Session 15B 29th Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Program Chairs: Ben P. Kirtman , Univ. of Miami/RSMAS ; Daniel J. Vimont , University of Wisconsin

- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates paper is an Award Winner

Monday, 23 January 2017

10:30 AM-11:00 AM: Monday, 23 January 2017


Coffee Break (6th Floor Foyer)
Location: Washington State Convention Center

11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Monday, 23 January 2017

Recording files available
Session 1A
Hot Topics in Climate Variability and Change
Location: 605 (Washington State Convention Center )
Host: 29th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Ben P. Kirtman, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS
11:00 AM
1A.1
The U.S. and Global Climate Conditions of 2016 in Historical Perspective
Jake Crouch, NOAA/NESDIS/National Centers for Environmental Information, Asheville, NC; and D. S. Arndt, C. Fenimore, J. Blunden, A. Sanchez-Lugo, R. R. Heim Jr., K. Gleason, and C. J. Schreck III
11:15 AM
1A.2
11:45 AM
1A.4
Planning the Climate Observing Systems of the Future
Betsy Weatherhead, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and V. Ramaswamy and B. A. Wielicki
Recording files available
Session 1B
Sea-ice and Climate
Location: 609 (Washington State Convention Center )
Host: 29th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Melissa Gervais, Columbia University
11:15 AM
Paper 1B.2 has been moved. It is now 13B.2.

11:45 AM
1B.4

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Monday, 23 January 2017


Lunch Break

1:30 PM-2:00 PM: Monday, 23 January 2017

Recording files available
Lecture 1
Walter Orr Roberts Lecture
Location: Conference Center: Tahoma 2 (Washington State Convention Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the 33rd Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 31st Conference on Hydrology; the 29th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 28th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting / 24th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction; the 26th Symposium on Education; the 21st Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface; the 19th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the 18th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 15th Conference on Artificial and Computational Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences; the 15th Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 14th Conference on Polar Meteorology and Oceanography; the 14th Conference on Space Weather; the 13th Annual Symposium on New Generation Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Major Weather Impacts of 2016; the 12th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the Ninth Symposium on Aerosol–Cloud–Climate Interactions; the Eighth Conference on Weather, Climate, Water and the New Energy Economy; the Eighth Conference on Environment and Health; the Eighth Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the Eighth Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Seventh Conference on Transition of Research to Operations; the Seventh Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python; the Fifth Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise; the Fifth Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events; the Fifth Symposium on Prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation: Processes, Prediction and Impact; the Second Symposium on US-International Partnerships; and the 13th Symposium of the Urban Environment )
Speaker: Cynthia Rosenzweig, Columbia University
1:30 PM
L1.1

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Monday, 23 January 2017

Recording files available
Session 2A
Ocean and Climate
Location: 605 (Washington State Convention Center )
Host: 29th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Daniel J. Vimont, University of Wisconsin
2:15 PM
2A.4
Improved Climate Simulations through a Stochastic Parameterization of Ocean Eddies
Paul D. Williams, University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom; and N. J. Howe, J. M. Gregory, R. S. Smith, and M. M. Joshi
Recording files available
Session 2B
Satellite Observations and Climate Part I
Location: 609 (Washington State Convention Center )
Host: 29th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Eric J. Fetzer, JPL
1:45 PM
2B.2
Drought Intensifies Dust Activities in the United States
Bing Pu, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ; and P. Ginoux

2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Monday, 23 January 2017


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: 4E (Washington State Convention Center )

Poster Session 1
Climate Variability and Change Poster Session, Monday
Host: 29th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
42
Detecting Climate Trends Using AIRS, IASI and CrIS High Spectral Resolution Brightness Temperature Spectra
Daniel DeSlover, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and R. Knuteson, D. Tobin, and H. Revercomb

43
Principal Modes of Precipitation Variability from Preliminary Series of IMERG Data
Andrey Savtchenko, NASA/GSFC/Code 610.2, Greenbelt, MD; and G. J. Huffman and B. Vollmer

Handout (2.1 MB)

46
An El Niño-like Future? Investigation and Evaluation of CMIP5 Projections
Yen-Ting Hwang, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and H. Y. Tseng

49
African Easterly Wave Tracks as Simulated by CMIP5 Models
Allison Lynn Brannan, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and E. Martin

51
Seasonal Variability of Tropopause in Northern Hemispheric winter
Jinju Kim, Seoul National University, Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South); and K. Y. Kim

53
Projections of Climate Change Effects on Global Atmospheric River Landfalls
Vicky Espinoza, University of Southern Californian, Los Angeles, CA; and D. E. Waliser, B. Guan, and D. A. Lavers

56
Recent Changes in the Variability and Seasonality of Temperature in the Northern Hemisphere
Katrina L. Hui, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA; and P. A. O'Gorman and J. G. Dwyer

59
Physical Mechanisms of Eurasian Winter Temperature Variability
Kwang-Yul Kim, Seoul National University, Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South)

63
Impact of Island Morphology on Convective Cloud Formation
Udaysankar S. Nair, University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and E. Foshee and C. Phillips

64
Regional Changes in Earth's Color and Texture as Observed from Space over a 15- year Period
Guangyu Zhao, Univ. of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and L. Di Girolamo, D. J. Diner, C. J. Bruegge, K. Mueller, and D. L. Wu

65
Examining the Tropopause Structure during Rossby Wave Breaking Events with COSMIC
Alexia Prosperi, ESMEI at Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and C. Liu and E. A. Barnes

70
Cloud Properties Analysis Based on EarthCARE Observation for Climate Variability Prediction
Seiko Takagi, Tokai University, Kanagawa, Japan; and M. Hashimoto
Manuscript (254.5 kB)

73
Improvements to Broadband Shortwave and Longwave Top of Atmosphere Fluxes Derived from Geostationary Satellites
Mandana M. Thieman, SSAI, Hampton, VA; and P. Minnis, W. L. Smith Jr., M. Sun, F. J. Wrenn IV, D. R. Doelling, L. Liang, M. L. Nordeen, D. A. Spangenberg, and R. Palikonda

Handout (1.6 MB)

81
The United States Summertime "Warming Hole": Quantifying the Forced Aerosol Response Given Large Internal Variability
Antara Banerjee, Columbia University, New York, NY; and L. M. Polvani and J. C. Fyfe

4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Monday, 23 January 2017

Recording files available
Session 3A
Attribution and Detection
Location: 605 (Washington State Convention Center )
Host: 29th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Daniel J. Vimont, University of Wisconsin
4:15 PM
3A.2
Detection and Attribution Canadian Temperature Changes to Human Influence
Hui Wan, EC, Toronto, ON, Canada; and X. Zhang and F. W. Zwiers
4:30 PM
3A.3
Seasonality in the Secular warming of the Northern Continents
Natalie Thomas, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and S. Nigam, A. Ruiz-Barradas, and S. Weaver

