components. The session also solicits contributions that pinpoint model weaknesses and introduce innovative modeling approaches to address long-standing challenges simulating heterogeneity, emergent behavior, and process coupling across a range of different space and time scales. A key focus of the session, supporting the conference theme of observations lead the way is contributions that use multivariate and multiscale observations to diagnose model weaknesses and evaluate the fidelity of competing modeling approaches. This session will also address the significant challenges associated with assessing the quality and informativeness of both models and data products that are largely related to scale, heterogeneity, complexity, and representativeness. These challenges compound when assessing spatially and temporally distributed products and the fusion of models and data via approaches such as parameter estimation and data assimilation. This session therefore also solicits contributions related to innovative methods for assessing quality of model-data fusion and assessing the fidelity of models of complex terrestrial hydrologic systems in both offline and coupled modes.
Ultimately, the impacts of weather and climate fall on communities, and the groups of people living together in these places collectively produce resilience (or fail to do so). Understanding of the ways these groups engage with the environment, including the concepts of vulnerability, emergency preparedness and response, and long-term recovery from weather and climate hazards, require many layers of observations and methodologies. These observations span many scales, including everything from aggregate geographic data to individual perspectives. The panelists will discuss the varied observations required to understand the connection between weather, climate, and communities, and the methods used to synthesize the observations into enhanced preparedness and resilience.
Recent observations from aircraft, balloons, and satellites, along with advances in modeling techniques and improved meteorological analyses, are providing new insights into the physical processes controlling clouds and water vapor concentration in the tropical tropopause and lowermost stratosphere. In particular, this session will focus on model and observational investigations addressing the impacts of rapid transport by deep convection, slow diabatic vertical motions, wave-driven temperature oscillations, and cloud microphysics using analyses from recent aircraft and balloon in situ measurements and long-term satellite measurements.
New or Improved Parameterizations
Critical Missing Observations for Weather Prediction
This session will explore the interactions among climate change, extreme weather, and vector-borne disease transmission. It will assess research-to-operation concepts and applications that are bringing us closer to understanding how Earth's changing environment can influence the geographic range and incidence of infectious diseases, and will explore how this research can increase our preparedness capacity.
8:55 AM-10:00 AM: Tuesday, 24 January 2017
Invited presentations featuring key members of the severe local storms community who will provide perspectives on observation needs for specific scientific problems under the severe local storms umbrella.
9:00 AM-10:00 AM: Tuesday, 24 January 2017
9:45 AM-10:00 AM: Tuesday, 24 January 2017
10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Tuesday, 24 January 2017
Coffee Break
Location: 4AB (Washington State Convention Center )
10:30 AM-11:30 AM: Tuesday, 24 January 2017
10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Tuesday, 24 January 2017
The AMS Washington Forum brings science together with business, communications, technology, public policy and many other disciplines. Join us for this session developed in coordination between students and scientists where you will get knowledge not found in a classroom. We will discuss why the AMS Washington Forum’s student participation program is a young professional’s dream experience.
A look at some of the significant floods and impacts in the United States in 2016.
This session will focus on the scientific challenges facing space weather understanding and prediction.
4
Modeling and Data
Location: Conference Center: Chelan 5 (Washington State Convention Center )
This session welcomes studies funded by, but not limited to NASAs Atmospheric Composition Modeling and Analysis Program (ACMAP). In particular, studies related to global and regional modeling and/or data analysis in the area of atmospheric chemistry, air quality and the oxidation efficiency in the troposphere, stratospheric chemistry and ozone depletion, and interactions between atmospheric chemistry and the climate are welcome. Studies of long-term trends in atmospheric composition are also of interest, where the connection between cause and effect is elucidated using models. The session is also interested in studies that integrate observations from NASA instruments with models to address attribution and predictions. Use of satellite and suborbital data sets and ground-based measurements are encouraged for modeling constraints and verification where applicable.
The 31st Conference on Hydrology is hosting a session joint with the Probability and Statistics committee on diagnostic model evaluation and improvement of land models. Advancements in earth system modeling require coupling of the atmosphere, hydrologic, land surface, ocean and cryosphere systems. Correspondingly, there are significant challenges in the systematic evaluation of each of the system components and their interactions. This session seeks to move beyond traditional verification studies that document accuracy of land models, and instead ask questions if models are adequately using the information available to them, what are specific weaknesses in land models, and how can models be improved. As such, the particular interest of this session is to explore the model evaluation challenges in hydrology, land processes and the corresponding impact on coupled land-atmosphere processes and hydrometeorological prediction. With the increase in the variety of model developers and users, more integrated approaches that encapsulate the key water cycle component are needed to improve individual model components and coupled earth system component interactions. In addition, the development of a common, systematic set of measures will improve the observability of various model outputs from these systems. This session solicits contributions on integrated diagnostic evaluation and benchmarking techniques and metrics that promote systematic error and uncertainty quantification across complex modeling components. The session also solicits contributions that pinpoint model weaknesses and introduce innovative modeling approaches to address long-standing challenges simulating heterogeneity, emergent behavior, and process coupling across a range of different space and time scales. A key focus of the session, supporting the conference theme of observations lead the way is contributions that use multivariate and multiscale observations to diagnose model weaknesses and evaluate the fidelity of competing modeling approaches. This session will also address the significant challenges associated with assessing the quality and informativeness of both models and data products that are largely related to scale, heterogeneity, complexity, and representativeness. These challenges compound when assessing spatially and temporally distributed products and the fusion of models and data via approaches such as parameter estimation and data assimilation. This session therefore also solicits contributions related to innovative methods for assessing quality of model-data fusion and assessing the fidelity of models of complex terrestrial hydrologic systems in both offline and coupled modes.
Having established the many connections between observations of individuals, societies, and cultures and observations of weather and climate, this panel will conclude the special symposium by proposing concrete, but forward-looking ideas for strengthening the connections between the researchers and practitioners working in these areas, and for enabling the collection and analysis of new types of observations required to support a thriving weather and climate enterprise.
NOAA Next Generation Global Prediction System
Recent observations from aircraft, balloons, and satellites, along with advances in modeling techniques and improved meteorological analyses, are providing new insights into the physical processes controlling clouds and water vapor concentration in the tropical tropopause and lowermost stratosphere. In particular, this session will focus on model and observational investigations addressing the impacts of rapid transport by deep convection, slow diabatic vertical motions, wave-driven temperature oscillations, and cloud microphysics using analyses from recent aircraft and balloon in situ measurements and long-term satellite measurements.
The El Niño and Health session will improve the atmospheric and health sciences communities’ understanding of the ways in which health outcomes (e.g. vector/waterborne diseases; heat related illness; physical and mental injury) respond to the full El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) cycle, including La Nina. Knowledge generated by the session will contribute to building increased resilience in health systems to future El Niño/La Nina events.
Core Science Keynote to be given by Glenn McGregor and John Paul Chretien
11:00 AM-11:45 AM: Tuesday, 24 January 2017
12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Tuesday, 24 January 2017
12:15 PM-1:15 PM: Tuesday, 24 January 2017
Approximately every five years, the AMS develops guidance to university and college faculty and administrators responsible for undergraduate programs in atmospheric sciences. The guidance describes the curricular composition including pre-requisites and associated learning outcomes, faculty size, and facility requirements recommended by the AMS for an undergraduate degree program in the atmospheric sciences. The statement also provides information to help students prepare for various career pathways within the atmospheric sciences. This past year, the AMS Council charged a working group to develop an update to the statement with input from the academic, private, and operational sectors. At this townhall, a draft of the new statement will be presented by members of the drafting team with an opportunity for comment on and additional input into the draft from townhall attendees.
This Panel Discussion supports the 97th AMS Annual Meeting theme "Observations Lead the Way" by attempting to provide a vision of the future of the environmental systems enterprise for obtaining, routing and processing satellite-based observational data. To achieve this goal, the Panel Discussion will convene a distinguished panel of experts with broad expertise in environmental satellites to form a picture of the future environmental satellite system enterprise and how it will meet current and new requirements and employ emerging technologies and operational concepts. Panel members are expected from the NRC Decadal Survey, DoD, EUMETSAT and NOAA/NESDIS. The Panel Discussion moderator will be William B. Gail, past AMS President, Global Weather Corp. co-founder and CTO, and NRC ESAS 2017-2027 Decadal Survey Steering Committee Co-Chair. Riverside/Vencore are sponsoring a limited number of box lunches. For additional information, please contact Gary McWilliams (gary.mcwilliams@noaa.gov).
