Session 12 Greenhouse Gas Emissions: Quantifying Uncertainties in Measurements and Models and Resultant Climate Impacts -Part II

Wednesday, 25 January 2017: 10:30 AM-12:00 PM
4C-3 (Washington State Convention Center )
Host: 19th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry
Cochairs:
Abhishek Chatterjee, GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; A. Scott Denning, Colorado State Univ., Department of Atmospheric Science, Fort Collins, CO; Sean Crowell, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK and Berrien Moore III, National Weather Center/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK

Over the last few years, significant advances have been made in both in situ and remote sensing technologies for measuring greenhouse gases (GHGs). The successful launch of global observing systems such as the Orbiting Carbon Observatory (OCO-2), the Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP) missions as well as deployment of localized surface networks and aircraft campaigns such as the Carbon in Arctic Reservoirs Vulnerability Experiment (CARVE) and the Megacities Carbon Project, is starting to yield more information on natural and anthropogenic sources than ever before. While these multiple observational platforms provide a significant potential for the monitoring of GHG emissions, more and more uncertainties are coming to light regarding our understanding of the global and regional budgets of GHGs, errors due to deficiency in atmospheric transport modeling (especially related to convection and vertical mixing), and identification and quantification of climate feedback sensitivities. This session solicits abstracts that address these uncertainties using models and observations and provide new insights on understanding GHG dynamics at various spatial (local to global) and temporal (sub-diurnal to decadal) scales. We encourage contributions on current and prospective observation technologies for GHGs, modeling studies to quantify budgets and/or uncertainties in GHG flux estimates, and evaluation and benchmarking of GHG estimates from Earth System Models using contemporary observations. We also encourage studies of perturbations to the carbon balance of terrestrial ecosystems in response to climate variability and change, especially as they combine models and observations or pertain to carbon-climate feedback. In addition, we seek contributions on improved quantification and understanding of underlying GHG emissions at the urban scale, policy issues related to GHG monitoring and regulation, and how the current state of the science is informing policy decisions.

Papers:
10:30 AM
12.1
Evaluating the CarbonTracker 2015 Posterior Suite Against Multiyear North American Observed Biogenic Fluxes
Caroline Palmer Normile, Pennsylvania State Univ., Univ. Park, PA; and K. J. Davis, A. Jacobson, N. L. Miles, S. J. Richardson, D. Baldocchi, and T. lauvaux
10:45 AM
12.2
Early Results from ORCAS: The O2/N2 Ratio and CO2 Airborne Southern Ocean Study (Invited Presentation)
Eric A. Kort, Univ. of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI; and B. B. Stephens, M. C. Long, R. Keeling, C. Sweeney, and I. ORCAS Science Team
11:15 AM
12.4
Nasa's GEOS-Carb Modeling and Assimilation System in Support of the OCO-2 Mission
Abhishek Chatterjee, USRA, Greenbelt, MD; and S. Pawson, B. Weir, L. Ott, C. O'Dell, G. J. Collatz, W. Gregg, S. R. Kawa, T. Oda, C. Rousseaux, and P. J. Sellers

- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates an Award Winner