Paper 3A.4 is now Paper 3A.6A

5:00 PM
3A.5
Reconciling Theories for Human and Natural Attribution of Recent East Africa Drying
Andrew Hoell, NOAA, Boulder, CO; and M. Hoerling, J. Eischeid, Q. Xiao-Wei, and B. Liebmann
Paper 3A.6 is now Paper 3A.4A

5:15 PM
3A.6A
Recording files available
Session 3B
Satellite Observations and Climate Part II
Location: 609 (Washington State Convention Center )
Host: 29th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Eric J. Fetzer, JPL
4:15 PM
3B.2
Observational Evidence for Trends and Variability in the Hadley Cell Based on 15 Years of Scatterometer Ocean Surface Wind Estimates
Svetla M. Hristova-Veleva, JPL/California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA; and Z. S. Haddad, B. W. Stiles, E. Rodriguez, and F. J. Turk
4:30 PM
3B.3
4:45 PM
3B.4
AIRS Contributions to Climate Science
Eric J. Fetzer, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and J. Teixeira, B. Lambrigtsen, T. S. Pagano, and H. H. Aumann

5:15 PM
3B.6
A New Global Geostationary Satellite-Based Cloud and Surface Temperature Climate Data Record for CERES
Rabindra Palikonda, SSAI, Hampton, VA; and P. Minnis, M. L. Nordeen, D. R. Doelling, Q. Z. Trepte, S. T. Bedka, C. R. Yost, D. A. Spangenberg, P. W. Heck, and W. L. Smith Jr.

5:30 PM-7:30 PM: Monday, 23 January 2017


Reception and Exhibits Opening
Location: 4AB (Washington State Convention Center )

Tuesday, 24 January 2017

8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Tuesday, 24 January 2017

Recording files available
Joint Session 1
Methodology, Evaluation, and Application of Climate Downscaling, Part I
Location: 602 (Washington State Convention Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the 31st Conference on Hydrology; and the 29th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Cochairs: L. Ruby Leung, PNNL; Yolande Serra, JISAO/Univ. of Washington; Francina Dominguez, University of Illinois; Christopher L. Castro, University of Arizona
8:30 AM
J1.1
An Overview of Climate Projections Performed for North America CORDEX
Linda O. Mearns, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. W. Arritt, M. S. Bukovsky, C. L. Castro, and H. I. Chang
8:45 AM
J1.2
9:00 AM
J1.3
9:30 AM
J1.5
Comparing the performance of multiple statistical downscaling approaches using a perfect model framework
Anne Marie K. Stoner, Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX; and K. Hayhoe, K. W. Dixon, J. Lanzante, and I. Scott-Fleming
9:45 AM
J1.6
Exploring the Sensitivity of Projected Climate Indices to Statistical Downscaling Choices
Keith W. Dixon, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ; and M. J. Nath and J. Lanzante
Recording files available
Session 4A
Advances in Climate Modeling and Prediction Part I
Location: 605 (Washington State Convention Center )
Host: 29th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Ben P. Kirtman, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS
8:30 AM
4A.1
9:00 AM
4A.3
Multi-scale Historical Simulations of Regional Precipitation Extremes
Naomi L. Goldenson, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and L. R. Leung and C. M. Bitz
9:15 AM
4A.4
Dynamic Scale Awareness: Switching Parameterized Convection on at the Right Time
Ahmed Tawfik, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and D. Lawrence and P. A. Dirmeyer
9:30 AM
4A.5
Accurate Representation of Organized Convection in CFSv2 Via a Stochastic Lattice Model
Bidyut Goswami, University of Victoria, Victoria, BC, Canada; and B. Khouider, R. Phani, P. Mukhopadhyay, and A. Majda
9:45 AM
4A.6
Convection Permitting Climate Simulations of Mesoscale Convective Systems in a Global Variable-Resolution Model
L. Ruby Leung, PNNL, Richland, WA; and C. Zhao, S. H. Park, S. Hagos, Z. Feng, W. C. Skamarock, and M. Duda
Recording files available
Session 4B
Extreme Events Part I
Location: 609 (Washington State Convention Center )
Host: 29th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Cochairs: Mathew Barlow, Univ. of Massachusetts; John W. Nielsen-Gammon, Texas A&M Univ.; Michael F. Wehner, LBNL
8:45 AM
4B.2
Effects of MMTS on Long-Term Extreme Temperature Trends
Kenneth E. Kunkel, CICS-NC, Asheville, NC; and N. J. Doesken, D. A. Robinson, M. R. Gerbush, and W. A. Ryan
9:30 AM
4B.5
Interpretation of County-Scale Observed Trends in Extreme Rainfall
John W. Nielsen-Gammon, Texas A&M Univ., College Station, TX
9:45 AM
4B.6
Recording files available
Themed Joint Session 6
Observational Needs and Advances in Polar Climate Modeling and Science
Location: Conference Center: Skagit 3 (Washington State Convention Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the 14th Conference on Polar Meteorology and Oceanography; and the 29th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Chair: Ryan L. Fogt, Ohio University
9:30 AM
TJ6.4
9:45 AM
TJ6.5
The ARM West Antarctic Radiation Experiment (AWARE) (Invited Presentation)
Dan Lubin, SIO/Univ. Of California, La Jolla, CA; and D. H. Bromwich, A. M. Vogelmann, J. Verlinde, and L. Russell

10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Tuesday, 24 January 2017


Coffee Break
Location: 4AB (Washington State Convention Center )