This Panel Discussion supports the 97th AMS Annual Meeting theme "Observations Lead the Way" by attempting to provide a vision of the future of the environmental systems enterprise for obtaining, routing and processing satellite-based observational data. To achieve this goal, the Panel Discussion will convene a distinguished panel of experts with broad expertise in environmental satellites to form a picture of the future environmental satellite system enterprise and how it will meet current and new requirements and employ emerging technologies and operational concepts. Panel members are expected from the NRC Decadal Survey, DoD, EUMETSAT and NOAA/NESDIS. The Panel Discussion moderator will be William B. Gail, past AMS President, Global Weather Corp. co-founder and CTO, and NRC ESAS 2017-2027 Decadal Survey Steering Committee Co-Chair. Riverside/Vencore are sponsoring a limited number of box lunches. For additional information, please contact Gary McWilliams (gary.mcwilliams@noaa.gov).
In keeping with the Annual Meeting Theme of "Observations Lead the Way", this panel discussion addresses the scientific opportunity afforded by the availability of a storm-penetrating aircraft. Investments by the National Science Foundation (NSF) provide for modifications to an A-10 aircraft made available by the U.S. Air Force to NSF and the addition of the aircraft as a requestable asset within the Lower Atmosphere Observing Facilities (LAOF) managed for NSF by the Earth Observing Laboratory of the National Center for Atmospheric Research. The panel will be comprised of experts in a variety of atmospheric science subdisciplines that could benefit from such an asset. Additionally, experts on aircraft operations will provide details on potential operational capabilities of the A-10. Panel presentations and open discussions will seek community input as to the needs and benefits of such an observing capability, which will include required and desired instrumentation.
In keeping with the Annual Meeting Theme of "Observations Lead the Way", this panel discussion addresses the scientific opportunity afforded by the availability of a storm-penetrating aircraft. Investments by the National Science Foundation (NSF) provide for modifications to an A-10 aircraft made available by the U.S. Air Force to NSF and the addition of the aircraft as a requestable asset within the Lower Atmosphere Observing Facilities (LAOF) managed for NSF by the Earth Observing Laboratory of the National Center for Atmospheric Research. The panel will be comprised of experts in a variety of atmospheric science subdisciplines that could benefit from such an asset. Additionally, experts on aircraft operations will provide details on potential operational capabilities of the A-10. Panel presentations and open discussions will seek community input as to the needs and benefits of such an observing capability, which will include required and desired instrumentation.
Significant progress has been made over the last 20 years in measuring and estimating air-sea turbulent and radiative fluxes. Over the same time frame, the importance of accurate in situ and global estimates of winds, sensible and latent heat fluxes, gas and aerosol exchange, and evaporation towards answering crucial questions in weather and climate science including air-sea feedbacks, the global water cycle, and the carbon cycle has highlighted the need for a focus on improving our estimates of these fluxes. However, limited funding opportunities for scientists working primarily in these areas are relatively small and have limited more significant advancement. Experts in the areas of in situ observations, satellite observations, and modeling will discuss their views of the critical outstanding issues that need to be addressed, including the use of new or needed technologies and instrumentation, and possible strategies for progress. Discussion time will be provided for maximum audience input.
In preparation for the planned five-year update to the DOE Atmospheric System Research (ASR) Program Science plan, the program conducted four workshops in 2015-2016 on topical challenges in atmospheric process research, including: Secondary Organic Aerosols, Marine Low Clouds, Absorbing Aerosols, and Convective Processes. At this Town Hall, DOE program managers and workshop chairs will lead discussion on the outcome of these workshops as well as challenges and opportunities for DOE-led progress in each of the topical areas. For additional information, please contact Shaima Nasiri at shaima.nasiri@science.doe.gov.
The EarthCube initiative is a community-driven activity aimed at transforming the conduct of geosciences research and education by creating a well-connected and facile environment for sharing and integrating data and knowledge across all geoscience disciplines in an open, transparent, and inclusive manner and to accelerate our ability to understand and predict the Earth system. After five years of community engagement and development activities, EarthCube is now transitioning into an implementation phase. This town hall will discuss the progress of EarthCube on a number of fronts and engage geoscientists in the future steps toward the development of geoscience cyberinfrastructure for research.
Numerical modeling executed in the NCEP Production Suite (NPS) forms the foundation of all forecasting of the National Weather Service (NWS). The NWS needs to remain at the cutting-edge of research and model development, and continuously transition science advances from the research community to operations. A key element in modernizing the NPS is the 2015 external review performed by the UCACN Model Advisory Committee (UMAC). Some of the key recommendations were simplification and better governance of the NPS, and a closer working relationship between the NWS and NOAA research and academia in general. A second key element is the Next Generation Global Prediction System project, where the NWS has started to adopt a more project-oriented approach to improving the NPS. This town hall is designed to communicate progress on model development and response to UMAC recommendations to the public, and to provide a forum for gathering feedback from our customers.
In light of profound global implications of the strong El Nino/La Nina signal in the past two years and ever-warmth of our globe, we will gather scientists and decision makers in the Asian countries/regions, such as China, India, Japan, Korea, Singapore, etc. to discuss the issues and challenges they are facing. The townhall discussions could be of interest and informative to U.S. scientists, government employees, policy makers, and U.S. business community. We intend to invite chairs/leaders of meteorological society from these countries/regions to discuss the following issues: 1) what issues (e.g., natural hazards and environmental challenges) are they dealing with arising from climate change and variability? 2) what advancement of science and technologies are in place to mitigate these peril futures? 3) what scientific program(s) are they implementing or planning? 4) are there international common interests and potential collaboration opportunities between U.S. and international community?
1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Tuesday, 24 January 2017
Speakers from NOAA and FEMA will highlight developments in the Weather-Ready Nation Strategic Initiative.
A solar eclipse occurs when the Moon passes between the Sun and Earth - causing the Moon to block the light from the Sun. Typically the Moon only partially blocks the Sun’s light during an eclipse, however occasionally the Moon completely blocks the Sun, causing a total solar eclipse. In just under eight months, on August 21 2017, we will witness one of those occasions - the first in the continental US since 1979 - when a total solar eclipse will bisect the country. In just ninety-one minutes the sixty-five mile wide umbra of the eclipse will pass over thirteen states from Oregon to South Carolina. For many people across the US, who are under the "path of totality," day will turn to night for two minutes during this time and the Sun’s enigmatic faint extended atmosphere, or “corona,” will shine in the dark sky. I will discuss the human eclipse experience, messages that the scientific community can relay to the general public, and the scientific experiments that can be done.
This series of four invited talks provides updates on international weather services.
Developing predictive capacity for health outcomes resulting from extreme heat events requires an integrated understanding of the social, physiological, epidemiological, and climatological mechanisms that drive health outcomes for individuals and subpopulations. This session will explore the interaction of these mechanisms and the various research methods for understanding them. Research, observations, and information needs from the climate, meteorology, and epidemiology communities to support public health, emergency management, urban planners, and other professionals will be a focus of this session.
A look at some of the major weather, water and climate impacts in 2016.
The 31st Conference on Hydrology is hosting a session joint with the Probability and Statistics committee on diagnostic model evaluation and improvement of land models. Advancements in earth system modeling require coupling of the atmosphere, hydrologic, land surface, ocean and cryosphere systems. Correspondingly, there are significant challenges in the systematic evaluation of each of the system components and their interactions. This session seeks to move beyond traditional verification studies that document accuracy of land models, and instead ask questions if models are adequately using the information available to them, what are specific weaknesses in land models, and how can models be improved. As such, the particular interest of this session is to explore the model evaluation challenges in hydrology, land processes and the corresponding impact on coupled land-atmosphere processes and hydrometeorological prediction. With the increase in the variety of model developers and users, more integrated approaches that encapsulate the key water cycle component are needed to improve individual model components and coupled earth system component interactions. In addition, the development of a common, systematic set of measures will improve the observability of various model outputs from these systems. This session solicits contributions on integrated diagnostic evaluation and benchmarking techniques and metrics that promote systematic error and uncertainty quantification across complex modeling components. The session also solicits contributions that pinpoint model weaknesses and introduce innovative modeling approaches to address long-standing challenges simulating heterogeneity, emergent behavior, and process coupling across a range of different space and time scales. A key focus of the session, supporting the conference theme of observations lead the way is contributions that use multivariate and multiscale observations to diagnose model weaknesses and evaluate the fidelity of competing modeling approaches. This session will also address the significant challenges associated with assessing the quality and informativeness of both models and data products that are largely related to scale, heterogeneity, complexity, and representativeness. These challenges compound when assessing spatially and temporally distributed products and the fusion of models and data via approaches such as parameter estimation and data assimilation. This session therefore also solicits contributions related to innovative methods for assessing quality of model-data fusion and assessing the fidelity of models of complex terrestrial hydrologic systems in both offline and coupled modes.
