Poster Session 1 WAF/NWP Posters: Weather Phenomena, Observations, and Forecasting

Monday, 23 January 2017: 2:30 PM-4:00 PM
4E (Washington State Convention Center )
Host: 28th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting / 24th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction
Cochairs:
Rebecca Adams-Selin, AER, Offutt AFB, NE and Alexander O. Tardy, NOAA/NWS, Weather Forecast Office, San Diego, CA

Posters on the topics of: Winter Weather, Mesoscale Meteorology and Severe Local Storms, and Other Weather Phenomena, Forecasting Techniques (Aviation, Fire Weather, and Hydrological), Recent Field Campaigns, and Other Contributions

Papers:
82
The Relationship Between the Structure of Low-Level Jets and Precipitation Extremes
Derek Hodges, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and Z. Pu

Poster 87 will now be presented as 9B.5A

Poster 91 will now be presented as 9B.6A

94
A Comparison of the Life Cycles of Elevated and Surface-Based Convection
Katharine Wunsch, University of Missouri, Columbia, MO; and N. I. Fox and P. S. Market

96
Factors that Influence the Growth of Supercells into MCSs after Sunset
Keenan C. Eure, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and J. M. Peters and R. S. Schumacher

97
The Role of the Nocturnal Low-Level Jet in Convection Initiation over Eastern Kansas on 2 June 2015
Joshua G. Gebauer, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and A. Shapiro, E. Fedorovich, and P. Klein

99
A Reflectivity Climatology Study of the Contiguous United States Using the Multi-Year Reanalysis of Remotely Sensed Storms (MYRORSS)
Brandon R. Smith, OU/CIMMS and NOAA/OAR/NSSL, Norman, OK; and K. L. Ortega, A. E. Reinhart, M. C. Mahalik, and T. M. Smith

100
102
A Preliminary Survey of Forecaster Decision Making in the Blended Model Era
Matthew Day, NOAA/NWSFO, Norman, OK; and T. Lindley

106
Assessment of Post-Processing Methods for Daily High and Low Temperature Prediction
Maxwell A Gawryla, The Weather Company, an IBM Business, Andover, MA; and J. K. Williams, P. P. Neilley, J. P. Koval, and S. Marshall

107
Mesoscale Forcing of Lake-Effect Precipitation over Lake Ontario during OWLeS IOP2b
W. James Steenburgh, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and L. Campbell

110
Evaluation of satellite based rain rate retrieval during OLYMPEX
Steven A. Rutledge, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and B. Dolan and W. Xu

112
Utilizing Hazard Services Concepts for Product Creation at the Aviation Weather Testbed
Austin Cross, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/Aviation Weather Center, Kansas City, MO; and B. R. J. Schwedler, N. Hardin, and T. L. Hansen

Handout (18.4 MB)

113
Evaluation of Satellite Precipitation Products in the Chehalis River Basin during Winter 2015-2016 Using OLYMPEX Data
Qian Cao, UCLA, Los Angeles, CA; and D. R. Gergel, A. Mehran, B. Nijssen, W. A. Petersen, and D. P. Lettenmaier

121
Overview of the Tropical Cyclone Intensity Experiment: High-Resolution Observations of Hurricanes Patricia, Joaquin, and Marty
James D. Doyle, NRL, Monterey, CA; and J. R. Moskaitis, R. Ferek, and J. Feldmeier

Handout (15.2 MB)

122
Evaluating WRF Simulations of Planetary Boundary Layer Processes during the Baltimore–Washington, DC DISCOVER-AQ Field Campaign
Jennifer Hegarty, AER, Lexington, MA; and J. Henderson, J. Lewis Jr., E. McGrath-Spangler, A. J. Scarino, R. Adams-Selin, R. Ferrare, E. J. Welton, and P. L. DeCola

Handout (4.6 MB)

125
Verification of Near-Storm Environment Forecasts Using MPEX Upsonde Observations
Christopher A. Kerr, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and D. J. Stensrud and X. Wang

126
Impacts of UAS Data on Thunderstorm Forecasts during PRECIP
George Limpert, University of Nebraska, Lincoln, NE; and A. L. Houston

130
Forecast Evaluation for Convective Features
Michael E. Baldwin, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN; and L. C. Dawson

Poster 132 will now be presented as 584A

133
Observed Characteristics of Mesoscale Banding in Coastal Northeast U.S. Snow Storms
Nicole P. Hoban, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and S. E. Yuter, L. Tomkins, S. A. Ganetis, M. A. Miller, L. Lovell, S. R. Rhodes, E. Scott, and B. A. Colle

Handout (1.9 MB)

134
Riming Parameterization Impacts on the Microphysical Evolution of a Northeast Winter Cyclone and the Associated Snowbands
Steven Michael Naegele, Pennsylvania State University/Significant Opportunities in Atmospheric Research and Science, University Park, PA; and T. Eidhammer, G. Thompson, M. R. Kumjian, and D. J. Stensrud

136
Mechanisms Contributing to the Tug Hill Lake-Effect Precipitation Maximum during OWLeS IOP2b
Leah Campbell, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and W. J. Steenburgh

137
Lake-Effect Mode and Precipitation Enhancement over the Tug Hill Plateau during OWLeS IOP2b
Leah Campbell, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and W. J. Steenburgh, P. G. Veals, T. W. Letcher, and J. R. Minder

139
140
A Climatology of Snow Squalls in New England
Frank P. Colby Jr., Univ. of Massachusetts, Lowell, MA; and D. W. Coe

141
Influence of Multi-lake Connection on Lake-effect Snowfall Totals
Carrie E. Lang, SUNY, Geneseo, NY; and E. A. Jones and N. F. Laird

145
The Impact of Warm Conveyor Belt Forecast Errors on Variability in the Downstream Waveguide
Jeremy D. Berman, University at Albany, SUNY, Albany, NY; and R. D. Torn

147
A Study of Significant Tornadoes Across the High Plains
Sam Ng, Metropolitan State University, Denver, CO; and T. K. Croan

148
Secondary Eyewall Forecast in HWRF
Sergio Abarca, EMC/NCEP/NOAA, College Park, MD; and L. Zhu, A. Mehra, and V. Tallapragada

149
152
Development of a Waterspout Sounding Climatology for the Florida Keys Wet Season
Andrew Devanas, NWS, Key West, FL; and K. Kasper, S. Daida, and M. Bloemer
Manuscript (3.2 MB)

Handout (3.1 MB)

155
Impact of Radar Data Assimilation on a Severe Storm Study in Brazil
Rafael Toshio Inouye, SIMEPAR - Parana Meteorological System, Curitiba, Brazil; and L. Calvetti, J. E. Goncalves, B. B. Maske, R. L. Neundorf, C. Beneti, F. L. R. Diniz, E. P. Vendrasco, D. L. Herdies, L. G. G. D. Goncalves, and A. F. Leite

158
Downstream Predictability of the Path and Survival of Severe Wind Producing MCSs and Derechos using RUC Analysis Data
Russell G. Danielson, University of Wisconsin, Milwaukee, WI; and P. J. Roebber

161
Modeling the Nonlocal Effects of Summer Growing Season Irrigation in the Great Plains
Allison Bogusz, Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX; and B. Ancell

164
Verification of QPF Forecasts from the HRRR and RUC
Zainab Ali, NOAA, Greensboro, NC; and T. Dankers

- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates an Award Winner