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Tuesday, 24 January 2017

Recording files available
Joint Session 2
Methodology, Evaluation, and Application of Climate Downscaling, Part II
Location: 602 (Washington State Convention Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the 31st Conference on Hydrology; and the 29th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Cochairs: Ruby Leung, PNNL; Yolande Serra, JISAO/Univ. of Washington; Francina Dominguez, University of Illinois; Christopher L. Castro, University of Arizona
10:30 AM
J2.1
Uncertainty in Downscaling Across a Continuum of Methods
Ethan Gutmann, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. Clark, J. R. Arnold, R. M. Rasmussen, L. D. Brekke, and K. Nowak
10:45 AM
J2.2
Comparing Mid-Century Climate Change Projections at Convective Resolving Scales (2-km) for Life Zones Within Puerto Rico
Jared H. Bowden, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC; and A. M. Wootten, A. Terando, R. P. Boyles, V. Misra, and A. Bhardwaj
11:00 AM
J2.3
Strange Floods: Downscaling Simulations of the Storms that Produce Them
James A. Smith, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ; and M. L. Baeck
11:15 AM
J2.4
Projecting Water Levels of the Laurentian Great Lakes in the 21st Century from a Dynamical Downscaling Perspective
Chuliang Xiao, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI; and B. M. Lofgren, J. Wang, P. Y. Chu, and A. Gronewold
11:30 AM
J2.5
Regional Climate Modeling of Vegetation Feedbacks on the Asian-Australian Monsoon Systems
Michael Notaro, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and G. Chen, Y. Yu, F. Wang, A. Tawfik, and R. Stoeckli
12:00 PM
Identification of Large-Scale Climate Drivers in Flood-Generating Mechanisms - Raquel Lorente-Plazas
Recording files available
Session 5A
Advances in Climate Modeling and Prediction Part II
Location: 605 (Washington State Convention Center )
Host: 29th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: L. Ruby Leung, PNNL
11:00 AM
5A.3
Atmospheric Seasonal Forecasts of the 20th Century: Multi-Decadal Variability in Predictive Skill of the Winter NAO
Antje Weisheimer, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom; and T. N. Palmer, N. Schaller, C. H. O'Reilly, and D. MacLeod

11:30 AM
5A.5
The Scaling of Short-Term Precipitation Events in a Changing Climate
Christoph Schar, ETH, Zurich, Switzerland; and N. Ban, D. Leutwyler, O. Fuhrer, D. Luthi, and L. Schlemmer
Recording files available
Session 5B
Extreme Events Part II
Location: 609 (Washington State Convention Center )
Host: 29th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Cochairs: Mathew Barlow, Univ. of Massachusetts; John W. Nielsen-Gammon, Texas A&M Univ.; Michael F. Wehner, LBNL
10:45 AM
5B.2
11:45 AM
5B.6
The Wet and Windy Extremes of Landfalling Atmospheric Rivers
Bin Guan, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA; and D. E. Waliser

Recording files available
Themed Joint Session 7
El Niño and Health + Core Science Keynote
Location: Conference Center: Tahoma 5 (Washington State Convention Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the Eighth Conference on Environment and Health; and the 29th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Chair: Kristie L. Ebi, University of Washington
10:30 AM
TJ7.1
El Nino and Health: A Tale of Two Disciplines (Invited Presentation)
Glenn Russell McGregor, Univ. of Durham, Durham, United Kingdom
11:30 AM
TJ7.5
Extreme Events Detection and 21st Century Projections in The Intra-America Region
Moises Angeles, City College of New York, New York, NY; and J. Gonzalez

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Tuesday, 24 January 2017


Lunch Break

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Tuesday, 24 January 2017

Recording files available
Session 6A
Extreme Events Part III
Location: 605 (Washington State Convention Center )
Host: 29th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Cochairs: Mathew Barlow, Univ. of Massachusetts; John W. Nielsen-Gammon, Texas A&M Univ.; Michael F. Wehner, LBNL
1:30 PM
6A.1
Evaluating NARCCAP Models for Severe Storm Environment Variables
Eric Gilleland, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. S. Bukovsky, C. Williams, S. A. McGinnis, B. Brown, and L. O. Mearns

1:45 PM
6A.2
Future Changes in Extremes in High Resolution Simulations of CESM1.3
Susan Bates, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and W. M. Washington, N. Rosenbloom, C. Hannay, J. E. Truesdale, and J. T. Bacmeister
2:00 PM
6A.3
Non-stationarity of Climate Extremes: Natural Variability and Anthropogenic Forcings
Salil Mahajan, ORNL, Oak Ridge, TN; and K. J. Evans, M. L. Branstetter, and M. Kovilakam
2:15 PM
6A.4
Recording files available
Session 6B
Tropical Cyclones and Climate
Location: 609 (Washington State Convention Center )
Host: 29th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Ben P. Kirtman, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS
1:30 PM
6B.1
Aerosol vs. Greenhouse Gas Influences on Tropical Cyclone Intensity
Adam H. Sobel, Columbia University, New York, NY; and S. Camargo, K. Emanuel, T. M. Hall, C. Y. Lee, M. K. Tippett, and A. A. Wing
1:45 PM
6B.2
2:15 PM
6B.4
Tropical Cyclone World: a Fine-Resolution Tropical Aquaplanet Climate Model Simulation
Kevin J.E. Walsh, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, Australia; and S. Sur, S. Wales, and M. Thatcher

2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Tuesday, 24 January 2017


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: 4E (Washington State Convention Center )

Joint Poster Session 1
Methodology, Evaluation, and Application of Climate Downscaling
Location: 4E (Washington State Convention Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the 31st Conference on Hydrology; and the 29th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Cochairs: Ruby Leung, PNNL; Yolande Serra, JISAO/Univ. of Washington; Francina Dominguez, University of Illinois; Christopher L. Castro, University of Arizona
455
150-Year CONUS Quasi-Dynamical Downscaling Product
Trude Eidhammer, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and E. Gutmann, M. Clark, J. R. Arnold, L. D. Brekke, R. Rasmussen, and K. Nowak

461
Identification of Large-Scale Climate Drivers in Flood-Generating Mechanisms
Raquel Lorente-Plazas, University of Washington, Bothell, WA; and G. Mauger and E. Salathé

464
Hydrological Projections on a Small European Catchment
Rita Pongracz, Eotvos Lorand University, Budapest, Hungary; and J. Bartholy, A. Kis, and J. A. Szabó
Manuscript (1.5 MB)

465
Diagnosing Ecohydrologic and Atmospheric Feedbacks from Beetle-Induced Tree Mortality with a Coupled Atmosphere-Hydrology Model
Mary Forrester, Colorado School of Mines, Golden, CO; and R. M. Maxwell, D. Gochis, L. Bearup, and A. Porter


Poster Session 2
Climate Variability and Change Poster Session, Tuesday
Host: 29th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
483
The Diurnal Cycle of Warm Season Rainfall over West Africa
Gang Zhang, Yale University, New Haven, CT; and K. H. Cook and E. K. Vizy

486
Representation of Southern African Monsoon In A High Resolution AGCM and Its Future Projections
Jerry Raj, King Abdullah University of Science and Technology, Jeddah, Saudi Arabia; and G. L. Stenchikov and H. K. Bangalath

487
The Effect on Simulated Ocean Climate of a Parameterization of Unbroken Wave-induced Mixing incorporated into the k-epsilon Mixing Scheme
Kevin J.E. Walsh, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, Australia; and P. Govekar, A. V. Babanin, M. Ghantous, P. Spence, and E. Scoccimarro

488
What Would Happen to Superstorm Sandy under the Influence of a Substantially Warmer Sea Surface Temperature in a Future Climate?
William K. M. Lau, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and J. J. Shi, K. M. Kim, and W. K. Tao