Recent years have seen the proliferation of remote-sensing measurement systems that have application to hydro-meteorology and hydrology, from the ability to better assess regional drought conditions, to improved global snow/ice pack estimates, to higher resolution soil-moisture (active/passive) and QPE estimation, among others. This session solicits papers that overlap these and related remote-sensing applications with the broader overall meeting theme "Observations Lead the Way" while focusing on both situational awareness and hydrological forecasting. Papers that report on statistical and dynamic-model uses of the data (e.g. data-assimilation) as well as the novel use of very recent measurement methods encouraged, as well as scales that may range from small basin hydrology to regional/continental applications. Please contact the program organizer, John McHenry (john.mchenry@baronams.com) for additional information.
Improved capabilities for horizontal drilling and hydraulic fracturing over the past decade led to significant increases in unconventional oil and gas production in several regions of the United States. This development has raised concerns regarding emissions of greenhouse gases, air toxics, and precursors to ozone and fine particle formation. This session solicits presentations examining all aspects of air emissions and/or air quality or climate impacts of methane, volatile organic compounds, and nitrogen oxides from all stages of oil and gas development.
This session welcomes studies funded by, but not limited to NASAs Atmospheric Composition Modeling and Analysis Program (ACMAP). In particular, studies related to global and regional modeling and/or data analysis in the area of atmospheric chemistry, air quality and the oxidation efficiency in the troposphere, stratospheric chemistry and ozone depletion, and interactions between atmospheric chemistry and the climate are welcome. Studies of long-term trends in atmospheric composition are also of interest, where the connection between cause and effect is elucidated using models. The session is also interested in studies that integrate observations from NASA instruments with models to address attribution and predictions. Use of satellite and suborbital data sets and ground-based measurements are encouraged for modeling constraints and verification where applicable.
2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Tuesday, 24 January 2017
Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: 4E (Washington State Convention Center )
This session welcomes studies funded by, but not limited to NASAs Atmospheric Composition Modeling and Analysis Program (ACMAP). In particular, studies related to global and regional modeling and/or data analysis in the area of atmospheric chemistry, air quality and the oxidation efficiency in the troposphere, stratospheric chemistry and ozone depletion, and interactions between atmospheric chemistry and the climate are welcome. Studies of long-term trends in atmospheric composition are also of interest, where the connection between cause and effect is elucidated using models. The session is also interested in studies that integrate observations from NASA instruments with models to address attribution and predictions. Use of satellite and suborbital data sets and ground-based measurements are encouraged for modeling constraints and verification where applicable.
A look at the major weather, water and climate events and impacts in 2016.
Posters on the Topics of: Tropical Cyclones, Forecasting Tools, New or Improved Parameterizations, Model Development and Application
The 31st Conference on Hydrology is hosting a session joint with the Probability and Statistics committee on diagnostic model evaluation and improvement of land models. Advancements in earth system modeling require coupling of the atmosphere, hydrologic, land surface, ocean and cryosphere systems. Correspondingly, there are significant challenges in the systematic evaluation of each of the system components and their interactions. This session seeks to move beyond traditional verification studies that document accuracy of land models, and instead ask questions if models are adequately using the information available to them, what are specific weaknesses in land models, and how can models be improved. As such, the particular interest of this session is to explore the model evaluation challenges in hydrology, land processes and the corresponding impact on coupled land-atmosphere processes and hydrometeorological prediction. With the increase in the variety of model developers and users, more integrated approaches that encapsulate the key water cycle component are needed to improve individual model components and coupled earth system component interactions. In addition, the development of a common, systematic set of measures will improve the observability of various model outputs from these systems. This session solicits contributions on integrated diagnostic evaluation and benchmarking techniques and metrics that promote systematic error and uncertainty quantification across complex modeling components. The session also solicits contributions that pinpoint model weaknesses and introduce innovative modeling approaches to address long-standing challenges simulating heterogeneity, emergent behavior, and process coupling across a range of different space and time scales. A key focus of the session, supporting the conference theme of observations lead the way is contributions that use multivariate and multiscale observations to diagnose model weaknesses and evaluate the fidelity of competing modeling approaches. This session will also address the significant challenges associated with assessing the quality and informativeness of both models and data products that are largely related to scale, heterogeneity, complexity, and representativeness. These challenges compound when assessing spatially and temporally distributed products and the fusion of models and data via approaches such as parameter estimation and data assimilation. This session therefore also solicits contributions related to innovative methods for assessing quality of model-data fusion and assessing the fidelity of models of complex terrestrial hydrologic systems in both offline and coupled modes.
Recent years have seen the proliferation of remote-sensing measurement systems that have application to hydro-meteorology and hydrology, from the ability to better assess regional drought conditions, to improved global snow/ice pack estimates, to higher resolution soil-moisture (active/passive) and QPE estimation, among others. This session solicits papers that overlap these and related remote-sensing applications with the broader overall meeting theme "Observations Lead the Way" while focusing on both situational awareness and hydrological forecasting. Papers that report on statistical and dynamic-model uses of the data (e.g. data-assimilation) as well as the novel use of very recent measurement methods encouraged, as well as scales that may range from small basin hydrology to regional/continental applications. Please contact the program organizer, John McHenry (john.mchenry@baronams.com) for additional information.
4:00 PM-4:30 PM: Tuesday, 24 January 2017
4:00 PM-5:00 PM: Tuesday, 24 January 2017
4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Tuesday, 24 January 2017
Following the Spengler talk, this panel will expound on Jon’s concepts and specifically discuss the linked challenges of energy and water.
Clouds adjust to the presence of absorbing aerosols in myriad ways, depending on the large-scale meteorological conditions, the relative vertical location of the clouds and aerosols and aerosol properties. The cloud responses differ from those to scattering-only aerosols and can include both increases or decreases in cloud cover and changes in precipitation susceptibility. Resulting changes in the atmospheric temperature structure, including from surface dimming, in turn affect regional circulation and precipitation patterns. This session invites both modeling and observational presentations, from cloud-scale understandings to large-scale circulation and moisture feedback. We invite studies representing the full range of cloud and absorbing aerosol regimes, including ice clouds, and from recent field experiments. Those with a focus on quantifying the aerosol absorption are also encouraged.
Developing predictive capacity for health outcomes resulting from extreme heat events requires an integrated understanding of the social, physiological, epidemiological, and climatological mechanisms that drive health outcomes for individuals and subpopulations. This session will explore the interaction of these mechanisms and the various research methods for understanding them. Research, observations, and information needs from the climate, meteorology, and epidemiology communities to support public health, emergency management, urban planners, and other professionals will be a focus of this session.
A look at the significant weather, water, and climate impacts of 2016 in the United States.
These session featuring talks on recent new platforms for space weather observations as well critical existing facilities. This session will look at some of the many new facilities that are coming into existence as well as being proposed. Existing facilities are being upgraded or developing new techniques. The focus of these two sessions will be on the way these new observational capabilities support the space weather enterprise. The emphasis will be on “the way” rather than just the observations, bringing into consideration data-assimilation, discovery missions, monitoring programs, and discussions of data/model coverage sufficient to allow predictions.
Recent years have seen the proliferation of remote-sensing measurement systems that have application to hydro-meteorology and hydrology, from the ability to better assess regional drought conditions, to improved global snow/ice pack estimates, to higher resolution soil-moisture (active/passive) and QPE estimation, among others. This session solicits papers that overlap these and related remote-sensing applications with the broader overall meeting theme "Observations Lead the Way" while focusing on both situational awareness and hydrological forecasting. Papers that report on statistical and dynamic-model uses of the data (e.g. data-assimilation) as well as the novel use of very recent measurement methods encouraged, as well as scales that may range from small basin hydrology to regional/continental applications. Please contact the program organizer, John McHenry (john.mchenry@baronams.com) for additional information.
Testbed, Proving Ground, and Research-to-Operations Activities
Improved capabilities for horizontal drilling and hydraulic fracturing over the past decade led to significant increases in unconventional oil and gas production in several regions of the United States. This development has raised concerns regarding emissions of greenhouse gases, air toxics, and precursors to ozone and fine particle formation. This session solicits presentations examining all aspects of air emissions and/or air quality or climate impacts of methane, volatile organic compounds, and nitrogen oxides from all stages of oil and gas development.
Themed session: The 2016 AMS Annual Meeting Theme is entitled 'Observations Lead the Way'. This theme recognizes that many of our scientific advances in atmospheric and related sciences are founded on collection and analysis of new, innovative observations. In keeping with this theme a special session entitled "Innovative Water Cycle Observations" is being coordinated to highlight emerging observational capabilities making their way into hydrometeorological practice. Contributions from those conducting innovative measurements of terrestrial hydrologic variable such as soil moisture, snowpack, runoff, groundwater, streamflow, inundation and others are sought. Also encouraged are submissions describing new and planned instrumentation networks that stem either from recent field campaigns or new operational networks as such networks provide a backbone for advances predictive sciences. For more information please contact the session organizer, David Gochis (gochis@ucar.edu)
This session welcomes studies funded by, but not limited to NASAs Atmospheric Composition Modeling and Analysis Program (ACMAP). In particular, studies related to global and regional modeling and/or data analysis in the area of atmospheric chemistry, air quality and the oxidation efficiency in the troposphere, stratospheric chemistry and ozone depletion, and interactions between atmospheric chemistry and the climate are welcome. Studies of long-term trends in atmospheric composition are also of interest, where the connection between cause and effect is elucidated using models. The session is also interested in studies that integrate observations from NASA instruments with models to address attribution and predictions. Use of satellite and suborbital data sets and ground-based measurements are encouraged for modeling constraints and verification where applicable.
