Session 15B Predictability and Data Assimilation

Thursday, 26 January 2017: 3:30 PM-5:00 PM
Conference Center: Tahoma 4 (Washington State Convention Center )
Host: 28th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting / 24th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction
Cochairs:
Brian C. Ancell, Texas Tech Univ., Atmospheric Science Group, Lubbock, TX and John M. Peters, NPS, Department of Meteorology, Pacific Grove, CA

Papers:
3:30 PM
15B.1
Exploring the Role of Intraseasonal Oscillations on African Easterly Wave Predictability in the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System
Travis J. Elless, University at Albany, SUNY, Albany, NY; and R. D. Torn
Recorded Presentation

3:45 PM
15B.2
A Predictability Study on the Role of Extratropical Transition of Tropical Cyclone Events on the Weak Stratospheric Vortex of November 1996
Andrea L. Lang, University at Albany, SUNY, Albany, NY; and H. E. Attard
Recorded Presentation

4:00 PM
15B.3
Evidence for “adjustment” in the Integration of Adjoints of Numerical Weather Prediction Models
Michael C. Morgan, Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and C. Oswald and M. Bonello
Recorded Presentation

15B.4
Real-time storm-scale data assimilation and forecasting experiments for NOAA's Warn-on-Forecast Project

4:15 PM
15B.4A
An Examination of HRRR and HRRRX Performance and Utility For Two Similar and Challenging Colorado Snowstorms
Ed Szoke, NOAA/ESRL/GSD and CIRA, Boulder, CO; and S. Benjamin, C. R. Alexander, J. M. Brown, D. Barjenbruch, R. Kleyla, and B. Meier
Recorded Presentation

4:30 PM
15B.5
Assessment of assimilating Cloud Water Path into the NSSL Experimental Warn-on-Forecast System for Ensemble (NEWS-e) during the 2016 Hazardous Weather Testbed
Thomas A. Jones, CIMMS, Norman, OK; and D. M. Wheatley, K. H. Knopfmeier, P. S. Skinner, D. C. Dowell, T. T. Ladwig, C. R. Alexander, P. Minnis, and R. Palikonda
Recorded Presentation

4:45 PM
15B.6
Exploring the Impact of Tropical Cyclone Relocation in the Operational NCEP GFS/GDAS
Michael J. Brennan, NHC, Miami, FL; and D. T. Kleist, R. Mahajan, C. Thomas, and S. J. Majumdar
Recorded Presentation

- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
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