Session 8A New Ensemble Techniques, Part I

Wednesday, 25 January 2017: 8:30 AM-10:00 AM
Conference Center: Tahoma 4 (Washington State Convention Center )
Host: 28th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting / 24th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction
Thomas M. Hamill, NOAA, Earth System Research Laboratory, Physical Sciences Division, Boulder, CO and Nusrat Yussouf, CIMMS/OU/NSSL, Norman, OK

8:30 AM
Expanding Probabilistic Precipitation Services
David R. Novak, NOAA/NWS, College Park, MD
8:45 AM
Twenty-five years of ensemble prediction at ECMWF
Roberto Buizza, ECMWF, Reading, United Kingdom; and M. Alonso-Balmaseda, J. Bidlot, M. Bonavita, S. Keeley, S. Lang, M. Leutbecher, S. J. Lock, K. Mogensen, F. Molteni, F. Vitart, and N. Wedi
9:00 AM
Warn-on-Detection to Warn-on-Forecast by 2020?
Pamela L. Heinselman, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and L. J. Wicker and J. S. Kain
9:15 AM
Development and Evaluation of Probabilistic Severe Weather Guidance with the NCAR Convection-Allowing Ensemble
Ryan A. Sobash, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and G. S. Romine, C. S. Schwartz, and K. R. Fossell
9:30 AM
Advancing Probabilistic Forecasts of Locally Extreme Precipitation through Machine Learning
Gregory R. Herman, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and R. S. Schumacher
9:45 AM
An Object-Based Analog Technique to Reduce Spatial Dimensionality in Forecast Post-Processing
Maria E. Frediani, University of Connecticut, Storrs, CT; and T. M. Hopson, J. P. Hacker, E. N. Anagnostou, and L. D. Monache
- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates an Award Winner