This themed joint session focuses on observations of the coupling of urban surfaces to the atmospheric boundary layer. Distinguished invited speakers will review observational studies that aim to elucidate the interactions between the urban surface energy budget and the turbulent atmospheric flows, and the feedbacks of these interactions. A particular emphasis is placed on the understanding of fundamental processes that can be leveraged towards further improving prediction models at all scales.
Given the tremendous volume of observations, and the ever increasing resolution of numerical weather prediction models the need to incorporate information at a tremendous range of spatial/temporal scales requires advances in both the science and the computer science of data assimilation systems. This joint session will present talks that target the union of science and computer science, and how advances in both areas will improve the output of data assimilation systems.
4:00 PM-5:35 PM: Tuesday, 24 January 2017
4:30 PM-5:30 PM: Tuesday, 24 January 2017
5:30 PM-6:30 PM: Tuesday, 24 January 2017
The Symposium on Education Town Hall is an opportunity for AMS participants interested in education, outreach, and engagement to connect and discuss ideas, activities and partnerships to enhance future AMS Symposia and education-related events. Please join us to meet your education colleagues and voice your thoughts and ideas about next steps for AMS education.
NASA’s Earth Science Division (ESD) leadership team will present an update of status and plans, with significant time for discussion with the audience, which is expected to comprise current and potential investigators in ESD’s programs and/or those of its partner agencies, as well as current and potential users of its data and models. Highlighted items include status of operating and future satellite missions; implementation of Venture Class activities; evolution of and plans for the research, applied sciences, and technology elements; contribution to interagency and international Earth observation and global change programs, and response to and preparation for community-based guiding documents.
5:45 PM-8:30 PM: Tuesday, 24 January 2017
Forecasters, emergency managers, and decision makers in Alaska and Hawaii and the US-affiliated Pacific Islands are challenged with numerous decision points each wildfire season. Unlike the Contiguous United States (CONUS) region, these regions outside the CONUS (OCONUS) rely on unique factors, indices and data sets. NOAA's National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI) hosts this side panel event in an effort to explore the role of environmental information in OCONUS wildfire management. This dialog will provide an opportunity for interaction between government partners, emergency managers, and field experts to discuss current techniques, data sets, and challenges, and identify requirements to enhance OCONUS wildfire disaster resilience and response. The intent is to foster and reinforce the lines of communication and to develop the resilience of the nation's resources and infrastructure. Global Science & Technology inc. will be providing a limited assortment of light fare. For additional information, please contact Annette Hollingshead at Annette.Hollingshead@noaa.gov
Forecasters, emergency managers, and decision makers in Alaska and Hawaii and the US-affiliated Pacific Islands are challenged with numerous decision points each wildfire season. Unlike the Contiguous United States (CONUS) region, these regions outside the CONUS (OCONUS) rely on unique factors, indices and data sets. NOAA's National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI) hosts this side panel event in an effort to explore the role of environmental information in OCONUS wildfire management. This dialog will provide an opportunity for interaction between government partners, emergency managers, and field experts to discuss current techniques, data sets, and challenges, and identify requirements to enhance OCONUS wildfire disaster resilience and response. The intent is to foster and reinforce the lines of communication and to develop the resilience of the nation's resources and infrastructure. Global Science & Technology inc. will be providing a limited assortment of light fare. For additional information, please contact Annette Hollingshead at Annette.Hollingshead@noaa.gov
6:00 PM-8:00 PM: Tuesday, 24 January 2017
The USAF Weather Systems Program Office (AFLCMC/HBAW) will present a systems roadmap for USAF weather capabilities and programs to interested industry, academia, and government research organizations, as part of general government market research and awareness outreach. Addressed will be likely research and procurement opportunities of meteorological systems with meteorological in-situ and remote sensing, modeling and high-performance computing, large-scale data processing and dissemination, and forecaster applications.
6:30 PM-7:30 PM: Tuesday, 24 January 2017
The 2017-2027 Decadal Survey for Earth Science and Applications from Space (ESAS 2017) will help shape science priorities and guide agency investments well into the next decade. The survey, sponsored by NASA, NOAA, and the USGS, is driven by input from the scientific community and policy experts. Some 100 community members are participating on the survey’s steering committee or one of its 5 study panels (which are focused on weather, climate, hydrology, ecosystems, and the solid Earth and natural hazards) and hundreds more have participated via white paper submissions and outreach events. Waleed Abdalati and Bill Gail, co-chairs of the survey steering committee, will lead a discussion on the study’s objectives, progress to date, and plans for completion in late 2017. Detailed information about the survey, including links to the study panels and the white papers, is posted at: www.nas.edu/esas2017.
6:30 PM-9:30 PM: Tuesday, 24 January 2017
Tickets to attend the Houze Banquet are NOT included in the conference registration packages and must be purchased in addition. Tickets can be purchased during the registration process; space is limited. Tickets will be available until 10am the day before the symposium(or max quantity reached).
Wednesday, 25 January 2017
8:00 AM-10:00 AM: Wednesday, 25 January 2017
8:30 AM-8:55 AM: Wednesday, 25 January 2017
Welcome address introductions
8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Wednesday, 25 January 2017
Clouds regulate radiative and precipitation fluxes in polar regions, and thus control fundamental aspects of the climate system such as energy budgets, air-sea exchange, and sea level. Cloud-aerosol interactions influence polar cloud radiative impacts and precipitation efficiencies. Polar clouds, precipitation, and aerosol processes are changing in a warming world and new observations and model simulations are supporting and challenging existing paradigms. Sample topics based on observational and/or modeling studies for this session include: How do polar clouds influence radiative fluxes over sea ice and ice sheets? How much precipitation falls in polar regions? What processes control polar cloud-aerosol-precipitation interactions? What are the sources of aerosols, especially cloud condensation nuclei and ice nuclei, at high latitudes? What is the importance of super-cooled liquid cloud water for the climate system? In sum, presentations on all aspects of polar clouds, precipitation, and aerosols at high latitudes are solicited for this session.
Decision-makers need relevant data to make informed decisions. This session explores innovative decision support tools and workforce evolution toward Impact-based Decision Support Services
Dust from both deserts and more vegetated areas contributes a major fraction of the atmospheric aerosol and has a variety of sources, compositions and impacts. The goal of this session is to bring together scientists from different disciplines working on the characterisation, emission, atmospheric transport, chemical transformation and impact of dust from desert, vegetated or agricultural areas. We invite and welcome contributions from the general areas (1) speciation and characterisation of the mineralogy, organic content and other constituents of dust sampled from source regions or directly from the atmosphere, (2) emission fluxes, transport and chemical transformation of dust in the atmosphere, and (3) cloud and climate impacts of atmospheric dust, including optical properties, CCN activation, and heterogeneous ice nucleation behaviors.
These session featuring talks on recent new platforms for space weather observations as well critical existing facilities. This session will look at some of the many new facilities that are coming into existence as well as being proposed. Existing facilities are being upgraded or developing new techniques. The focus of these two sessions will be on the way these new observational capabilities support the space weather enterprise. The emphasis will be on “the way” rather than just the observations, bringing into consideration data-assimilation, discovery missions, monitoring programs, and discussions of data/model coverage sufficient to allow predictions.
The purpose of the session is to emphasize the importance of using climate information and services to understand and manage climate sensitive health risks, support health delivery, and improve outcomes. Research is invited that highlights how, by working with regional and national partners, data, technology, and training may be utilized to strengthen health policy and practice in the context of a changing climate in Asia, Africa or South America-Caribbean.
• (1) Data: How can data best be used from historical climate observations, environmental monitoring, and forecast/prediction to improve the management of climate sensitive outcomes?
• (2) Technology: What freely-available technologies are capable of managing vast data sets and transforming them into locally-relevant products that can be disseminated within health sector tools?
• (3) Training: What opportunities are there for targeted training, education and long-term investments in user and stakeholder engagement in order to leverage these newly available resources?