489
More Frequent Intense and Long-Lived Storms Dominate the Trend in Central U.S. Rainfall
Zhe Feng, PNNL, Richland, WA; and L. Y. R. Leung, S. Hagos, R. A. Houze Jr., C. Burleyson, and K. Balaguru

Handout (11.3 MB)

490
Analyzing Changes in Future Extreme Events in New England using A New Dynamically Downscaled High Resolution Climate Dataset
Muge Komurcu, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA; and M. Huber

Poster 491 has been moved. Now Poster 79A

492
Updating a Climatology of Extreme Snowfall Events in the United States
Jared Rennie, North Carolina Institute for Climate Studies, Asheville, NC; and D. S. Arndt

493
Towards an Event Based Indicator for Monitoring Change in Extreme Precipitation in Support of the US National Climate Assessment
Paul Loikith, Portland State University, Portland, OR; and E. A. Slinskey and D. E. Waliser

495
Impact of Climate Change on Winter Storm Moisture Transport over the Western United States
Kelsey M. Malloy, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and M. Alexander, K. M. Mahoney, and M. Mueller

496
High Resolution Climate Model Simulations of Stabilized 1.5 and 2 Degree Warming Scenarios
Michael F. Wehner, LBNL, Berkeley, CA; and D. Stone, J. Johnson, B. Loring, H. Krishnan, and T. O'Brien

497
Analyzing Large-Scale, Wintertime Extreme Warm Events using Self-Organizing Maps
Kirsten J Mayer, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and J. E. Martin

502
Beyond the Mean: Trends in United State Convective Environments
John T. Allen, Central Michigan University, Mt Pleasant, MI; and C. Lepore and M. K. Tippett

504
Colorado Front Range Windstorms in a Changing Climate
Seth Antozzi, Virginia Wesleyan College, Norfolk, VA; and J. J. Barsugli, J. M. Brown, and A. J. Ray

Handout (601.1 kB)

505
Characteristics of Heat Waves in Mesoamerica and Caribbean Region
Nazario D. Ramirez-Beltran, University of Puerto Rico, Mayaguez, PR; and J. E. Gonzalez, J. M. Castro, M. E. Angeles, C. M. Salazar, E. W. Harmsen, and N. Hosannah

Handout (936.0 kB)

506
Numerical Modeling of a Heavy Rainfall Event in Present and Future Climates
John M. Lanicci, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical Univ., Daytona Beach, FL; and T. D. Allison and H. E. Fuelberg

Handout (6.6 MB)

510
Present Simulation and Future Projection of Tropical Storm Activity Over the Western North Pacific in 20-km HiRAM and MRI Climate Models
Chih-Hua Tsou, National Taiwan Normal University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. Y. Tu, C. T. Chen, and T. P. Tzeng

511
Large-scale Controls on Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Activity on Seasonal Time Scales
Young-Kwon Lim, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and S. D. Schubert, O. Reale, A. M. Molod, M. J. Suarez, and B. M. Auer

514
The Dependence of Cloud Property Trend Detection on Satellite Instrument Accuracy
Yolanda L Shea, NASA/LaRC, Hampton, VA; and B. A. Wielicki, S. Sun-Mack, P. Minnis, and M. D. Zelinka

516
Long-Term Daily Gridded Precipitation Dataset for Asia and Its Use for Climate Monitoring
Hirotaka Sato, JMA, Tokyo, Japan; and K. Kamiguchi, Y. Mochizuki, and A. Yatagai

Handout (2.2 MB)

517
520
Effects of Land Management Strategies on Northern Plains Energy Balance Climatology
Gabriel Bromley, Montana State University, Bozeman, MT; and T. Gerken, M. M. Morgan, and P. Stoy

521
Co-Occurrence of Extreme Temperature and Moisture over the Contiguous U.S
Colin Raymond, Columbia University, New York, NY; and D. Singh and R. M. Horton

524
Formation Mechanism of a Western Hemisphere Circulation Pattern during Boreal Winter
Ming Bao, Nanjing Univeristy, Nanjing, China; and P. Ceppi, D. L. Hartmann, and X. Tan

525
Global and Synoptic-Scale Forcings on Extreme Snow Melt Runoff Events
Gina R. Henderson, U.S. Naval Academy, Annapolis, MD; and J. L. Arthur, D. J. Leathers, D. A. Robinson, and T. Mote

528
Using Empirical Orthogonal Function/Principal Component Analysis to Explore Wintertime Pacific Jet Variability
Maria Mercedes Madsen, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and J. E. Martin

529
Revisiting Trends in the North Atlantic Subtropical High for the Southeast US Summer Climate and Climate Change
Jared H. Bowden, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC; and T. L. Spero, K. D. Talgo, W. Li, C. G. Nolte, and A. Hanna

531
Quantitative Decomposition of Radiative and Non-€‘Radiative Contributions to Temperature Anomalies Related to Siberian High Variability
Tae-Won Park, Chonnam National University, Gwangju, Korea, Republic of (South); and J. H. Jeong, Y. Deng, and M. Cai

Handout (2.6 MB)

538
Climate Downscaling for Water Reservoir Impact Studies
I. C. Oliveira, IBM Research, Sao Paulo, Brazil; and A. B. Buoro and A. C. Nogueira Jr.

539
Climate Change Hazards: Extreme Precipitation and Flooding in Oklahoma's Tribal Nations
Kristina Mazur, NWC REU Program, Norman, OK; and E. Mullens and D. H. Rosendahl

Handout (1.3 MB)

540
Defining Philippine Climate Zones Using Cluster Analysis
Irenea L. Corporal-Lodangco, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and L. M. Leslie

542
Snowfall Changes During the California Drought
Veronica Fall, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and E. Martin, L. M. Leslie, and M. B. Richman

543
WRF GCM and Reanalysis-driven Dynamical Downscaling Evaluation of Present Day Climate Simulations over Bolivia
Azar Mohammad Abadi, University of Nebraska, Lincoln, NE; and R. Oglesby, C. M. Rowe, and R. Mawalagedara

545
Southern Hemisphere Circulation Change from Paleoclimate (LGM) to Future (RCP4.5) Climate
Seo-Yeon Kim, Seoul National University, Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South); and S. W. Son

548
CMIP5 Global Climate Model Performance Evaluation over the South-Central United States
Derek H. Rosendahl, South Central Climate Science Center, Norman, OK; and D. Rupp, R. McPherson, and B. Moore III

