NOAA/OAR Contributions to Subseasonal to Seasonal Research That Will Benefit National Capabilities

The Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research (OAR) within the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has been involved with numerous projects to advance our predictive capabilities of the Earth system beyond two weeks.  This presentation will detail several important projects and describe how they are expected to contribute to the development of the needed national capabilities in this timescale, as described by the National Earth System Prediction System project.  Some of OAR’s projects in this area have focused on an improved dynamical core for NOAA’s next generation global prediction system, the use of climate model ensembles in generating new subseasonal National Weather Service products, an assessment of regional sea-ice predictability,  and the predictability of blocking patterns.