Over the last few years, significant advances have been made in both in situ and remote sensing technologies for measuring greenhouse gases (GHGs). The successful launch of global observing systems such as the Orbiting Carbon Observatory (OCO-2), the Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP) missions as well as deployment of localized surface networks and aircraft campaigns such as the Carbon in Arctic Reservoirs Vulnerability Experiment (CARVE) and the Megacities Carbon Project, is starting to yield more information on natural and anthropogenic sources than ever before. While these multiple observational platforms provide a significant potential for the monitoring of GHG emissions, more and more uncertainties are coming to light regarding our understanding of the global and regional budgets of GHGs, errors due to deficiency in atmospheric transport modeling (especially related to convection and vertical mixing), and identification and quantification of climate feedback sensitivities. This session solicits abstracts that address these uncertainties using models and observations and provide new insights on understanding GHG dynamics at various spatial (local to global) and temporal (sub-diurnal to decadal) scales. We encourage contributions on current and prospective observation technologies for GHGs, modeling studies to quantify budgets and/or uncertainties in GHG flux estimates, and evaluation and benchmarking of GHG estimates from Earth System Models using contemporary observations. We also encourage studies of perturbations to the carbon balance of terrestrial ecosystems in response to climate variability and change, especially as they combine models and observations or pertain to carbon-climate feedback. In addition, we seek contributions on improved quantification and understanding of underlying GHG emissions at the urban scale, policy issues related to GHG monitoring and regulation, and how the current state of the science is informing policy decisions.
Satellite measurements of atmospheric temperature, moisture, wind, and gaseous and aerosol constituents
9:00 AM-10:00 AM: Wednesday, 25 January 2017
10:00 AM-10:15 AM: Wednesday, 25 January 2017
15-20 minute brainstorming session for WAF/NWP attendees on possible ways to gather more award nominations.
10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Wednesday, 25 January 2017
Coffee Break
Location: 4AB (Washington State Convention Center )
10:30 AM-11:00 AM: Wednesday, 25 January 2017
10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Wednesday, 25 January 2017
Talks about ADCIRC
This session will address the future of satellite observations, including the coming revolution in cubesats, smallsats, and what it means for the atmospheric and related sciences communities.
The NIHHIS is an integrated system that builds understanding of the problem of extreme heat, defines demand for climate services that enhance societal resilience, develops science-based products and services from a sustained climate science research program, and improves capacity, communication, and societal understanding of the problem to reduce morbidity and mortality due to extreme heat. This session will explore networks & communities of practice for building resilience to extreme heat.
This session will include some history of early space weather – both its beginnings and some of the early, interest provoking, anomalies.
Weather extremes, of short duration or long, are a challenge to communities, posing risks to public health and to social and economic wellbeing. Reducing those risks requires interdisciplinary community engagement -- from research to applications, from the laboratory to the State House. These ideas will be explored in a series of invited and open sessions.
Over the last few years, significant advances have been made in both in situ and remote sensing technologies for measuring greenhouse gases (GHGs). The successful launch of global observing systems such as the Orbiting Carbon Observatory (OCO-2), the Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP) missions as well as deployment of localized surface networks and aircraft campaigns such as the Carbon in Arctic Reservoirs Vulnerability Experiment (CARVE) and the Megacities Carbon Project, is starting to yield more information on natural and anthropogenic sources than ever before. While these multiple observational platforms provide a significant potential for the monitoring of GHG emissions, more and more uncertainties are coming to light regarding our understanding of the global and regional budgets of GHGs, errors due to deficiency in atmospheric transport modeling (especially related to convection and vertical mixing), and identification and quantification of climate feedback sensitivities. This session solicits abstracts that address these uncertainties using models and observations and provide new insights on understanding GHG dynamics at various spatial (local to global) and temporal (sub-diurnal to decadal) scales. We encourage contributions on current and prospective observation technologies for GHGs, modeling studies to quantify budgets and/or uncertainties in GHG flux estimates, and evaluation and benchmarking of GHG estimates from Earth System Models using contemporary observations. We also encourage studies of perturbations to the carbon balance of terrestrial ecosystems in response to climate variability and change, especially as they combine models and observations or pertain to carbon-climate feedback. In addition, we seek contributions on improved quantification and understanding of underlying GHG emissions at the urban scale, policy issues related to GHG monitoring and regulation, and how the current state of the science is informing policy decisions.
Wind, temperature, and moisture measurements in the lower troposphere; surface observations; soil temperature and moisture measurements; measuring pollutants near the ground.
11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Wednesday, 25 January 2017
12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Wednesday, 25 January 2017
12:15 PM-1:15 PM: Wednesday, 25 January 2017
The Publications Workshop this year will be focused on the importance of reviewing. Why is this such a critical part of the publication process? How does being part of the peer-review process help graduate students and early-career scientists advance their careers? What exactly are editors looking for when requesting a review? What are the ethical standards reviewers should be aware of?Monthly Weather Review Chief Editor Dave Schultz (and author of Eloquent Science: A Practical Guide to Becoming a Better Writer, Speaker, and Atmospheric Scientist), as well as other AMS journal editors, will cover those topics and more in this workshop that should be of interest to all parties involved in producing, publishing, and communicating about scientific research. A limited number of fresh baked cookies will be provided.For additional information, please contact Mike Friedman (mfriedman@ametsoc.org).
The AMS is proud to initiate at this annual meeting the EMS Town Hall Lecture series, which will become an annual event. The first EMS Lecturer, Tanja Cegnar, was the recipient of the EMS Outstanding Contribution Award in 2015. She chairs the EMS Media Team, working to improve exchange and communication among European broadcasters, as well as instigating communication and public presentation training for scientists. Promoting examples of innovative ways of bringing weather and climate information closer to general public is also one of the goals. Cegnar works at the Slovenian Environment Agency and is a weather presenter at the national television in Slovenia. This town hall meeting will provide information on outreach activities in Europe as a way to initiate a broader town hall discussion on international efforts to better engage those in the media for public education.A subsequent discussion with a panel of AMS Certified Broadcast Meteorologists will follow, focusing on industry practices and challenges in both the United States and Europe. Moderated by Maureen McCann (News 13, Orlando, FL), this panel will include Rob Eicher (WHDH, Boston, MA), Alex Garcia (KABB, San Antonio, TX), Erica Grow (WNBC, New York, NY), and John Morales (WTVJ, Miami, FL).For additional information, please contact Maureen McCann (email: maureen.mccann@gmail.com).
The AMS Centennial is coming up in 2019, this milestone is a chance to rethink, improve, and advance the Society. The Centennial provides a special opportunity to contemplate how we prepare and prosper -- to actively position the Society so we will have even greater success and impact in this new century than we had in our first. During this Town Hall, we intend to invite a few speakers and engage the AMS membership in a discussion of future challenges and opportunities as AMS reaches it’s 100th year, and AMS’s role in addressing and capturing those challenges and opportunities. Format: We will identify a few topics and have each invited speaker talk for 3-5 minutes about the specified topic and then open the floor to the audience for further discussion, expect civility, and limit comments to 3 minutes, to ensure full engagement of all attendees.
Cloud computing represents a fundamental change in the way IT services are developed, deployed, operated, and paid for, placing science communities in the middle of a major paradigm shift. The cloud appears to be a potential avenue for researchers to gain access to significant computing resources beyond the traditional supercomputing centers for end-to-end modeling studies, democratizing access to high performance computing resources, vast amounts of storage, and unprecedented access to large volumes of data. Historically, the modeling research community has relied mostly on high performance computing facilities and campus computing clusters to perform predictions. With the maturity of and significant advances in cloud computing, it has recently emerged as an alternative new paradigm for hosting and delivering a broad array of services over the Internet. This Town Hall will gather community input toward organizing a community workshop to explore the potential for advancing "Modeling Research in the Cloud."
The NASA Earth science flight program is a dynamic undertaking consisting of a large fleet of operating satellites, an array of satellite and instrument projects, a robust airborne science program which advances the use of satellite data, and a massive data archiving and distribution system. NASA’s fleet of 19 operating missions provides a wide range of scientific measurements obtained from dedicated Earth science satellites and the ISS. Projects in development are divided into categories: 1. Earth Systematic Missions (ESM) 2. Earth System Science Pathfinders (ESSP). The Earth Science Flight Program benefits from investments by the Earth Science Technology Office (ESTO) to develop and demonstrate cutting-edge technologies that can be applied to future NASA Earth science measurements/missions. The Town Hall will be conducted by Eric Ianson, of the Earth Science Division, NASA HQ, with time for audience participation. Orbital ATK is sponsoring a limited number of box lunches.
This panel and discussion will describe activities within NOAA and AMS to advance a comprehensive and integrated understanding of water, with a particular focus on coastal resilience. We will identify key challenges and opportunities for AMS and the broader community in collaboratively advancing the critical water issues facing our communities and business today, and share work being done by the AMS Policy Program.