4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Tuesday, 24 January 2017

Recording files available
Session 7A
Climate Observations and Reanalyses
Location: 605 (Washington State Convention Center )
Host: 29th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Laura Stevens, NOAA/Cooperative Institute for Climate and Satellites
4:00 PM
7A.1
CERA-20C: The ECMWF Coupled Reanalysis of the 20th Century
Patrick Laloyaux, ECMWF, Reading, United Kingdom; and M. Alonso-Balmaseda, R. Buizza, E. de Boisseson, P. Dahlgren, D. Dee, S. Hirahara, S. Saarinen, D. Schepers, and Y. Kosaka
4:45 PM
7A.4
Investigating Changes in Temperature Variability and Extremes Using Gridded In Situ-based and Reanalysis Daily Temperature Datasets
Mia H. Gross, Climate Change Research Centre/University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia; and L. V. Alexander and M. G. Donat
Recording files available
Session 7B
Large-scale Circulation
Location: 609 (Washington State Convention Center )
Host: 29th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Kyle Armour, University of Washington
4:15 PM
7B.2
4:30 PM
7B.3
4:45 PM
7B.4
Effects of Solar Geoengineering on Meridional Energy Transport and the ITCZ
Rick D Russotto, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and T. P. Ackerman and D. M. W. Frierson
5:00 PM
7B.5
5:15 PM
7B.6

Wednesday, 25 January 2017

8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Wednesday, 25 January 2017

Recording files available
Joint Session 3
Climate Variability and Change in the Arctic and/or Antarctic Part I
Location: 605 (Washington State Convention Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the 29th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; and the 14th Conference on Polar Meteorology and Oceanography )
Chair: Qinghua Ding, University of California
8:30 AM
J3.1
Advancing NOAA NWS Arctic Program Development
Marina Timofeyeva, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and F. Horsfall, J. C. Meyers, M. Churma, and R. Thoman
8:45 AM
J3.2
9:15 AM
J3.4
Stability of Atmospheric Teleconnections in Dynamical Models
Ed Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and C. M. Bitz

9:45 AM
J3.6
Scenario Changes of Atlantic Water in the Arctic Ocean
Will Perrie, Bedford Institute of Oceanography, Dartmouth, NS, Canada; and Z. Long

Recording files available
Session 8
Modes of Climate Variability Part I
Location: 609 (Washington State Convention Center )
Host: 29th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Cochairs: Justin J. Wettstein, Oregon State University; Haiyan Teng, NCAR
8:30 AM
8.1
9:15 AM
8.4

10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Wednesday, 25 January 2017


Coffee Break
Location: 4AB (Washington State Convention Center )

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Wednesday, 25 January 2017

Recording files available
Joint Session 4
Climate Variability and Change in the Arctic and/or Antarctic Part II
Location: 605 (Washington State Convention Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the 29th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; and the 14th Conference on Polar Meteorology and Oceanography )
Chair: Emily R. Newsom, University of Washington
10:30 AM
J4.1
Influence of the Recent High-Latitude Atmospheric Circulation Change on Summertime Arctic Sea Ice
Qinghua Ding, University of California, Santa Barbara, CA; and A. Schweiger, M. L'Heureux, D. Battisti, N. Johnson, E. Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, Q. Zhang, K. J. Harnos, R. Eastman, and E. J. Steig
10:45 AM
J4.2
Seasonal Differences in the Response of Arctic Synoptic Scale Cyclones to Climate Change
Jonathan J Day, University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom; and M. M. Holland and K. I. Hodges
11:45 AM
J4.6
Enhanced Coupling for Warm Stratospheric Events with Strong Polar Night Jet Oscillation
Dieter H. W. Peters, Leibniz-Institute of Atmospheric Physics/University Rostock, Kühlungsborn, Germany; and A. Schneidereit
Recording files available
Joint Session 5
Extreme Heat III — The National Integrated Heat Health Information System (NIHHIS): Developing Networks & Communities of Practice for Building Resilience to Extreme Heat
Location: Conference Center: Tahoma 5 (Washington State Convention Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the Eighth Conference on Environment and Health; the 13th Symposium of the Urban Environment; the 29th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the Board on Global Strategies; the 12th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; and the Seventh Conference on Transition of Research to Operations )
Cochairs: Kristie L. Ebi, University of Washington; Christofer Astrom, Umea University
10:45 AM
J5.2
11:00 AM
J5.3
Reducing Heat-Health Vulnerability in India
Kim Knowlton, Natural Resources Defense Council, New York, NY; and D. Mavalankar, P. Ganguly, A. Tiwari, P. Dutta, L. Sathish, P. Sheffield, N. Kaur, A. Jaiswal, and J. J. Hess
Recording files available
Session 9
Modes of Climate Variability Part II
Location: 609 (Washington State Convention Center )
Host: 29th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Cochairs: Ka-Kit Tung, University of Washington; Cristian Martinez-Villalobos, University of Wisconsin
10:45 AM
9.2
Causes of Extreme Ridges that Induce California Droughts
Haiyan Teng, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and G. Branstator
11:00 AM
9.3
Propagating Annular Modes
Aditi Sheshadri, Columbia University, New York, NY; and R. A. Plumb

11:30 AM
9.5
Seasonal Variability of Wintertime Eastern Pacific Teleconnection Pattern and Its Linkage with Tropical Convective Heating
Jiacan Yuan, Rutgers University, Piscataway, NJ; and B. Tan, S. Lee, S. B. Feldstein, and Y. Dai

