Session 12A Tropical Cyclone Modeling and Prediction

Thursday, 26 January 2017: 8:30 AM-9:30 AM
Conference Center: Tahoma 4 (Washington State Convention Center )
Host: 28th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting / 24th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction
Cochairs:
Sharan Majumdar, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL and Michael J. Brennan, NHC, Miami, FL

Papers:
8:30 AM
12A.1
Comparison of TC Track Forecast Based on 3D EnVar and 4D EnVar Data Assimilation
Bing Fu, IMSG at NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, College Park, MD; and Y. Zhu, J. Peng, X. Zhou, and C. Melhauser
Recorded Presentation

8:45 AM
12A.2
An Evaluation of Physics Enhancements within Hurricane WRF
Kathryn M. Newman, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. K. Biswas, L. Bernardet, G. Thompson, and J. Frimel
Recorded Presentation

9:00 AM
12A.3
HNMMB: Development of a new Hurricane model for NWS/NCEP operations
Avichal Mehra, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, College Park, MD; and V. Tallapragada, W. Wang, L. Zhu, Z. Zhang, K. Wu, T. Black, R. Vasic, H. S. Kim, and D. Sheinin
Recorded Presentation

9:15 AM
12A.4
Probabilistic Prediction of Tropical Cyclone Rapid Intensification with an Analog Ensemble
Stefano Alessandrini, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and L. Delle Monache, C. M. Rozoff, and W. E. Lewis
Recorded Presentation

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