The world of weather forecasting is being transformed by the emergence of innovative data sources; the ability to merge diverse data streams; and new advances in modeling, cloud computing and machine learning. This panel will showcase key players in the weather value chain of the future, and discuss the opportunities and challenges in driving dramatically better weather forecasts to fuel a next generation of analytics and risk management solutions for various industries. Moderated by Jason Samenow (Weather Editor and Chief Meteorologist, Washington Post’s Capital Weather Gang), this panel will include Mary Glackin (SVP, Science and Forecast Operations, The Weather Company), Alex Kubicek (CEO, Understory), Ashish Kapoor (Senior Researcher, Microsoft), Don Berchoff (CTO, TempoQuest), Brad Colman (Director of Weather Science, Climate Corporation), and Eric Dixon (Product Manager, Harris Helios).For additional information, please contact Dan Stillman (email: dstillma@harris.com).Harris will provide a limited number of box lunches
1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Wednesday, 25 January 2017
Aircraft are being outfitted with sensors that can automatically transmit a wide array of weather data to systems on the ground for situational awareness and incorporation into forecast models. As these sensors become more accurate and less expensive to install and maintain, and as the communication systems to get the data from the aircraft to the ground become more robust, is it time to make these airborne observations mandatory? This invited panel consisting of government and commercial aviation community representatives will discuss current and emerging airborne observation capabilities, value and uses of the data, and the pros and cons of making these observations mandatory.
A Total Solar Eclipse is widely regarded as the most incredible, breathtaking natural phenomenon visible from Planet Earth. Many fortunate to have seen such an eclipse attest to the awe and wonder of this amazing spectacle. Some have even found it a life-changing, transformational experience. While many eclipses have occurred elsewhere in the world, only a tiny fraction of Americans have traveled abroad to witness this celestial wonder.
Totality will be seen in 14 states from Oregon to South Carolina. Observers in the path will experience totality lasting for up to 2m 44s. But everyone in North America will see the eclipse in partial phase. The moon’s umbral shadow will take almost ninety minutes to cross the country from just south of Portland, Oregon to Charleston, South Carolina. There are only two of these opportunities over the next 25 years, 2017 and again on April 8th, 2024. The 2017 Eclipse will be the trailblazer for the 2024 event and will establish the baseline data and determine what new measurements will be required in 2024
The 2017 Total Eclipse of the Sun will be one of the most widely observed, most filmed and photographed, most studied and documented, and most appreciated astronomical events in human history. This panel will discuss and share some of the science, citizen science, and education and outreach activities being organized during this celestial event.
The American Meteorological Society and the Office of the Federal Coordinator for Meteorology co-sponsored the Forum on Observing the Environment from the Ground Up held March 8-9, 2016. This Session will further the discussions begun at the Forum to discuss innovative observing efforts underway nationwide that are focused on conditions from the surface through the atmospheric boundary layer. The environmental observational landscape continues to evolve rapidly. Federal and local agencies, private firms, academic institutions, and the general public are increasingly taking advantage of new instrumentation, communication, and software technologies to meet their needs. Participants will be able to provide their perspectives on prospects for taking advantage of new technologies, improving coordination among the diverse efforts throughout the environmental observing enterprise, and meeting the multiple and ever growing needs of the users of environmental information.
The NIHHIS is an integrated system that builds understanding of the problem of extreme heat, defines demand for climate services that enhance societal resilience, develops science-based products and services from a sustained climate science research program, and improves capacity, communication, and societal understanding of the problem to reduce morbidity and mortality due to extreme heat. This session will explore ongoing national and international research and applications related to deciding extreme heat and lead times and assess current and future observational data needs.
10A
MPAS
Location: Conference Center: Tahoma 4 (Washington State Convention Center )
Atmospheric convection and its impacts on chemical tracer distribution and transport present a significant challenge to modeling of both climate and atmospheric composition. The global and regional impacts of convection on clouds, water vapor and trace gases are large and poorly quantified especially in the upper troposphere, leading to significant uncertainties in radiative forcing and in the impact on global air quality. The goal of this proposed session is to solicit recent global observations from satellite and their applications for improving model simulations of convective transport and associated atmospheric composition. Presentations are particularly encouraged with an assessment of the suitability of current observations and recommendations for stronger ones to constrain pollution vertical and long-range transport.
Radar measurements in the planetary boundary layer; estimating surface precipitation from space; river and stream measurments
1:30 PM-3:00 PM: Wednesday, 25 January 2017
2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Wednesday, 25 January 2017
Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: 4E (Washington State Convention Center )
Posters to complement the presentations from the 4 oral sessions of the 5th Symposium on the JCSDA on Wed.
All posters submitted to the Symposium on Observations: Progress, Problems, and Prospects will be on display in this session, and this session only.
Poster Session for Special Measurements Session
Over the last few years, significant advances have been made in both in situ and remote sensing technologies for measuring greenhouse gases (GHGs). The successful launch of global observing systems such as the Orbiting Carbon Observatory (OCO-2), the Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP) missions as well as deployment of localized surface networks and aircraft campaigns such as the Carbon in Arctic Reservoirs Vulnerability Experiment (CARVE) and the Megacities Carbon Project, is starting to yield more information on natural and anthropogenic sources than ever before. While these multiple observational platforms provide a significant potential for the monitoring of GHG emissions, more and more uncertainties are coming to light regarding our understanding of the global and regional budgets of GHGs, errors due to deficiency in atmospheric transport modeling (especially related to convection and vertical mixing), and identification and quantification of climate feedback sensitivities. This session solicits abstracts that address these uncertainties using models and observations and provide new insights on understanding GHG dynamics at various spatial (local to global) and temporal (sub-diurnal to decadal) scales. We encourage contributions on current and prospective observation technologies for GHGs, modeling studies to quantify budgets and/or uncertainties in GHG flux estimates, and evaluation and benchmarking of GHG estimates from Earth System Models using contemporary observations. We also encourage studies of perturbations to the carbon balance of terrestrial ecosystems in response to climate variability and change, especially as they combine models and observations or pertain to carbon-climate feedback. In addition, we seek contributions on improved quantification and understanding of underlying GHG emissions at the urban scale, policy issues related to GHG monitoring and regulation, and how the current state of the science is informing policy decisions.
Posters on the Topics of: Global and Mesoscale Models, Data Assimilation, Ensemble Techniques, New and Unique Observational Datasets, Season to Subseasonal Prediction, and Other NWP Contributions
Drought is a multi-faceted phenomenon that challenges our current prediction capabilities. Taking drought prediction and hydrological applications to the next level requires advances in understanding, monitoring, communications and water resources management. Specific topics addressed by presenters could include but are not limited to: Current drought prediction science and skill at various lead times; innovative management uses of that science; and case studies illustrating advances in understanding, monitoring and prediction of drought and drought impacts. Further, papers addressing gaps and deficiencies in our current methods for predicting droughts and estimating its effects on vegetation, water resources, and human populations are also invited.
Both public (e.g. emergency management, NOAA) and commercial (e.g. weather sensitive businesses, private-sector weather service providers) entities are involved in the distribution and use of hydrometeorological products and services. Private-sector firms often focus on "niche" applications or develop/implement technologies of interest to public-sector providers such as National Meteorological and Hydrological Services (NMHS's). The types of decision-support systems (DSS's) range from water management applications (impoundments, reservoir/hydro-power, urban runoff/drainage); to water resources applications (irrigation, potable water, water pollution mitigation, regional water supply management; to heavy precipitation and flash-flood/flood awareness and forecast services. All rely on high-quality observations as a starting-point. DSSs range in complexity from the highly-sophisticated to consumer-oriented and include products for emergency management, broadcast television and application developers (e.g. Web data services/APIs), while also covering a broad range of both space and time scales. On the other hand, consumers of such products and services seek to minimize impacts or maximize resources while looking to both commercial and government entities to provide the needed information. Thus, there is a natural overlap between the provision of hydrological products and services and consumers of those services. We invite contributions from both provider and consumer vantage points as a basis for dialogue toward the development and application of next-generation" products and services. Papers with a special focus on the integration of new observations that show promise in improving the reliability (statistical) of the DSS for its particular application area are encouraged. For more information, please contact the program organizer, John McHenry, at john.mchenry@baronweather.com.
4:00 PM-4:45 PM: Wednesday, 25 January 2017
4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Wednesday, 25 January 2017
The intent of this session is to understand how weather observations, forecasts and technologies impact economic outcomes and provide benefits to society. Panelists from the private sector, research and NGOs will discuss the impact of weather on the economy. They will also talk about the use of weather or climate observations or forecasts for activities bearing profits, costs, or losses (including, but not limited to, hazard response and mitigation activities).
Aerosol-cloud interactions are considered as one of the largest uncertainties in the estimate of climate forcing by human activities. While numerical mechanisms and processes associated with aerosol-cloud interactions have been proposed, their climate significance ultimately has to be assessed from a radiative energy point of view. This session seeks presentations reporting progress in understanding the change of cloud radiative properties and radiative effects as a result of aerosol impact on cloud microphysics and lifetime, change of aerosol radiative effects by surrounding (and underlying) clouds, and novel measurement and modeling techniques to quantify the impacts of aerosol-cloud interactions on radiation.
