Session 4A Forecasting Techniques: Winter and Severe Precipitation Systems

Tuesday, 24 January 2017: 8:30 AM-10:00 AM
Conference Center: Tahoma 3 (Washington State Convention Center )
Host: 28th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting / 24th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction
Cochairs:
Jason E. Nachamkin, NRL, Atmospheric Dynamics and Prediction Branch, Monterey, CA and Tara Jensen, NCAR/RAL and Developmental Testbed Center, Boulder, CO

Papers:
8:30 AM
4A.1
Verification and Analysis of Impact-Based Warnings: Assessing the Performance of Quantitative Hazard Forecasts in the Transition toward the FACETs Paradigm
C. A. M. Gerlach, NSSL, Norman, OK; and A. Gerard and K. L. Nemunaitis-Berry
Recorded Presentation

4A.2
Analysis of Convective Mode in Severe Thunderstorm Events across Eastern Parts of the Central and Southern Great Plains

9:00 AM
4A.3
The Sensitivity of Deep Convection Initiation to the Vertical Shear of the Preconvective Environment
Adam L. Houston, Univ. of Nebraska, Lincoln, NE
Recorded Presentation

9:15 AM
4A.4
The Probabilistic Storm Total Snowfall Forecast Experiment: 2015-16 Results and Future Plans
Jeff S. Waldstreicher, NOAA/NWS, Bohemia, NY; and D. B. Radell, K. W. Johnson, J. Guiney, and R. Watling
Recorded Presentation

9:30 AM
4A.5
A Morphing-based Technique for the Verification of Ensemble Forecasts of Precipitation Events Associated with Winter Storms
Fan Han, Texas A&M Univ., College Station, TX; and I. Szunyogh
Recorded Presentation

9:45 AM
4A.6
Forecasting the Inland Penetration of Lake-Effect Long-Lake-Axis Parallel Snowbands
Daniel T. Eipper, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA; and G. S. Young, S. J. Greybush, and S. Saslo
Recorded Presentation

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See more of: 28th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting / 24th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction
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