Session 15A Tropical Cyclone Forecasting

Thursday, 26 January 2017: 3:30 PM-5:00 PM
Conference Center: Tahoma 3 (Washington State Convention Center )
Host: 28th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting / 24th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction
Cochairs:
Alicia M. Bentley, SUNY, Department of Atmospheric and Environmental Sciences, Albany, NY and Mark Leidner, AER, Lexington, MA

Papers:
3:30 PM
15A.1
Hurricane Joaquin and the South Carolina Flood of October 2015
Christopher G. Marciano, Applied Research Associates, Inc., Alexandria, VA; and G. M. Lackmann
Recorded Presentation

3:45 PM
15A.2
Sensitivity of the Structural Evolution of Hurricane Sandy to Variations in Storm Track
Alex Kowaleski, Valparaiso University, Valparaiso, IN; and J. L. Evans
Recorded Presentation

4:00 PM
15A.3
Evaluation of Ensemble Forecasts for Tropical Cyclogenesis from African Easterly Waves
Alan Brammer, SUNY, Albany, NY; and C. D. Thorncroft and J. P. Dunion
Recorded Presentation

4:15 PM
15A.4
Influence of Storm-Environment Interactions on Tropical Cyclone Development from a Train of African Easterly Waves
James P Fowler, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and T. J. Galarneau Jr.
Recorded Presentation

4:30 PM
15A.5
A Multi-Case Perspective on Tropical Cyclone Intensification under Moderate Vertical Wind Shear
Rosimar Rios-Berrios, SUNY, Albany, NY; and R. D. Torn
Recorded Presentation

4:45 PM
15A.6
An Analog Methodology for Identifying Tropical Cyclone Intensity Forecast Biases in the Hurricane Weather Research and Forecasting (HWRF) Model
Daniel J. Halperin, SUNY, Albany, NY; and R. D. Torn
Recorded Presentation

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