Session 3 Advances in Ensemble Techniques in Support of Aviation Operations

Monday, 23 January 2017: 4:00 PM-5:30 PM
Conference Center: Skagit 2 (Washington State Convention Center )
Host: 18th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology
Cochairs:
Le Jiang, IMSG, Camp Springs, MD and James Pinto, NCAR, Boulder, CO

Papers:
4:00 PM
3.1
Ensemble Prediction with the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR): Providing Probabilistic Forecasts of Weather Hazards for Aviation
Curtis R. Alexander, NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and T. Alcott, I. Jankov, S. Weygandt, and S. G. Benjamin
Recorded Presentation

4:15 PM
3.2
Improving Deterministic Time-Lagged Ensemble Forecasts By Applying Blended Nowcasts
Yunsung Hwang, Pukyong National University, Busan, Korea, Republic of (South); and D. I. Lee, A. J. Clark, and C. H. You
Recorded Presentation

Handout (9.6 MB)

4:30 PM
3.3
Use Data Assimilation to Reduce Uncertainties in Ensemble Forecasting for Strategic Traffic Flow Management
Huang Tang, MITRE, McLean, VA; and E. P. Vargo, P. D. Horn, D. C. Wanke, and S. L. Tien

4:45 PM
3.4
Ensemble Prediction of Oceanic Convective Hazards
Ken Stone, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. O. Pinto, M. Steiner, C. J. Kessinger, C. P. Kalb, and M. Strahan
Recorded Presentation

5:00 PM
3.5
Ensemble-Based Forecast Indices for Area Forecast Using the Mesoscale Ensemble Prediction System in JMA
Atsushi Kudo, JMA, Tokyo, Japan
Recorded Presentation

5:15 PM
3.6
NCEP's Global Icing Ensemble Prediction and Its Evaluation
Binbin Zhou, EMC, College Park, MD; and Y. Mao, H. Y. Chuang, and Y. Zhu
Recorded Presentation

Handout (2.7 MB)

- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
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