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Wednesday, 25 January 2017


Lunch Break

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Wednesday, 25 January 2017

Recording files available
Lecture 2
Horton Lecture
Location: 602 (Washington State Convention Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the 20th Conference of Atmospheric Science Librarians International; the Second Symposium on Multi-scale Atmospheric Predictability; the Observation Symposium: Progress, Problems, and Prospects; the 33rd Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 29th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 28th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting / 24th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction; the 26th Symposium on Education; the 21st Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface; the 19th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the 18th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 15th Conference on Artificial and Computational Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences; the 15th Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 14th Conference on Polar Meteorology and Oceanography; the 14th Conference on Space Weather; the 13th Annual Symposium on New Generation Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Major Weather Impacts of 2016; the 13th Symposium of the Urban Environment; the 12th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the Ninth Symposium on Aerosol–Cloud–Climate Interactions; the Eighth Conference on Weather, Climate, Water and the New Energy Economy; the Eighth Conference on Environment and Health; the Eighth Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the Eighth Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Seventh Conference on Transition of Research to Operations; the 31st Conference on Hydrology; the Fifth Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise; the Fifth Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events; the Fifth AMS Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Fifth Symposium on Prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation: Processes, Prediction and Impact; the Third Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the Special Symposium on Greening the Built Environment; and the Events )
Organizer: John B. Eylander, US Army Corps of Engineers
Lecturer: Hoshin V. Gupta, University of Arizona
Cochairs: Michael Ek, NOAA; David J. Gochis, NCAR; John N. McHenry, Baron Advanced Meteorological Systems, LLC
1:30 PM
L2.1
Recording files available
Joint Session 6
Climate Variability and Change in the Arctic and/or Antarctic Part III
Location: Conference Center: Skagit 3 (Washington State Convention Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the 14th Conference on Polar Meteorology and Oceanography; and the 29th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Chair: James A. Renwick, Victoria University of Wellington
1:30 PM
J6.1
2016 Arctic Spring and Summer Warming Observed by AIRS
Jae N. Lee, JCET, Baltimore, MD; and J. Susskind, L. Iredell, Y. K. Lim, and S. Nowicki
1:45 PM
J6.2
Indicators of a Changing Arctic
Diane M. Stanitski, NOAA ESRL Global Monitoring Division, Boulder, CO; and M. L. Druckenmiller, F. Fetterer, M. Gerst, J. Intrieri, M. A. Kenney, W. Meier, J. E. Overland, J. Stroeve, and S. Trainor
2:00 PM
J6.3
The Arctic System Reanalysis
David H. Bromwich, Ohio State University, Columbus, OH; and A. B. Wilson, L. S. Bai, K. M. Hines, S. H. Wang, B. Kuo, Z. Liu, H. C. Lin, T. K. Wee, M. Barlage, M. C. Serreze, J. E. walsh, and A. Slater
Recording files available
Joint Session 8
Extreme Heat IV — The National Integrated Heat Health Information System (NIHHIS): Defining Extreme Heat & Lead times for Building Resilience to Extreme Heat
Location: Conference Center: Tahoma 5 (Washington State Convention Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the Eighth Conference on Environment and Health; the 13th Symposium of the Urban Environment; the 29th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the Board on Global Strategies; the 12th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; and the Seventh Conference on Transition of Research to Operations )
Chair: Kim Knowlton, Natural Resources Defense Council
1:45 PM
J8.2
Quantifying the Risk of Compound Heat Wave Events
Jane Wilson Baldwin, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ; and J. Dessy, G. A. Vecchi, and M. Oppenheimer

2:00 PM
J8.3
Enhancing Resilience to Heat Extremes: Multi-model Forecasting of Excessive Heat Events at Subseasonal Lead Times
Augustin Vintzileos, University of Maryland/Earth System Science Interdisciplinary Center, Camp Springs, MD; and J. Gottschalck, A. Allgood, and M. Halpert
Recording files available
Session 10A
CLIVAR PSMI Session on Model Diagnostics and Metrics
Location: 605 (Washington State Convention Center )
Host: 29th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Cochairs: Maria K. Flatau, NRL; Caroline C. Ummenhofer, WHOI
1:30 PM
10A.1
Evaluation of the Eastward Propagating Convective Disturbances
Maria Flatau, NRL, Monterey, CA; and J. Ridout, S. Chen, N. P. Barton, and C. A. Reynolds

2:00 PM
10A.3
Process Oriented Diagnostics of Tropical Cyclones in Climate Models
Daehyun Kim, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and S. J. Camargo, Y. Moon, A. H. Sobel, A. A. Wing, H. Murakami, E. Scoccimarro, G. A. Vecchi, C. M. Zarzycki, and M. Zhao
2:15 PM
10A.4
Gridded Tropical Atlantic Ocean Vector Wind Fields From Polar-Orbiting Scatterometers
Ralph C. Foster, APL, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and G. Levy
Recording files available
Session 10B
ENSO Dynamics, Predictability, and Impacts Part I
Location: 609 (Washington State Convention Center )
Host: 29th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Cochairs: Sarah M. Larson, University of Miami/RSMAS; Erin E. Thomas, University of Wisconsin
1:30 PM
10B.1
Evolution of the 2015-16 El Niño: A Dynamics Perspective
Michael J. McPhaden, NOAA/ERL/Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory, Seattle, WA
2:00 PM
10B.3
2:15 PM
10B.4
Characterizing Unforced Multi-decadal Variability of ENSO: A Case Study with the GFDL CM2.1 Coupled GCM
Alyssa R. Atwood, University of California, Berkeley, CA; and D. S. Battisti, A. T. Wittenberg, W. H. G. Roberts, and D. J. Vimont

2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Wednesday, 25 January 2017


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: 4E (Washington State Convention Center )

Poster Session 3
Climate Variability and Change Poster Session, Wednesday
Host: 29th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
1115
Impact of Eurasian Spring Snow Decrement on East Asian Summer Precipitation
Ruonan Zhang, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing, China; and R. Zhang and Z. Zuo
Manuscript (331.0 kB)

Handout (1.3 MB)

1116
1118
All India Summer Monsoon Rainfall Variability: Large-Scale Circulations and Climate Change Impacts and Processes
Remata S. Reddy, Jackson State University, Jackson, MS; and F. Tuluri and M. Fadavi

1119
El Niño And The East Asian Monsoon: Unraveling The Roles Of The Annual Cycle And Air/Sea Interactions
Malte F. Stuecker, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and F. F. Jin, A. Timmermann, S. McGregor, and W. Zhang

1123
Contributions of Upper Ocean Variability over the Western North Pacific to ENSO
Yoon-Kyoung Lee, Chonbuk National University, Jeonju, Korea, Republic of (South); and S. W. Yeh, B. K. Moon, and H. J. Park

Handout (4.7 MB)

1125
Dust Amplification of ENSO Related Rainfall Anomalies over Australia in the NOAA/GFDL Coupled Model 3
Stuart M. Evans, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ; and P. Ginoux, S. Malyshev, and E. Shevliakova

1127
1130
Characteristics of Summer Precipitation Diurnal Variations in Hubei Province of China
Lin Chunze, Wuhan Institute of Heavy Rain, China Meteorological Administration, Wuhan, China

1133
Parsimonious Patterns in Sea Surface Temperature of the Tropical Pacific Ocean
Guangoh Jheong, Seoul National University, Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South)

Handout (6.9 MB)

1134
Impact of Solar Radio Flux on Precipitation in China
Yan Song, China Meteorological Administration Training Centre, Beijing, China; and Z. Li

1136
Interdecadal Change of Spring Rainfall over Southern China and The Physical Factors
Yunting Qiao, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China; and Z. Cheng and M. Jian

1137
The Seasonality of the Great Plains Low-Level Jet and ENSO Relationship
Lakshmi Krishnamurthy, Princeton University / GFDL, Princeton, NJ; and G. A. Vecchi, R. Msadek, A. Wittenberg, T. L. Delworth, and F. Zeng

1138
Non-ENSO Tropical SST Influences upon Extratropical Climate
James A. Johnstone, Climate Forecast Applications Network, Seattle, WA