Numerical simulation of hydrologic processes has be practiced for many years. Although HPC is widely utilized in atmospheric modeling, its role in hydrological modeling has been less profound. In this joint session, we are seeking abstracts that focus on hydrological modeling processes which require, and utilize HPC resources to improve the overall understanding of the extremes of flood and drought. More specifically, we are interested in abstracts which demonstrate improved coupling of hydrologic and atmospheric models (supported on the same computing platform); support large-scale hydrologic models at increased spatial resolutions; instances of coupled modeling systems running in an ensemble system to better express model uncertainty; and, abilities to process large datasets (multiterabyte volumes).
This session will address the need to develop a climate information system as a vital part of society’s response to climate change, in addition to adaptation and mitigation. Understanding what is happening and why, and what it implies for the future, better informs communities and decision makers what aspects to take account of and plan for and what parts are natural variability. Many pieces of such a system exist but they are not coherently organized and managed, or response to many user needs. A white paper describing such a will be the basis for discussion and feedback at this session. Session attendees will be encouraged to join a discussion about the merits of this proposal.
The NIHHIS is an integrated system that builds understanding of the problem of extreme heat, defines demand for climate services that enhance societal resilience, develops science-based products and services from a sustained climate science research program, and improves capacity, communication, and societal understanding of the problem to reduce morbidity and mortality due to extreme heat. This session will explore ongoing national and international research and applications related to the NIHHIS and assess current and future observational data needs.
The National Earth System Prediction Capability is a partnership of five Federal agencies collaborating to address research and operational issues from weather to decadal time scales. 2015 WMO and the 2016 NRC reports on S2S call for broad US and international collaboration between academia, operational centers, private industry and the user community to advance earth system predictive capability beyond two weeks and to build and sustain a coordinated US S2S research capability.
The National ESPC agencies will present their agenda to address these reports and move the US toward a robust S2S research and predictive capability.
Expected presentations:
- National ESPC overview and goals for S2S
- National ESPC research member agencies (principals or program managers) present their agency agenda for building an S2S research community and their primary research focus areas.
- National ESPC operational member agencies present their agenda for addressing S2S operations, support for research access to S2S prediction systems, and plans for user involvement in product development.
Atmospheric convection and its impacts on chemical tracer distribution and transport present a significant challenge to modeling of both climate and atmospheric composition. The global and regional impacts of convection on clouds, water vapor and trace gases are large and poorly quantified especially in the upper troposphere, leading to significant uncertainties in radiative forcing and in the impact on global air quality. The goal of this proposed session is to solicit recent global observations from satellite and their applications for improving model simulations of convective transport and associated atmospheric composition. Presentations are particularly encouraged with an assessment of the suitability of current observations and recommendations for stronger ones to constrain pollution vertical and long-range transport.
Lightning observations; solar radiation measurements; Argo floats; space weather observations
4:45 PM-5:30 PM: Wednesday, 25 January 2017
5:30 PM-6:30 PM: Wednesday, 25 January 2017
Awards Banquet Reception
Location: 4AB (Washington State Convention Center )
7:00 PM-10:00 PM: Wednesday, 25 January 2017
97th AMS Awards Banquet
Location: Ballroom 6ABCE (Washington State Convention Center )
Thursday, 26 January 2017
8:00 AM-9:30 AM: Thursday, 26 January 2017
This session is a follow-on to last year's session co-hosted by the AI committee. This year, we invite submissions on topics related to machine learning and statistical methods applied to hydrologic problems, with a focus on real-world forecasting applications, and in particular the problem of quantitative precipitation estimation in real-time. Overlapping closely with this year's annual meeting theme "Observations Lead the Way," the QPE problem includes all observational methods: in-situ, radar-derived, satellite-derived, multi-sensor; together with objective analysis approaches. In-short -- what combinations of observations and classes of observations seem to "do best;" how do we determine what "doing best" really is (space and time scales); and how can and do AI methods (machine learning, optimal statistics, etc.) applied to the observations improve our QPE estimates? What challenges still remain? For additional information, please contact the program organizers, Valliappa Lakshmanan (lak@vlakshman.com) or John McHenry (john.mchenry@baronweather.com).
8:00 AM-10:00 AM: Thursday, 26 January 2017
8:30 AM-9:30 AM: Thursday, 26 January 2017
1A
Observing Networks
Location: Conference Center: Chelan 4 (Washington State Convention Center )
Phytobiomes consist of plants, their associated communities of organisms, and their geophysical environment. Improved understanding of systems-level Phytobiome community interactions and enhanced predictive capabilities for field-based farm management are needed to advance food security and sustain a growing global population. The geophysical environment includes interactions, sensitivities, feedbacks, and constraints with respect to weather, climatic trends and events, and interdisciplinary linkages between biological aerosols, hydrology, soils, and atmospheric properties. This session focuses on analytical methodologies to explore, integrate, optimize, and apply knowledge advances within all system components, including process-level studies of interactions among components. Implicit in these approaches is the need for interdisciplinary interactions. The session will also highlight opportunities for knowledge transfer of the geophysical interactions critical to Phytobiomes in ensuring plant, soil, human and global health, including sustainable and productive agricultural systems and universal access to a safe food supply.
Understanding the interactions between aerosol particles and deep convective clouds is challenging for a number of reasons. Aerosol particles influence the microphysical properties, latent heat release, and ultimately the dynamics of these storms. Characteristics of the anvils, hydrometeors, surface precipitation, and cold pools can be significantly altered as a result. Deep convective clouds are in turn important for removing and redistributing aerosol particles in the atmosphere. For this session, we seek presentations on interactions between aerosols and all types of isolated and organized deep convection in the tropics and midlatitudes, including mesoscale convective systems and hurricanes. Papers focusing on aspects of aerosol-deep convection interactions such as precipitation, cloud microphysical and radiative properties, cold pools, and storm dynamics are welcomed. Papers on deep convective transport of aerosols and dust are also strongly encouraged.
6
Vendor Updates
Location: Conference Center: Chelan 5 (Washington State Convention Center )
This session will explore advances in decision-making practices including probabilistic vs. deterministic information, verification, training, and disaster exercises.
Both public (e.g. emergency management, NOAA) and commercial (e.g. weather sensitive businesses, private-sector weather service providers) entities are involved in the distribution and use of hydrometeorological products and services. Private-sector firms often focus on "niche" applications or develop/implement technologies of interest to public-sector providers such as National Meteorological and Hydrological Services (NMHS's). The types of decision-support systems (DSS's) range from water management applications (impoundments, reservoir/hydro-power, urban runoff/drainage); to water resources applications (irrigation, potable water, water pollution mitigation, regional water supply management; to heavy precipitation and flash-flood/flood awareness and forecast services. All rely on high-quality observations as a starting-point. DSSs range in complexity from the highly-sophisticated to consumer-oriented and include products for emergency management, broadcast television and application developers (e.g. Web data services/APIs), while also covering a broad range of both space and time scales. On the other hand, consumers of such products and services seek to minimize impacts or maximize resources while looking to both commercial and government entities to provide the needed information. Thus, there is a natural overlap between the provision of hydrological products and services and consumers of those services. We invite contributions from both provider and consumer vantage points as a basis for dialogue toward the development and application of next-generation" products and services. Papers with a special focus on the integration of new observations that show promise in improving the reliability (statistical) of the DSS for its particular application area are encouraged. For more information, please contact the program organizer, John McHenry, at john.mchenry@baronweather.com.
The lack of mechanistic knowledge on several aerosol properties and their complex interactions with clouds and radiation hinders the advance in predictive understanding of climatic and environmental impacts of atmospheric aerosol. Single particle morphology and aerosol mixing states are among those aerosol aspects that are the least known and characterized, due to their complexity and inherent measurement challenges. However, these single-particle aspects influence the aerosol optical properties, as well as various microphysical processes like hygroscopicity and heterogeneous ice nucleation. During the aerosol life cycle, particles experience several atmospheric aging processes, such as restructuring, coagulation and condensation with organic and inorganic materials, and heterogeneous chemical reactions. These processes result in changes in morphology and internal mixing state of individual particles. The significance of these effects and, hence, the impact on atmospheric radiation budget, is largely unconstrained and not well understood.
New experimental, as well as modeling efforts are needed to better understand the role of aerosol morphology and aerosol mixing state. This session focuses on this timely topic, and we welcome both laboratory and field measurements, as well as modeling efforts that investigate the morphology and mixing of atmospheric particles, their chemical and physical interactions with the environment and their effects, for example, on optical properties and microphysical processes.
8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Thursday, 26 January 2017
9:30 AM-10:30 AM: Thursday, 26 January 2017
Exhibit Hall Breakfast
Location: 4AB (Washington State Convention Center )
10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Thursday, 26 January 2017
Researchers at The Centers for Disease Control (CDC) have been exploring different pathways through which climate-sensitive environmental exposures affect different health outcomes.
