Session 9A New Ensemble Techniques, Part II

Wednesday, 25 January 2017: 10:30 AM-12:00 PM
Conference Center: Tahoma 4 (Washington State Convention Center )
Host: 28th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting / 24th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction
Cochairs:
Josh Hacker, NCAR, RAL, Boulder, CO and Burkely Gallo, Univ. of Oklahoma/NSSL, Norman, OK

Papers:
10:30 AM
9A.1
The US National Blend of Models Statistical Post-Processing of Probability of Precipitation and Deterministic Precipitation Amount
Thomas M. Hamill, NOAA, Boulder, CO
Recorded Presentation

10:45 AM
9A.2
Initial Results from the Evaluation of Convective Ensemble Sensitivity at the 2016 HWT Spring Forecast Experiment
Brian C. Ancell, Texas Tech Univ., Lubbock, TX; and B. Burghardt
Recorded Presentation

11:00 AM
9A.3
Scenario-based Forecast Verification of U.S. East Coast Winter Storms in Multi-Model Ensembles
Minghua Zheng, SIO, La Jolla, CA; and E. K. M. Chang and B. Colle
Recorded Presentation

11:15 AM
9A.4
Sensitivity of Convection-Allowing Forecasts to Land-Surface Model Perturbations and Implications for Ensemble Design
Jeffrey D. Duda, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and X. Wang and M. Xue
Recorded Presentation

11:30 AM
9A.5
Novel Atmospheric Ensemble Modeling Techniques Applied to Long-Range Transport
Robert L. Buckley, Savannah River National Laboratory, Aiken, SC; and S. R. Chiswell, R. J. Kurzeja, G. M. Maze, B. J. Viner, and D. W. Werth

11:45 AM
9A.6
The Use of Weather Scenarios from Convective-Allowing Ensembles to Convey Forecast Uncertainty
Soner Yorgun, NOAA/ESRL/GSD and CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and M. S. Wandishin, G. J. Layne, and M. A. Petty
Recorded Presentation

- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates an Award Winner
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