1139
Spatio-temporal Variability of Climatic Parameters in the Logone River Basin (Africa)
Asmita Murumkar, Ohio State University, Columbus, OH; and M. Durand, M. Moritz, B. Mark, A. Fernández, I. Hamilton, S. Laborde, A. Shastry, S. Phang, and P. Scholte

1140
Variability of North American Wind Chill Temperatures
Macy E. Howarth, Hobart and William Smith Colleges, Geneva, NY; and N. F. Laird

1141
1142
Extreme Seasons in Europe: Summer 2007
Ricardo Morais Fonseca, Luleå University, Kiruna, Sweden; and B. J. Hoskins and M. Blackburn

Handout (1.8 MB)

1143
1144
Radiative Heating Profile Anomalies Associated with Boreal Summer Intraseasonal Oscillation
Jinwon Kim, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA; and D. E. Waliser, G. Cesana, X. Jiang, T. S. L'Ecuyer, and N. J. Mani

Handout (2.3 MB)

1145
1146
1147
Simulating and Forecasting Seasonal Ice Cover
Xiaolong Ji, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI; and H. Daher, R. Bolinger, A. Gronewold, and R. B. Rood

1150
Numerical Simulation of Indian Summer Monsoon Using MPAS-A: A Sensitivity Study
Mukul Tewari, TWC, an IBM Business, New York, NY; and R. Mittal, M. Duda, and T. Singh

1151
Atlantic Origin of Recent Decadal Trends in Meridional Thermal Gradient and Global Monsoon
Youichi Kamae, University of California/SIO, La Jolla, CA; and X. Li, S. P. Xie, and H. Ueda

Handout (1.5 MB)

1153
Interdecadal Change in Tropical Pacific Precipitation Anomaly Pattern around the late-1990s during Boreal Spring
Zhiping Wen, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China; and Y. Guo and R. Wu

1154
1155
Quantification of Global Warming: Critical Evaluation of GCMs
Ross J. Salawitch, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and A. Hope, T. P. Canty, W. Tribett, and B. Bennett

1156
Seasonal-to-Interannual Prediction Skills of Near-Surface Air Temperature in the CMIP5 Decadal Hindcast Experiments
Seok-Woo Son, Seoul National University, Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South); and J. Choi, Y. G. Ham, J. Y. Lee, and H. M. Kim

1157
The Role of Perturbing Ocean Initial Condition on Simulated Regional Sea Level Change
Aixue Hu, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. Deser, G. Meehl, D. Stammer, W. Han, and G. Strand

1159
Simulated Response of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation to Climate Change
Liping Zhang, Princeton University, Plainsboro, NJ

4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Wednesday, 25 January 2017

Recording files available
Joint Session 7
Climate Variability and Change in the Arctic and/or Antarctic Part IV
Location: Conference Center: Skagit 3 (Washington State Convention Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the 14th Conference on Polar Meteorology and Oceanography; and the 29th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Chair: Kyle R. Clem, Victoria University of Wellington
4:30 PM
J7.3
5:15 PM
J7.6
Intraseasonal Variability of Antarctic Sea-Ice in Austral Winter Related to ENSO and SAM Events
James A. Renwick, Victoria University of Wellington, Wellington, New Zealand; and K. Baba
Recording files available
Joint Session 10
Extreme Heat V — The National Integrated Heat Health Information System (NIHHIS): Decision Support & Evaluation Across Domestic and International Partnerships for Building Resilience to Extreme Heat
Location: Conference Center: Tahoma 5 (Washington State Convention Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the Eighth Conference on Environment and Health; the 13th Symposium of the Urban Environment; the Board on Global Strategies; the 12th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 29th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; and the Seventh Conference on Transition of Research to Operations )
Chair: Juli Trtanj, NOAA
4:00 PM
J10.1
Building a Decision-Support Tool for Adaptation to Extreme Heat
Nik C. Steinberg, Four Twenty Seven Climate Solutions, Berkeley, CA
4:15 PM
J10.2
Lessons from the MEDMI (Medical & Environmental Data: A Mashup Infrastructure) Project on the Challenges in Facilitating Rapid Progress in Understanding of Weather & Health Linkages
Brian W Golding, Met Office, Exeter, United Kingdom; and L. Fleming, A. Kessel, A. Haines, C. Sarran, H. Gordon-Brown, and S. Leonelli
Recording files available
Session 11A
ENSO Dynamics, Predictability, and Impacts Part II
Location: 605 (Washington State Convention Center )
Host: 29th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Cochairs: Alyssa R. Atwood, University of California; Cristian Martinez-Villalobos, University of Wisconsin
4:00 PM
11A.1
How Will El Nino Change Under Global Warming?
Shang-Ping Xie, Univesity of California, La Jolla, CA; and X. Zheng
4:30 PM
11A.3
5:00 PM
11A.5
Influence of Tropical Pacific Winds at Different Timescales on ENSO Evolution
Antonietta Capotondi, University of Colorado and NOAA, Boulder, CO; and L. Ricciardulli and P. D. Sardeshmukh
Recording files available
Session 11B
Interactions between Energetics, Dynamics, and Hydrology in Climate
Location: 609 (Washington State Convention Center )
Host: 29th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Cochairs: Kerry H. Cook, University of Texas; Justin J. Wettstein, Oregon State University
4:00 PM
11B.1
The Impacts of the Biases of Cloud-Radiative-Dynamics Interactions on Global Climate Models in CMIP3 and CMIP5
J. L. Li, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and W. L. Lee, D. E. Waliser, T. Lee, E. Suhas, E. J. Fetzer, Q. Yue, J. Y. Yu, and Y. Wang

4:15 PM
11B.2
What Determines the Meridional Heat Transport? Insights from Varying Rotation Rate Experiments
Xiaojuan Liu, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and D. Battisti and G. Roe
5:15 PM
11B.6
Changes of Precipitation and Drought Associated with Global Warming
Prashant D. Sardeshmukh, CIRES, University of Colorado and PSD/ESRL/NOAA, Boulder, CO; and A. Wang

5:30 PM-6:30 PM: Wednesday, 25 January 2017

Recording files available
Awards Banquet Reception
Location: 4AB (Washington State Convention Center )
5:30 PM
Awards Banquet Reception

7:00 PM-10:00 PM: Wednesday, 25 January 2017

Recording files available
97th AMS Awards Banquet
Location: Ballroom 6ABCE (Washington State Convention Center )
7:00 PM
97th AMS Awards Banquet