Both public (e.g. emergency management, NOAA) and commercial (e.g. weather sensitive businesses, private-sector weather service providers) entities are involved in the distribution and use of hydrometeorological products and services. Private-sector firms often focus on "niche" applications or develop/implement technologies of interest to public-sector providers such as National Meteorological and Hydrological Services (NMHS's). The types of decision-support systems (DSS's) range from water management applications (impoundments, reservoir/hydro-power, urban runoff/drainage); to water resources applications (irrigation, potable water, water pollution mitigation, regional water supply management; to heavy precipitation and flash-flood/flood awareness and forecast services. All rely on high-quality observations as a starting-point. DSSs range in complexity from the highly-sophisticated to consumer-oriented and include products for emergency management, broadcast television and application developers (e.g. Web data services/APIs), while also covering a broad range of both space and time scales. On the other hand, consumers of such products and services seek to minimize impacts or maximize resources while looking to both commercial and government entities to provide the needed information. Thus, there is a natural overlap between the provision of hydrological products and services and consumers of those services. We invite contributions from both provider and consumer vantage points as a basis for dialogue toward the development and application of next-generation" products and services. Papers with a special focus on the integration of new observations that show promise in improving the reliability (statistical) of the DSS for its particular application area are encouraged. For more information, please contact the program organizer, John McHenry, at john.mchenry@baronweather.com.
Drought is a multi-faceted phenomenon that challenges our current prediction capabilities. Taking drought prediction and hydrological applications to the next level requires advances in understanding, monitoring, communications and water resources management. Specific topics addressed by presenters could include but are not limited to: Current drought prediction science and skill at various lead times; innovative management uses of that science; and case studies illustrating advances in understanding, monitoring and prediction of drought and drought impacts. Further, papers addressing gaps and deficiencies in our current methods for predicting droughts and estimating its effects on vegetation, water resources, and human populations are also invited.
The lack of mechanistic knowledge on several aerosol properties and their complex interactions with clouds and radiation hinders the advance in predictive understanding of climatic and environmental impacts of atmospheric aerosol. Single particle morphology and aerosol mixing states are among those aerosol aspects that are the least known and characterized, due to their complexity and inherent measurement challenges. However, these single-particle aspects influence the aerosol optical properties, as well as various microphysical processes like hygroscopicity and heterogeneous ice nucleation. During the aerosol life cycle, particles experience several atmospheric aging processes, such as restructuring, coagulation and condensation with organic and inorganic materials, and heterogeneous chemical reactions. These processes result in changes in morphology and internal mixing state of individual particles. The significance of these effects and, hence, the impact on atmospheric radiation budget, is largely unconstrained and not well understood.
New experimental, as well as modeling efforts are needed to better understand the role of aerosol morphology and aerosol mixing state. This session focuses on this timely topic, and we welcome both laboratory and field measurements, as well as modeling efforts that investigate the morphology and mixing of atmospheric particles, their chemical and physical interactions with the environment and their effects, for example, on optical properties and microphysical processes.
12:00 PM-1:15 PM: Thursday, 26 January 2017
A luncheon to honor Lance Bosart will be held on Thursday, 26 January, at the Washington State Convention Center. Attendees are encouraged to purchase tickets when preregistering since only a limited number will be available on site. All are invited to attend. A Bosart Symposium luncheon ticket is not included in the conference registration package; tickets will be available for purchase for $45 until 10:00 A.M. on Wednesday, 25 January.
12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Thursday, 26 January 2017
12:15 PM-1:15 PM: Thursday, 26 January 2017
With the proliferation of platforms for communicating information over the internet and the popularity of weather, many news organizations are increasingly covering the subject. The platforms - including blogs, social media and more traditional online articles - facilitate instant sharing of time-sensitive, important information leading up to and during hazardous situations. Their interactive features encourage engagement that can facilitate mutually beneficial exchange of information. But in their drive to attract readers and clicks in covering weather in a very competitive business environment, some organizations and/or individuals have crossed lines. They sensationalize headlines and social media posts. They post forecasts beyond the range of predictability. They omit important details, make errors and/or perpetuate misconceptions. This panel will feature digital meteorologists and weather journalists who will discuss today's rapidly evolving media landscape. They'll discuss what's working well in online weather communication, best practices, and areas to improve.
With the proliferation of platforms for communicating information over the internet and the popularity of weather, many news organizations are increasingly covering the subject. The platforms - including blogs, social media and more traditional online articles - facilitate instant sharing of time-sensitive, important information leading up to and during hazardous situations. Their interactive features encourage engagement that can facilitate mutually beneficial exchange of information. But in their drive to attract readers and clicks in covering weather in a very competitive business environment, some organizations and/or individuals have crossed lines. They sensationalize headlines and social media posts. They post forecasts beyond the range of predictability. They omit important details, make errors and/or perpetuate misconceptions. This panel will feature digital meteorologists and weather journalists who will discuss today's rapidly evolving media landscape. They'll discuss what's working well in online weather communication, best practices, and areas to improve. AccuWeather, The Washington Post, and Tom Fahy/Capitol Meteorologics will provide a limited number of box lunches.For additional information, please contact Thomas Fahy (tfahy@capitolgr.com)
1:30 PM-3:00 PM: Thursday, 26 January 2017
Shallow clouds, like cumulus and stratocumulus, cover a significant portion of Earth's surface, especially over the ocean. Many shallow cloud systems are sensitive to changes in aerosol properties, which modulate cloud microphysical properties and can influence precipitation formation and cloud scale dynamics. In addition, absorbing aerosols can modulate the thermodynamic environment experienced by clouds. Ultimately, these controls may alter low cloud radiative properties and climate. Aerosol particles, in turn, are impacted by shallow cloud processes. Together, these interactions result in a coupling of the aerosol-cloud system whose strength is highly variable and poorly understood. Correctly representing this coupling has proven challenging to represent in large scale models. In this session, we invite presentations on all topics related to aerosol-cloud coupling in shallow clouds, including those addressing basic physical understanding, the quantification of aerosol indirect effects, cloud effects on aerosols, and the coupling between aerosols and boundary layer turbulence, cloud dynamics, and precipitation.
Drought is a multi-faceted phenomenon that challenges our current prediction capabilities. Taking drought prediction and hydrological applications to the next level requires advances in understanding, monitoring, communications and water resources management. Specific topics addressed by presenters could include but are not limited to: Current drought prediction science and skill at various lead times; innovative management uses of that science; and case studies illustrating advances in understanding, monitoring and prediction of drought and drought impacts. Further, papers addressing gaps and deficiencies in our current methods for predicting droughts and estimating its effects on vegetation, water resources, and human populations are also invited.
OLYMPEX field campaign
Variations in meteorology and climate couple with a range of source types and source activity levels to yield a wide range of regional scale air quality challenges around the globe. This session solicits reports from both observational and modeling perspectives on air pollution in different regions within North America and around the globe. Presentations focusing on improving air quality and air quality challenges are both welcome. Relevant air quality issues include, but are not limited to, ozone, fine particles, smoke from wild and prescribed fires, visibility and regional haze, and reactive nitrogen deposition.
1:30 PM-3:45 PM: Thursday, 26 January 2017
3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Thursday, 26 January 2017
Coffee Break
Location: Skybridge (Washington State Convention Center )
3:30 PM-4:30 PM: Thursday, 26 January 2017
3:30 PM-5:00 PM: Thursday, 26 January 2017
4B
Measurement Systems
Location: Conference Center: Chelan 4 (Washington State Convention Center )
World Urban Database and Access Portal Tools (WUDAPT)
Drought is a multi-faceted phenomenon that challenges our current prediction capabilities. Taking drought prediction and hydrological applications to the next level requires advances in understanding, monitoring, communications and water resources management. Specific topics addressed by presenters could include but are not limited to: Current drought prediction science and skill at various lead times; innovative management uses of that science; and case studies illustrating advances in understanding, monitoring and prediction of drought and drought impacts. Further, papers addressing gaps and deficiencies in our current methods for predicting droughts and estimating its effects on vegetation, water resources, and human populations are also invited.
Variations in meteorology and climate couple with a range of source types and source activity levels to yield a wide range of regional scale air quality challenges around the globe. This session solicits reports from both observational and modeling perspectives on air pollution in different regions within North America and around the globe. Presentations focusing on improving air quality and air quality challenges are both welcome. Relevant air quality issues include, but are not limited to, ozone, fine particles, smoke from wild and prescribed fires, visibility and regional haze, and reactive nitrogen deposition.
3:30 PM-5:30 PM: Thursday, 26 January 2017
3:45 PM-4:00 PM: Thursday, 26 January 2017
9
ASLI at 20
Location: Conference Center: Chelan 5 (Washington State Convention Center )
Reflections on where we've been and where we're going
4:00 PM-5:00 PM: Thursday, 26 January 2017