Tuesday, 24 January 2017
We present very high resolution global climate model simulations of a stabilized 1.5oC and 2oC warmer climate as envisioned by the Paris COP21 agreement. Changes in extreme weather, including tropical cyclones, will be discussed. Differences between the two scenarios compared to simulations of the present will be shown. The resolution of this global climate model (25km) is significantly higher than presently available in the public CMIP5 database. Because of this high-resolution, severe storm systems are much more realistically represented and the simulation of tropical cyclones up to Category Five on the Saffir-Simpson scale are routinely simulated. Output data from these simulations will be made freely available to all interested parties and should prove a useful resource to those interested in studying the impacts of anthropogenic warming stabilized at these levels.
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