Thursday, 26 January 2017

8:30 AM-9:30 AM: Thursday, 26 January 2017

Recording files available
Session 12A
Interannual, Decadal, and Multidecadal Variability Part I
Location: 605 (Washington State Convention Center )
Host: 29th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Cochairs: Kerry H. Cook, University of Texas; Ross D. Dixon, University of Wisconsin
8:45 AM
12A.2
The AMO as a Driver of Multi-decadal ENSO Variability
Aaron F. Z. Levine, NOAA, Seattle, WA; and M. J. McPhaden and D. M. Frierson
9:00 AM
12A.3
Multidecadal Indian Ocean Variability and Links to the Pacific
Caroline C. Ummenhofer, WHOI, Woods Hole, MA; and A. Biastoch and C. W. Böning

Recording files available
Session 12B
Sub-Seasonal-to-Seasonal (S2S) Processes and Predictability Part I
Location: 609 (Washington State Convention Center )
Host: 29th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Cochairs: Michael DeFlorio, JPL; Shih-Yu (Simon) Wang, Utah State University
8:45 AM
12B.2
Subseasonal-Seasonal Predictability and Prediction of Asian Monsoon Rainfalls
Song Yang, Naval Research Laboratory, Guangzhou, China; and T. Zhang

9:00 AM
12B.3
Sub-seasonal Predictability of the Onset and Demise of the Rainy Season over Monsoonal Regions
Rodrigo Bombardi, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA; and K. Pegion, J. L. Kinter III, B. Cash, and J. M. Adams
9:15 AM
12B.4

9:30 AM-10:30 AM: Thursday, 26 January 2017


Exhibit Hall Breakfast
Location: 4AB (Washington State Convention Center )

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Thursday, 26 January 2017

Recording files available
Session 13A
Interannual, Decadal, and Multidecadal Variability Part II
Location: 605 (Washington State Convention Center )
Host: 29th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Cochairs: Gudrun Magnusdottir, University of California; Ross D. Dixon, University of Wisconsin
10:30 AM
13A.1
Projected and Observed Changes in East African Climate
Kerry H. Cook, University of Texas, Austin, TX; and E. Vizy and S. Chi
10:45 AM
13A.2
The South Atlantic Subtropical High: Climatology and Interannual Variability
Xiaoming Sun, University of Texas, Austin, TX; and K. H. Cook and E. K. Vizy

11:30 AM
13A.5
Long-term Analysis of the Asynchronicity Between Temperature and Precipitation Maxima in the Great Plains
Paul X. Flanagan, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and J. B. Basara and X. Xiao

Recording files available
Session 13B
Sub-Seasonal-to-Seasonal (S2S) Processes and Predictability Part II
Location: 609 (Washington State Convention Center )
Host: 29th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Cochairs: Shih-Yu (Simon) Wang, Utah State University; Johnna Infanti, RSMAS
10:45 AM
13B.2A
Influence of Arctic Sea Ice on United States Snowfall
Daria B. Kluver, Central Michigan University, Mount Pleasant, MI
11:30 AM
13B.5
11:45 AM
13B.6
The Tropospheric Route to Rapid Arctic Warming Events: January 2016 and Trends
Shih-Yu (Simon) Wang, Utah State University, Logan, UT; and Y. H. Lin, M. Y. Lee, K. Pegion, and J. Yoon

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Thursday, 26 January 2017


Lunch Break

1:30 PM-3:00 PM: Thursday, 26 January 2017

Recording files available
Session 14A
Decadal Variability and Predictability
Location: 605 (Washington State Convention Center )
Host: 29th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
CoChair: Cecilia M. Bitz, University of Washington
1:30 PM
14A.1
Is the IPO Real? What about the PDO?
Ka-Kit Tung, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and X. Chen, K. F. Li, and J. Zhou

Recording files available
Session 14B
Sub-Seasonal-to-Seasonal (S2S) Processes and Predictability Part III
Location: 609 (Washington State Convention Center )
Host: 29th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Mathew Barlow, Univ. of Massachusetts
1:30 PM
14B.1
Global Predictability and Prediction Skill of Atmospheric Rivers
Michael J. DeFlorio, NASA, Pasadena, CA; and D. E. Waliser and B. Guan
2:00 PM
14B.3
Subseasonal Prediction of Precipitation over California in the Winter of 2016
Alek Anichowski, Columbia University, NY, NY; and S. Wang, A. H. Sobel, and M. K. Tippett

2:30 PM
14B.5
Flipping the Western United States El Niño Precipitation Pattern during the 2015/16 Winter
Xiaosong Yang, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ; and G. A. Vecchi, L. Jia, S. Kapnick, T. L. Delworth, R. Gudgel, and S. Underwood
2:45 PM
14B.6
Storm Tracks and their Influence on High Impact Weather in the Southern Hemisphere Winter
Katherine E. Lukens, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and E. H. Berbery

3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Thursday, 26 January 2017


Coffee Break
Location: Skybridge (Washington State Convention Center )

3:30 PM-5:00 PM: Thursday, 26 January 2017

Recording files available
Session 15A
Climate Projections and Services
Location: 605 (Washington State Convention Center )
Host: 29th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Daniel J. Vimont, University of Wisconsin
3:30 PM
15A.1
Paris INDCs: Will They Achieve the Goal of the Paris Climate Agreement?
Ross J. Salawitch, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and W. Tribett, A. Hope, B. Bennett, and T. P. Canty
3:45 PM
15A.2
Effects of Statistical Downscaling on Extreme Value Statistics
Dennis Adams-Smith, GFDL, Princeton, NJ; and K. W. Dixon and J. Lanzante
4:30 PM
15A.6
Impact of Climate Change on Forecast Perturbation Growth
Carolyn A. Reynolds, NRL, Monterey, CA; and E. A. Satterfield and J. G. McLay
Recording files available
Session 15B
Regional Climate Variability and Change
Location: 609 (Washington State Convention Center )
Host: 29th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Gudrun Magnusdottir, University of California
3:30 PM
15B.1
Sensitivity of Projected Changes in Water Availability to Potential Evapotranspiration (PET) Estimates over Western Canada
Yonas B. Dibike, Environment and Climate Change Canada (ECCC), Victoria, BC, Canada; and B. R. Bonsal and T. Prowse

4:00 PM
15B.3
4:15 PM
15B.4
Examining Shortwave Radiation Trends in the Northeastern United States
Alexandria Maynard, Lyndon State College, Lyndonville, VT; and A. Fitzpatrick and J. Hanrahan
4:30 PM
15B.5
Impacts of Climate Change on Lake-Effect Snow in the Great Lakes Region
Kevin Biehl, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and D. King, R. Gaal, and J. B. Basara
4:45 PM
15B.6
Changes in Precipitation Extremes in Hawaii and Taiwan Under a Warming Climate
Pao-Shin Chu, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and Y. R. Chen, D. J. Chen, and P. L. Lin